The main purpose of the study is to investigate the effecting of key factors on housing purchase decision of customers in Ho Chi Minh City with focus on condominiums in new urban areas,
Trang 1RESEARCH PROJECT
(BMBR5103)
THE FATORS AFFECTING ON
APARTMENT PURCHASE DECISION OF CUSTOMERS IN HO CHI MINH CITY
Trang 2Page 2
Advisor’s assessment
Advisor’s signature
Trang 3ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I would like to express my most sincere gratitude to Assoc Prof Phan Nguyen I
am deeply indebted for his guidance, patience, valuable comments and suggestions which greatly helped me in the completion of this dissertation
I also would like to thank you all my colleagues and friends of HUTECH class for their valuable contributions to give comments and suggestion to revise the questionnaire survey
Warmly thanks to my classmates, friends and all anonymous participants, and especially my family for their supports and inspiring me to complete the MBA course
December 2015
Pham Phu Phong
Trang 4ABSTRACT
The issue of housing preference has been widely researched in housing literature, because it provides valuable information for the planning and development of housing for various residential groups with different needs In Vietnam, the issue has not received proper attention from scholars and developers though the local housing market is going through a phase of rapid development and transformation The main purpose of the study is to investigate the effecting of key factors on housing purchase decision of customers in Ho Chi Minh City with focus on condominiums in new urban areas, due to strong demand of the residential group for the specific type of housing
The thesis employed a stated-preference approach with application of direct measurement and conjoint analysis methods to answer research question A total of
400 responses were collected by mean of questionnaires delivered to customers The study finds out a strong positive relationship between top two factors, including
“living space”, “distance” and customers’ housing purchase decision The three weaker positive relationship factors are “feature”, “finance” and “environment” to housing decision makers It is also found that there is no difference in decision making of customers according to different demographics consisting of gender, age, marital status, monthly income and education level
Analysis of the empirical data shows that, households are most concerned about developers’ commitments and basic quality of the housing units They appreciate child-friendly qualities of the living environment, as well as child-friendly facilities and services, large space, etc The preferences are then discussed in connection to current conditions of Ho Chi Minh City urban areas in order to give implications for
urban planning policies and new housing projects
Key works: housing, purchase factors, Ho Chi Minh City in Vietnam
Trang 5CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
LIST OF TABLE
LIST OF FIGURE
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 BACKGROUND 1
1.2 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 2
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS 2
1.4 OBJECT OF STUDY 3
1.5 SCOPE OF STUDY 3
1.6 METHODOLOGY 4
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 5
2.1 INTRODUCTION 5
2.2 APARTMENT MARKET IN VIETNAM OVERVIEW 5
2.3 FORECASTS APARTMENTS MARKET IN 2015 - 2016 10
2.4 BEHAVIOUR IN PURCHASE DECISION OF CUSTOMER 12
2.5 THE FACTORS IMPACT ON PURCHASE DECISION APARTMENT OF CUSTOMER 16
CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 20
3.1 RESEARCH DESIGN 20
Trang 63.2 SAMPLE SIZE 21
3.3 RESEARCH PROCESS 22
3.4 RESEARCH MODEL 25
3.5 MEASUREMENT SCALE 27
3.5.1 Measurement scale factors affecting apartment buying decision 27
3.6 MAIN SURVEY 30
3.7 DATA ANALYSIS METHOD 31
3.7.1 Reliability measure 31
3.7.2 Validity measure by EFA (Exploratory Factor Analysis) 31
3.7.3 Multiple regression analysis 32
CHAPTER 4: DATA ANALYSIS AND RESULTS 34
4.1 STATISTICAL SAMPLES 34
4.2 ASSESSMENT MEASUREMENT SCALE 37
4.3 MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS 47
4.4 HYPOTHESIS TESTING BY MULTIPLE REGRESSION 51
CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS 57
5.1 RESEARCH OVERVIEW 57
5.2 RESEARCH FINDINGS 58
5.3 MANAGERIAL IMPLICATION 59
REFERENCES 61
APPENDIX 66
Trang 7LIST OF TABLE
Table 3.5: Main factors affecting customer’ housing decision
Table 4.1: Characteristics of respondents
Table 4.2: Cronbach’s Alpha test results
Table 4.3: Total testing results scales
Table 4.4: EFA results
Table 4.5: EFA results analysis Factor of scale purchase Decision
Table 4.6: EFA results analysis Factor adjusted
Table 4.7: Correlation among variables
Table 4.8: Indicators for assessment the relevance of model (Model Summary) Table 4.9: Regression Model
Table 4.10: Coefficient Regression Results
Table 4.11: Hypotheses results
Trang 8LIST OF FIGURE
Figure 2.2: Condominium market in HCMC Q3-2015
Figure 2.4.3: General model of consumer behavior
Figure 2.4.4: Model of consumer behavior (Kotler, 1999)
Figure 3.1: Research design
Figure 3.3: Research process
Figure 3.4: Research model
Figure 4.1: Adjust the research model
Figure 4.4: Official research model
Trang 9LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ANOVA Analysis Of Variance
CFA Confirmatory Factor Analysis
EFA Exploratory Factor Analysis
SPSS Statistical Package for Social Scientists
EFA Exploratory Factor Analysis
GSO Vietnam Government Statistics Office
HCMC Ho Chi Minh City
Mil Million
MLR Multiple Linear Regression
Trang 10CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
The property market in Vietnam is showing signs of getting warmer and industry insiders do not think there will be another real estate bubble as there was seven years ago The latest housing bubble occurred in Vietnam in the 2007-2008 period, when investors rushed to the realty sector after the stock market went into a crisis The bubble then quickly burst, leaving the market frozen with a huge number of unsold land plots, houses, and apartments (Young news, 2015) Thanks to strong economic growth, and a growing middle class, after almost five years of a housing slump but most important is the new Housing Law and the Law on Real Estate Business These came into effect in July 2015, and allow foreigners and overseas Vietnamese to legally own, sell and transfer real properties (Global property guide, 2015)
As many as 5,150 apartments were put on sale in the first quarter of this year, three times the figure last year, according to a survey by realty consultant CBRE (CBRE Releases Q3/2015 Quarterly Report Highlights for Ho Chi Minh City Market) The number of new apartments in the first quarter rose 40 percent year on year, which consultancy Savills said is the strongest growth since February 2011
Most apartment purchasers in Ho Chi Minh City in the year to date have been real homebuyers, who buy to live there, rather than speculators and secondary investors who purchase to resell, according to industry insiders
Real estate trading floors in the city are receiving more customers than this time last year, and more purchase contracts have also been closed
According to the report of “Vietnam Housing Sector Forecast to 2015” indicates the housing requirement is rising with trend of nuclear families has created immense demand expected to grow around 6% during 2012-2015
Trang 11The condominiums in new urban areas are preferred by many young people because the types of condominiums offer various advantages over traditional housing types such as: lower price, good infrastructure with various facilities and services which are suitable for the needs The demand of young people for condominiums has been increasing massively in recent few years
One of the most significant economic decisions of everybody is buying a house oneself The need of dwelling is practical and more increasingly when the population is growing and choosing big cities for permanent residency
However, according to the Deputy Minister of Construction Nguyen Tran Nam (2015), he emphasized that “people’s housing demand is very large and solvency is high, but the real estate market lacked of information”
This thesis focuses on factors which influence on people's purchase decision toward apartments/condominiums in Ho Chi Minh City
Trang 12Based on this situation, I would like to point out some problems to correspond to questions stated as follow:
- What are main factors influencing on apartment purchase decision of customers in HCMC?
- How is impact of these factors on apartment purchase decision of customers evaluated in HCM context?
Understanding relationship between main factors affecting customer house purchase decision is an important role for both real estate developers and enterprises to satisfy customers’ demand and to have available strategies in the real estate field
Target respondents for this thesis should be people who are living and working in HCMC
Trang 131.6 METHODOLOGY
The real estate is a broad topic requires further deeply research with consuming significant time and efforts This thesis is relatively provided merely firsthand information to assess real demand and determinants impact on residential apartment buying decision
Research methodology is an important part of the whole process of research to determine how the research should be undertaken
In order to achieve the objective, both primary data and secondary data are collected
to use in the thesis:
The primary data is gained by distributing questionnaire on residential apartment purchasing decision to study key factors influence on The questionnaire consists of
3 parts: socio-demographic; apartment preference pattern; apartment purchasing intention; factors influence on buying decision
The secondary data is collected from a wide variety of reliable sources including academic books, articles, newspapers, magazines, journals, publications, reports of real estate companies, official websites Data related to apartment market in HCM City, definition and theory of apartment preference pattern; apartment purchasing intention; decision making process and previous finding will be utilized in the thesis
By analyzing results of the primary data and compiling the secondary data
The research method refers to techniques and procedures
The research methodology refers to research designs and data collection via questionnaires
The inductive approach should be applied for this research to draw results from data collected and analysis and empirical observation
Trang 14CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 INTRODUCTION
This chapter presents overview of previous literatures relating to apartment purchase decision making of customers Also, a conceptual framework is built up and relative hypotheses of research are raised
A variety of studies focuses on housing characteristics such as cost, size and location Others give attention to demographic characteristics such as age, sex and income as determinants of preference Some investigate housing preference in the connection with family life cycle and residential mobility
2.2 APARTMENT MARKET IN VIETNAM OVERVIEW
According to David R Henderson, the concise of encyclopedia of economic (David, 2002), the law of demand is built almost the whole edifice of economics The law of demand states that when the price of a good rises, the amount demanded falls, and when the price falls, the amount demanded rises However, the real estate industry does not always apply this law conclusively The effective housing demand is the amount of housing for which the population is willing and able to pay The effective housing demand for private housing is volatile and has been affected in the past by the market supply and market allocation mechanism There are many factors impact
on demand and decision of buyer of apartments such as: price, financing supports, household income, features of apartment, legal framework, developer, contractor, management etc
Potential buyers have been divided into two subgroups: residents who buy and sell houses for personal use, and speculators and property developers who make money
by selling and buying property (Roehner, 1999)
Trang 15Residents’ choice to migrate from one city to another depends on the employment,
income and political and social environments (Dieleman et al., 2000) demonstrated
that, population growth and employment growth seem to create differences in the rate of turnover and the differences in price levers Many researchers claim that income is an important determinant of housing demand
The population density in HCMC could be considered highest with the average density in the central at 27,000 persons per km2 when comparing with density cities
in the world, namely Singapore and Hong Kong where high-rise apartment buildings are ubiquitous The density in Hong Kong Island stands at 16,000 persons per km2 (2008) (Census & Hong Kong., 2009), and the density in Singapore is 7100 persons per km2 (2010) (Department of Statistics, 2010) (Jieming Zhu, 2011) Another factor influences on demand of buying apartment is financing support from bank and government Credit constraints in the form of down payment requirements significantly affect housing consumption for many buyers Bank loans are usually required by most households to finance their purchases The credit or financial market typically cannot lend on the basis of the borrower’s expected future income prospects Therefore, current income and current financial assets then become important indicators of a borrower’s means of repaying a loan The availability of housing loans and government subsidies will influence consumers’ choice of whether or not to buy a home (Omar and Ruddock, 2002) The demand for housing also depends on the mortgage rates and the general level of consumer confidence (Tutoru, 2003)
The study of RNCOS (Business Consultancy Services) on Vietnam Housing Sector Forecast to 2015, one of issues relating to housing demand of Vietnamese is affordability The report studies the affordability scenario of Vietnam and found that house price to household income ratio is much higher than the neighboring regions, creating vast gap between house price and affordability
Trang 16Young people live in big cities such as Ha Noi, Da Nang, and HCMC have great demand of housing based on various experiences of life milestones (adulthood, education and graduation stages, job seeking, and occupation path, leaving parental home, job opportunities, marriage and children) These various experiences somehow influence on demands of housing types, attributes and services associated into
But the price of residential condominium in HCMC is still quite high and people tends to purchase apartments depends on the level of disposable income (Bible & Hsieh, 2001; Brandy & Parsons, 2002) High level of disposable income will increase the ability of spending and especially in purchase of housing is a major goal of most people
Firstly, price is one of important determinants of a household choice and buying decision However, unlike other consumption goods, the housing market is unique because it manifests the characteristics of durability, heterogeneity, and spatial fixity Thus, to model this differentiation effectively, the second approach of the hedonic price model has been introduced The hedonic price model posits that goods are typically sold as a package of inherent attributes (Rosen, 1974) Therefore, the price of one house relative to another will differ with the additional unit of the different attributes inherent in one house relative to another house The relative price of a house is then the summation of all its marginal or implicit prices estimated through the regression analysis The market price of a housing unit’s bundle of inherent attributes, such as: location, structure and neighborhood or environment attributes (Freeman, 1979)
The house price determination is associated with macro (market-related factors) and micro (house-specific factors) How do the researchers link these factors to the price? The first step to this is to establish theoretical background for the pricing theory Thus, the review begins with identifying price determinants The review will then followed by discussion on the utilization of statistical tool as one of the
Trang 17approaches available to segregate the contribution of each variable hence enabling the quantification of perceived contribution in the overall price
In this thesis, the micro factors (house-specific factors should be focused replace for macro factors (such as: interest rates, inflation rates, taxes are critical explanations for setting price from developers) The micro factors could be derived from buyers
of apartments in evaluating factors such as: structural (physical characteristic), location and life environment attributes (contain of neighborhood) impact on buying decision process
During last economic recession years, there was a phenomenon of bubble real estate industry where the price of apartment segment had pushed up very high and caused customers who have real need could be unaffordable to buy This had been occurring problem of affordability and inequality (Yip, 2008) and major real estate developers, private and public alike to focus on squeezing into higher end market and this had made low income workers out of reach for new flats
The city government increasingly seeks solutions to support middle income and low income group could be affordable to buy apartment (SGGP News, 2013) According to HCMC Real Estate Association said many capable Vietnamese businesses have channeled their capital into the luxury housing sector to satisfy demand of high income groups, while affordable housing apartments for low-income people has fallen short The unbalanced supply of accommodation has now left a large unsold inventory
The HCMC real estate market remains positively stable in this quarter and the upward trend of FDI and M&A is expected to continue for the foreseeable future (CBRE Releases Q3/2015 Quarterly Report Highlights for Ho Chi Minh City
Market)
In Q3 2015, positive market momentum continued, boosting new launch activities and sales performance A total of 10,114 new units were launched from 26 projects,
Trang 18Research and Consulting, shared that by location, new supply from the South (encompassing districts 4, 7, 8, and Nha Be Commune) accounted for 36% of the total new launched stock, while the recent hot spot in the East (districts 2, 9, Binh Thanh and Thu Duc) accounted for a more modest 29% this quarter Ms Dung further highlighted, “It is interesting to once again see Southern properties taking the lead compared to the East, particularly following the recent news that HCMC plans to develop its first special economic zone (SEZ) in the East of HCMC encompassing districts 7, Nha Be, part of Binh Chanh and Can Gio with a focus on marine economy Vingroup has also announced to partner up with Saigon Port to develop a 32 hectare prime site at the removed Khanh Hoi Port in District 4 in the East zone The market is believed to witness more competition between these two hot zones in the coming time, especially in the context that now Thu Thiem New Urban Area in the East has been started its development with the first condominium blocks called Sarimi being launched in Q3 2015.” The review quarter also witnessed a repackaging of some long-delayed projects where new developers have taken over and revitalised developments by providing more finance or redesigning unit layout, size and mix These projects include City Gate Towers (District 8), Linh Tay Tower (Thu Duc District), and C.T Plaza Nguyen Hong (Go Vap District) Figure 2.2
Three months after new regulations came into effect some initial interest from foreign buyers has been recorded Mr Marc Townsend, Managing Director of CBRE Vietnam, commented, “There has not been a notable increase in sales to foreigners to date as many potential buyers are awaiting more guidance and progress in implementation Being an agent initiatively targeting at this group of buyers, we have observed that professionalism, language proficiency and ease of credit card payment are some of the key issues once foreign buyers are involved.”
Trang 19Figure 2.2: Condominium market in HCMC Q3-2015
2.3 FORECASTS APARTMENTS MARKET IN 2015 - 2016
According to Savills research (Briefing apartment sector, 2015), from Q4/2015 to
2017, approximately 57,500 new units from 92 existing and future projects are expected to enter the market Approximately 33% of the total future supply is expected to be completed in 2015 and 2016
VNREA forecast in 2016, the real estate market continues to grow thanks to favorable macroeconomic factors, the lure of mergers and M & A in the field is capable of exploding in the period 2016 to 2017 by the Vietnam visit Family deeper
on the path of regional integration and globalization
Specifically, Vietnam is a country that will benefit most, thanks to flexible conditions than the Member States Economic Partnership Agreement Trans-Pacific (TPP) other Therefore, in the next 4-5 years, a number of economic sectors in Vietnam will benefit and strong growth, including real estate
Trang 20At the same time, the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) will be formally established in late 2015, the real estate market in Southeast Asia will become the focus in the sights of international investors
With policies on housing and real estate business has been enforced, that Vietnam has VNREA well prepared to catch the wave of international investment
Based on the business performance of realty firms this year, experts believed that Vietnam real estate market will become better in 2016
Thanks to increasing demand and new regulations of the 2014 Housing Law and the
2014 Law on Real Estate Business, leading experts said the market would be more buoyed next year
A recent report of Hung Thinh Real Estate Exchange JSC (Hung Thinh Land) revealed that the firm has sold around 4,500 apartments since the beginning of
2015, nearly reaching the sales target of 5,000 units for the whole year
Nguyen Nam Hien - General Director of Hung Thinh Land said the firm has more customers who have searched for medium-end apartments with good prices For
2016, Hung Thinh Land plans to expand operation, with the aim of distributing more products developed by its parent company Hung Thinh Corp
Besides, Dat Xanh Group plans to launch 4,000-6,000 apartments onto the market per year, apart from villas and urban land lots by 2020
This year, many major Ho Chi Minh City-based real estate trading floors expect to sell 1,000 - 3,000 apartments and land lots These ambitious targets would be maintained for 2016
Chairman of the Ho Chi Minh Real Estate Association (HoREA) Le Hoang Chau forecasted that property market recovery would continue in 2016
Prices at various housing projects in HCMC have been 5-15% higher this year, Chau added However, he also stressed that there is no sign of a real estate bubble in the coming time
Trang 21At a recent conference on the 2016 real estate market trends, Prof Dang Hung Vo - former Deputy Minister of Natural Resources and Environment said there have been more positive signs for the domestic market, such as increased disbursements of loans for housing projects, more successful transactions and falling inventories According Prof Dang Hung Vo, analyzed that when a real estate bubble occurred in previous years, property prices skyrocketed at least 1% per day For the next years, however, thanks to the new legal documents and higher market transparency, the domestic market will not experience such price rallies
2.4 BEHAVIOUR IN PURCHASE DECISION OF CUSTOMER
Study of consumer behavior is very important because intentionally or unintentionally we are consumer With the philosophy of marketing production trend to marketing trend of consumer behavior has been important In marketing some question create that as a marketer we should pay attention to them and provide
a reasonable answer for them One of the following questions is: What is the purpose of consumer behavior? Considering that a marketer seeking to identify the needs and demands of our customers and do the appropriate action to meet those needs and desires, should understand Consumer behavior as well In this study, the researcher wants to explain his view according to previous studies briefly in consumer behavior
2.4.1 Definition of Consumer Behavior
Consumer behavior in marketing is a new issue So that the first books published does not reach before 1968 in this field Most universities do not make any effort before 1970, but it has grown significantly in recent years, So that a special team of investigators was formed in 1970 about consumer behavior and in 1990 the group
Trang 22had 1500 members from 30 countries
Definition: Consumer behavior include mental activity, emotional and physical that people use during selection, purchase, use and dispose of products and services that satisfy their needs and desires (Kotler, 1999)
2.4.2 Key concepts of consumer behavior
1) Consumer behavior is motivational: The main question that arises in this context
is that "why consumer behaviors occur?” Answer to this question is included in the definition of consumer behavior Consumer behavior is to meet the needs and demands of him Behavior is a tool to achieve objectives and target consumer derives from his needs and desires (Wilke, 2000)
2) Consumer behavior include many activities: All consumers have differences in terms of thoughts, feelings, and decisions and etc With each other, marketers must pay attention to the activities of consumers, some consumers activities are: See this advertisement, purchase decision, the decision about how to pay (cash, credit) and etc
3) Consumer behavior is a process: Consumer behavior, including the selection, purchase and consumption of goods and services that include elimination of three steps before buying activities, purchasing activities, activities after purchase (Rostami, 2001)
4) Consumer behavior at different times has different complexity: Buy different product by different people has different implications Buy some goods, involves all three process step of the consumer Behavior, while buying some goods (goods that are consumed regularly) is very simple and does not require multiple steps Customers try to make buying process simple through trusting others, loyalty to the brand and etc
5) Consumer behavior includes different roles: Consumers in different time can play
Trang 23each of the three roles affective, buyers and consumer When we buy something for our self we can play that 3 role (Golchinfar, 2006) Sometime by using others opinion buy something for some one that in this case we can play an individual role 6) Consumer behavior is influenced by external factors: Consumer behavior is influenced by many external factors such as culture, subculture, social classes etc These effects can be short, medium or long term
7) Consumer behavior is different in different people: Because people have different desires and needs, so their behavior is different And the difference consumer behavior make predict consumer behavior more difficult, to resolve this problem can categories the market (Abbasi & Torkamani, 2010)
2.4.3 Consumer buying decision process
Consumers can purchase different products And this difference because that different buying decisions buying process consists of several steps in Figure 1 (taken from the site abercrombie.com) presented Consumers to purchase some goods don’t need to pass during all stages of the buying decision However, some purchases are so important that the consumer is forced to do all these steps carefully and meticulously (Gilani Nia, 2010) These steps include:
1) Identify the problem: The first stage of the decision-making process is that people can feel the difference between current and desired situation, so trying to resolve these differences
2) Data collection: For solving this problem collect information This information can be internal (experiences) and external (family, exhibits, etc.)
3) Assessment Options: After gathering information, the consumer is ready to make
a decision At this point, he should be able to evaluate different options and choose products that meet the demands of him
Trang 24Consumer at this stage, according to the information already obtained, Select a product that feels satisfy his need and buys it
5) After purchase behavior: Consumer compare purchased products with ideas, products, competitors, perceptions and expectations of the product and two satisfaction and dissatisfaction, which may appear different reasons
Figure 2.4.3: General model of consumer behavior
In the past, sellers, due to lack of competition and lower a variety of products directly sell the product But today, by increasing companies, increasing competition and increasing revenues from other people, other sellers will not be
Trang 25able to communicate directly with sellers Marketers and sellers are forced to study consumer behavior research Now the question comes, who the buyers? When do they Purchase? And etc But the important question is how consumers respond to marketing stimuli? The company is rated from consumer responses to be aware marketing stimuli, so companies in relationship between marketing stimuli and consumer response, have been done many studies Starting point for this research is shown in Figure 2 As the figure shows, the marketing stimuli associated with other stimulants into the black box of the consumer and this will cause a reaction in the black box Now, marketers want to know what is going on in the black box Black Box itself is composed of two parts First part personal characteristics of buyer on how to understand and respond to stimuli affect and the second part is the buyer's decision-making process that effects on his behavior
Figure 2.4.4: Model of consumer behavior (Kotler, 1999)
2.5 THE FACTORS IMPACT ON PURCHASE DECISION APARTMENT
OF CUSTOMER
Haurin (2002) demonstrated that, owning one house will be improve the family environment, including the child's life, improves cognition and reduces behavioral
Trang 26problems However, the current apartment market have to many residential projects, each project had features and factors with different convenience to be able to choose the one apartment matching demand and investment value, customer interest following factors to choose decided to buy apartments
Trang 272.5.3 Factors “Living space”:
Based on past studies, only a few exterior attributes are believed to influence consumers’ housing purchase choices These attributes can be roughly divided into two types: exterior design and exterior space Exterior design includes the appearance of the house, type of finish, quality of finish, the presence of a garden, the function of the garden, the type and the quality of roof, external walls and external floors
Exterior space refers to size of garden and size and the type of public area (such as swimming pool, recreation room, public kitchen, game room) (Bhatti & Church, 2004; Greene & Ortuzar, 2002; Opoku & Abdul-Muhmin, 2010; Pasha & Butt,
1996, 1996)
Dale-Johnson and Phillips (1984) identify lot size, number of bedrooms, number of bathrooms, square footage of living space, year built, number of fireplaces and the internal condition as intrinsic housing attributes
These may include “the actual area of living space, an address, accessibility to employment, a set of neighbors, a neighborhood environment, a diverse collection
of services including schools, clinics and retails, and sense of belonging to the community of residence” (Kain and Quigley, 1970)
Living space consists of “size of living room”, “size of kitchen”, “quantity of bathrooms” and “quantity of bedrooms” (Opoku & Abdul-Muhmin, 2010) In addition, it is accepted that there is relationship between the “space customer” and
customers’ purchase making process (Graaskamp, 1981)
2.5.4 Factors “Environment”:
Besides house characteristics, many residents are also concerned with other extrinsic Factors which affect their houses Thus, many researchers attach importance to identifying these factors The attributes of the environment around
Trang 28the residential house are mentioned most frequently in recent studies The housing environment includes a very wide range of attributes, such as neighbor-hood characteristics, time in neighbor-hood (Arimah, 1997; Cheshire & Sheppard, 1995; Fierro et al., 2009; asha & Butt, 1996) environmental pollution, danger focus, air pollution, open space, greenery, security, cultural characteristics of the environment, street lighting, noise, pollution, rain water drainage, footpaths, width
of roads and pavements, orientation, layout of the street and geographic aspect (Ekeland, Heckman, & Nesheim, 2004; Rojas & Greene, 1995)
2.5.5 Factors “Finance”:
The financial is also taken into consideration by property investors As mentioned
by Reed and Mills (2006), several key areas regarding the financials are identified These include mortgage interest rates, household income, house price, and ability to obtain financing As an investor, the financials might be the utmost important factor among all factors This is because the financials are often involved with money in which investors would want to gain from their investment In the case of homeowners, the financials accounts almost 30 percent of the decision for them when purchasing a house (Reed & Mills, 2006)
Karsten (2007) mentioned that, affordability is a major factor in terms of making purchasing decisions of a residential property Therefore, the financial factors would play a significant role in making investment decisions
Trang 29CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
as a questionnaire and will be sent to respondents Meanwhile, an interview is used
to collect the opinions from investors relating to residential investment The results from both methods will be collect and analysis
It is also mentioned by Saunders et al., (2009) that, there are three research approaches which are used in a market research: inductive, deductive and combination The inductive approach starts with the observations and theories are formulated towards the end of the research and as a result of observations (Goddard and Melville, 2004) Contrary, a deductive approach is concerned as “reasoning from the general to particular” (Pelissier, 2008) This thesis is develop base on an inductive approach, which means the results of thesis are drawn from the theories, the collect and analysis data as well as from empirical observations The process approaching data and information in this thesis is described in the Figure 3.1 below
Trang 30Figure 3.1: Research design
The empirical study is built on both primary and secondary data Primary data is collected using a quantitative method (questionnaire) and a qualitative method (interview) While the quantitative method provides the general observation, the qualitative method indicates the in-deep knowledge and opinions of the respondents Secondary data is drawn from articles, reports, and statistics from official sources such as government, agencies and prestige organizations
3.2 SAMPLE SIZE
The reliable and validity of variables were tested by using Cronbach’s Alpha and EFA after that the multiple regression was applied to test model and hypotheses First of all, the sample size was required to have enough quantity for the analysis The minimum sample size was 100 and not less than five times of items (Hair et al., 2010), thus:
Trang 31- n > 100 and n = 5k (where k is the number of items)
- In this study, the number of items are 29 items
- Thus, the minimum sample size was 5x29 = 145 samples
- In addition, based on five independent factors of the conceptual model, the multiple regression analysis required sample size at least (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2007):
- 50 + (8m) = 50 + (8x5) = 90 samples
- Where m: is the number of independent factors of the model
- Consequently, the minimum sample size should be 145 Based on the actual collection data, the quantity of available respondents from the questionnaire survey estimated 400, so that samples met the requirements above
3.3 RESEARCH PROCESS
Design the research progress through two phases:
- The first phase is to build scale and theoretical models to analyze the factors affecting the apartment market for customers’ purchase decision
- The second phase is a testing of the scale and model studies for specific cases study in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
First phases: the ideas for construction scale, theoretical models for analyzing
factors affecting the apartment market for customers’ purchase decision The first phase has two steps
- Step 1: Build the scale From the preliminary analysis, establish the concept
of variables studying affecting factors of the real estate market Using a qualitative analysis at first to build a preliminary quantitative study After
Trang 32interview, indicate the main factors that affect the apartment market for
customers’ purchase decision in case study of Ho Chi Minh City That is
built for the basis of theoretical concept purpose
- Step 2: Development of theory and modeling studies From preliminary
studies, completely research concept as a basis for the design study model,
construction of hypotheses
Second phase: Check the scale and model studies Continue 2 steps above,
- Step 3: determine the object, scope and scale testing hypotheses are
registered for apartment market for customers’ purchase decision in Ho Chi
Minh City After defining the object and scope of the study will be
conducted drafting interview content and interviews
- Step 4: testing the scale factor using the tool reliability (Cronbach’s alpha)
and factor analysis to explore (Exploratory Factor Analysis: EFA) to assess
the appropriateness of the model Verification scale model studies will be
adjusted to fit the data
After the results of factor analysis will be conducted to explore the quantitative
analysis of the factors affecting the supply for property for people with average
incomes
The main research implementation by quantitative methods for data collection
technique was direct interview through a questionnaire Data collected is processed
by SPSS 16.0
Assessment research factors impact to purchase decision of customer in choice
apartments in Ho Chi Minh city All steps were illustrated by following Figure 3.3
Trang 33EXPLORATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS
(EFA)
MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS
- ASSESSMENT MEASUREMENT SCALE
- ITEMS REMOVE INAPPROPRIATE
- CHECKING FACTORS
- CHECKING VARIANCE
- CHECKING APPROPRIATE MODEL
- ASSESSMENT IMPORTANT OF FACTORS
THEORETICAL
FRAMEWORK
Figure 3.3: Research process
Trang 34“quality of building”, “equipment inside”, “legality” (Ariyawansa, 2007)
- H1: The factor “feature”, there is a positive impact on customers’
apartment purchase decision in Ho Chi Minh city
Trang 35- H2: The factor “distance”, there is a positive impact on customers’
apartment purchase decision in Ho Chi Minh city
Living space:
“Private living space” is one of most important factors affecting to “consumer housing decision” Living space consists of “size of living room”, “size of kitchen”,
“quantity of bathrooms” and “quantity of bedrooms” (Opoku & Abdul-Muhmin,
2010, p.219) In addition, it is accepted that there is relationship between the “space customer” and customers’ purchase making process (Graaskamp, 1981)
- H3: The factor “living space”, there is a positive impact on customers’
apartment purchase decision in Ho Chi Minh city
Environment:
“Environment” including: “neighborhood”, “pollution”, “view”, “fire alarm system, exits”, “security” (Tan Teck Hong, 2012) In addition, factor “traffic” the researcher added (Connie Susilawati, 2001)
- H4: The factor “environment”, there is a positive impact on customers’
apartment purchase decision in Ho Chi Minh city
Trang 36Finance:
“Financial” is an important factor affecting to decision when customer choice buy apartments (Sengul et al., 2010) The “financial” element of real estate requires access to a relative large amount of “capital” and as well as “borrowing costs” (Xiao
& Tan, 2007) In addition, “financial” status bases on combination of “house price”,
“mortgage loans”, “income” and “payment term” (Opoku & Abdul-Muhmin, 2010; Yongzhou, 2009) Haddad et al (2011) finds out the “economic” factor which is consisted of five variables, such as “income”, “interest rate”, “area”, “conversion” and “taxes” Moreover, Adair et al.(1996, p.24) and Daly et al (2003, p.306) group
“interest rate”, “maximum mortgage”, “maximum monthly payment”, and “length
of time payment” into “financial” factor
- H5: The factor “Finance”, there is a positive impact on customers’
apartment purchase decision in Ho Chi Minh city
Purchase decision
Customer behavior is an important research topic for recent decades “There is also
a clear shift from rational factors to psychological factors and to social decision factors” (Bargh, 2002) Beside there is a link between the “intention to purchase” to
“decision to purchase” of customers, especially the decision related to purchase real estate (Ajzen, 1991; Han & Kim, 2010; Kunshapn & Yiman, 2011)
3.5 MEASUREMENT SCALE
3.5.1 Measurement scale factors affecting apartment buying decision
According to research results of Mateja Kos Kokli’c Irena Vida (2009), about the factors affecting the buying behavior apartment in survey at Amman, Jordan And the factors affecting luxury apartment buying decision of customer individual at
Trang 37HCMC (Nguyen Quang Thu et al., 2013) In this study, the author have used scale
of Nguyen Quang Thu et al., (2013), including five scales and twenty six variables observe, because this scales has been inspected in Vietnam market through quantitative research The scales are adjusted and supplemented by the results of in-depth interviews
As discussed in chapter 2, Five factors affecting apartment purchase decision including “Feature”, “Distance”, “Living space”, “Environment” , “Finance” are the independent variables and factor “purchase decision” is the dependent variable From discussion above, a summary table of main factors affecting customer’ housing decision making is presented as following Table 3.5
Table 3.5: main factors affecting customer’ housing decision
1
Fea01 Apartment size
Tan Teck Hong, (2012); RG Ariyawansa, (2007)
Fea02 Apartment design Fea03 Construction quality Fea04 Equipment inside Fea05 Apartment’s legal status
2
Dis01 Distance to school
Tan Teck Hong, (2012); RG Ariyawansa, (2007) Dis02 Distance to work
Dis03 Distance to the business
center
Trang 38Dis04 Distance to market
Dis05 Distance to the health
center
3
Liv01 Living room size
Opoku & Abdul Muhmin (2010); Graaskamp, (1981)
Liv02 Kitchen size Liv03 Bedroom size Liv04 Bathroom size Liv05 Balcony size
Env02 Pollution Env03 View Env04 Fire alarm systems / Exits Env05 General security
5
Fin01 Interest rate
Opoku & Abdul Muhmin (2010);
Adair et al., (1996); Haddad et al.,
(2001)
Fin02 Payment duration Fin03 Mortgage loan Fin04 Income loan
Trang 39Fin05 Maximum payment
In Table 3.5: The perception of customer factors as feature (code Fea01 – Fea05), distance (code Dis01 – Dis05), living space (code Liv01 – Liv05), environment (code Env01 – Env05), finance (code Fin01 – Fin05) Each factor including five observe variables, the observe variables are measure with scale Likert five levels Separate, decision factor of customer buying apartments (code Dic01 – Dic04), the author offering four observe variables, the observe variables are measure with scale Likert four levels
3.6 MAIN SURVEY
There were 450 hand delivered questionnaires, only 430 respondents gave feedback, but quantity of available respondents was 400
Trang 403.7 DATA ANALYSIS METHOD
After data collection, the first step would be data preparation with editing, coding, and data entry to ensure accuracy of data from raw data and to detect errors or omissions to correct Next, data were classified to arrange them into groups or classes of common demographic
Finally, variables would be tested reliable by Cronbach’s alpha, validity by EFA, and hypothesis and model would be tested by multiple regression of SPSS
3.7.1 Reliability measure
In order to check reliability of each of scales with particular sample, as well as consider the internal consistency of the scales, it was necessary to use Cronbach’s Alpha coefficient which should be above 7 (Devellis, 2003)
Also, the corrected item - total correlation values should be at least 3 to ensure each
of items was measuring the same from the scale as a whole (Pallant, 2011)
3.7.2 Validity measure by EFA (Exploratory Factor Analysis)
In order to evaluate the validity and the correlation among variables to identify underlying factors or define number of extracted factors, EFA was applied with the oblique approach using the Promax method However, some requirements of EFA should be satisfied (Pallant, 2011):
- The minimum of sample size should be at least 100 and rate of observations per items of models should be five cases for each of the items, so that meant the minimum required sample size should be at least 5m = 5x34 = 170 cases (where m: quantity of items from the conceptual model) The actual sample size was 400, bigger than 170 so it met the requirement
- The correlations of r of the correlation matrix should show at least 0.3