Investment Universe Modern Alternative Investments Distressed Securities Traditional Alternative Investments Exposure to specialized investment strategies hedge funds & managed futures
Trang 1“ ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT ”
2 ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS: DEFINITIONS, SIMILARITIES, AND CONTRASTS
characteristics that differ markedly from those of traditional stocks & bonds investments
Features of alternative investments:
Illiquidity (require liquidity premiums)
Diversification (relative to stocks & bonds)
Higher due diligence costs (complex securities)
Performance appraisal is difficult
Less informational efficiency (greater scope for active management)
Investment Universe
Modern Alternative Investments
Distressed Securities
Traditional Alternative Investments
Exposure to specialized investment strategies (hedge funds & managed futures)
Investments that combine features of prior two groups (private equity & distressed securities)
Illiquidity of AI is a major concern for short term investors
AI are not suitable for smaller portfolios due to due diligence costs
Active Manager Selection Process
AM = Arithmetic Mean
GM = Geometric Mean
CY = Convenience Yield HWM = High Water Mark MVO = Mean Varian Optimization
SD = Standard Deviation
DD = Downside Deviation
Trang 2Active Manager Selection Process
Organization
Is the firm well organized & stable?
Compensation, turnover & succession plan
People
Consider trustworthiness of people
Speak at length of principal face to face
Reference checks
Terms & Structure
Check whether fund or account structured appropriately to the opportunity
Distinct emotional & financial needs
Communication with Client
Advisor face communication problem (complex investment, non professional investor)
Trang 33 REAL ESTATE
3.1 The Real Estate Market
Our focus is equity investment in real estate
Potential return enhancement & risk diversification benefit
3.1.1 Types of Real Estate Investments
Companies holding RE ownership, development or management
According to GICS & FTSE industry classification benchmarks
Publicly traded equities representing RE properties & /
Investments in RE can be open-end
& closed-end CREFs funds
Closed end funds use leverage &
have return objectives
Separately Managed Accounts
Often offered by the CREFs sponsoring advisors
Important alternative to CREFs
3.1.2 Size of the Real Estate Market
RE represents one third to one half of the world’s wealth (figures are hard
to documents)
Trang 43.2.1 Benchmarks
To measure performance of direct real estate
Quarterly benchmark for RE (sample of commercial properties)
Value weighted index
Subsidies by RE sectors & geographical region
Property appraisal determines values in the index (conducted infrequently & remain unchanged)
Index is smoothed & underestimates volatility &
correlation
Methods developed to unsmooth the index
Benchmark for indirect investments in RE
Market-cap-weighted index of all REITS (real time)
NAREIT also computes monthly
Equity REITs index
Mortgage REITs index
Hybrid REITs index
Significant measurement issues are associated with direct & indirect investments
3.2.2 Historical Performance
Over the period of 1990-2004, both direct & indirect RE investments produced better risk adjusted performance than traditional investments
NAREITs index hedged = long on equity REITS index & short on equity index
NCREIF index represents non-leveraged investments & representative of the performance of private RE funds
Direct & securitized RE investment performance differ significantly
3.2.3 Interpretation Issues
NCREIF is not an investable index (performance appraisal is difficult)
3.3 Real Estate: Investment Characteristics and Roles
In a strategic asset allocation, advisors don’t include client’s residencies as marketable assets
3.3.1 Investment Characteristics
RE is an asset (have intrinsic value) & holds a substantial income component (commercial RE)
Characteristics of physical RE market:
Illiquid & large lot sizes
High transaction costs
Heterogeneity & immobility
Low information transparency (better risk adjusted returns for efficient, high quality information investors)
Demographics, market, economic & idiosyncratic factors affect RE
Complete RE diversification can be achieved only by investing internationally
Trang 5Direct Equity RE Investing
Tax subsidies
More financial leverage
Direct control over property
Geographical diversifications reduce catastrophic risks (e.g risk of
floods)
On average, RE returns are less volatile than returns to equities
Not easy to divide into small pieces & may involve large idiosyncratic risk
Cost of acquiring information is
High commissions & substantial operating & maintenance costs
Risk of neighborhood deterioration
Income tax benefits may be subject to political risk
3.3.2 Roles in the Portfolio
RE markets follow economic cycles
economic cycles results in improved dynamic strategies
The Role of Real Estate as a Diversifier
Add value through active management
Low correlation with stocks & bonds
REITS provide some diversification benefits relative to traditional investments portfolio but no benefits to a portfolio consisting stocks, bonds, hedge funds & commodities
Direct RE investment provides more diversification benefits than indirect investments
Diversification within Real Estate Itself
Different RE sectors differ with reference to risk & return
Apartment sector of commercial RE yielded better results than simply diversifying across all sectors
Direct RE investment may provide inflation hedge to some degree
Direct market exhibits a high degree of return persistence
Investment in Real Estate Worldwide
Investors may benefit from including domestic & international investments in RE in their portfolios
3.3.3 Other Issues
Investment specific points (e.g valuation methods, tax issues etc) should also be considered in addition to due diligence process discussed previously
Trang 64 PRIVATE EQUITY AND VENTURE CAPITAL
PE ⇒ security by which equity capital is raised via private placement rather than through public offering
PE investments can be made directly (face to face) or through PE funds
Fields of PE
Investment in a risky company that starts out as private & may eventually become publicly owned
Taking a publicly owned company private
Private purchase of a division of public company
Buyout of private companies
Large investments in a public company usually at a price less than the current MV
product/services & entrepreneurial &/or managerial skills
PE investment involves distinct knowledge & experience (particularly direct P/E investments)
4.1 The Private Equity Market
Why market opportunities arise in VC investments:
To meet capital needs
Lack of managerial skills & experience
Diversification of wealth
Trang 7Demand Supply
newly to young companies
young to established companies (preparing for IPO)
Seed & early stage investors
Relatively small but risky investment
vehicles
Venture Capital
companies’ investment in promising young companies in the same or related industry
funds if company has
exhausted its seed & start up
financing
Fund for sales (generally for promising companies)
Exit from PE is often difficult
& in following ways
with small revenues & profits
finance a special dividend to owners
Trang 84.1.1 Types of Private Equity Investment
Investment through VC & buyout funds
Structured as convertible preferred stock rather than common stock
Shares of later rounds of financing are more valuable than earlier round shares
PE Fund Structure
Run by the GP (may be an individual or corporation)
GP also commits its own capital (better alignment of interests)
Hybrid of corporate & partnership form
Preferred form when raising funds from small group of knowledgeable investors
Run by managing director
Fund Manager Compensation
Often in the range of 1.5% - 2.5%
Usually a % of limited partners’ commitments
to the fund
Fund manager’s share of fund’s profit
Sometimes carried interest is paid only if profit exceeds hurdle rate
return money to investors if investors have not received their capital & share of profit
4.1.2 Size of the Private Equity Market
As of early 2006, approximately 200 billion U.S $ was invested in
PE VC & buyout funds worldwide
4.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance
Infrequent market pricing of PE poses a challenge to index construction
IRR is used to measure performance of PE investment
Trang 94.2.3 Interpretation Issues
IRR calculation based on appraised value may
Use stale data (slow to adjust new circumstances)
Focus on company-specific events
Have no generally accepted standards for appraisals
Erroneous returns (due to all above factors)
4.3 Private Equity: Investment Characteristics and Roles
PE plays a growth role in portfolios
Investment via buyout funds involves less risk & earlier returns
4.3.1 Investment Characteristics
Investment characteristics of PE
Illiquidity ⇒ PE investments are illiquid & convertible PS investments don’t trade in
a secondary market
Long-term commitments required
Higher risk than seasoned public equity investments
High expected IRR required (for the risk & illiquidity)
Limited information (in case of VC investments)
Difference b/w VC & buyout funds
Buyout funds use more leverage than VC funds
CFs to buyout fund investors come earlier & often steadier than those to VC fund investors
VC fund investors are subject to greater error in return measurement
4.3.2 Roles in the Portfolio
Moderately high average correlation b/w private & public equity returns has an economic explanation (some economic & industry exposure in both)
PE has more company specific risk, so correlation is not extremely
Issues that must be considered when investing in PE:
Sufficient diversification
Liquidity of the position
Cash requirement for future capital calls
Appropriate diversification strategy
Indirect PE investment in secondary market can be made through purchase from limited partners seeking liquidity
Trang 104.3.3 Other Issues
Due diligence includes:
Managers experience, capabilities & commitment
Fund’s GIPS compliance
Fund selection is largely dependent on capabilities
of general manager’s management team
Evaluation of Prospects for Market Success
Markets, competition & sales prospects
Examination of financial statements
Potential for dilution of interest
Due Diligence
5 COMMODITY INVESTMENTS
nature (standardized futures contracts available)
Investment in commodities via cash & the derivatives markets constitutes alternative investing
5.1 The Commodity Market
Direct commodity exposure through:
Cash market
Future/forward/option market
To transfer commodity risk
To improve the functioning of spot &
forward markets
Commodity futures may be cash or delivery settled
Trang 115.1.1 Types of Commodity Investments
Purchase of commodity in cash or derivative market
Indirect claims on commodities (e.g investment
in companies specialized in commodity production)
Poor commodity exposure if commodity linked companies hedges their commodity exposure
Small investors can take commodity exposure through mutual funds & ETFs
5.1.2 Size of the Commodity Market
Commodity futures were estimated at U.S $
350 billion as of the 4th
quarter of 2005 (in U.S only)
5.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance
Performance evaluation of commodity investments⇒ through commodity indices
5.2.1 Benchmarks
Long position on commodities & long futures produce similar return if futures are fully margined
Major commodity indices contain different groups of underlying assets e.g energy, metals etc
Market-cap weighting scheme is not suitable for commodity futures indices (every long futures position has a corresponding short position)
AM or GM to calculate index return from the component return
Two version of indices:
5.2.2 Historical Performance
Different commodity indices produce different results due to difference in composition & weights
Correlation of commodity indices with traditional asset classes is low (risk diversification benefit)
GSCI sector sub-indices indicate considerable risk & return difference among them
Recent Performance (2000-2004)
Commodity indices outperformed U.S & world
Trang 12Commodity Index Return Components
Collateral Return
∆ in spot price of the underlying commodity
over a specified time period
Risk free return from the assumption that futures contract is 100% margined
Yield arises from rolling long futures positions
Monthly roll return= ∆ in future price over the month - ∆ in spot price over the month
Closer the futures contract to maturity &
the CY, roll yield
5.3 Commodities: Investment Characteristics and Roles
To take passive commodity exposure ⇒ futures index investment ⇒ index should be liquid
5.3.1 Investment Characteristics
Commodities:
Are used to manage portfolio risk
Provide inflation hedge
Special Risk Characteristics
During financial & economic crisis, commodity prices tend to (provide diversification benefits)
Determinants of commodity returns:
Economic cycle-related demand & supply
Convenience yield
Real options under uncertainty
Reasons for including commodity in a portfolio:
Related to economic fundamentals
Provide inflation hedge
Commodities as an Inflation Hedge
Storable commodities (e.g energy) have superior inflation hedging properties
Trang 135.3.2 Roles in the Portfolio
Commodities are considered as portfolio risk diversifier & provide inflation hedge
Investors with liabilities indexed to inflation, commodities provide better risk-return trade-off
Irrespective of passive long-only commodity exposures, commodities also offer potential for active management (both, long & short position)
Commodity active management can be done through separately managed account or private commodity pool
6 HEDGE FUNDS
HF are loosely regulated pooled investment vehicles with no universally accepted definition
Each HF strategy is used to exploit certain market opportunities
6.1 The Hedge Fund Market
As no of similar strategy HF, their return
HF are absolute return vehicles, but some institutional investors require relative performance evaluation
6.1.1 Types of Hedge Fund Investments
Equity Market Neutral
Identify overvalued & undervalued equity
securities
Neutralize portfolio’s exposure to market risk
(through long & short positions)
Convertible Arbitrage
Exploit price anomalies in corporate convertible securities
Examples ⇒ buying the convertible bond &
shorting the associated stock
Fixed Income Arbitrage
Through identifying misvalued securities
Credit quality or term structures of IR are key