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Investment Universe Modern Alternative Investments Distressed Securities Traditional Alternative Investments Exposure to specialized investment strategies hedge funds & managed futures

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“ ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT ”

2 ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS: DEFINITIONS, SIMILARITIES, AND CONTRASTS

characteristics that differ markedly from those of traditional stocks & bonds investments

 Features of alternative investments:

 Illiquidity (require liquidity premiums)

 Diversification (relative to stocks & bonds)

 Higher due diligence costs (complex securities)

 Performance appraisal is difficult

 Less informational efficiency (greater scope for active management)

Investment Universe

Modern Alternative Investments

 Distressed Securities

Traditional Alternative Investments

 Exposure to specialized investment strategies (hedge funds & managed futures)

 Investments that combine features of prior two groups (private equity & distressed securities)

 Illiquidity of AI is a major concern for short term investors

 AI are not suitable for smaller portfolios due to  due diligence costs

Active Manager Selection Process

AM = Arithmetic Mean

GM = Geometric Mean

CY = Convenience Yield HWM = High Water Mark MVO = Mean Varian Optimization

SD = Standard Deviation

DD = Downside Deviation

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Active Manager Selection Process

Organization

 Is the firm well organized & stable?

 Compensation, turnover & succession plan

People

 Consider trustworthiness of people

 Speak at length of principal face to face

 Reference checks

Terms & Structure

Check whether fund or account structured appropriately to the opportunity

 Distinct emotional & financial needs

Communication with Client

Advisor face communication problem (complex investment, non professional investor)

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3 REAL ESTATE

3.1 The Real Estate Market

 Our focus is equity investment in real estate

 Potential return enhancement & risk diversification benefit

3.1.1 Types of Real Estate Investments

 Companies holding RE ownership, development or management

 According to GICS & FTSE industry classification benchmarks

 Publicly traded equities representing RE properties & /

 Investments in RE can be open-end

& closed-end CREFs funds

 Closed end funds use leverage &

have  return objectives

Separately Managed Accounts

 Often offered by the CREFs sponsoring advisors

 Important alternative to CREFs

3.1.2 Size of the Real Estate Market

RE represents one third to one half of the world’s wealth (figures are hard

to documents)

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3.2.1 Benchmarks

 To measure performance of direct real estate

 Quarterly benchmark for RE (sample of commercial properties)

 Value weighted index

 Subsidies by RE sectors & geographical region

 Property appraisal determines values in the index (conducted infrequently & remain unchanged)

 Index is smoothed & underestimates volatility &

correlation

 Methods developed to unsmooth the index

 Benchmark for indirect investments in RE

 Market-cap-weighted index of all REITS (real time)

 NAREIT also computes monthly

 Equity REITs index

 Mortgage REITs index

 Hybrid REITs index

 Significant measurement issues are associated with direct & indirect investments

3.2.2 Historical Performance

 Over the period of 1990-2004, both direct & indirect RE investments produced better risk adjusted performance than traditional investments

 NAREITs index hedged = long on equity REITS index & short on equity index

 NCREIF index represents non-leveraged investments & representative of the performance of private RE funds

 Direct & securitized RE investment performance differ significantly

3.2.3 Interpretation Issues

NCREIF is not an investable index (performance appraisal is difficult)

3.3 Real Estate: Investment Characteristics and Roles

In a strategic asset allocation, advisors don’t include client’s residencies as marketable assets

3.3.1 Investment Characteristics

 RE is an asset (have intrinsic value) & holds a substantial income component (commercial RE)

 Characteristics of physical RE market:

 Illiquid & large lot sizes

 High transaction costs

 Heterogeneity & immobility

 Low information transparency (better risk adjusted returns for efficient, high quality information investors)

 Demographics, market, economic & idiosyncratic factors affect RE

 Complete RE diversification can be achieved only by investing internationally

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Direct Equity RE Investing

 Tax subsidies

 More financial leverage

 Direct control over property

 Geographical diversifications reduce catastrophic risks (e.g risk of

floods)

 On average, RE returns are less volatile than returns to equities

 Not easy to divide into small pieces & may involve large idiosyncratic risk

 Cost of acquiring information is 

 High commissions & substantial operating & maintenance costs

 Risk of neighborhood deterioration

 Income tax benefits may be subject to political risk

3.3.2 Roles in the Portfolio

 RE markets follow economic cycles

economic cycles results in improved dynamic strategies

The Role of Real Estate as a Diversifier

 Add value through active management

 Low correlation with stocks & bonds

 REITS provide some diversification benefits relative to traditional investments portfolio but no benefits to a portfolio consisting stocks, bonds, hedge funds & commodities

 Direct RE investment provides more diversification benefits than indirect investments

Diversification within Real Estate Itself

 Different RE sectors differ with reference to risk & return

 Apartment sector of commercial RE yielded better results than simply diversifying across all sectors

 Direct RE investment may provide inflation hedge to some degree

 Direct market exhibits a high degree of return persistence

Investment in Real Estate Worldwide

Investors may benefit from including domestic & international investments in RE in their portfolios

3.3.3 Other Issues

Investment specific points (e.g valuation methods, tax issues etc) should also be considered in addition to due diligence process discussed previously

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4 PRIVATE EQUITY AND VENTURE CAPITAL

 PE ⇒ security by which equity capital is raised via private placement rather than through public offering

 PE investments can be made directly (face to face) or through PE funds

Fields of PE

Investment in a risky company that starts out as private & may eventually become publicly owned

 Taking a publicly owned company private

 Private purchase of a division of public company

 Buyout of private companies

Large investments in a public company usually at a price less than the current MV

product/services & entrepreneurial &/or managerial skills

 PE investment involves distinct knowledge & experience (particularly direct P/E investments)

4.1 The Private Equity Market

 Why market opportunities arise in VC investments:

 To meet capital needs

 Lack of managerial skills & experience

 Diversification of wealth

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Demand Supply

newly to young companies

young to established companies (preparing for IPO)

 Seed & early stage investors

 Relatively small but risky investment

vehicles

Venture Capital

companies’ investment in promising young companies in the same or related industry

funds if company has

exhausted its seed & start up

financing

Fund for  sales (generally for promising companies)

 Exit from PE is often difficult

& in following ways

with small revenues & profits

finance a special dividend to owners

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4.1.1 Types of Private Equity Investment

Investment through VC & buyout funds

 Structured as convertible preferred stock rather than common stock

 Shares of later rounds of financing are more valuable than earlier round shares

PE Fund Structure

 Run by the GP (may be an individual or corporation)

 GP also commits its own capital (better alignment of interests)

 Hybrid of corporate & partnership form

 Preferred form when raising funds from small group of knowledgeable investors

 Run by managing director

Fund Manager Compensation

 Often in the range of 1.5% - 2.5%

 Usually a % of limited partners’ commitments

to the fund

 Fund manager’s share of fund’s profit

 Sometimes carried interest is paid only if profit exceeds hurdle rate

return money to investors if investors have not received their capital & share of profit

4.1.2 Size of the Private Equity Market

As of early 2006, approximately 200 billion U.S $ was invested in

PE VC & buyout funds worldwide

4.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance

 Infrequent market pricing of PE poses a challenge to index construction

 IRR is used to measure performance of PE investment

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4.2.3 Interpretation Issues

 IRR calculation based on appraised value may

 Use stale data (slow to adjust new circumstances)

 Focus on company-specific events

 Have no generally accepted standards for appraisals

 Erroneous returns (due to all above factors)

4.3 Private Equity: Investment Characteristics and Roles

 PE plays a growth role in portfolios

 Investment via buyout funds involves less risk & earlier returns

4.3.1 Investment Characteristics

 Investment characteristics of PE

 Illiquidity ⇒ PE investments are illiquid & convertible PS investments don’t trade in

a secondary market

 Long-term commitments required

 Higher risk than seasoned public equity investments

 High expected IRR required (for the risk & illiquidity)

 Limited information (in case of VC investments)

 Difference b/w VC & buyout funds

 Buyout funds use more leverage than VC funds

 CFs to buyout fund investors come earlier & often steadier than those to VC fund investors

 VC fund investors are subject to greater error in return measurement

4.3.2 Roles in the Portfolio

 Moderately high average correlation b/w private & public equity returns has an economic explanation (some economic & industry exposure in both)

 PE has more company specific risk, so correlation is not extremely

 Issues that must be considered when investing in PE:

 Sufficient diversification

 Liquidity of the position

 Cash requirement for future capital calls

 Appropriate diversification strategy

 Indirect PE investment in secondary market can be made through purchase from limited partners seeking liquidity

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4.3.3 Other Issues

 Due diligence includes:

 Managers experience, capabilities & commitment

 Fund’s GIPS compliance

 Fund selection is largely dependent on capabilities

of general manager’s management team

Evaluation of Prospects for Market Success

 Markets, competition & sales prospects

 Examination of financial statements

 Potential for dilution of interest

Due Diligence

5 COMMODITY INVESTMENTS

nature (standardized futures contracts available)

 Investment in commodities via cash & the derivatives markets constitutes alternative investing

5.1 The Commodity Market

 Direct commodity exposure through:

 Cash market

 Future/forward/option market

 To transfer commodity risk

 To improve the functioning of spot &

forward markets

 Commodity futures may be cash or delivery settled

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5.1.1 Types of Commodity Investments

Purchase of commodity in cash or derivative market

 Indirect claims on commodities (e.g investment

in companies specialized in commodity production)

 Poor commodity exposure if commodity linked companies hedges their commodity exposure

 Small investors can take commodity exposure through mutual funds & ETFs

5.1.2 Size of the Commodity Market

Commodity futures were estimated at U.S $

350 billion as of the 4th

quarter of 2005 (in U.S only)

5.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance

Performance evaluation of commodity investments⇒ through commodity indices

5.2.1 Benchmarks

 Long position on commodities & long futures produce similar return if futures are fully margined

 Major commodity indices contain different groups of underlying assets e.g energy, metals etc

 Market-cap weighting scheme is not suitable for commodity futures indices (every long futures position has a corresponding short position)

 AM or GM to calculate index return from the component return

 Two version of indices:

5.2.2 Historical Performance

 Different commodity indices produce different results due to difference in composition & weights

 Correlation of commodity indices with traditional asset classes is low (risk diversification benefit)

 GSCI sector sub-indices indicate considerable risk & return difference among them

Recent Performance (2000-2004)

 Commodity indices outperformed U.S & world

Trang 12

Commodity Index Return Components

Collateral Return

∆ in spot price of the underlying commodity

over a specified time period

Risk free return from the assumption that futures contract is 100% margined

 Yield arises from rolling long futures positions

 Monthly roll return= ∆ in future price over the month - ∆ in spot price over the month

 Closer the futures contract to maturity &

 the CY,  roll yield

5.3 Commodities: Investment Characteristics and Roles

To take passive commodity exposure ⇒ futures index investment ⇒ index should be liquid

5.3.1 Investment Characteristics

 Commodities:

 Are used to manage portfolio risk

 Provide inflation hedge

Special Risk Characteristics

 During financial & economic crisis, commodity prices tend to  (provide diversification benefits)

 Determinants of commodity returns:

 Economic cycle-related demand & supply

 Convenience yield

 Real options under uncertainty

 Reasons for including commodity in a portfolio:

 Related to economic fundamentals

 Provide inflation hedge

Commodities as an Inflation Hedge

Storable commodities (e.g energy) have superior inflation hedging properties

Trang 13

5.3.2 Roles in the Portfolio

 Commodities are considered as portfolio risk diversifier & provide inflation hedge

 Investors with liabilities indexed to inflation, commodities provide better risk-return trade-off

 Irrespective of passive long-only commodity exposures, commodities also offer potential for active management (both, long & short position)

 Commodity active management can be done through separately managed account or private commodity pool

6 HEDGE FUNDS

 HF are loosely regulated pooled investment vehicles with no universally accepted definition

 Each HF strategy is used to exploit certain market opportunities

6.1 The Hedge Fund Market

 As no of similar strategy HF, their return

 HF are absolute return vehicles, but some institutional investors require relative performance evaluation

6.1.1 Types of Hedge Fund Investments

Equity Market Neutral

 Identify overvalued & undervalued equity

securities

 Neutralize portfolio’s exposure to market risk

(through long & short positions)

Convertible Arbitrage

 Exploit price anomalies in corporate convertible securities

 Examples ⇒ buying the convertible bond &

shorting the associated stock

Fixed Income Arbitrage

 Through identifying misvalued securities

 Credit quality or term structures of IR are key

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