5 16 incorporate risk analysis into budget modeling

Chương 9: Modeling What Could Go Wrong: Risk Analysis on Goal Models docx

Ngày tải lên : 13/07/2014, 07:20

... software failure  Early risk analysis at RE time: Risk identification checklists, component inspection, risk trees www.wileyeurope com/college/van lamsweerde Risk control Risk assessment qualitative, ... new reqs Chap.9: Risk Analysis on Goal Models © 2009 John Wiley and Sons Risk analysis can be anchored on goal models www.wileyeurope com/college/van lamsweerde Chap.9: Risk Analysis on Goal ... Chap.9: Risks why ? how ? Chap.10: Conceptual objects Chap.11: Agents on what? www.wileyeurope com/college/van lamsweerde Chap.9: Risk Analysis on Goal Models who ? © 2009 John Wiley and Sons Risk analysis...

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Risk Analysis for Engineering 5 docx

Ngày tải lên : 13/08/2014, 05:21

... reliability analysis based on firstorder Taylor series, the following can be obtained from Eqs to 5: (1) (5) Z (5) (0. 25) (1) (0. 25) ( 0 .5 / ) (0.8) Z 1 .56 25 0.06 25 0.04 1.2903 Z Z 1.2903 2.3 25 CHAPTER ... 11 12 Time (Years) 14 15 18 31 37 40 46 51 51 51 51 TTF or TTC TTF TTF TTF TTF TTF TTF TTF TTF TTC TTC TTC TTC TTF = time to failure, and TTC = time to censoring Slide No 85 CHAPTER 4a RELIABILITY ... Xi N Xi Directional Cosines ( ) X1 4 .58 4E-01 1.129E-01 8.020E-01 5. 465E-01 9.118E-01 X2 4.843E+00 2.420E-01 4.991E+00 1.109E-01 1. 850 E-01 X3 4.927E+00 9. 758 E-01 3.803E+00 -2.198E-01 -3.667E-01...

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Risk Analysis for Engineering 16 doc

Ngày tải lên : 13/08/2014, 05:21

... (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Minimum 25th 50 th 75thMaximum 85 75 60 45 45 80 60 80 75 45 52 .5 75 80 85 30 30 20 20 20 10 15 45 15 10 15 20 30 45 0. 75 0.8 0. 85 0.9 0.8 0.8 0. 85 0.8 0 .5 0 .50 .7 75 0.8 0. 85 0.9 ... (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Minimum 25th 50 th 75thMaximum 35 90 30 45 25 60 90 45 45 -5 -10 -5 15 15 -10 0.8 0. 75 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0. 85 0.9 0 .5 25 32 .5 45 75 90 10 15 0 .50 .7 750 . 85 0.9 0.9 -5 CHAPTER ... (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Minimum 25th50th 75th Maximum 5 3 .5 4 .5 4. 75 4. 75 4. 75 3 .5 4. 254 . 75 5 0 .5 0 .5 1 0 .5 0. 75 1 0. 85 0.8 0. 95 0.8 0.8 0. 85 0.8 0.9 0.9 0 .5 0 .5 1 0.8 0.80. 85 0.9 0. 95 CHAPTER...

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Báo cáo y học: "Computer says 2.5 litres - how best to incorporate intelligent software into clinical decision making in the intensive care unit" doc

Ngày tải lên : 13/08/2014, 11:23

... Scientarium, Book 16 05 Schurink CAM, Lucas PJF, Hoepelman AIM, Bonten MJM: Computer-assisted decision support system for diagnosing ventilator-assisted pneumonia Lancet Infect Dis 20 05, 5: 3 05- 312 Garg ... medical care Ann Intern Med 2006, 144:742- 752 10 Goodman SN: Toward evidence-based medical statistics 2: The Bayes Factor Ann Intern Med 1999, 130:10 05- 1013 ... Conclusion There may be far-reaching implications of the incorporation of intelligence systems into clinical care Medicolegal challenges to nonadherence to the computer-derived protocol may be...

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Microsoft Excel 2010: Data Analysis and Business Modeling phần 5 ppt

Ngày tải lên : 14/08/2014, 08:23

... Democrats City Rep Dem 80 34 43 61 40 44 20 24 40 114 40 64 70 34 50 44 70 54 10 70 64 11 80 45 12 40 50 13 50 60 14 60 65 15 301 50 70 Solve the assignment of workers example assuming that worker ... Nowitzki Van Exel Williams 39. 35 6 95# 2.70m SAC DAL* Bradley Finley Nowitzki Van Exel Williams 86.87 6 95# 2.45m SAC DAL* Bradley Nash Van Exel Williams Rigaudeau - 54 .55 6 95# 2.32m SAC DAL* We’d ... Nowitzki Exel Williams 39. 35 69 5# 2.70m SAC DAL* Bradley Finley Nowitzki Exel Williams 86.87 69 5# 2.45m SAC DAL* Bradley Nash Exel Williams Rigaudeau 54 .55 6 95# 2.32m SAC DAL* The trick to...

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Phân tích nguy cơ an toàn thực phẩm food safety risk analysis

Ngày tải lên : 18/01/2013, 15:03

... nhận phân tích nguy môn học để cải thiện an toàn thực phẩm PHÂN TÍCH NGUY CƠ  Phân tích nguy ( risk analysis) dùng để ước lượng nguy an toàn sức khỏe người, để xác định triển khai biện pháp phù ... meeting on pesticide residues ( JMPR), joint expert meeting on microbiology risk assessment ( JEMRA), member goverments …: risk assessment PHÂN TÍCH NGUY CƠ (t.t)  Những đặc tính phân tích nguy ... repeated as needed or as better information is developed Repeated interaction between and among risk managers ,risk assessors, other participants… Does not end once a decision is reached and implemented...

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of how to incorporate cultural elements into English training at HCC

Ngày tải lên : 17/04/2013, 10:12

... sources Ss ( % ) TV, video 44 Newspapers 70 Internet 90 Literature 33 Songs 55 Photographs, pictures 45 Stories 52 Interviews 25 The above table shows Tourism students’ facts on the cultural information ... numbers of the students of class C.QDL 05. 2 are 5% , 10% and 15% The numbers of C.QDL 05. 1’s poor students is lower comparing to those of class C.QDL 05. 2 That means the teaching methods mentioned ... 70 Relationship 48 Entertainment 72 Festivals and Holiday 65 Food and Drink 47 Traditional values 51 Fastion 50 Belief and Behavious 65 30 As the table indicates, entertainment and work are thought...

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Tài liệu Impossible Certainty - Cost Risk Analysis for Air Force Systems ppt

Ngày tải lên : 17/02/2014, 22:20

... Changes 16 14 Frequency 12 10 0. 75 1.00 1.00– 1. 25 1. 25 1 .50 1 .50 – 1. 75 1. 75 2.00 2.00– 2. 25 2. 25 2 .50 CGF range NOTE: Includes research and development, as well as production funding RAND MG4 15- S.1 ... General Risk Analysis History of General Risk Analysis The Components of Risk Analysis Risk Assessment Risk Management Risk Communication .5 Uncertainty and Risk ... and cost estimating The Components of Risk Analysis Risk analysis has generally been divided into three broad areas: risk assessment, risk management, and risk communication These areas are interconnected...

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Tài liệu Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisalby doc

Ngày tải lên : 18/02/2014, 07:20

... 400 357 200 400 1,040 200 -50 957 -50 1 65 1 65 Relevant assumptions Material cost per unit 4.00 Wages per unit 4.00 Material cost per unit4.00 Wages per unit Wages per unit Results 300 .etc 3 .50 ... based on assumptions set Analysis of results Statistical analysis of the output of simulation Figure Risk analysis process Forecasting model The first stage of a risk analysis application is simply ... modelled to facilitate and enhance the decision making process II THE RISK ANALYSIS PROCESS What is risk analysis? Risk analysis, or “probabilistic simulation” based on the Monte Carlo simulation...

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Tài liệu RISK ANALYSIS IN FINANCE AND INSURANCE pdf

Ngày tải lên : 22/02/2014, 06:20

... Y1 =  = 5/ 8×1 05 (1.2)2 150 −90 1.2 , 5/ 8×1 05 (1.2)2 ≈ 44 on the set {ω : S1 = 150 } , on the set {ω : S1 = 70} = 50 = f1 1+r on the set {ω : S1 = 150 } on the set {ω : S1 = 70} Taking into account ... γ0 150 = 50 , β0 1.2 + γ0 70 = , which gives β0 = −36 .5 and γ0 = 5/ 8 Therefore, the ‘minimal hedging’ price is π X0 = β0 + γ0 S0 = −36 .5 + 100 × 5/ 8 ≈ 26 Note that this strategy of managing risk ... for 26 dollars, borrows 36 .5 dollars (as β0 is negative) and invests the obtained 62 .5 dollars in 5/ 8 (= 62 .5/ 100) shares of the stock S Alternatively, we can ﬁnd a risk- neutral probability p∗...

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Tài liệu RATE-DISTORTION ANALYSIS AND TRAFFIC MODELING OF SCALABLE VIDEO CODERS ppt

Ngày tải lên : 26/02/2014, 07:20

... 45 45 ix CHAPTER Page a Approximation Theory b The Derivation of Distortion Function Distortion Modeling Based on Coding Process F Rate Analysis and Modeling ... Simple Bitrate Model SQRT Model IV 46 47 50 54 54 56 61 65 66 67 69 72 QUALITY CONTROL FOR VIDEO STREAMING 76 A Related Work ... Correlation Modeling P and B-Frame Sizes D Modeling the Enhancement Layer Analysis of the Enhancement Layer Modeling I-Frame Sizes Modeling P and B-Frame...

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Conceptual Issues in Financial Risk Analysis: A Review for Practitioners ppt

Ngày tải lên : 07/03/2014, 00:20

... equivalent for year t and ρt the risk- adjusted discount rate for year t Then: = αt (1 + ρt) (1 + r) (1 + ρt)*(1 + ρt+1) (15a) = αt+1 (1 + r) (15b) Substituting line 15b into 15a, we obtain that: = (1 ... Cost-Benefit Analysis (Oxford University Press) Vose, D (1996) Quantitative Risk Analysis (Wiley) Winston, W (1996) Simulation Modeling using @RISK (Duxbury) Zerbe, R and Dively, W (1994) Benefit Cost Analysis ... for the risk of the 24 See Myers (1996), p 255 25 We recognize that this is much easier said than done In practice, the best that can be done would be some form of stochastic scenario analysis...

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An Analysis of Geometric Modeling in Database Systems docx

Ngày tải lên : 07/03/2014, 23:20

... ACM Computing Surveys, Vol 19, No 1, March 1987 An Analysis of Geometric Modeling in Database Systems Figure6 display v, -e,- v2 Projection l 55 of a cuboid on a X *: .* * *.a* *.* @ FACES ... I-t-Ii location ID 1 .5 t Y RADIUS 2.0 Figure 12 ACM Computing Surveys, Vol 19, No 1, March Some data-filled 1987 relations 3.0 z 5. 0 * An Analysis of Geometric Modeling to mechanical-part( ... Computer Society Press, pp 215ings of ACM SIGMOD Conference on Engineering 216 Design Applications (San Jose, Calif Mav) _ pp 1 15- i% EASTMAN,C M., AND KULAY, A 19 85 Specification of FORM:ULAE:...

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phân tích rủi ro trong kinh doanh bằng biểu đồ ma trận, risk analysis

Ngày tải lên : 12/03/2014, 16:52

... ma trận B C cao A D E Mức độ rủi ro không chấp nhận Unacceptable Risk Levels Vừa NỘI DUNG Mức độ rủi ro chấp nhận Nhỏ Acceptable Risk Levels Thấp Vừa Cao slide.tailieu.vn Phân tích rủi ro kinh...

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biểu đồ ma trận phân tích rủi ro, charts of risk analysis matrix

Ngày tải lên : 12/03/2014, 16:52

... slide.tailieu.vn RISK MATRIX TABLE NỘI DUNG Mô tả nội dung NỘI DUNG Mô tả nội dung NỘI DUNG Mô tả nội dung NỘI DUNG Mô tả nội dung KHẢ NĂNG XẢY RA - LIKELIHOOD RỦI RO VỪA RỦI RO CAO CRITICAL RISK RỦI ... NHỎ RỦI RO THẤP  Mô tả  Mô tả  Dữ liệu  Dữ liệu  Ghi  Ghi  …  … TÁC ĐỘNG slide.tailieu.vn RISK MATRIX TABLE TÁC ĐỘNG LỚN - RỦI RO CAO TÁC ĐỘNG LỚN - RỦI RO VỪA TÁC ĐỘNG NHỎ - RỦI RO VỪA ... nội dung tác động , rủi ro xảy ra, … Mô tả nội dung tác động , rủi ro xảy ra, … slide.tailieu.vn RISK MATRIX TABLE Rủi ro thấp Rủi ro vừa Rủi ro cao Nguy thực tế Dữ liệu Dữ liệu Dữ liệu Dữ liệu...

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PRINCIPLES FOR THE RISK ANALYSIS OF FOODS DERIVED FROM MODERN BIOTECHNOLOGY

Ngày tải lên : 13/03/2014, 21:56

... – PRINCIPLES The risk analysis process for foods derived from modern biotechnology should be consistent with the Codex Working Principles for Risk Analysis RISK ASSESSMENT 10 Risk assessment includes ... scientific information is incorporated into the risk analysis When new scientific information relevant to a risk assessment becomes available the assessment should be reviewed to incorporate that information ... measured are comparable RISK MANAGEMENT 16 Risk management measures for foods derived from modern biotechnology should be proportional to the risk, based on the outcome of the risk assessment and,...

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Subjective Probability Distribution Elicitation in Cost Risk Analysis - A Review ppt

Ngày tải lên : 15/03/2014, 20:20

... pp 55 –68 Edwards, Ward, “Comment” [on Hogarth (19 75) ], Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol 70, No 350 , 19 75, pp 291–293 Fisher, G H., A Discussion of Uncertainty in Cost Analysis, ... Monica, CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street, Arlington, VA 22202 -50 50 457 0 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 152 13-26 65 RAND URL: http://www.rand.org/ To order RAND documents or to obtain ... Distribution Elicitation in Cost Risk Analysis: A Review and Carolyn Wong (MG-4 15- AF) This report sets out guidelines for the Air Force to consistently apply cost risk analysis to cost estimates made...

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Risk Analysis ppt

Ngày tải lên : 16/03/2014, 01:20

... Cost ($) Benefits ($) Net Benefits ($) 20% 60% 20% 50 (10) 100(60) 1 25( 25) 70(14) 1 25( 75) 2 05( 41) 20(4) 25( 15) 80 (16) ( 95) (130) ( 35) Table 9 .5: Joint Probability Distribution: Uncorrelated Variables ... 0.2 x 0.6 = 0.12 0.2 x 0.2 = 0.04 Benefits ($) 70 1 25 2 05 Net Benefit ($) 155 (6.2) 75( 9.0) 20(0.8) 1 05( 12.6) 25( 9.0) 30(3.6) 80(3.2) 0(0.0) -55 (-2.2) E(NPV) = 42.2 Continuous Probability Distributions ... involve taking a risk In some situations, degree of risk can be objectively determined Estimating probability of an event usually involves subjectivity Risk and Uncertainty In risk analysis different...

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Quantitative Risk Analysis for Project Management A Critical Review pptx

Ngày tải lên : 16/03/2014, 03:20

... INTRODUCTION .1 Risk, Risk Analysis, and Risk Management .1 Origin of Project Goals and Methodology PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS Three Elements of Project Risk Analysis Historical ... fate to an area of study Risk analysis is the process of assessing risks, while risk management uses risk analysis to devise management strategies to reduce or ameliorate risk In project management, ... Overview Schedule Risk Cost Risk 11 Performance Risk .11 U.S Government Mandate for Risk Analysis 12 Empirical Retrospective Studies of Schedule and Cost Risk 12 Pedagogical...

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16 - visualization and analysis of email networks

Ngày tải lên : 22/03/2014, 22:28

... visualize rhythms in email experience In CHI ’ 05: CHI ’ 05 extended abstracts on Human factors in computing systems, pages 161 7 162 0, New York, NY, USA, 20 05 ACM Press [23] D W McDonald Recommending ... modifications to the 2.5D hierarchical layout [16, 15] by using centrality values in order to define hierarchy and edge directions At step 1, the node set is partitioned into an ordered collection ... S Hong, editor, Information Visualisation 20 05, Asia-Pacific Symposium on Information Visualisation (APVIS20 05) , volume 45, pages 69–74 CRPIT, 20 05 [17] B J Kerr Thread arcs: An email thread visualization...

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