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UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY VIETNAM INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIES THE HAGUE THE NETHERLANDS VIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS TECHNICALEFFICIENCYOFPOULTRYFARMSINVIETNAM NON-PARAMETRIC ANDPARAMETRICAPPROACHES BY NGUYỄN THỊ NGỌC LINH MASTER OF ARTS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY, DECEMBER 2013 UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY VIETNAM INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIES THE HAGUE THE NETHERLANDS VIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS TECHNICALEFFICIENCYOFPOULTRYFARMSINVIETNAM NON-PARAMETRIC ANDPARAMETRICAPPROACHES A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS BY NGUYỄN THỊ NGỌC LINH Academic Supervisor: DR TRƢƠNG ĐĂNG THỤY Ho Chi Minh City, December 2013 DECLARATION This is to certify that the thesis entitle “Technical efficiencyofVietnampoultry farms: non-parametric andparametric approaches”, which is submitted by me in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Art in Development Economic to Vietnam – The Netherlands Programme The thesis comprises only my original work and due supervision and acknowledgement have been made in the text to all materials used Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Linh i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT My appreciation firstly goes to my supervisor, Dr Trƣơng Đăng Thụy, who has made a great effort to support me in this thesis His profound comments have been helpful not only in completing this study but also in improving my knowledge in doing the research I would like to thank my family, especially my mother I would not complete this thesis, as well as study in this program, without their scarification, encouragement and important support For the love and expectation of my family, which motivate my effort to complete this master degree, my mere expression of gratitude here have never been sufficient I am very proud to attend this program I am grateful to all lectures inVietnam – Netherlands Programme for their dedicated instruction and all the courses during the period I studied at the program Besides, I would like to thank all the academic andtechnical staffs of the Vietnam – Netherlands Programme for supporting me during that time Moreover, I received the enormous encouragement from my classmates and workmates, especially my special friend who has supported me a lot in the writing process I am very grateful for everything that all of you gave me ii ABBREVIATION AE Allocative efficiency BCC DEA model as study of Banker, Charnes and Cooper CCR DEA model as study of Charnes, Cooper and Rhodes CRS Constant returns to scale DEA Data Envelopment Analysis DMU Decision making unit DPF Deterministic Production Function FAO Food and Agriculture Organization GSO General Statistic Office ML Maximum likelihood MLE Maximum likelihood estimate OLS Ordinary Least Square PDF Probability density function SFM Stochastic Frontier Model TE Technicalefficiency VHLSS Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey VND Vietnam Dong VRS Variable returns to scale iii ABSTRACT This study attempts to estimate the technicalefficiency as well as determine the factorial effects oftechnicalefficiency level ofVietnampoultryfarms under semiindustrial system and traditional system Then, this study employs a two-stage analysis with a household-level dataset in whole country In particular, the first stage estimates technicalefficiency level ofpoultryfarms under both systems through non-parametric andparametric approaches, which were represented by Data Envelopment Analysis and Stochastic Frontier Analysis, respectively In the second stage, sources ofefficiency will be determined by Tobit regression and least square regression with householdspecific characteristics which represent for human capital in qualitative dimension A sample of 3,356 households in VHLSS 2010 is utilized to analyze the broiler poultry production in Vietnam, wherein 820 poultryfarms under semi-industrial system and 2,536 poultryfarms under traditional system The results from the first stage show that the average technicalefficiency which was obtained from SFM is higher than that in DEA; and the TE scores in SFA exhibit the variability lower than TE scores in DEA Moreover, from the analysis in the second stage, it is can be stated that education level of farmer has significantly effects on the TE differential among poultryfarmsin the positive way Finally, the results also show that TE scores ofpoultryfarms under both systems located in the Southeast are higher than other agro-ecological regions Keywords: poultry household, data envelopment analysis, stochastic frontier model, technical efficiency, human capital iv TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Problem Statements 1.2 Research Objectives 1.3 Research Organization CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Basic concepts ofefficiency 2.2 Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) 2.2.1 Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) 10 2.2.2 Stochastic Frontier Model approach (SFM) 12 2.2.2.1 The Production frontier 12 i Deterministic Production Frontier 12 ii Stochastic Production Frontier 13 2.2.2.2 Estimation method 15 i Modified Ordinary Least Squares (MOLS) 15 ii Maximum likelihood Estimation (MLE) 16 2.2.2.3 Measurement ofEfficiency 17 2.2.3 Comparison between DEA and SFM approaches 17 2.3 Empirical studies 19 2.3.1 Measurement oftechnicalefficiencyofpoultry subsector 19 2.3.2 DEA and SFM approaches on measurement oftechnicalefficiencyof agriculture sector 22 2.3.3 Impact of human capital on agriculture productivity 24 CHAPTER 3: OVER VIEW OFPOULTRYFARMSINVIETNAM 27 3.1 General characteristics ofpoultry production inVietnam 27 3.2 Poultry production system inVietnam 29 i Traditional extensive household poultry production (non-intensive system) 31 ii Semi-industrial commercial poultry production (semi-intensive) 32 iii Industrial poultry production (intensive system) 32 v CHAPTER 4: DATA DESCRIPTIONS AND RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 34 4.1 Data Description 34 4.1.1 Data Source 34 4.1.2 Data Descriptions 34 4.2 Method, Model specification and Variables definition 36 4.2.1 The first stage: Measurement ofTechnicalefficiency 36 4.2.1.1 Measurement ofTechnicalefficiency using Data Envelopment Analysis 36 4.2.1.2 Measurement ofTechnicalefficiency using Stochastic Frontier Model 38 i Production function specification 39 ii Estimation method specification 40 4.2.1.3 Variables Description for the first stage 41 4.2.1.4 Hypothesis testing 44 i Functional form specification test 45 ii Estimating method specification test 45 4.2.2 The second stage: Factorial decomposition ofTechnicalefficiency 46 4.2.2.1 The Technicalefficiency model 46 4.2.2.2 Variables description for the second stage 49 4.2.3 Research Hypotheses 53 CHAPTER 5: EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISSCUSION 54 5.1 The first stage: The estimation of the Technicalefficiency scores 54 5.1.1 Testing null hypotheses for SFM approach in the first stage 54 i The Production Functional form specification test 55 ii The model specification test 57 5.1.2 Discussion on results obtained from the first stage 58 5.1.2.1 Comparing the Technicalefficiency scores in SFM and DEA approaches 58 5.1.2.2 The distribution oftechnicalefficiency scores in SFM and DEA approaches 60 5.1.2.3 Technicalefficiency varies between agro-ecological regions 63 vi 5.2 The second stage: The determinants ofTechnicalefficiency 65 5.2.1 Testing the significant of coefficients simultaneously for regressions 65 5.2.2 Discussion on the results obtained from the second stage 66 5.2.2.1 The effects of human capital on technicalefficiency scores 67 5.2.2.2 The difference oftechnicalefficiency scores between various agroecological regions 69 CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATION 70 6.1 Concluding remarks 71 6.2 Policy implications 72 6.3 Limitations of study and recommendations for future research 73 REFERENCES 74 Appendix 1: Matrix of correlation between variables in Stochastic frontier production function of semi-industrial poultryfarms 78 Appendix 2: Matrix of correlation between variables in Stochastic frontier production function of traditional poultryfarms 78 Appendix 3: Matrix of correlation between variables intechnicalefficiency model of semi-industrial poultryfarms 79 Appendix 4: Matrix of correlation between variables intechnicalefficiency model of traditional poultryfarms 79 Appendix 5: OLS regression oftechnicalefficiency model of traditional poultryfarms 80 Appendix 6: Testing heteroskedasticity for OLS regression oftechnicalefficiency model of traditional poultryfarms 80 Appendix 7: Testing heteroskedasticity for OLS-robust regression oftechnicalefficiency model of traditional poultryfarms 81 Appendix 8: Summary of Empirical Studies at measuring technicalefficiencyofpoultry sector 82 Appendix 9: Summary empirical studies of comparison DEA and SFM approaches at measuring the technicalefficiency 84 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 4-1: Summary statistic of broiler poultry productivity offarms between regions and within systems 35 Table 4-2: Summary statistic of Input and Output variables for Poultryfarms under semi-industrial system and traditional system 42 Table 4-3: Statistical description of determinant factors oftechnicalefficiency level 52 Table 5-1: Maximum-likelihood estimates of the Cobb-Douglas and Translog stochastic production frontier models 56 Table 5-2: Tests hypotheses of the production function specification 58 Table 5-3: Summarizing the technicalefficiency scores 59 Table 5-4: The technicalefficiency distribution in SFM and DEA-BCC 61 Table 5-5: Technicalefficiency scores among agro-ecological regions 63 Table 5-6: The factorial effects on technicalefficiency scores from SFM and DEABCC 66 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2-1: Technicalefficiencyand Allocative Efficiency Figure 2-2: Stochastic Production Frontier 14 Figure 3-1: Growth rate of livestock andpoultry with base year of 1990 27 Figure 3-2: Annual growth rate of number ofpoultry with base year of 1990 28 Figure 3-3: Poultry density ofVietnamin 2006 29 Figure 3-4: Average number of birds per household in 2001 29 Figure 3-5: Regional Characteristics of poultry-holding household in 2002 30 Figure 3-6: Proportion of total chicken in three production systems in 2006 and 2009 inVietnam 33 Figure 5-1: The distribution of TE scores of semi-industrial and traditional systems from SFM and DEA approaches 62 Figure 5-2: Technicalefficiency scores between agro-ecological regions 64 viii CHAPTER CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATION This study aims to estimate the technicalefficiency as well as to determine the effects of human capital on efficiency level ofpoultryfarms under semi-industrial and traditional systems, in different agro-ecological regions A two-stage analysis was employed to quantify these objectives including (i) estimates the technicalefficiencyofpoultry farms; and (ii) decomposes the factorial effects oftechnicalefficiency differential among poultryfarms The first stage identifies and analyzes the technicalefficiency scores ofpoultryfarmsin both systems In this stage, the output variable was determined by the income of farm from broiler poultryin the year 2010, where the proxy of input variables including all of direct cost (initial breeds, feed, fuels and energy, medicine/vaccine, and other small direct costs) and human capital in quantitative dimension (working day of family’s members) The first stage estimates technicalefficiencyofpoultryfarms under both systems by non-parametric andparametricapproaches Specifically, the Data Envelopment Analysis under the variable returns to scale condition (DEA-BCC) represents for non-parametric approach Whereas in the parametric approach, the Cobb-Douglas and Translog stochastic frontier function under the distributional assumption that inefficiency term follows the non-negative truncation of the normal distribution These two approaches show somewhat different results oftechnicalefficiency scores ofpoultryfarms under both systems The second stage examines the effects of human capital in qualitative dimension on different technicalefficiency scores The effect of quality of labor on agriculture productivity is supported by theoretical and empirical studies that the influences of quality of labor on farm production efficiency could be either positive or negative sign In this stage, the human capital is represented by specifications of household head including gender, age, education and participation of agricultural training course In this study, based on the statistical characteristics of TE scores which were obtained from the first stage, the Tobit regression and least square regression were employed to quantify this effect Particularly, the technicalefficiency model with dependent variable obtained from DEABCC model was estimated by the Tobit regression because of the proportional censoring of TE scores is significant On the other hand, the technicalefficiency with TE scores from 70 SFM model was estimated by least square regression, the OLS-robust was applied to remedy the heteroskedasticity These two estimation methods show mixed results In general, the human capital has positive effect on TE scores differential among poultry farm in both systems except the participation in agricultural training course Moreover, the difference of TE scores between various agro-ecological regions is also determined in this stage 6.1 Concluding remarks Based on results from the two stages, there are three primary conclusions First, this study shows the evidence of different results oftechnicalefficiency from two different approachesin the first stage The results show that average TE score in SFM is higher than average TE score in DEA-BCC model Moreover, the TE in SFM exhibits the lower variability than TE in DEA; and the range of TE scores in DEA is wider than the range of TE scores in SFM It can be explained by the effect of random noise factor that farmers cannot control In DEA approach, the inefficiency term includes the random shock factor whereas in SFM, the random noise is separated from the TE level It seems that the result in SFM is more consistent than that in DEA However, it is hard to conclude that semi-industrial and traditional smallholder poultryfarms have high level oftechnicalefficiency The technicalefficiency scores were estimated from the ratio of output to input of a farm in comparison with other poultryfarms Hence, we can only say that from SFM results, TE levels ofpoultryfarms are similar for both systems whereas from DEA, the variance of TE levels in both systems is more widely spread Second, the estimate from second stage indicates that human capital significantly affects the technicalefficiency level ofpoultryfarmsin both systems The similar findings in both SFM-TE and DEA-TE models show that in semi-industrial system, poultryfarms with male household head have higher level oftechnicalefficiency than those with female counterpart In addition, from these two models, the education level of household head has significant effect on TE scores ofpoultryfarmsin traditional system in positive way Furthermore, the farmer who participated in agricultural training course does not have any advantage to improve the level oftechnicalefficiency Besides, the evidence of age of household head is indicated in estimations of DEA-TE model for traditional poultry farms, 71 where farms with older household head have significantly higher TE level than those with younger household head Finally, the estimations from second stage show that technicalefficiency scores ofpoultryfarmsin both systems located in Southeast are highest compare to other agro-ecological regions The estimations from different technicalefficiency models in second stage are quite similar to that in the Southeast because poultryfarmsin both systems have higher technicalefficiency levels than other regions This result consistent with the poultry raising situation inVietnam which was analyzed by FAO (2003) that in the Southeast, even in the small or large scale, farmers tend to raise poultry under intensive or semi-intensive system, using industrial feed and the products are usually marketed commercially 6.2 Policy implications The empirical results for technicalefficiencyin relation to human capital ofpoultry sector based on farm level data from 3,356 semi-industrial and traditional smallholder poultryfarms were pointed out in this study First, poultry sector plays a significant role in enhancing living standards such as raising income, creating jobs or improving human nutrition in Vietnamese rural areas From the results of the first stage in this study, it is hard to say that TE scores ofpoultryfarmsinVietnam are in the high level It shows an important implication that there is an opportunity for farms to increase their income from broiler poultry by improving the TE level, especially those of the traditional system Specifically, the TE score of traditional poultryfarms from Translog stochastic frontier function being 0.8122 indicates that if the farmers improve their TE to the maximum level, they can increase their average income by nearly 300 thousand VND per year at the same level of input Similarly, the results of DEA-BCC model show that the average income ofpoultryfarmsin semi-industrial system and traditional system can be increased possibly by 2.5million VND and 700thousand VND, respectively Furthermore, the education level of household heads was proved to be an important factor to increase technicalefficiencyofpoultryfarmsin traditional system The average education level offarms is still low, 6.5 over 12 according to the formal education system 72 ofVietnam Although education level trivially influences on the TE level of semi-industrial poultry farms, investing in rural education is also recommended to facilitate the adaptation of new technology as well as new breeds ofpoultry because it leads to the enhancement of the TE level ofpoultryfarms Finally, the result shows that the agricultural training program seems inefficient However, the technical support program for farmers is necessary to adapt new technology for poultryand for agriculture sector in general Hence, policy makers should consider improving the quality of these programs 6.3 Limitations of study and recommendations for future research Although this study could provide some implications above, it still has several limitations as follows Firstly, in the analysis of the first stage and the second stage, the production function andtechnicalefficiency function could not take all socio-economic factors into account due to the lack of data Some missing variables should be corrected in further studies to achieve better results Secondly, the breed ofpoultry should also be considered because breed ofpoultry is an important factor to determine productivity offarms The local poultry breeds are less productivity than those which were imported from abroad, while traditional poultryfarms tend to raise poultry with local breeds However, the data not have information for the breeds ofpoultry that farmers raised under both systems This problem could be considered in later research, then, the results will be more consistent Finally, this study does not provide a complete comparison in all aspects of production efficiency; it focuses only in pure technicalefficiency These problems are expected to be solved in the future studies In conclusion, although this study still faces some limitations, it is expected to make significant contribution to the empirical study on measuring technicalefficiencyofpoultry sector inVietnam Furthermore, this study also expects to contribute to the interesting research methodology which employs two alternative methods including non-parametric andparametricapproaches to measure technicalefficiencyin agriculture sector 73 REFERENCES Afriat, S N (1972) Efficiency 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Estimating TE: Output: Income from poultry Input: feed expense, medicine expense, income from other livestock - Explanation variables of TE: Age of farmer, family size, gender, index of adopt innovation Technicalefficiencyof family - SFM poultry production in Niger-Delta, - MLE Nigeria Production function analysis for smallholder semisubsistence and semi-commercial poultry production systems in three agro-ecological regions in Northern provinces of VN Using nonparametric analysis (DEA) for measuring technicalefficiencyinpoultryfarms Proxy - Cobbdouglas producti on function - OLS method CCRDEA BCCDEA Resource Use and - SFM TechnicalEfficiencyof Small - CD function Scale Poultry Farmers in Enugu State, Nigeria: A - MLE Stochastic Frontier Analysis 82 Results - TE score is 22% - Increasing TE and production by use more inputs and adoption more innovation - The production technology is difference - Estimating TE: between three regions - Productions within Output: Production of different poultrypoultry production systems are similar for each region Input: number of birds, - Increase poultry feed, labor, garden production by increase size, income level and number of birds, feed cost of veterinary per birds and animal health - Estimating TE: Output: Production of Household raise poultrypoultry under industrial system Input: cost of labors, has technicalefficiency feed, chick, fuel and score around 90% electricity - Estimating TE: Output: Income from poultry Input: farm size (number of birds), capital, initial stock, labor, feed and cost of drugs - Explanation variables of TE: Age, gender, education, experience of farmers, household size, poultry production system, extension contact and membership of cooperatives - TE score is 72% - Technicalefficiency is improved by using improved breeds and increasing education of farmer Ohajianya, D O., Mgbada, J U., Onu, P N., Enyia, C O., Henri-Ukoha, A., BenChendo, N G., & GodsonIbeji, C C (2013) Jatto, N A., Maikasuwa, M A., Jabo, M S M., & Gunu, U I (2012) Rafiee, S., Sefeedpari, P., & Akram, A (2013) - SFM Technicaland economic efficiencies inpoultry production in Imo State, Nigeria Assessing the technicalefficiency level ofpoultry egg producers in Ilorin, Kwara State: A Data Envelopment Analysis approach Identifying sustainable and efficient poultryfarmsin the light of energy use efficiency: a Data Envelopment Analysis approach - CD function - MLE - Estimating TE Output: Income from poultry Input: feed, labor, medicine, flock size, capital, management and other inputs - All input factors are significant with positive signs - The technicalefficiency score is ranged from 0.36 to 0.97 with mean score is 0.75 - Estimating TE Input orientated DEA Output: Egg yields Input: number of birds, kilogram of feed, working day of labors Mean ofTechnical inefficiency is 26% - Estimating TE Output: Egg yields CCR DEA Input: labor, equipment, fossil fuel, electricity, feed and pullet BCC DEA 83 Poultryfarms can increase their profit by reduce input used 22% Appendix Summary empirical studies of comparison DEA and SFM approaches at measuring the technicalefficiency Author Wadud, A., & White, B (2000) Title Farm household efficiencyin Bangladesh: a comparison of stochastic frontier and DEA methods Method CRS-DEA VRS-DEA SFMMLE Theodoridis, A M., & Psychoudaki s, A (2008) Efficiency measurement in Greek dairy farms: Stochastic frontier vs data envelopment analysis Zamanian, G R., Shahabineja d, V., & Yaghoubi, M (2013) Application of DEA and SFA CRS-DEA on the Measurement of Agricultural VRS-DEA Technical SFMEfficiency in MLE MENA Countries CRS-DEA VRS-DEA SFMMLE Proxy Results - Estimating TE: - The mean oftechnical TE Output: Income from estimated from VRS-DEA is rice greater than TE estimated from Input: land, labor, CRS-DEA and TE estimated irrigation, fertilizer, from SFM pesticides - Both VRS-DEA and CRS-DEA have variability of TE are greater - Explanation than SFM variables of TE: - The distribution of TE from Age, year of CRS, VRS and SFM models are schooling of similar indicating more farmsin farmers, land the most efficiency group fragmentation, - Sources oftechnical inefficiency irrigation are socio-economic, infrastructure, demographic factor, environmental characteristics of farm, nondegradation physical factor and environment factors - Estimating TE: - The mean oftechnical TE Output: Gross output estimated from VRS-DEA is Input: lower than TE estimated from Labor CRS-DEA and TE estimated Fixed capital: from SFM building, machinery, - Both VRS-DEA and CRS-DEA livestock for have variability of TE are greater breeding and than SFM utilization - The distribution of TE from Variables capital: CRS, VRS and SFM models are Fertilizers, fuel, similar indicating more farmsin hired labor, feed, the most efficiency group rent of land and other inputs - The mean oftechnical TE estimated from VRS-DEA is - Estimating TE: higher than TE estimated from Output: Gross output CRS-DEA and TE estimated from SFM Input: land, labor, - Both VRS-DEA and CRS-DEA tractor, fertilizer, have variability of TE are greater livestock than SFM - Results in DEA and SFM give the same ranking for countries 84 ... Point Q and Q’ lie on the SS’ curve; hence, these points are technical efficiency points while point P indicates the technical inefficiency point The distance QP indicates for amount of waste input...UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY VIETNAM INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIES THE HAGUE THE NETHERLANDS VIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS TECHNICAL EFFICIENCY OF POULTRY FARMS. .. both the non- parametric and parametric approaches in which SFM and DEA were employed to investigate the technical, allocative, cost and scale efficiency However, the efficiency analysis in poultry