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Lecture Contemporary strategy analysis: Concepts, techniques, applications (5th edition): Chapter 2 - Robert M. Grant

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• From profit maximization to value maximization —Net present value of firm = Discounted future profits. over the life of the firm.[r]

(1)

Goals, Values and Performance

Goals, Values and Performance

Strategy as a quest for value

What is profit?

The shareholder value approach

The shareholder value and strategy

formulation

Mission and values

(2)

Strategy as a Quest for Profit

Strategy as a Quest for Profit

The stakeholder approach

: The firm is a coalition of

interest groups—it seeks to balance their different

objectives.

The shareholder approach

: The firm exists to maximize the

wealth of its owners.

Why is profit maximization a reasonable goal?

(1) Boards of directors legally obliged to pursue shareholder

interests.

(2) To replace assets, firm must earn return on capital > cost of

capital (difficult when competition intense).

(3)

What is Profit?

What is Profit?

Profit maximization an ambiguous goal

Total profit vs Rate of profit

Over what time period?

Accounting profit

versus

Economic profit

Economic Value Added (EVA) as a measure of

economic profit:

Post-tax operating profit less cost of capital

From profit maximization to value maximization

—Net present value of firm = Discounted future profits

(4)

Net Inc ROS ROE EVA Market Return to

Value Added Shareholders

($m) (%) (%) ($m) ($m) (%)

General Motors 2,956 1.8 19.7 -5,525 -17,943 21.4 General Electric 6,573 9.4 22.2 4,370 285,320 45.3 Exxon 6,370 6.3 14.6 -2,262 114,774 22.4 Philip Morris 5,450 10.3 39.0 5,180 98,657 64.8 IBM 6,328 7.7 32.6 2,541 -5,878 77.5 Coca-Cola 3,533 18.8 42.0 2,194 157,356 1.3 Wal-Mart 4,430 3.2 21.0 1,159 159,444 107.7 Procter & Gamble 3,780 10.2 12.2 61,661 102,379 15.9 Microsoft4,490 31.0 27.0 3,776 328,257 37.5

Hewlett-Packard 2,945 6.3 17.4 -593 45,464 10.7

How U.S Companies Perform Under

Different Profitability Measures, 1998

(5)

Value Maximization

Value Maximization

Maximizing the value of the firm:

Max net present value of free cash flows :

max V =

(1 + r

e

)

t

C

t

Where:

V market value of the firm

C

t

free cash flow in time t

r

e+d

weighted average cost

of capital

(6)

Applying Shareholder Value

Maximization to Strategy Choice

Applying Shareholder Value

Maximization to Strategy Choice

Identify strategy alternatives

Estimate cash flows associated with cash

strategy

Estimate cost of capital for each strategy

(7)

Valuing Companies and Business Units

Valuing Companies and Business Units

If net case flow growing at constant rate (g)

V = C

1

( r - g )

With varying cash flows which can be forecasted

for years:

V = C

0

+ C

1

+ C

2

+ C

3

+ V

H

(1 + r ) (1 + r )

2

(1 + r )

3

(1 + r )

3

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