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Lecture 4 Globalization, trade and rural development

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Globalization are powerful factors that could importantly to reducing poverty, stimulating growth in developing countries and sustainable development.  Which thought is rights[r]

(1)

1

LECTURE

(2)

1 Globalization & the

transformation of food systems

 Globalization

 Rapid growth of world trade,

 Internationalization of production by

multinational corporations and

 Declining information & communications

(3)

Advance of retail chains: top 10 world 2007

(4)

Nestlé global

 Drinks, ice cream, baby food, bottled water,

breakfast cereals, coffee, chocolate, culinary, dairy

 2010

 Sales: 109.7 billions CHF

 Net profit: 34.2 billions CHF (31.2% of sales)

 2011

 Sales: 83.6 billions CHF

 Net profit: 12.5 billions CHF (31.2% of sales)

(5)

1 Globalization & the

transformation of food systems

 Three aspects for potential trade

benefits for agriculture

 possibility of direct increased exposure of

agriculture to international competition,

 indirect effects of increased international

trade on the growth of non-agricultural

sectors changing the domestic demand for agricultural goods

 lifestyle changes including diets, particularly

among the urban middle class

(6)

1 Globalization & the

transformation of food systems

 Rising food imports

 Increased developing country imports of

cereals and livestock products: increased demand & low competitiveness of domestic agriculture

 Growing food imports: inflows of lower

priced food from subsidised agriculture in developed countries

 Rapid urbanisation, growth of mega-cities

(7)

1 Globalization & the

transformation of food systems

 Vertical integration of the food supply chain

 urban food demand accompanied by consolidation in

the retail sector  dominance of supermarkets

 substantial organisational and institutional changes

throughout the food marketing chain

 private grades and standards for food quality and

safety applied

 adoption of contracts between buyers and sellers

 existence of small traders and small business, central

‘spot’ food markets and neighbourhood stores is threaten

(8)

Alternative forms of vertical

(9)

9 2 Context of developing

countries

 Development policy has strongly emphasized rapid

industrialization

 Promoting domestic industries while distorting price

incentives against agriculture  diminishes the

positive effects of public investments in agricultural research, extension, rural infrastructure, and

marketing infrastructure:

 Lower agricultural production as compared to under a more neutral structure

 Reducing the real purchasing power of rural population

(10)

10 2 Context of developing

countries

 Declination in the share of agriculture in GDP

 As the natural result of economic development  Emphasizing rapid industrialization by means of

import substitution

 Promoting import-substitution industries by high

tariffs and quantitative import restrictions

 Providing foreign currency for imports of capital

goods and related materials available at highly favorable terms

(11)

11 2 Context of developing

countries

Applied policies

 No subsidies for agricultural producers

 Farm products are subject to export tax through

pricing policy of state marketing board (e.g rice VN)  The urban bias policies tend to keep food price down

and also keep wages down to help industrial

enterprises to recruit labor from agricultural at a cost

Consequences

 Agri producers have to pay high prices for industrial inputs due to protection of domestic industries; more fluctuation of imported inputs while received little

(12)

3 Context of rich countries

 Modern agriculture production with advanced

capital-intensive technologies and high yielding

 Economy of scale: big-scale farms; farm enterprises  Surplus of agricultural products

 High production costs compared to poor countries

due to high labor cost

 Dominance of international trade of agricultural

inputs (e.g fertilizers, pesticides and energy) and various high-value products (e.g vegetables,

(13)

13

3 Context of rich countries

 Policies:

 Heavily subsidy to domestic farms: rural bias

policies to equalize incomes of rural people compared to urban

 Apply technical barrier to protect import

agricultural products (SPS, food safety, market regulations)

 Encourage exports of advanced inputs as hybrid

seeds, pesticide ingredients and cheap

(14)

14 4 Globalization and its impacts

 Two schools of thought to impacts of

globalization on sustainable development:

1 Globalization has the negative impacts on

sustainable development, poverty, and welfare of poor countries and the weaker groups in

society

2 Globalization are powerful factors that could importantly to reducing poverty, stimulating growth in developing countries and sustainable development

 Which thought is rights? Experiences from

(15)

15 4.1 Globalization and its impacts for developing countries

Benefits Obstacles

Access to international

markets Rich countries subsidy and absence of WTO deal

Specialization Risk minimization, high input

costs, quality problems, infrastructure bottlenecks

Economies of scale Transaction costs of

consolidation, credit markets Capital inflows and

technological changes Small farmers excluded from supply chains Lower transport and

(16)

16

4.2 Subsidies of rich countries

Switzerland 68%

Japan 56%

European Union 33%

Canada 21%

United States 18%

Mexico 17%

Australia 4%

New Zealand 3%

30 Countries Overall 30%

Producer support as share of gross receipts, 2004

(17)

17 4.2 Subsidies of rich countries

Effect of OECD subsidies on world prices

Source: World Bank, Global Economic Prospects 2002

Rice 33 - 50 %

Sugar 20 – 40 %

Dairy Products 20 – 40 %

Cotton 10 – 20 %

Peanuts 10 – 20 %

Global prices for crops like cotton, soybean, sugar, dairy, wheat and maize are suppressed by rich country

subsidies and resulting exports from rich

(18)(19)

19 4.3 Responses from developing

countries to globalization

 Re-allocation of domestic resources for

agriculture towards sub-sectors having

economy of scale and comparative advantages

 Enhance specialized production of high-value

added products to export

 Diversity in food policies among net food

(20)

20 4.4 Opportunity of developing

countries to globalization

Global palm oil production

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006

mi ll ion ton n es Other countries Indonesia Malaysia

(21)

21 4.4 Opportunity of developing

countries to globalization

Southeast Asia: Exports of high value added commodities

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000

Total agricultural exports Dairy Fruit and veg Meat (right axis)

(22)

22 4.4 Opportunity of developing

countries to globalization

Latin America: Exports of high value added commodities

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001

Total agricultural exports Dairy

Fruit and veg Meat

(23)

23 4.4 Opportunity of developing

countries to globalization

Asia and Africa: Fish and shellfish exports, constant 2000 USD

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Africa Asia

(24)

4.5 Difficulties of developing countries

 Fluctuation of imported input prices

 Less competition in international market:

 Distorted international prices

 Technical barriers posed by rich import countries (SPS, food safety, market regulations)

 Anti-dumping mechanism of rich countries

 Mis-allocation of domestic resources to export cash

crops than producing staple food

 Collapse of some agricultural sub-sectors due to low

(25)

25 5 Problems of rural development  Inability or unwillingness of producers to

accept the risks associated with specialization

 Lack of technology and infrastructure required

for specialization

 Lack of capital to upgrade technology and

infrastructure

 Lack of market information and cannot keep

pace with shifts in demand

(26)

6 Question remained

 Globalization and small farms’ survival?  How to restructure rural economy?

 Make use of FDI capital flows in agriculture and

retail markets to modernize agricultural sub-sectors

 Contract farming to reduce transaction costs and

therefore farmgate prices

 Creating producer associations among small

farmers can also improve bargaining power in

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27

Agribusiness?

 Investors in food processing companies assist

farms to access necessary inputs and to invest in better technology through different

assistance programs

 Agribusiness companies sell farm inputs to

farms and use unconventional forms of

(28)

Agribusiness?

 Interlining markets: landlords act as

intermediary between outside loan market and their workers/tenants or establishing trader

and farmers relationships

 These forms of contracts are very important to

(29)

29 7 Some conclusions

1 Globalization forces have played an important role in transitional countries’ agri development and rural livelihoods (multi effects and interactions)

2 Micro-economic effects: foreign investments as

initiators of technological innovations, restructuring

farms, inducing vertical coordination  efficiency gains

3 Competition  reducing monopoly

4 Marginalization of small-scale production

5 Dependence on food multi-national corporations and giant retailers

(30)

8 Policy implication

1 Right policy towards globalization: making use of potential benefits and limit bad side-effects

2 Enhance food security and reduce poverty

3 Re-orienting agricultural research and development priorities

4 Creating an enabling environment for smallholder transformation

 Appropriate institution for small-scale farms: modern

cooperatives vertical-linked with agro value chains and agri-business

 Rural infrastructure investment

(31)

31 8 Policy implication

5 Accept establish of large-scale farms or specialized agro-enterprises

6 Enabling income and livelihood diversification

7 Establishing safety standards and regulations

8 Establish value chains and policies for the whole value chains/clusters that have high competitiveness

9 Allowing foreign investments to learn technological innovations and restructuring farms

10.Develop domestic market for processed agro-products

(32)

References

 Pingali, Prahu, 2006 Agricultural Growth and Economic Development: A View through the Globalization Lens Presidential Address to the 26th

International Conference of Agricultural Economists, Gold Coast, Australia, 12 – 18th August, 2006

 Swinnen, Johan 2004 “The Impact of Globalization on Agricultural Development and Rural Poverty in Transition Countries.” Proceeding from Agricultural Development and Rural Poverty under Globalization: Asymmetric Processes and Differentiated Outcomes Florence, Italy, September – 11

 Bautista and Valdez 1993 “The Relevance of Trade and

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