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NEW-Level Version 2009 Sample Exam Jorge Peña Case Scenario Jorge Peña is a broker and CFA Institute member who passed Levels I and II of the CFA® examination in 2006 and 2007 Because of a demanding work schedule, he did not enroll for the 2009 Level III exam He hopes to enroll for the 2010 Level III exam In April 2009, Peña decides to apply for a broker position with regional brokerage firm Harvest Financial and updates his résumé (curriculum vitae) Peña did not earn a degree, so he details his academic experience by stating the four years he attended a prestigious university He prominently displays “CFA® candidate” and states that he “completed both Level I and Level II of the Chartered Financial Analyst Program.” Under the “Personal” section of his résumé, Peña lists “referee for regional football league” and “member of investment committee, Mueller School.” During an interview with Peter Williams of Harvest Financial, Peña explains that he currently has more than 100 brokerage clients Based on relationships with those clients over the years, he feels confident that at least half of them will transfer their accounts to Harvest if he is employed there Over lunch, Peña and Williams discuss his personal interests, including football Peña has been refereeing football games for five years It is a significant time commitment, but he explains that he enjoys the activity and that the fees of $50 per game more than pay for his travel expenses Peña and Williams agree that $50 per game is not material They then discuss Peña’s role on the investment committee of the Mueller School The committee monitors and evaluates the performance of the school’s asset managers It is a volunteer position, but the school allows all volunteers free use of the school’s athletic facilities, which Peña enjoys because the facilities are state-of-the-art Peña and Williams agree that neither his refereeing nor his investment committee activities will interfere with his duties at Harvest After lunch, Williams introduces Peña to an old colleague who happens to be a client of Peña's current employer and who also attended the same university as Peña The colleague asks, “In what area is your degree?” Peña replies, “I mostly studied finance I found the coursework to be very helpful preparation for the Chartered Financial Analyst program, which is a postgraduate program in finance I have completed both Levels I and II of the CFA Program.” He then adds, "You should leave your current broker There are rumors they are in trouble; that's why I want to leave." One month later, Peña accepts an offer of employment from Harvest Financial On the first day in his new job, he hangs a framed copy of the CFA Institute Code of Ethics on his wall and places a copy of the Standards of Practice Handbook on his bookshelf for easy reference When his supervisor mentions the Code hanging on the wall, Peña replies “I conduct my business affairs so that I comply with both the Code and the Standards of Professional Conduct.” He does not explain the Standards to his supervisor or mention the Handbook Later that day, Peña uses public records to contact his clients He informs them of his new position and asks them to transfer their accounts to Harvest so that he can continue acting as their broker One month after starting his new job, only 25 of Peña’s clients have transferred their accounts to Harvest At Harvest, Peña attends an educational seminar about a new tax-advantaged investment program available for clients saving for college and university expenses The program offers families the opportunity to obtain growth and distribution of earnings that are free from federal taxes More than 80 individual plans are available and more than one-quarter provide additional local tax benefits In the interest of time and for the sake of simplicity, the Harvest supervisor provides information on only one plan, which offers only federal tax benefits During the seminar, the supervisor shows the federal tax savings available under the plan given a number of different scenarios He informs the brokers that the plan is subject to the same compliance and suitability requirements that apply to the sale of non-tax-advantaged products The supervisor then distributes the paperwork associated with the plan, along with the firm’s compliance and suitability requirements At the end of the meeting, the supervisor states that he has already sold $400,000 worth of plans to his clients He encourages Peña and his colleagues to contact all their clients and share the information about the savings plans Question #1 When listing himself as a CFA® candidate on his résumé (curriculum vitae), did Pa violate any CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct? A No B Yes, because he may not refer to partial completion of the program C Yes, because he must be enrolled to take the next scheduled exam to claim candidacy in the CFA® Program Correct Answer = C "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 103-105 Ethics in Practice, Philip Lawton, CFA 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, p 162 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct by interpreting the Code and Standards in various situations involving issues of professional integrity Distinguish between conduct that conforms to the Code and Standards and conduct that violates the Code and Standards Peña violated Standard VII (B), Responsibilities as a CFA Institute Member or CFA Candidate: References to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation, and the CFA Program Peña is not a candidate for the CFA charter because he is not enrolled to sit for a specified examination With respect to the fees he receives as a football referee, has Peña violated any CFA Institute Standards? A No B Yes, because he failed to receive written consent from his employer C Yes, because he failed to receive written consent from all parties involved Correct Answer = A "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, p 75 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct by interpreting the Code and Standards in various situations involving issues of professional integrity Distinguish between conduct that conforms to the Code and Standards and conduct that violates the Code and Standards Disclosure of additional compensation arrangements is required in situations where consideration might reasonably be expected to create a conflict of interest with the employer's interest The fees in question are small and unrelated to Peña's professional activities They create no conflict of interest with the employer According to CFA Institute Standards, after commencing employment with Harvest, is Peña required to make any additional disclosures regarding his relationship with Mueller School? A No, because his supervisor agreed that his involvement will not interfere with his professional duties at Harvest B Yes, because he must disclose in writing to his immediate supervisor that he is a member of the school's investment committee C Yes, because he must not accept the use of the school's athletic facilities unless he obtains written consent from both Harvest and Mueller School Correct Answer = C "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 75-76 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct by interpreting the Code and Standards in various situations involving issues of professional integrity Distinguish between conduct that conforms to the Code and Standards and conduct that violates the Code and Standards Peña must disclose benefits he receives in exchange for his services on the committee According to Standard IV (B), Duties to Employers: Additional Compensation Arrangements, members must not accept benefits or consideration that competes with, or might reasonably be expected to create a conflict of interest with, their employer's interest unless they obtain written consent from all parties involved During Peña's conversation with Williams' old colleague, which Standard below is least likely to have been violated? A Loyalty B Misrepresentation C Reference to the CFA Program Correct Answer = C "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 29, 69, 103-107 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct by interpreting the Code and Standards in various situations involving issues of professional integrity Distinguish between conduct that conforms to the Code and Standards and conduct that violates the Code and Standards In the conversation with Williams' old colleague, Peña did not violate Standard VII (B), Responsibilities as a CFA Institute Member or CFA Candidate: Reference to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation, and the CFA Program, because he did not call himself a candidate but explained his participation in the program and properly stated that he had passed Levels I and II of the CFA Program Based only on the information describing his first month of employment at Harvest, did Peña violate any CFA Institute Standards during that time? A No B Yes, because he solicited clients from his previous employer C Yes, because he failed to inform his supervisor in writing of his obligation to comply with the Code and Standards Correct Answer = A "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 15-17, 29-31, 69-71 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct by interpreting the Code and Standards in various situations involving issues of professional integrity Distinguish between conduct that conforms to the Code and Standards and conduct that violates the Code and Standards No violation occurred Peña is free to solicit clients using public information Although Peña did not deliver as many clients as he had hoped, he did not make any promises Finally, while encouraged to so, he is not obligated to inform his supervisor in writing of his obligation to comply with the Code and Standards Based on the information provided regarding the tax-advantaged savings plan, the Harvest supervisor is least likely to have violated the Standard: A relating to Suitability B relating to Independence and Objectivity C relating to Responsibilities of Supervisors Correct Answer = B "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 21-23, 60-62, 76-78 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct by interpreting the Code and Standards in various situations involving issues of professional integrity Distinguish between conduct that conforms to the Code and Standards and conduct that violates the Code and Standards The Standard regarding Independence and Objectivity requires members to use reasonable care to achieve independence and objectivity According to the Standard, members must not offer or accept any gifts or benefits that reasonably could be expected to compromise their independence Based on the information provided, the supervisor has not received any benefits that would compromise his independence Nevertheless, the supervisor failed to exercise thoroughness in analyzing the various tax-advantaged plans and lacked a reasonable basis for suggesting one plan over the many others As a supervisor, he failed to establish adequate compliance procedures for determining the suitability of tax-advantaged programs, instead using standard compliance procedures designed for non-tax-advantaged products Finally, when selling the plan to his own clients, he failed to consider the suitability of a plan offering only federal tax savings when other plans offered additional tax advantages Yun Fan Case Scenario Yun Fan manages a U.S.-based fixed income portfolio for JF Asset Management The portfolio invests in Treasury securities, non-callable investment grade corporate bonds, and mortgage-backed securities (MBS), all with durations of about six years Fan is meeting with a junior portfolio manager, Raj Mulloth, to discuss investment strategies for the MBS portion of the portfolio Mulloth begins by stating that because Treasuries and mortgage securities in the portfolio have similar durations, they both could be hedged against interest rate changes by using Treasury futures contracts Fan comments that they both must be hedged by selling Treasury futures, and that the dollar duration of the mortgage securities must equal the dollar duration of the Treasury futures position The discussion then turns to the other sources of risk faced by investors in mortgage securities Fan explains that in addition to interest rate risk and prepayment risk, the other major sources of risk faced by mortgage securities include: spread risk, yield curve risk, and volatility risk Fan then makes the following statements: Statement 1: Spread risk should be hedged by selling Treasury futures contracts Statement 2: Yield curve risk is the exposure to changes in the shape of the yield curve that impact our investments in Treasury securities, non-callable corporates, and mortgage securities Since the sum of all key rate durations approximate the portfolio's duration, the portfolio's effective duration provides an effective measure of our yield curve risk Statement 3: Mortgage securities have significant exposure to volatility risk Our expectation is that current implied interest rate volatility will exceed future realized interest rate volatility Fan asks Mulloth to evaluate the sensitivity of a Ginnie Mae passthrough security in the portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the shape of the yield curve Mulloth asks if hedging mortgage securities using a durationbased approach is equivalent to an interest rate sensitivity or two-bond hedge approach Fan responds that these two approaches both provide effective hedges Mulloth then prepares a presentation for Fan with his findings He first lists the following assumptions he made in his analysis: Assumption 1: A typical steepening or flattening in the yield curve of 14 basis points, its historical average, in a given month Assumption 2: The average price change is an approximation of how the mortgage security price changes for a significant change in interest rates Assumption 3: Our proprietary prepayment model has proven to a good job estimating how cash flows will change when the yield curve changes Mulloth calculates the results of price changes using the two hedging methodologies and the mortgage passthrough security and prepares the data in Exhibit Mulloth compares the annual spread to Treasuries of 168 basis points earned for owning the Ginnie Mae to the hedging results in Exhibit Exhibit Price Changes for Mortgage Security and Hedges Increase in Yield Decrease in Yield Flattening Steepening Ginnie Mae 5.5% (1.318) 1.189 (0.232) 0.233 Two-bond hedge 1.244 (1.263) 0.234 (0.232) Duration hedge 1.338 (1.357) - - Question Assuming a decline in interest rates, is Mulloth correct with regard to using Treasury futures contracts to hedge the interest rate risk of JF Asset Management's fixed income portfolio? A Yes B No, the value of the prepayment option rises, causing mortgage security values to rise by less than comparable Treasuries and rendering the hedge ineffective C No, the value of the prepayment option declines, causing mortgage security values to rise by less than comparable Treasuries and rendering the hedge ineffective Correct Answer = B "Hedging Mortgage Securities to Capture Relative Value," Kenneth B Dunn, Roberto M Sella, and Frank J Fabozzi 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 4, pp 146-148 Study Session 10-32-a Demonstrate how a mortgage security's negative convexity will affect the performance of a hedge The value of mortgage security = value of a Treasury security — value of the prepayment option If interest rates decline, the value of the prepayment option rises and mortgage security values rise by less than comparable Treasury securities, thereby rendering the hedge ineffective The basic principle of hedging is that changes in the value of the security being hedged are offset by changes in the value of the Treasury futures position Is Fan's comment to Mulloth regarding hedging mortgage securities by matching the dollar duration most likely correct? A Yes B No, because if interest rates rise, duration for the positively convex Treasury increases more than for the mortgage securities C No, because if interest rates fall, the price of the mortgage securities will not rise as much as a comparable Treasury security Correct Answer = C "Hedging Mortgage Securities to Capture Relative Value," Kenneth B Dunn, Roberto M Sella, and Frank J Fabozzi 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 4, pp 148-150 Study Session 10-32-a, b Demonstrate how a mortgage security's negative convexity will affect the performance of a hedge Explain the risks associated with investing in mortgage securities and discuss whether these risks can be effectively hedged The appropriate action to hedge interest rate risk is to sell Treasury futures However, matching the dollar duration of mortgage securities and Treasury futures will not provide an appropriate hedge This is because if interest rates fall, the negative convexity of mortgage securities means the value of the mortgage security will not rise by as much as a comparable Treasury security The result is that changes in the value of the mortgage securities will not be correctly offset by changes in the value of the Treasury futures position In Statement 1, is Fan most likely correct with regard to hedging spread risk? A Yes B No, spread risk should be hedged only if spreads are expected to widen C No, the spread is a risk premium for holding mortgage securities and should not be hedged Correct Answer = C "Hedging Mortgage Securities to Capture Relative Value," Kenneth B Dunn, Roberto M Sella, and Frank J Fabozzi 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 4, pp 150-151 Study Session 10-32-b Explain the risks associated with investing in mortgage securities and discuss whether these risks can be effectively hedged Fan should not hedge against spread (OAS) widening The spread is a risk premium for holding mortgage securities and should not be hedged By doing so, she will give up any benefit from spread narrowing Instead Fan should invest in mortgage securities when spreads offer attractive relative value to other fixed income securities 10 In Statement 2, is Fan most likely correct with regard to the use of key rate durations? A Yes B No, because yield curve risk for securities with bullet maturities cannot be properly measured by effective duration C No, because in a twist of the shape of the yield curve, callable bond prices will be more sensitive than bullet bond prices Correct Answer = C "Hedging Mortgage Securities to Capture Relative Value," Kenneth B Dunn, Roberto M Sella, and Frank J Fabozzi 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 4, pp 151-153 Study Session 10-32-c Contrast an individual mortgage security to a Treasury security with respect to the importance of yield curve risk Yield curve risk measures the exposure that a fixed income portfolio has to a non-parallel change in the shape of the yield curve The impact of a change in the shape of the yield curve can be quantified using key rate durations However, individual Treasury securities and non-callable corporate bonds have bullet maturities (the entire principal is due at maturity) and are therefore sensitive to changes in the level of the yield curve, but not to changes in the shape of the yield curve Mortgage securities are amortizing securities and are sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates and to changes in the shape of the yield curve This is because the pattern of cash flows of mortgage securities can be impacted by changes in the shape of the yield curve 11 Which of Fan's assumptions is least likely to be accurate? A Assumption B Assumption C Assumption Correct Answer = B "Hedging Mortgage Securities to Capture Relative Value," Kenneth B Dunn, Roberto M Sella, and Frank J Fabozzi 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 4, pp 166-163 Study Session 10-32-d, e Compare and contrast duration-based approaches versus interest rate sensitivity approaches to hedging mortgage securities Contrast a two-bond hedge that takes account of yield curve level and twist changes with a duration hedge The average price change is an approximation for a small, not a significant, change in interest rates 12 Based on the results in Exhibit 1, does Mulloth's analysis show that he is most likely receiving sufficient spread on the Ginnie Mae 5.5 percent mortgage after hedging costs? A No, because the cost for the duration hedge is not offset by the additional spread B Yes, because the maximum loss under either the two-bond or duration hedge is lower than the additional spread C Yes, because hedging costs for the two-bond hedge is covered by the additional spread Correct Answer = C "Hedging Mortgage Securities to Capture Relative Value," Kenneth B Dunn, Roberto M Sella, and Frank J Fabozzi 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 4, pp 161-164 Study Session 10-32-e Contrast a two-bond hedge that takes account of yield curve level and twist changes with a duration hedge The right hedging strategy to use for mortgage securities for both changes in the level and shape of the yield curve is the two-bond hedge The hedging cost is calculated by subtracting the changes in the Ginnie Mae with the two-bond hedge Ginnie Mae 5.5% (1.318) 1.189 (0.232) 0.233 Two-bond hedge 1.244 (1.263) 0.234 (0.232) Error -0.074 -0.074 0.0002 0.001 The cost under the scenarios presented is —0.074 basis points The 168 basis spread offers a monthly carry advantage of 14 basis points (168 / 12), which more than offsets the hedging cost 13 Giles Morgan Case Scenario Giles Morgan, a portfolio manager at Severn Capital, a British institutional asset manager, is meeting the investment committee for Cotswold Industries' pension plan Cotswold, based in the United Kingdom and a client of Severn, has 10 traditionally been conservative, and the pension plan's portfolio is diversified among U.K and non-U.K developedcountry securities Morgan states: "There are several benefits from having international securities in a portfolio These include:  improved covariance relations across the portfolio's exposures, resulting in greater diversification benefits;  a wider range of industry and company choices for portfolio construction purposes." Jama Pillai, a committee member, states, "I think the best diversification vehicle is an asset with high volatility and negative correlation with our current portfolio." Pillai then asks Morgan, "I understand that emerging markets can provide attractive investment returns, but what are the risks?" Morgan responds to Pillai, "Yes, emerging markets can provide attractive returns and you should consider allocating a part of the pension portfolio to emerging markets However, there are several significant sources of risk that must be considered: Statement 1: The distribution of emerging market stock returns are not symmetrical and standard deviation is not a good measure of risk Statement 2: During periods of international crises, correlations increase thereby negating some of the benefits of investing in emerging markets To illustrate the impact of exchange rates, Morgan provides the data in Exhibit Exhibit Mexican Equity Portfolio and Currency Data Current Portfolio Value in Mexican Pesos (MXN) 20,000,000 Portfolio Value in Mexican Pesos (MXN) after one month 21,000,000 Current Exchange Rate (GBP/MXN)* 0.0494 Expected Exchange Rate (GBP/MXN) after one month* 0.0490 Standard Deviation of Mexican Equity Market Returns in Pesos 8.25% Standard Deviation of Exchange Rate (GBP/MXN) 4.85% Correlation between Mexican Equity Market Returns in Pesos and the Exchange Rate 11 0.15 (GBP/MXN) * British Pound – Mexican Peso To conclude his presentation, Morgan states, "Currency risk is not an issue over the short term; however, over longer holding periods, currency risk is a significant concern." Question 13 Morgan's statement on the benefits of having international securities in a portfolio most likely is: A correct B incorrect, because covariance relations are not improved C incorrect, because the range of industry and company choices for portfolio construction is not widened Correct Answer = A "The Case for International Diversification," Bruno Solnik and Dennis McLeavey 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 3, pp 352-353, 378-379 Study Session 8-28-a Evaluate the implications of international diversification for domestic equity and fixed income portfolios, based on the traditional assumptions of low correlations across international markets Morgan's statement is correct; all the points he makes are benefits of international diversification 14 Is Pillai's statement most likely correct? A Yes B No, high volatility and positive correlation are more desirable C No, low volatility and negative correlation are more desirable Correct Answer = A "The Case for International Diversification," Bruno Solnik and Dennis McLeavey 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 3, pp 352-353, 389, A20 (problem and its solution) Study Session 8-28-a 12 Evaluate the implications of international diversification for domestic equity and fixed income portfolios, based on the traditional assumptions of low correlations across international markets The best diversification vehicle will have negative correlation with the existing portfolio, so it will move up when the portfolio falls, and high volatility, so it will have large upswings when the portfolio falls 15 Is Morgan most likely correct about the sources of risk in emerging markets? A Yes B No, Statement is incorrect C No, Statement is incorrect Correct Answer = A "The Case for International Diversification," Bruno Solnik and Dennis McLeavey 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 3, pp 382-386 Study Session 8-28-j Summarize the basic case for investing in emerging markets as well as the risks and restrictions often associated with such investments All the points made by Morgan are risks associated with investing in emerging markets 16 Based on the information in Exhibit 1, the one-month British Pound (GBP) return on the portfolio is closest to: A -3.98% B 4.15% C 5.00% Correct Answer = B "The Case for International Diversification," Bruno Solnik and Dennis McLeavey 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 3, p 353 Study Session 8-28-b Distinguish between the asset return and currency return for an international security The return in pounds is 4.15% The unhedged return is given by: 13 where R* is the return in pounds, Vt* and V0* are time t and initial portfolio values in pounds, Vt and V0 are values in pesos, and St and S0 are time t and initial exchange rates, respectively Then, 17 The contribution of currency risk is closest to: A 0.36 % B 1.93% C 4.85 % Correct Answer = B "The Case for International Diversification," Bruno Solnik and Dennis McLeavey 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 3, pp 354-355 Study Session 8-28-c Evaluate the contribution of currency risk to the volatility of an international security position The contribution to currency risk = σf — σ = 10.18% — 8.25% = 1.93% The standard deviation of Mexican equity returns measure in pounds is = σf = [σσ2 + σ2 s + × ρ × σ × σs]0.5 = [σ0.010359 + 0.002352 + × 0.15 × 0.0825 × 0.0485]0.5 = 0.10178 σs = standard deviation of exchange rate = 0.0425 The standard deviation of Mexican equity market returns measured is pesos = σ = 8.25% 18 Is Morgan's concluding statement on currency risk most likely correct? A Yes B No, he is incorrect about currency risk in the short and long term C No, he is correct about currency risk in the short term and incorrect about currency risk in the long term Correct Answer = B "The Case for International Diversification," Bruno Solnik and Dennis McLeavey 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 3, pp 368-369 Study Session 8-28-f Explain why currency risk should not be a significant barrier to international investment He is incorrect about currency risk in the short and long term Contrary to what Morgan states, currency risk is less of an 14 issue over the long term However, over short time horizons, currency risk can be a significant concern 19 Triden Capital Case Scenario Triden Capital, an investment management firm, invests high net worth clients’ capital in actively traded domestic equity and fixed income securities Senior management has recently adopted an Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) governance structure to identify and measure both financial and non-financial risks to which Triden is exposed It is exploring the use of value at risk (VAR) to measure market risk Senior management meets with David Smith, an investment consultant, to discuss risk management practices Smith explains that the investment industry has developed a set of standardized methods for estimating VAR To determine the most appropriate method for Triden, management must determine an appropriate approach to model the loss distribution Management assumes that the firm’s portfolio returns are normally distributed Smith recommends that Triden adopt stress testing to enhance the understanding of risks faced by the firm Management asks Smith to justify his stress testing recommendation The firm’s equity portfolio is focused on large-cap companies with attractive valuations and has a market value of $500 million The expected annual return of the equity portfolio is 10 percent with a standard deviation of 0.20 Using one of the VAR methods, Smith determined that the daily VAR of the equity portfolio is approximately $10 million at a probability of percent The firm’s fixed income portfolio is focused on duration and credit and has a market value of $300 million The expected annual return of the fixed income portfolio is percent with a standard deviation of 0.10 Portfolio managers within the firm are able to use derivatives, including swaps and options, as yield enhancement vehicles An equity portfolio manager sold 3-month European calls on Versa Corporation last month The current market value of the calls is $394,000 Also one month ago, one of the firm’s fixed income portfolio managers entered into a 1year, plain vanilla interest rate swap with quarterly resets last month The portfolio manager receives fixed rate payments and pays floating rate payments The current market value of the swap is $(468,000) 15 Another equity portfolio manager is interested in establishing a call-overwriting program Senior management asks Smith for his recommendation for evaluating the performance of such a portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Question 19 Given senior management's assumption about return distributions, the most appropriate VAR method for Triden Capital to use is the: A historical method B Monte Carlo Simulation method C analytical method Correct Answer = C "Risk Management," Don M Chance, Kenneth Grant, and John Marsland 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, p 213 Study Session 14-40-f Compare and contrast the analytical (variance-covariance), historical, and Monte Carlo methods for estimating VAR and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each The analytical method is based on the assumption that portfolio returns are normally distributed 20 If Smith's VAR calculation is accurate, which of these other VAR estimates could be accurate for the equity portfolio? A $5 million at a probability of 1% over day B $7.5 million at a probability of 5% over month C $60 million at a probability of 1% over month Correct Answer = C "Risk Management," Don M Chance, Kenneth Grant, and John Marsland 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, pp 211-213 Study Session 14-40-e Interpret and compute value at risk (VAR) and explain its role in measuring overall and individual position market risk Lowering the probability and increasing the time horizon will increase the VAR 21 Smith's best response to justify stress testing is that it seeks to identify the: 16 A risk variable that will produce the maximum loss B unusual circumstances that could lead to excess losses C portfolio performance under different states of the world Correct Answer = B "Risk Management," Don M Chance, Kenneth Grant, and John Marsland 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, pp 227-229 Study Session 14-40-g Discuss the advantages and limitations of VAR and its extensions, including cash flow at risk, earnings at risk, and tail value at risk Stress testing can provide additional information regarding unusual circumstances that could result in a loss greater than that calculated with VAR, which looks at normal market conditions only 22 Triden Capital is least likely to be exposed to: A credit risk B settlement risk C exchange rate risk Correct Answer = C "Risk Management," Don M Chance, Kenneth Grant, and John Marsland 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, pp 197-209 Study Session 14-40-b Recommend and justify the risk exposures an analyst should report as part of an enterprise risk management system The firm invests in domestic securities and therefore has no exposure to foreign currency 23 What is Triden Capital's current credit risk associated with the plain vanilla interest rate swap? A $ -468,000 B $0 C $468,000 Correct Answer = B "Risk Management," Don M Chance, Kenneth Grant, and John Marsland 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, pp 233-236 Study Session 14-40-i 17 Evaluate the credit risk of an investment position, including forward contract, swap, and option positions Triden is 30 days into the life of a 1-year swap with quarterly payments No payment is due for 60 days The current credit risk is $0 until a payment is due 24 The most appropriate measure for evaluating the performance of the proposed call-overwriting program would be the: A Sharpe ratio B Sortino ratio C return over maximum drawdown Correct Answer = B "Risk Management," Don M Chance, Kenneth Grant, and John Marsland 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, pp 247-249 Study Session 14-40-l Compare and contrast the Sharpe ratio, risk-adjusted return on capital, return over maximum drawdown, and the Sortino ratio as measures of risk-adjusted performance The Sortino ratio considers optionality and does not penalize portfolio managers for volatility derived from outsized positive performance 25 Omega Analytics Case Scenario Omega Analytics provides risk management consulting for institutional and individual clients Rachel Osborne, CFA, is an investment advisor for Omega who works with the firm's larger accounts She is considering derivative strategies for several clients  HMM Foundation owns 30,000 shares of Nasdaq 100 Index Tracking Stock (Symbol: QQQQ), which has a current price of $30 per share Osborne believes that there is substantial risk of downside price movement in the index over the next six months She recommends that HMM use a six-month collar for the entire position of 30,000 shares as protection against the QQQQ price falling below $27 Exhibit gives exercise prices and option premiums (per share) for QQQQ puts and calls expiring in months Exhibit QQQQ Puts and Calls Expiring in Six Months Option Type Exercise Price ($) 18 Option Premium ($) Call 35 0.80 Put 27 0.95 The QQQQ Index option contract is for 100 shares of the index tracking stock HMM would hold the collar strategy until expiration of the put and call options  Bob Valentine believes that the prices of large capitalization stocks will rise slightly and he wants to profit from this movement using a bull spread strategy Osborne recommends that Valentine use Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJX) options that expire in two months The current price of DJX is $91 Exhibit gives exercise prices, call option premiums (per one share), and deltas (calculated from the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model) for two DJX call options expiring in two months Exhibit DJX Call Options Expiring in Two Months Exercise Price ($) Option Premium ($) Delta 88 4.40 0.75 94 1.00 0.30 The total cost of one contract is the quoted premium times the contract multiplier, which is 100 shares per contract Valentine decides to use 100 contracts per position  The Bedford Trust is focused on long-term growth and is invested only in equity The trust has an equity portfolio with a market value of $60 million, of which $20 million is allocated to WTO stock Its trustees are considering a temporary decrease in the allocation to WTO stock in order to diversify into small-capitalization U.S stocks Osborne recommends the Russell 2000 Index as an appropriate small-capitalization index and notes that three swap dealers have offered to swap the returns on WTO and the Russell 2000 at no spread  Kung Chen expects the tracking stock on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) to trade within a narrow range around its current price over the near term Based on his expectation, he believes a profitable trading opportunity is to initiate a butterfly spread strategy using call options on DIA Osborne suggests using three one-month call options on DIA Each option contract is for 100 shares Exhibit gives exercise prices and option premiums for three DIA call options expiring in one month Exhibit DIA Call Options Expiring in One Month Exercise Price ($) Option Premium ($) 19 88 4.20 92 2.00 96 0.50 Chen wants a butterfly spread using a total of 200 long contracts and 200 short contracts Question 25 If the HHM Foundation enters into the collar recommended by Osborne and the market value of QQQQ is $33 at the expiration date of the options, the profit from the position would be closest to: A $85,500 B $90,000 C $94,500 Correct Answer = A "Risk Management Applications of Option Strategies," Don M Chance 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 5, pp 389-393 Study Session 15-43-a Determine and interpret the value at expiration, profit, maximum profit, maximum loss, breakeven underlying price at expiration, and general shape of the graph for the major option strategies (bull spread, bear spread, butterfly spread, collar, straddle, box spread) The profit per collar = ST + max(0, X1 – ST) – max(0, ST – X2) – S0 – (p0 – c0), where: S0, ST = price of underlying at time and time T X1 = exercise price of put X2 = exercise price of call Ρ0 = price of put at time c0 = price of call at time Profit = 33 + – – 30 – 0.15 = 2.85 Total profit = $2.85 × 30,000 = $85,500 26 If the HHM Foundation enters into the collar recommended by Osborne, the maximum potential profit from the position at expiration of the options is closest to: A $145,500 B $150,000 20 ... must be enrolled to take the next scheduled exam to claim candidacy in the CFA® Program Correct Answer = C "Guidance" for Standards I — VII, CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 103-105... CFA Institute 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, pp 103-105 Ethics in Practice, Philip Lawton, CFA 2009 Modular Level III, Vol 1, p 162 Study Session 1-2-a, b Demonstrate a thorough knowledge of... Program Peña is not a candidate for the CFA charter because he is not enrolled to sit for a specified examination With respect to the fees he receives as a football referee, has Peña violated any CFA

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