1. Trang chủ
  2. » Tài Chính - Ngân Hàng

2018 level 3 finquiz quicksheet

16 21 0

Đang tải... (xem toàn văn)

Tài liệu hạn chế xem trước, để xem đầy đủ mời bạn chọn Tải xuống

THÔNG TIN TÀI LIỆU

Thông tin cơ bản

Định dạng
Số trang 16
Dung lượng 657,84 KB

Nội dung

FinQuiz Formula Sheet Reading 5: The Behavioral Finance Perspective   Expected utility (U) = Σ (U values of outcomes × Respective Prob)   Subjective expected U of an individual =Σ [u (xi) × Prob (xi)]   Bayes’ formula = P (A|B) = [P (B|A) / P (B)]× P (A)   Risk premium = Certainty equivalent – Expected value   Perceived value of each outcome = = U = w (p1) v (x1) + w (p2) v (x2) + … + w (pn) v (xn)   After-tax (AT)Real required return (RR) % = 2$&  3%4$(&15"$  6(($&( 7*89$:&$-  %$$-(  #%  0$1*  % = 2$&  3%4$(&15"$  6(($&(   ATNominal RR % =   Total Investable assets = Current Portfolio -Current year cash outflows + Current year cash inflows   Pre-tax income needed = AT income needed / (1-tax rate)   Pre-tax Nominal RR = (Pre-tax income needed / Total investable assets) + Inf% If Portfolio returns are tax-deferred:   Pre-tax projected expenditure $ = AT projected expenditure $ / (1 – tax rate) ì wt of Tax-exempt Invst)] ì (1 – tax rate) + (Expected total R of Taxexempt Invst × wt of Tax-exempt Invst) – Inf rate Or Real AT R =[(Taxable R of asset class × wt of asset class 1) + (Taxable R of asset class × wt of asset class 2) + …+ (Taxable return of asset class n × wt of asset class n)] × (1 – tax rate) + (Expected total R of Tax-exempt Invst × wt of Tax-exempt Invst) – Infrate Reading 9: Taxes and Private Wealth Management in a Global Context   Average tax rate = Total tax liability / Total taxable income   AT Return = r × (1 – ti) Reading 8: Managing Individual Investor Portfolios !"#$%&' (  *$+,#*$-  $./$%-#&,*$(  #%  0$1*  % ATNominal RR% = +  AT  Real  RR% × (1 + Current Ann Inf %) –   Pre-tax real RR % = Pre-tax projected expenditures $ / Total investable assets   Abnormal return (R) = Actual R – Expected R CFA Level III 2018   Pre-tax nominal RR = (1 + Pre-tax real RR %) × (1 + Inflation rate%) – If Portfolio returns are NOT tax-deferred:   AT real RR% = AT projected expenditures $ / Total Investable assets 10   AT nominal RR% = (1 + AT real RR%) × (1 + Inf%) – 7*89$:&$-  %$$-(  #%  0$1*  % 2$&  3%4$(&15"$  6(($&( + Current Annual (Ann) Inflation (Inf) % = AT real RR% + Current Ann Inf% Or 11   Procedure of converting nominal, pre-tax figures into real, after-tax return: •   Real AT R = [Expected total R – (Expected total R of Tax-exempt Invst   AT Future Accumulations after n years = FVIFi= Initial Invst × [1 + r (1 – ti)]n   Tax drag ($) on capital accumulation = Acc capital without tax – Acc capital with tax   Tax drag (%) on capital accumulation = (Acc capital without tax – Acccapital with tax) / (Acc capital without tax – Initial investment) FinQuiz   Returns-Based Taxes: Deferred Capital Gains: •   AT Future Accumulations after n years = FVIFcg= InitialInvst × [(1 + r) n (1 – tcg) + tcg] •   Value of a capital gain tax deferral = AT future accumulations in deferred taxes – AT future accumulations in accrued annually taxes   Cost Basis •   Capital gain/loss = Selling price – Cost basis •   AT Future Accumulation = FVIFcgb= Initial Invst × [(1 + r) n (1 – tcg) + tcg – (1 – B) tcg] =Initial Invst × [(1 + r) n (1 – tcg) + (tcg × B)] Where, B = Cost basis tcg × B = Return of basis at the end of the Invst.horizon When cost basis = initial InvstèB=1, FVIFcg=Initial investment × [(1 + r) n (1 – tcg) + tcg] Formula Sheet b)  % of total return from Interest income (pi), taxed at a rate of ti pi = Interest ($) / Total dollar return c)   % of total return from Realized capital gain (pcg), taxed at a rate of tcg pcg = Realized Capital gain ($) / Total dollar return d)  Unrealized capital gain return: Total Dollar Return = Dividends + Interest income + Realized Capital gain + Unrealized capital gain Total realized tax rate = [(pi× ti) + (pd× td)+ (pcg× tcg)] 10   Effective Ann AT R = r* = r (1 – piti – pdtd – pcgtcg) = r (1 – total realized tax rate) Where, r = Pre-tax overall return on the portfolio and r*= Effective ann AT R 11   Effective Capital Gains Tax = T* = tcg (1 – pi – pd – pcg) / (1 – piti – pdtd – pcgtcg) 12   Future AT acc = FVIF Taxable = Initial Invst [(1 + r*)n (1 – T*) + T* – (1 – B) tcg]   Wealth-Based Taxes •   AT Future Acc = FVIF w = Initial Invst [(1 + r) (1 – tw)] n Where, tw = Ann wealth tax rate 13   Initial Invst (1 + Accrual Equivalent R)n = Future AT Acc   Blended Taxing Environments a)   Proportion of total return from Dividends (pd), taxed at a rate of td pd = Dividends ($) / Total dollar return 15   Accrual Equivalent Tax Rates = r (1 – TAE) 14   Accrual Equivalent R = (Future AT Acc / Initial Invst) 1/n– = RAE = TAE = 1− EFG E CFA Level III 2018 16   In Tax Deferred accounts (TDAs) Future AT Acc = FVIF TDA = Initial Invst[(1 + r) n (1 – Tn)] 17   In Tax-exempt accounts FVIF taxEx = Initial Invst (1 + r) n •   FVIF TDA = FVIF taxEx (1 – Tn) 18   AT asset wt of an asset class (%) = AT MV of asset class ($) / Total AT value of Portfolio ($) 19   AT Initial invst in tax-exempt accounts = (1 – T0) 20   FV of a pretax $ invested in a tax-exempt account = (1 – T0) (1 + r) n 21   FV of a pretax $ invested in a TDA = (1 + r) n (1 – Tn) 22   Investors AT risk = S.D of pre-tax R (1 – Tax rate) = σ(1 – T) 23   Tax alpha from tax-loss harvesting (or Tax savings) =Capital gain tax with unrealized losses – Capital gain tax with realized losses Or Tax alpha from tax-loss harvesting = Capital loss × Tax rate 24   Pretax R taxed as a short-term gain needed to generate the AT R equal to long-term AT R = Long-term gain after-tax return / (1 –short-term gains tax rate) FinQuiz Reading 10: Estate Planning in a Global Context   Estate =Financial assets + Tangible personal assets + Immoveable property + Intellectual property   Discretionary wealth or Excess capital = Assets – Core capital Formula Sheet   Value of a taxable gift (if gift & asset (bequeathed) have equal AT R ) = (1 – Tg) / (1 – Te) 10   The relative after-tax value of gift the when the donor pays gift tax and when the recipient’s estate will not be taxable (assuming rg = re and tig = tie): 𝑅𝑉JKLK\]OPQRS   Core Capital (CC) Spending Needs = p(Survival j ) × Spending j ∑ (1+ r) j j−1   CC needed to maintain given spending pattern = Annual Spending needs / Sustainable Spending rate = 12   Relative value of generation skipping = / (1 – T1) 13   Charitable Gratuitous Transfers = RVCharitableGift = Z UVN[ UXSY[ Z UXJ[   Relative value of the tax-free gift = / (1 – Te)   Taxable Gifts = 𝑅𝑉JKLK\]OPQRS = Z UXJW Z UVN[ UXSY[ UXJ[ UVNW UXSYW + 𝑟d − 𝑡Qd − 𝑇d + 𝑇d 𝑇O + 𝑟O − 𝑡QO f − 𝑇O 11   Size of the partial gift credit = Size of the gift × TgTe   Tax-Free Gifts = 𝑅𝑉JKLMNOOPQRS = UVNW UXSYW 𝐹𝑉PQRS = 𝐹𝑉_O`aObS f N   Expected Real spending = Real annual spending × Combined probability CFA Level III 2018 FVCharitableGift FVBequest n = (1+ rg )n + Toi [1+ re (1− tie )] (1− Te ) n [1+ re (1− tie )] (1− Te ) 14   Credit method = TC = Max [TR, TS] 15   Exemption method = TE = TS 16   Deduction method = TD = TR + TS– TRTS Reading 12: Risk Management for Individuals kl m SnU UVN l m o(ql )  klst (UVdl ) SnU (UVN Vv)l   Human Capital  𝐻𝐶j = extended model  𝐻𝐶j = u   Income yield (payout) = SwSK]  wfdwQfd  KffaK]  QfxwyO QfQSQK]  oaNxzKbO  oNQxO       Mortality wghtd NPV = mNPV0 = = m o(bl )  \l SnU (UVN)l   Reading 13: Managing Institutional Investor Portfolio Defined-Benefit Plans:   Funded Status of Pension Plan (PP) = MV of PP assets – PV of PP liabilities   Min RR for a fully-funded PP = Discount rate used to calculate the PV of plan liabilities   Desired R for a fully-funded PP = Discount rate used to calculate the PV of plan liabilities + Excess Target return   Net cash outflow = Benefit payments – Pension contributions Foundations   Min R requirement (req) = Min Ann spending rate + InvstMgmtExp+ Expected Inf rate   FinQuiz Or Min Rreq = [(1 + Min Ann spending rate) × (1 + Invst Mgmt Exp) × (1 + Expected Inf rate)] -1   Foundation’s liquidity req = Anticipated cash needs (captured in a foundation’s distributions prescribed by minimum spending rate*) + Unanticipated cash needs (not captured in a foundation’s distributions prescribed) – Contributions made to the foundation * It includes Minimum annual spending rate (including “overhead” expenses e.g salaries) + Investment management expenses Endowments   Ann Spending ($) = % of an endowment’s current MV Or AnnSpending ($) = % of an endowment’s avg trailing MV   Simple spending rule = Spending t = Spending rate × Endowment’s End MVt-1   Rolling 3-yr Avg spending rule =Spendingt = Spending rate × Endowment’s Avg MV of the last fiscal yr-ends i.e è Spending t = Spending rate × (1/3) [Endowment’s End MVt-1+ Endowment’s End MVt-2 + Endowment’s End MVt-3] Formula Sheet 10   Geometric smoothing rule = Spendingt = WghtAvg of the prior yr’s spending adjusted for Inf + Spending rate × Beg MV of the prior fiscal yr i.e è Spending t = Smoothing rate × [Spendingt-1 × (1 + Inft-1)] + (1 – Smoothing rate) × (Spending rate × Beg MVt-1 of the endowment) 11   Min ReqRoR = Spending rate + Cost of generating Invst R + Expected Infrate Or Min ReqRoR = [(1 + Spending rate) × (1 + Cost of generating Invst R) × (1 + Expected Inf rate)] -1 12   Liquidity needs = Ann spending needs + Capital commitments + Portfolio rebalancing expenses – Contributions by donor 13   Neutrality Spending Rate = Real expected R = Expected total R – Inf Life Insurance Companies 14   Cash value = Initial premium paid + Any accrued interest on that premium 15   Policy reserve = PV of future benefits - PV of future net premiums 16   Surplus = Total assets of an insurance company - Total liabilities of an insurance company CFA Level III 2018 Non-Life Insurance Companies 17   Combined Ratio = (Total amount of claims paid out + Insurer's operating costs) / Premium income Banks 18   Net interest margin = ({fSONObS  {fxwyOX{fSONObS  |LoOfbO) }~d  |KNfQfd  }bbOSb mOS  {fSONObS  {fxwyO = }~d  |KNfQfd  }bbOSb 19   Interest spread = Avg yield on earning assets – Average percent cost of interestbearing liabilities 20   Leverage-adjusted duration gap (LADG) = DA – (k ×DL) Where, k= MV of liabilities / MV of assets = L/A 21   Change in MV of net worth of a bank (resulting from interest rate shock) ≈ - LADG × Size of bank × Size of interest rate shock FinQuiz Formula Sheet Reading 14: Capital Market Expectations CFA Level III 2018 10   Nominal GDP = Real g rate in GDP + Expected long-run Inf rate   Precision of the estimate of the population 11   Earnings g rate = Nominal GDP g rate + Excess Corp g (for the index companies) mean ≈ / no  of  obvs   Multiple-regression analysis: A = β0 + β1 B + β2 C + ε   Time series analysis: A = β0 + β1 Lagged values of A + β2 Lagged values of B + β2 Lagged values of C + ε   Shrinkage Estimator = (Wt of historical estimate × Historical parameter estimate) + (Wt of Target parameter estimate × Target parameter estimate)   Shrinkage estimator of Cov matrix = (Wt of historical Cov × Historical Cov) + (Wt of Target Cov × Target Cov)   Vol in Period t =σ2t = βσ2t-1 + (1 – β) ε2t   Multifactor Model: R on Asset i = Ri = + bi1F1 + bi2F2 + … + biK FK + εi   Value of asset at time t0 = …M  KS  SQyO  S ‡ SnU UV†QbxwafS  NKSO l   Expected RoR on Equity = ˆ#4  /$*  (‰1*$  1&  &#Š$  ‹  (UVŒ•  Ž  *1&$) !,**$%&  (‰1*$  /*#:$ + LT g rate = Div Yield + Capital Gains Yield 12   Expected RoR on Equity ≈ † • - ∆S + i + g + ∆PE -∆S = Positive repurchase yield +∆S = Negative repurchase yield ∆PE = Expected Repricing Return 13   Labor supply g = Pop g rate + Labor force participation g rate 14   Expected income R = D/P - ∆S 15   Expected nominal earnings g R = i + g 16   Expected Capital gains R = Expected nominal earnings grate + Expected repricing R 17   Asset’s expected return E (Ri) = Rf + (RP) + (RP) + …+ (RP) K 18   Expected bond R [E (Rb)] = Real Rf + Inf premium + Default RP + Illiquidity P + Maturity P+ Tax P 19   Inf P = AvgInf rate expected over the maturity of the debt + P (or discount) for the prob attached to higher Inf than expected (or greater disinflation) 20   Inf P = Yield of conventional Govt bonds (at a given maturity) – Yield on Infindexed bonds of the same maturity 21   Default RP = Expected default loss in yield terms + P for the non-diversifiable risk of default 22   Maturity P = Interest rate on longermaturity, liquid Treasury debt - Interest rate on short-term Treasury debt 23   Equity RP = Expected ROE (e.g expected return on the S&P 500) – YTM on a longterm Govt bond (e.g 10-year U.S Treasury bond R) 24   Expected ROE using Bond-yield-plus-RP method = YTM on a LT Govt bond + Equity RP 25   Expected ROA E (Ri) = Domestic Rf R + (βi) × [Expected R on the world market portfolio – Domestic Rf rate of R] Where,βi = The asset’s sensitivity to R on the world mktportf = Cov (Ri, RM) / Var (RM) 26   Asset class RPi= Sharpe ratio of the world market portfolio × Asset’s own volatility (σi) × Asset class’s correlation with the world mktportf (ρi,M) RPi = (RPM / σM) × σi × ρi,M Where, Sharpe Ratio of the world market portfolio = Expected excess R / S.D of the FinQuiz Formula Sheet world mktportfà represents systematic or nondiversifiable risk = RPM / σM 35   Neutral Level of Interest Rate = Target Inf Rate + Eco g 27   RP for a completely segmented market (RPi) = Asset’s own volatility (σi) × Sharpe ratio of the world mktportf 36   Taylor rule equation: Roptimal =Rneutral + [0.5 × (GDPgforecast – GDPgtrend)] + [0.5 × (Iforecast – Itarget)] 28   RP of the asset class, assuming partial segmentation = (Degree of integration × RP under perfectly integrated markets) + ({1 - Degree of integration} × RP under completely segmented markets) 37   Trend g in GDP = g from labor inputs + g from Δ in labor productivity 29   Illiquidity P = Required RoR on an illiquid asset at which its Sharpe ratio = mkt’s Sharpe ratio – ICAPM required RoR 30   Cov b/w any two assets = Asset beta × Asset beta × Var of the mkt ⎛ σ × ρ (1, m) ⎞ ⎟⎟ 31   Beta of asset = ⎜ ⎜ σm ⎝ ⎠ ⎛ σ × ρ (2, m) ⎞ ⎟⎟ 32   Beta of asset = ⎜ ⎜ σ m ⎝ ⎠ 33   GDP (using expenditure approach) = Consumption + Invst + Δ in Inventories + Govt spending + (Expo- Impo) 34   Output Gap = Potential value of GDP – Actual value of GDP 38   g from labor inputs = g in potential labor force size + g in actual labor force participation 39   g from Δ in labor productivity = g from capital inputs + TFP g* •   TFP g = g associated with increased efficiency in using capital inputs 40   GDP g = α + β1Consumer spending g + β2Investment g 41   Consumer spending g = α + β1Lagged consumer income g + β2Interest rate 42   Investment g = α + β1Lagged GDP g+ β2Interest rate 43   Consumer Income g = Consumer spending growth lagged one period CFA Level III 2018 Reading 15: Equity Market Valuation   Cobb-Douglas Production Function Y = A× Kα× Lβ Where,Y = Total real economic output A = Total factor productivity (TFP) K = capital stock α = Output elasticity of K L = Labor input β = Output elasticity of L   Cobb-Douglas Production Function Y (assuming constant R to Scale) = ln (Y) = ln (A) + αln (K) + (1 – α) ln (L) Or ∆0   ≈   ∆6 +α ∆“ “ +   −  α ∆Œ Œ   Solow Residual = %∆TFP = %∆Y – α (%∆K) – (1 – α) %∆L   H-Model: Value per share at time = ˆ‹ ˆ#(:8,%&  *1&$XŒ•  (,(&1#%5"$  ˆ#4  Ž  *1&$   × 1+  LT  sustainable  Div  g  rate +   ›,/$*  %8*Š1"  Ž  /$*#8œ  ×   ST  higher  Div  g  rate − LT  sustainable  Div  g  rate   Gordon g Div discount model: Value per share at time = ˆ × UVŽ *X  Ž   FinQuiz Formula Sheet CFA Level III 2018   Forward justified P/E =   After-tax Portfolio Return = rat = rpt(1-t) 3%&*#%(#:  41",$   12   10-year Moving Average Price/Earnings [P / 10-year MA (E)] = 0* 1$1- $./$:&$- Ă1*%#%( Ô$1" 8* 3%ƠX1-9,(&$- & ă NQxO {fâOL Fed Model: ê84#% 64 8Ơ /*$:$-#% U ô*( 8Ơ Ô$1" 8* 3%Ơ 1-9 Ă1*%#%( ÂÊ-  j/$*1&#%Ž  ¡1*%#%Ž(   ¡U 3%-$  Œ$4$"   7‹ =Long-term US Treasury securities   Yardeni Model: = E1 = yB − d × LTEG P0 Where,E1/P0=Justified (forward) earnings yield on equities yB=Moody’s A-rated corporate bond yield LTEG= Consensus 5-yr earnings g forecast for the S&P 500 d=Discount or Weighting factor that represents the weight assigned by the market to the earnings projections *The stock index and reported earnings are adjusted for Inflation using the CPI 13   Real Stock Price Index t = (Nominal SPIt × CPI base yr) / CPI t 14   Real Earnings t = (Nominal Earnings t × CPI base year) / CPI t+1 15 Tobins q = êơ8Ơ -$5&Vêơ 8Ơ $+,#&ô Ô$/"1:$$%& :8(& 8Ơ 1(($&( Ă+,#&ô ê& !1/ Equity q = 2$& -8*& 7*#:$ /$* (1*$ ì 28 8Ơ 1*$( j/ = Ô$/"1:$%& :8(& 8Ơ 1(($&(Xêơ 8Ơ "#15#"#&#$( Expected Equity Return (dividend income + Price Appreciation) = rat = pd rpt (1-td) + pa rpt (1-tcg) where, pd & pa are proportion attributed to dividend income & price appreciation respectively   𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑  𝑎𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟  𝑡𝑎𝑥  𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑖𝑧𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 𝜎}J = 𝜎•J (1-t) Reading 19: Currency Management: An Introduction   Bid Fwd rate = Bid Spot exchange (X) rate + Ì#-  ¢£-  /8#%&( U‹,‹‹‹   Offer Fwd rate = Offer Spot X rate + jƠƠ$* ÂÊ /8#%&( U, Yardeni estimated fair value of P/E ratio = P0 = E1 yB − d × LTEG 10   Fair value of equity mkt under Yardeni Model (P0) = P0 = E1 yB − d × LTEG Reading 16: Introduction to Asset Allocation   Risky  Asset  Allocation =   U XNu = àả Reading 17: Principles of Asset Allocation   œ   𝑈y = 𝐸 𝑅y − 0.005𝜆𝜎y     U 11   Discount/weighting factor (d) = E yB − P0 d= LTEG Q ì Q , = 𝜎•œ   f Reading 18: Asset Allocation with Real-world Constraints   FwdPrem/Disc % = (/8&  Í  *1&$X( ỴÏÐ  ĐỊĨƠ ) t , (/8&  Í  *1&$ –1   To convert spot rate into a forward quote when points are represented as %, Spot X rate × (1 + % prem) Spot X rate × (1 - % disct) Mark-to-MV on dealers position = $&&"$$%& -1ô ! UV#(:&  *1&$∗   Ó Õ FinQuiz Formula Sheet   CF at settlement = Original contract size × (All-in-fwd rate for new, offsetting fwd position – Original fwd rate) 15   Long Straddle = Long atm put opt (with delta of -0.5) + Long atm call opt (with delta of +0.5)   Hedge Ratio = 16   Short Straddle = Short ATM put opt (with delta of -0.5) + Short ATM call opt (with delta of +0.5) ATM = at the money opt = option 28#%1" ơ1",$ 8Ơ -$*#41$( :8%&*1:& êơ 8Ơ &$ $-$- 1(($& RDC =(1 + RFC)(1 + RFX)–1   RDC (for multiple foreign assets) = n ∑ω (1+ R ) (1+ R ) −1 i FC,i FX,i i=1 17   Long Strangle: Long OTM put option + Long OTM call opt OTM = out of the money 10   Total risk of DC returns = = 𝜎 œ 𝑅†… ≈ 𝜎 œ 𝑅M… + 𝜎 œ 𝑅MÖ + 2𝜎 𝑅M… 𝜎 𝑅MÖ 𝜌 𝑅M… , 𝑅MÖ 11   % Δ in spot X rate (%∆SH/L) = Interest rate on high-yield currency (iH) – Interest rate on low-yield currency (iL) 12   Forward Rate Bias = ¢Ù/Ú X›Ù/Ú ›Ù/Ú = Ĩ ÛÜ Ĩ UV#Ú ÛÜ 18   Long Risk reversal = Long Call opt + Short Put opt 19   Short Risk reversal = Long Put opt + Short Call opt 20   Short seagull position = Long protective (ATM) put + Short deep OTM Call opt + Short deep OTM Put opt CFA Level III 2018 23   Min or Optimal hedge ratio = ρ (RDC; RFX) ! S.D (RDC ) $ & " S.D (RFX ) % ×# Reading 20: Market Indexes and Benchmarks   Periodic R (Factor model based) = Rp = ap + b1F1 + b2F2+…+ bKFK+ εp   For one factor model Rp = ap + βpRI + εp Where,RI = periodic R on mktindex ap = “zero factor” βp = beta = sensitivity εp = residual return   MV of stock = No of Shares Outstanding × Current Stock Mkt Price   Stock wgt(float-weighted index) = Mktcap wght × Free-float adjustment factor   Price-weighted index (PWI) = (P1+P2+…+Pn) /n #Ù X#Ú 13   Net delta of the combined position = Option delta + Delta hedge 21   Long seagull position = Short ATM call + Long deep-OTM Call opt + Long deepOTM Put opt 22   Hedge ratio = 14   Size of Delta hedge (that would set net delta of the overall position to 0) = Option’s delta × Nominal size of the contract 7*#%:#/1"  ¥1:$  41",$  8¥  &‰$  -$*#41$(   :8%&*1:&  ,($-  1(  1  ‰$-Ž$   7*#%:#/1"  ¥1:$    8¥  &‰$  ‰$-Ž$-  1(($& Reading 21: Introduction to Fixed-Income Portfolio Management   E(R)≈Yield income + Rolldown Return + 𝐸𝑥𝑝 ∆𝑃 − 𝐸𝑥𝑝 𝐶𝑟𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑡  𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠 + 𝐸𝑥𝑝 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦 dKQfb ]wbbOb FinQuiz Formula Sheet CFA Level III 2018   Roll Down return = Information Ratio = _wfâ NQxOGZỏ X_wfâ NQxOõ[W Asset BPV + ì _wfâ NQxOõ[W rp = wNSRw]Qw EOSaNf wNSRw]Qw O`aQSv N{ ì óG Vóõ X óõ ìN_ óG LeverageFuture = qốKo _ó U = 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝐵𝑃𝑉 = = 𝑟{ +   ãâ ãG 𝑟{ − 𝑟_   Asset BPV ×  ∆𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡  𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑𝑠 + 𝐻𝑒𝑑𝑔𝑒  𝐵𝑃𝑉  ×  ∆𝐻𝑒𝑑𝑔𝑒  𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑𝑠   ≈  𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝐵𝑃𝑉  ×  ∆𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑𝑠   mwSQwfK]  ãK]aOXäKNdQf Reading 23: Yield Curve Strategies äKNdQf   Dollar Interset = Principal ×  Repo  Rate  × (Days/360) Reading 22: Liability-driven and Index-based Strategies   Convexity = äKx.†aNKSQwf¶ VäKx.†aNKSQwfV†QboONbQwf   mwSQwfK]  owNSRw]Qw  ~K]aO •wNSRw]Qw  O`aQSv ×𝐷𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛   Total return  ≈ −1  ×  𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑒𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒  𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛  ×   𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑌𝑇𝑀 − 𝑏𝑒𝑔 𝑌𝑇𝑀 + 𝑏𝑒𝑔 𝑌𝑇𝑀 Reading 24: Fixed Income Active Management: Credit Strategies   Future Contracts=Nf = éQK\Q]QSv  •wNSRw]Qw  _•ãX}bbOS  owNSRw]Qw  _•ã MaSaNOb  _•ã   ABO =   PBO = P×è UVN ë …Mêëì × U N − P×è × UVè ë UVN ë U N× UVN í × U Nì UVN = óX X óV ìaN~Oì ó Excess Return = XR = ( ì) ì _óờởỡ U N Passive investment using Equity Index futures = Long cash + Long futures on the underlying index   Passive investment using Equity total return swaps = Long cash + Long swap on the index   Effective Portfolio Duration ≈ UVKbz R]wố vQO]â ả Future BPV 6:$ Ô *1:ứ#% Ô#(ứ 8* 6:$ Ô#(ứ Expected XR = EXR = (𝑠  ×𝑡)− ∆𝑠× 𝑆𝐷 − 𝑡×𝑝×𝐿 where 𝑝×𝐿 = 𝑒𝑥𝑝 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝑜𝑓  𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑠  ×  𝑒𝑥𝑝 𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑠   R on Portf = b0 + (b1 × R on Index style 1) + (b2 × R on Index style 2) +… (bn × R on Index style n) + ε   RoR of Equitized Mkt neutral strategy = (G/L on long & short securities positions + G/L on long futures position + Interest earned on cash from short sale) / Portfolio Equity   Active wgt = Stock’s wgt in actively managed portf – Stock’s wgt in B   Info Ratio ≈ Info Coefficient × Info  Breadth Reading 25: Equity Portfolio Management 10   Risk-adjusted Expected Active R= UA = rA–λA ×σ2A   Active R = Portf’s R – B’s return B = benchmark   Tracking Risk (active risk) = ann S.D of active R 11   Portfolio Active R = % #nU Wgt  assigned  to  ith  Mngr  (hAi)  × Active  R  of  the  ith  Mngr  (rAi) FinQuiz Formula Sheet CFA Level III 2018 12   Portfolio Active Risk = œ % Wgt  assigned  to  ith  Mnger × #nU œ Active  R  of  ith  Manager 13   Mngr’s “true” active R = Mngr’s R Mngr’s Normal B 14   Mnger’s “misfit” active R = Mnger’s normal B R - Investor’s B 15   Total Active Risk = 𝑇𝑟𝑢𝑒  𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒  𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 œ + 𝑀𝑖𝑠𝑓𝑖𝑡  𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒  𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 œ Where, True active risk = S.D of true active R Misfit risk = S.D of misfit active R 16 True Information Ratio = ê%*( *,$ 6:$ Ô ê%*( *,$ 6:$ *#(ứ Marketable minority interest ($) = Marketable controlling interest value ($) – minority interest discount ($) 12   Rolling R = RR n,t = (Rt + Rt-1 + Rt-2 + … + R t –(n-1) / n 13   Downside Deviation = =   Marketability discount ($) = Marketable minority interest ($) × marketability discount (%) Z yQf N XN ∗ ,‹ ¶ l Y!t fXU where, r* = threshold   Non-Marketable minority interest ($) = Marketable minority interest ($) marketability discount ($)   Total R on Commodity Index = Collateral R + Roll R + Spot R 14   Semi-deviation = =   Monthly Roll R = ∆ in futures contract price over the month - ∆ in spot price over the month   Compensation structure of Hedge Funds (comprises of ) Management fee (or AUM fee) + Incentive fee 16   Sortino Ratio = (Annualized RoR – Annualized Rf*) / Downside Deviation Z yQf N XK~d    ywfSz]v  NOSaNf,‹ ¶ l Y!t fXU 15   Sharpe ratio = (Annualized RoR – Annualized Rf rate) / Annualized S.D 17   Gain-to-loss Ratio = 28  8¥  Š8%&‰( Ê#&V4$ Ô 28 8Ơ 8%&( Ê#&X4$ Ô 64 ,/ 8%& Ô ì 64 -8Ê% 8%& Ô 17 Investors net of fees alpha = Gross of fees alpha (or mngr’s alpha) – Investment mgmt fees Reading 26: Alternative Investments Portfolio Management   Minority interest discount ($) = marketable controlling interest value ($) × minority interest(%) discount = (investor’s interest in equity × total equity value) × minority interest discount(%)   Management fee= % of NAV (net asset value generally ranges from 1-2%)   Incentive fee = % of profits (specified by the investment terms) 10   Incentive fee (when High Water mark Provision) = (positive difference between ending NAV and HWM NAV) × incentive fee % 11   Hedge Fund R = [(End value) – (Beg value)] / (Beg value) 18   Calmar ratio = Compound Annualized ROR / ABS* (Maximum Drawdown) 19   Sterling ratio= Compound Annualized ROR / ABS* (Average Drawdown - 10%) where, *ABS = Absolute Value FinQuiz Formula Sheet Reading 27: Risk Management   Delta Normal Method: VAR = E(R) – zvalue (S.D) •   Daily E(R) = Annual E(R) / 250 •   Daily S.D = Annual S.D / 250 •   Monthly E(R) = Annual E(R) / 12 •   Monthly S.D = Annual S.D / 12 •   Daily E(R) = Monthly E(R) / 22 •   Daily S.D = Monthly S.D / 22 •   Annual VAR = Daily VAR× 250   Diversification effect = Sum of individual VARs – Total VAR   Incremental VAR=Portf’s VAR inclu a specified asset – Portf’s VAR exclu that asset   Tail Value at Risk (TVAR) or Conditional Tail Expectation = VAR + expected loss in excess of VAR   Value Long = Spot t – [Forward / (1 + r) n]   Swap ValueLong = PV inflows – PV outflows   Fwd  contract  valueŒ8%Žn Mốâ EKSO UVEMỡ l ở%l&' lY([ qowS EKSOỡ/$ UVEM$ ì Sharpe Ratio = ê$1% /8*&Ơ ÔXÔƠ . 8Ơ /8*&Ơ Ô l ở%l&' lY([ Sortino Ratio = ê$1% /8*&Ơ ÔXê#% 1::$/&15"$ Ô ˆ8£%(#-$  -$4#1%   10   Risk Adjusted R on Capital = Ă./$:&$- Ô 8% 1% #%4(& :1/#&1" 1& *#(ứ  Š$1(,*$ 11   R over Max Drawdown = ¡./$:&$-  64$*1Ž$ Ô 8% 1% #%4(& #% #4$% ô* CFA Level III 2018   Reducing β to zero: N¥ = Xè* èẻ Ơ and T =0 Effective β = Combined position R in % / Market R in %   Synthetic Cash: Long Stock + Short Futures = Long risk-free bond Š1  -*1£-8£%   Reading 28: Risk Management Applications of Forward and Futures Strategies   β = CovSI / σ2I •   CovSI= covariance b/w stock portf& index •   σ2I= var of index   $β of stock portf = β of stock portf × MV of stock portf = βs S   Future $ β = βf × f where, βf = Futures contract beta   Target level of beta exposure: βT S = βs S + N fβ f f B B S NƠ = BƠ F Nf = $(#*$- è$&1 !1%$ Â,&,*$( è$&1 78*&Ơ8"#8 ơ1",$ ì ¢,&,*$(  :8%&*1:&  7*#:$ *Actual futures price = Quoted futures price × Multiplier   Synthetic Stock: Long Stock = Long Rf bond + Long Futures   Creating a Synthetic Index Fund: •   No of futures contract = Nf* = {V ×(1 + r) T}/ (q×f) where, Nf* = No of futures contracts q = multiplier V = Portfolio value •   Amount needed to invest in bonds = V* = (Nf*ì qì f) / (1 + r)T   Equity purchased = (Nf* ×q) / (1 + δ) T where,δ = dividend yield •   Pay-off of Nf* futures contracts = Nf*× q ×(ST –f) where,ST = Index value at time T Reading 29: Risk Management Applications of Options Strategies   Covered Call = Long stock position + Short call position a)   Value at expiration = VT = ST – max (0, ST – X) FinQuiz b)   c)   d)   e)   Profit = VT – S0 + c0 Maximum Profit = X – S0 + c0 Max loss (when ST = 0) = S0 – c0 Breakeven =ST* = S0 – c0   Protective Put = Long stock position + Long Put position a)   Value at expiration: VT = ST + max (0, X - ST) b)   Profit = VT – S0 - p0 c)   Maximum Profit = ∞ d)   Maximum Loss = S0 + p0 – X e)   Breakeven =ST* = S0 + p0   Bull Call Spread = Long Call (lower exercise price) + Short Call (higher exercise price) a)   Initial value = V0 = c1 – c2 b)   Value at expiration: VT = value of long call – Value of short call = max (0, ST – X1) - max (0, ST – X2) c)   Profit = VT – c1 + c2 d)   Maximum Profit = X2 – X1 – c1 + c2 e)   Maximum Loss = c1 – c2 f)   Breakeven =ST* = X1 + c1 – c2   Bull Put spread = Long Put (lower XP) + Short Put (higher XP) Identical to the sale of Bear Put Spread XP = exercise price Formula Sheet   Bear Put Spread = Long Put (higher XP) + Short Put (lower XP) a)   Initial value = V0 = p2 – p1 b)   Value at expiration: VT = value of long put – value of short put = max (0, X2 - ST) - max (0, X1 - ST) c)   Profit = VT – p2 + p1 d)   Max Profit = X2 – X1 – p2 + p1 e)   MaxLoss = p2 – p1 f)   Breakeven =ST* = X2 – p2 + p1   Bear Call Spread = Short Call (lower XP) + Long Call (higher XP) Identical to the sale of Bull Call Spread   Long Butterfly Spread (Using Call) = Long Butterfly Spread = Long Bull call spread + Short Bull call spread (or Long Bear call spread) Long Butterfly Spread = (Buy the call with XP of X1 and sell the call with XP of X2) + (Buy the call with XP of X3 and sell the call with XP of X2) where, X1< X2 < X3 and Cost of X1 (c1) > Cost of X2 (c2) > Cost of X3 (c3) a)   Value at expiration: VT = max (0, ST – X1) – max (0, ST – X2) + max (0, ST – X 3) b)   Profit = VT – c1 + 2c2 - c3 c)   Max Profit = X2 – X1 – c1 + 2c2 – c3 d)   Maximum Loss = c1 – 2c2 + c3 CFA Level III 2018 e)   Two breakeven points i   Breakeven =ST* = X1 + net premium = X1 + c1 – 2c2 + c3 ii   Breakeven = ST* = 2X2 – X1 – Net premium = 2X2 – X1 – (c1 – 2c2 + c3 ) = 2X2 – X1 – c1 + 2c2 - c3   Short Butterfly Spread (Using Call) = Selling calls with XP of X1 and X3 and buying two calls with XP of X2 •   Max Profit = c1 + c3 – 2c2   Long Butterfly Spread (Using Puts) = (Buy put with XP of X3 and sell put with XP of X2) + (Buy the put with XP of X1 and sell the put with XP of X2) where,X1< X2 < X3 and Cost of X1 (p1) < Cost of X2 (p2)

Ngày đăng: 15/06/2019, 11:19

TỪ KHÓA LIÊN QUAN