uncertainty of estimates and projections

... Theory and Estimates, RAND Corporation, R-3028-AF, 1984, and the extension of the basic DRM to take into account the effect of the availability of multiyear contracts to certain classes of Air ... 0.4 0.2 –5 –10 –15 10 15 20 25 30 Years of service 10 15 20 Years of service RAND TR470-4.6 Comparison with the Estimates of Gotz and McCall The parameter estimates the model produces using these ... substituting the n th estimate of tion of step to estimate ˆi n arg max Li ( i into the (n 1)th itera- | xi , ˆ n ) i and then use the new estimates of ˆn i to generate new estimates of arg max L( ˆ n |...

Ngày tải lên: 17/02/2014, 23:20

... constitution.” Article 12 of The Declaration of the Rights of Men and Citizens of 1789 stipulates that “[t]he security of the rights of man and of the citizen requires public military forces,” and Article ... a professional army, the civilian leaders of the Ministry of Defense, the service chiefs of staff, and the head of the Joint Chiefs all still favored the continuation of a mixed system of professionals ... this force.” For most of its modern history, Britain’s small standing and professional Army was made up of volunteers and “functioned mainly in the pacification and policing of the empire” (Flynn,...

Ngày tải lên: 06/03/2014, 20:20

... the 2004 and 2005 SOFS-R Estimates of Military Earnings Although the 2004 SOFS-R estimates of military earnings lie below those recorded in administrative data, the 2005 SOFS-R estimates of military ... results of a set of analyses designed to quantify the relative importance of these and other reasons why estimates of earnings changes derived from SOFS-R and administrative data differ Matched SOFS-R ... Goldman and Smith (2001), Denmead and Turek (2005), Hurd and Rohwedder (2006), Kapteyn and Ypma (2007), and Haider and Loughran (2008) None of the estimates reported in the main text of this...

Ngày tải lên: 23/03/2014, 02:20

... of variables: (1) age of household head, (2) age and sex of household head, (3) size of household, (4) number of adults and children in the household, and (5) age of household head and size of ... Similarly, the number of births of parity and by single and cohabiting women, and of parity by divorced women are very small and we neglect these births for our projections The following standard schedules ... size and number of children household by age and sex of household head household by size 1.00 1.00 1.00 household by size and age of household head 0.95 0.95 0.95 household by size and age of household...

Ngày tải lên: 23/03/2014, 10:20

... of the history of twentieth century physics and concerns the essential dislocation between certainty and uncertainty The break between them involves one of the deepest principles of science and ... living with a measure of uncertainty Uncertainty also exists in another and even more disturbing way, as an uncertainty about the very goal of science and philosophy From the time of the Greeks, human ... theory of ix x Preface motion had been confirmed by generations of scientists, and it explained everything from the orbits of the planets to the times of the tides, the fall of an apple, and the...

Ngày tải lên: 09/04/2014, 16:38

... generality of the operators considered is appealing and the method of proof, which cannot make any use of Moser’s iteration technique, is interesting In their paper, Bonforte and Vazquez study local and ... of a maximal (minimal) solution and proves that u2r ≤ Cur on Ω\B3r (x) (3) He obtains uniqueness of these solutions when Ω is a half space and ur → at ∞ Finally, he gives some blow-up rates of ... comments on the geometric and probabilistic significance of Harnack’s inequalities as well The attention is mainly on classical results and an extensive and thorough list of references is given In...

Ngày tải lên: 22/06/2014, 19:20

... and thinned plots were significant both in PAR and in the global solar irradiance wave bands (table V) The low value of the coefficient of variation, in both the thinned and the unthinned stand, ... (0.64) and the dry (0.67) sites, were higher than those observed (0.473 and 0.576) in a stand of Quercus rubra (Bolstad and Gower, 1990) and quite similar to the average value for broad-leaves of ... out the variability in canopy structure and architecture between stands of a given species and criticized the assumption of the constance of k (Norman and Jarvis, 1974; Kellomaki et al, 1986;...

Ngày tải lên: 08/08/2014, 18:21

... and 280 days of 0.60 for PH and 0.70 for WOK Previous, bivariate analyses considered birth and weaning weights, with average ages at weaning of 211 and 214 days for PH and WOK, respectively Estimates ... reaching 32% (PH) and 45% (WOK) at 31 days of age For WOK, estimates of p2 increased further, reaching 53% around months of age, while estimates for PH increased slowly, reaching a value of 38% around ... closely, with 0.67 and 0.71 for PH and WOK, respectively Similarly, corresponding estimates of r P were 0.51 (PH) and 0.54 (WOK) for previous, bivariate analyses and 0.53 (PH) and 0.55 (WOK) for...

Ngày tải lên: 09/08/2014, 18:21

... birth, and by 4.1, 3.0 and 4.3 kg at the ages of 3, and 12 months, respectively When the effect of inbreeding was assessed as a percentage of the mean, it was more pronounced for NCT, W3M and PL, ... the effect of individual and maternal inbreeding on calf weight at months of age (W7M) MATERIALS AND METHODS 2.1 Data Pedigree and performance records were collected between 1944 and 2005, on ... dams (17 major bulls and one phantom ancestor) For this analysis, of the 7865 calves with W7M information, 6342 were inbred, of which 5206 were offspring of the major bulls, and 1136 were assigned...

Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 13:21

... III Means and empirical standard deviations of additive QTL effect estimates over 100 replicates of simulation models and and means and standard deviations of the estimated asymptotic standard deviation ... II Means and empirical standard deviations of QTL position estimates (in cM) of simulation models and and means and standard deviations of the estimated asymptotic standard deviation (R2 : relative ... Accuracy of multiple interval mapping Table IV Means and empirical standard deviations of dominance and epistatic effect estimates over 100 replicates of simulation model and means and standard...

Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 13:22

... correlations between &A and QM (Model 4, and 6), and 62 (Model and 5), a2 and %5 (Model 5), 62 and % (Model and 6), AM A and for Model 6), or &2 A and ûb (Model and 6) (Model and Clearly, however, ... and the information contributed by each of them For design FS1 (not shown), estimates of o, A ,Or and a5 were unbiased while ô and ô’! Am 1’ were biased by -2a and +2o- respectively (unless estimates ... M!; and f — degrees of freedom and obtaining estimates of (co)variance components and their sampling variances and correlations using the MSC algorithm However, this did not guarantee estimates...

Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 20:20

... classification of uncertainty components into categories A and B and the commonly used classification of uncertainty components as “random” and “systematic.” The nature of an uncertainty component ... (A-3)], is often called the law of propagation of uncertainty and in common parlance the “root-sum -of- squares” (square root of the sum -of- thesquares) or “RSS” method of combining uncertainty ... measurement result and its combined standard uncertainty, and p is the coverage probability or level of confidence of the interval Expanded Uncertainty 6.1 Although the combined standard uncertainty...

Ngày tải lên: 01/08/2015, 12:28

... to standard deviation of earnings (see, e.g., Francis, LaFond, Olsson and Schipper, 2004; and Leuz, Nanda and Wysocki, 2003; and LaFond, Lang and Skaife, 2007), and the negative correlation of ... captures two types of income smoothing: one is achieved through the use of total accruals (Francis, LaFond, Olsson and Schipper, 2004; and Leuz, Nanda and Wysocki, 2003; and LaFond, Lang and Skaife, ... measures uncertainty of stock valuation, whereas analyst forecast dispersion and forecast error measure the precision and accuracy of professional or sophisticated 13 investors’ forecasts of firms’...

Ngày tải lên: 30/09/2015, 16:34

Ngày tải lên: 11/09/2012, 15:49

... as a cache of secondary storage data pages The effect of this kind of caching on the performance of UNIX and its traditional suite of application programs is dramatic Compilation of a small program ... introduction of new hardware architectures and was never able to efficiently support the large body of UNIX software used within the academic community [16] In addition, from the point of view of a system ... network copy-on-reference of process data The interaction of message and memory primitives can also be an important tool in the design and implementation of transaction and database management...

Ngày tải lên: 12/09/2012, 15:05

Ngày tải lên: 15/09/2012, 10:04

... for attempting to understand historical patterns of law and authority, by reference to interior moral and exterior political impulses, and versions of history and visions of the future, in chapter ... ‘globalise’ and ‘universalise’, suggesting the attempt or purport of the act of globalising and universalising, falling short of the achievement of the actual end of this action Such a use of the ... Introduction understand the reality of law and what constitutes law; to attempt to fathom, where possible, the limits and potentials of attitudes towards the social order and law; and to formulate...

Ngày tải lên: 21/09/2012, 10:54

... Ecosystems and Environment, 27, 493-503 Qiao, L., Hofstede, H and Ho, G E (1993) The mobility of heavy metals in clay amended sewage sludge and municipal solid waste compost In: Proceeding of 9th ... fixing of the free metal ions through metal precipitation as hydroxides and carbonates, adsorption onto oxides and mineral surfaces and chemisorption or complexation with inorganic ligands The ... 1993) In order to determine the long-term fate and potential hazard of land application of MSW compost, it is necessary to investigate the speciation of heavy metals Difficulties in studying this...

Ngày tải lên: 23/09/2012, 14:48

... behalf of the account holder, and giving specimen signatures and relevant information banknote / b ŋknəυt/ noun a piece of printed paper money (in England, issued by the Bank of England; in Scotland, ... average, £15 worth of goods are stolen every day the sharing of the cost of damage or loss of a ship between the insurers and the owners í adjective equal to the average of a set of figures ć the ... matters as the issue of shares, the conduct of meetings and the appointment of directors ć This procedure is not allowed under the articles of association of the company articles of incorporation...

Ngày tải lên: 03/10/2012, 10:53

... later, though the number of men remained unchanged, the number of women rose to 550 000 A similar situation was seen in the wholesale and retail trade sector, where the number of women rose from about ... decades between 1975 and 1995 brought significant changes in the representation of women in Freedonia's work force, according to the graphs In 1975, for example, some 300 000 men and 250 000 women ... finance and banking institutions in 1975, the number increased to 450 000 by 1995 The number of men grew only marginally from 425 000 to 480 000 over the same period In defence, the number of men...

Ngày tải lên: 04/10/2012, 10:02