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VIETNAM NATIONAL UNIVERSITY – HO CHI MINH CITY
INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY
SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
THE EFFECT OF FOREIGN OWNERSHIP ON DIVIDEND POLICY:
THE CASE OF LISTED COMPANIES ON HOSE
In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement of the Degree of
Master of Business Administration
In the School of Business Administration
Student Name and ID: DONG QUANG VINH – MBA05053
Advisor: NGUYEN KIM THU, Ph.D.
Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam
August 2014
INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY
SOCIALIST REPUBLIC OF VIETNAM
SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
Independence - Freedom - Happiness
ASSURANCE QUALIFIED THESIS
Student’s Name:
DONG QUANG VINH
Student ID:
MBA05053
Title of Thesis:
The effect of Foreign Ownership on Dividend payout policy: The case
of listed companies on HOSE
Advisor:
Ph.D. NGUYEN KIM THU
I assure that the content of this thesis has been qualified all requirements for a
research paper and able to participate in the final thesis defense.
Approved by
The Effect of Foreign Ownership on Dividend Policy
The case of listed companies on HOSE
In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements of the Degree of
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
In Finance
by
Mr: DONG QUANG VINH
ID: MBA05053
International University - Vietnam National University HCMC
August 2014
Under the guidance and approval of the committee, and approved by all its members, this
thesis has been accepted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree.
Approved:
---------------------------------------------Chairperson
---------------------------------------------Committee member
---------------------------------------------Committee member
--------------------------------------------Committee member
--------------------------------------------Committee member
--------------------------------------------Committee member
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Foremost, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my advisor Prof. Nguyen Kim
Thu for the continuous support of my study and research, for her patience, motivation,
enthusiasm, and immense knowledge. Her guidance helped me in all the time of research and
writing of this thesis.
Besides my advisor, I would like to thank to all of my lecturers in the MBA course. I
have learned so much knowledge not only in my major but also related skills to carry out this
thesis. Moreover, I would like to express my sincere thank to the members of the Committee
for giving valuable comments to improve the research.
I thank to my fellow classmate for the stimulating discussions, for the sleepless nights
we were working together. Last but not the least, I would like to thank to my family: my
parent and my wife for their support and encouragement.
Plagiarism Statements
I would like to declare that, apart from the acknowledged references, this thesis either
does not use language, ideas, or other original material from anyone; or has not been
previously submitted to any other educational and research programs or institutions. I fully
understand that any writings in this thesis contradicted to the above statement will
automatically lead to the rejection from the MBA program at the International University –
Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City.
Copyright Statement
This copy of the thesis has been supplied on condition that anyone who consults it is
understood to recognize that its copyright rests with its author and that no quotation from the
thesis and no information derived from it may be published without the author‟s prior
consent.
© DONG QUANG VINH/ MBA05053/2014-2015
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT………………………………………………………………………………. i
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background of the Study……………………………………………………………..1
1.2. Problem Statement
………………………………………………………………2
1.3. Rationale of the Research…………………………………………………………….3
1.4. Research Question of the study……………………………………………………… 4
1.5. Research Objectives………………………………………………………………….. 4
1.6. Scope and Limitation of the Research ……………………………………………… 4
1.7. Research Methodology ………………………………………………………………. 4
1.8. Thesis Structure ……………………………………………………………………… 5
CHAPTER 2 – LITERATURE REVIEW……………………………………………….. 6
2.1 Definition of Dividend…………………………………………………………………. 6
2.2 Dividend policy theories………………………………………………………………. 7
2.2.1Clienteles theory…………………………………………………………… 7
2.2.2 Bird in hand ………………………………………………………………… 8
2.2.3 Signaling theory ……………………………………………………………. 9
2.2.4Pecking order theory ………………………………………………………. 10
2.2.5 Transaction cost theory ……………………………………………………. 11
2.2.6 Agency cost theory …………………………………………………………. 12
2.2.7 Adverse Selection theory…………………………………………………… 14
2.3 Determinants of Dividend payout ratio……………………………………………… 16
2.3.1 Dividend and Return on Assets …………………………………………… 16
2.3.2 Dividend and Leverage ……………………………………………………. 16
2.3.3 Dividend and Firm size ……………………………………………………. 17
2.3.4 Dividend and Growth of sales …………………………………………….. 18
2.3.5 Dividend and Profitability ………………………………………………… 18
2.3.6 Dividend and free cash flow ………………………………………………. 19
2.4 Agency theory empirical studies on the relationship between foreign ownership and
dividend policy:
2.4.1 Agency theory and Expectation of Investors..…………………………….. 21
2.4.2 Empirical studies on the relationship between dividend payout policy and
foreign ownership………………………………………………………………………….. 23
CHAPTER 3 –FOREIGN OWNERSHIP OF LISTED COMPANIES IN HO CHI MINH
STOCK EXCHANGE FROM 2008-2012…………………………………………………………
25
3.1Top holdings of foreign investors, in companies………………………………………25
3.2 Top holding of foreign investors, in industries…………………………………….. 26
CHAPTER 4–RESEARCH METHODOLOGY…………………………………………29
4.1 Data Collection ………………………………………………………………………. 29
4.2Model .………………………………………………………………………………….29
4.2.1 Control variables ……………………………………………………………………29
4.2.2 Independent variable …………………..……………………………………………31
4.2.3 Dependent variable………….………….……………………………………………32
4.2.4 Model…………………………………………………………………………………. 32
4.3 Descriptive Methods…………………..……………………………………………….. 32
4.3.1 Descriptive Statistic………….………………………………………………. 32
4.3.2 Pearson Correlation test…………………………………………………….. 32
4.3.3 Regression Model…………….……………………………………………… 33
CHAPTER 5: DATA ANALYSIS …….…………………………………………………38
5.1 Descriptive Statistic……………………..………………………………………………38
5.2 Pearson Correlation …………………………………………………………………. 41
5.3 Analysis of the results………………………………………………………………….. 43
5.3.1 Pooled OLS ………………………………………………………………… 43
5.3.2 Fix effect Model ..…………………..……………………………………….45
5.3.3 Random effects model…….……………………………………………….. 45
5.4 Specification Test………………….…………………………………………………. 45
5.4.1 F test………………………………………………………………………… 46
5.4.2 Hausman test………….……………………………………………………… 47
5.4.3 Random effect model without independent variables …………………….. 48
5.4.4 Heteroskedascity……………….…………………………………………….. 49
5.4.5 Heteroskedascity robust F statistic..……………………………………….. 50
5.5 Discussion of result……………………………………………………………………. 52
CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION…………………………. 54
6.1. Conclusion
……………………………………………………………………………54
6.2. Recommendation ……….……………………………………………………………..55
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
Abbreviation
Meaning
HOSE
Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange
DPR
Dividend payout ratio
FEM
Fixed effect model
REM
Random Effects model
Pooled OLS
Pooled Ordinary Least Square
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Summary of expected relationship of DPR with independent variables
Table 2: Summary of foreign ownership in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, by Company
Table 3: Summary of foreign ownership in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, by Industry
Table 4: Descriptive Statistic
Table 5: Companies that pay cash dividend even though they have negative EPS
Table 6: Company that maintain cash dividend as EPS declines
Table 7: Pearson correlation among variables.
Table 8: Pooled OLS
Table 9: Fixed effect model
Table 10: Random effect model
Table 11: F-test
Table 12: Hausman test
Table 13: Random Effects after eliminating unnecessary independent variables
Table 14: Breusch - Pagan test for heteroskedasticity
Table 15: Heteroskedasticity robust F statistic
ABSTRACT
The main purpose of this thesis is to examine the relationship between foreign
ownership and cash dividend payout policy of listed companies on HOSE that have more
than 5 percent foreign ownership on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE)
The data is collected from Vietstock.vn consisting of 95 companies with 5% to 49%
foreign ownership on HOSE during the period of 2008-2012. After conducting some tests and
models to find out which ones are the most suitable, the study comes up with the Random
Effects model , which is used to test hypothesis.
The result has showed that the foreign ownership has no significant relationship with
cash dividend payout ratio. The study also reveals thatfirm‟s size and profitability have
negative relationship with dividend payout ratio. The result is inconsistent with the
transaction cost theory and agency cost theory. It may be due to the unique features of
Vietnamese market in the recession period from 2008 to 2012.
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
This chapter provides a general picture of the issue that will be examined in
this research. Besides, objectives, rationale, scope and limitation will be
mentioned in this chapter.
1.1 Background of the study:
Dividend payout policy of a company has been a controversial topic for academics
and practitioners. It is proved that there is a connection between ownership structures,
especially foreign ownership and payout policy. In Viet Nam, foreign ownership is gaining
momentum because the Vietnamese government is loosening the room of foreign investors.
Currently, the room for foreign investor in a listed company is 49% of total ownership of a
company. It is projected to increase to 60% for the foreign ownership limit in non-banking
businesses in the 01/2014/NĐ-CP, according to VietstockFinance. Furthermore, the strategic
investors can own up to 20% of a bank‟s total outstanding shares, an increase from the
current level of 15%. Viet Nam is becoming more attractive to foreign investors. According
to theWorld Bank, the market capitalization of Vietnamese stock marketwas $32 billion
USDin 2012 and the foreign investors accounts for $2.9 billion USD. In 2012, while
emerging market equities have struggled due to financial crisis, Vietnamese stocks have
surged 20 percent to become Asia‟s best performing market, according to CNBC (2012). In
the article, the author also mentioned about the capital foreign investors pumped into
Vietnamese stock market. It was 325 million dollar. Therefore, the impact of foreign
ownership is increasingly more important. Foreign investors gradually play a role in
ownership structure in listed companies. This argument is also supported by other previous
studies in the world. Globally, ownership in equity markets is increasingly being dominated
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by foreign ownership which may affect the corporate dividend and capital structure policy.
For example, Yanvin and Roni (2005) document an increase in foreign ownership of US
equities from 35% in 1980's to more than 50% in 1990's. Short et al. (2002) indicates that the
ownership of equity in UK was dominated by foreign investors and they influenced the
dividend payout ratios.
Some previous studies suggest that there are positive and significant associations
between foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio (Short, Zhan, and Keasey (2002)).
Stephens, and Weisbach (2000) show that firms that increase payouts have significantly
higher foreign ownership than firms keeping or decreasing payouts.
We pay more attention to foreign ownership as they are becoming increasingly popular
and important players in the Vietnamese stock market, an emerging economy with stable
political system and potential high growth. We believe that the result from this research will
be interesting and helpful to both foreign investors and domestic investors. It is really crucial
to conduct this research about how foreign ownership has impact on dividend payout ratio.
1.2 Problem Statement:
There are two arguments so far regarding the relationship between foreign ownership
and dividend policy. Grinstein and Michaely (2005) did not find any evidence that foreign
ownership are attracted tohigh dividend-paying firms, or evidence that they cause firms to
increase dividend payouts.
On the other hand, other studies found that there is a positive linkage between foreign
ownership and payout policy. First, the dividend clientle theory developed by Black and
Scholes (1974), Allen Bernardo, and Welch (2000), etc.) suggests that foreign investors who
have institutional charters and relative tax advantage prefer dividends. It predicts that foreign
investors will increase their shareholdings of firms that pay high dividends.
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Moreover, foreign investors who maintain large shares may serve as an effective monitor
of firms in emerging market, because they retain global standards and practices and have a
long term investment style (Easterbrook (1984), Jensen (1986)). Companies that have higher
foreign ownership are more likely to pay dividends.
Finally, foreign investors prefer cash dividends to reduce the information asymmetry and
agency cost. Therefore, there is a relationship between foreign ownership and dividend
payout ratio, in which dividend is a tool to reduce the asymmetric information.
Hence, the study is conduct to investigate the relationship between foreign ownership
and dividend payout ratio. Although there are not many empirical studies about this subject in
Viet Nam, this study hopes to provide an empirical analysis on the relationship between
dividend payout policy and foreign ownership during the period of 2008-2012.
1.3. Rationale of the Research
Since foreign ownership is becoming increasingly common in Vietnamese listed
companies, examining the impact of foreign ownership on dividend payout policy will help
to understand the relationship of foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio. Moreover, the
study helps investors to have the best glance about how foreign ownership reacts in an
emerging market as Viet Nam. The study also aims to find out if the companies with higher
dividend payout policy attracts foreign investors or foreign investors will influence the
company to pay more dividends.
1.4 Research Questions:
This research is conducted to mainly answer the only one question: " Is there any relationship
between foreign ownership and dividend payout policy of listed companies on HOSE in the
2008-2012 period? Is it a positive or negative relationship".
1.5 Research Objectives:
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This paper will examine the impact of foreign ownership ondividend payout policy.
Data will be collected from listed companies on HOSE from 2008-2012 period. The study
will also clarify the relationship between foreign ownership and dividend payout policy is
positive or negative.
1.6 Scope and Limitation of the Research
Data is collected from listed companies on HOSE, which is the largest stock exchange in
Viet Nam. The data is synthesized and analyzed on public figures and information from
securities company. Due to lacking of transparency and reliability of some companies, the
data may not show accurate values.
Moreover, because of limited ability to fully understand the statistical techniques and
quantitative methods, the study has difficulties in setting up models in softwares.
1.7 Research Methodology
This research will mainly use quantitative method to run model. Eview and Stata
softwares are used to analyze the data.The study applies literature review, empirical studies to
support investigation and results.
1.8 Thesis Structure
The thesis consists of 6 chapters:
Chapter 1: Introduction
This chapter gives a general picture about the research purpose, rationale why the topic is
chosen and benefits from the result. It also suggests the research method as well as the scope
and limitation.
Chapter 2: Literature Review
This chapter will review previous empirical studies and theories related to the topic that have
been done in the past. It also presents definitions and arguments around the relationship
between foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio.
Chapter 3: Overview of foreign ownership of listed companies on HOSE:
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This chapter will give the situation of foreign ownership of listed companies on HOSE from
2008-2012 period. It has a summary of companies and industries, which have large portion of
foreign ownership.
Chapter 4: Research Methodology
In this chapter, research methodology will be applied to carry out models for this study. It
includes data collection, variables process, research design, hypothesis and data analysis
tools.
Chapter 5: Data Analysis
Some tests, multiple linear regression, descriptive statistic will be conducted to examine the
relationship among variables.
Chapter 6: Conclusion and Recommendation:
Discussion about result, conclusion of the relationship between foreign ownership and
dividend payout ratio is given. The recommendation for later research is also mentioned in
this chapter.
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CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
This chapter provides literature review on the topic in this research: dividend and dividend
payout policy. The chapter also covers some previous empirical studies and determinants of
dividend payout policy as well as the impact of foreign ownership on dividend payout policy
2.1 Definitions of dividend:
A dividend is a payment made by a corporation to its shareholders. It is decided by the
board of directors. Dividend encourages investors to hold stocks in stable paying dividend
companies though they do not have much growth. However, not every company pays
dividends, and companies can change their dividend policies at any time.
Usually these dividend payouts are made in cash (called "cash dividends"), but
sometimes companies will also distribute stock dividends, whereby additional stock shares
are distributed to shareholders. It is paid each quarter, or four times per year.
Dividend payout policy is a managerial policy for a company to determine how much
companies will contribute to shareholders in dividend and how much they are to retain for
growth and reinvestment.
To fully understand the relationship between the foreign ownership and dividend payout
policy, the thesis will review the literature on dividend payout policy, the foreign ownership
and its effects to the dividend.
2.2 Dividend policy theories:
Dividend is always a controversial issues, as Black (1976) and P.L.Bernsteins (1996)
stated about their findings: "The harder one looks at the dividend picture, the more it seems
like a puzzle, with pieces that just don‟t fit together". Researchers spent time conducting a lot
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of empirical researches, theoretical studies and theories which lead to three main
contradictory views:
1. A positive change in dividend payout can increase firm's value. (agency theory, bird in
hand)
2. Adecrease in dividend payouts can reduce the firm's value. (tax preference, transaction cost
theory)
3. Dividend policy has no effect on the market value of the firm. (dividend irrelevance
hypothesis)
2.2.1Dividend Clienteles theory: (Dividend Irrelevance Hypothesis)
Clienteles theory suggests that different groups of investors will have different
preferences for what they want to invest in since each group will encounter different kinds of
tax brackets for dividend, capital gains and transaction costs. Miller and Modigliani (1961)
pointed out that firm valuation is irrelevant to dividend policy in the perfect and complete
market, observe that with personal taxation, investors will form clienteles with preference for
the specific level of dividends. The so-called idealized theoretical world of perfect markets
and rationale investors includes:
1. No tax difference between dividends and capital gains
2. No transaction costs on securities trading
3. Investors have the equal and costless access to the same information.
4. No transactions is large enough to affect the price
With those assumptions, the firm's dividend payout policy has no effect on either its
market value or its cost of capital in the M&M's perfect market. However, the existence of a
perfect capital market in the real world is impossible. M&M neglected the effects of taxes,
transaction and floatation costs, asymmetric information and agency problem.
The idea was also extended by Black and Scholes (1974) who acknowledged that
certain investors prefer high dividend yields, while others favor low dividends yields. They
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extended the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), which was developed by Sharpe (1964)
and Lintner (1965), to test the long term dividend yield effects based on 25 portfolios of
common stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The result is that there is no
influence of high yield or low yield pay out policy on stock price. There are also some other
studies that support the Dividend Irrelevance Hypothesis: Miller&Scholes (1978, 1982), Hess
(1981), Miller (1986), Bernstein (1996).
As presented earlier, there are two different views on the effects of dividend policy
on firm's value: they are high and low dividend yields that increase the firm's value. Below is
the theories that argue whether higher dividend payout will increase the market value of
firms, beginning with bird-in-hand theory.
2.2.2 Bird in hand theory:
The basic argument for this theory about the consequences of dividend policy is that
dividendsincrease firm value. Gordon and Walter (1963) supported this theory by stating that
- “bird in the hand is worth more than two in the bush”. Clearly, the investors and
shareholders are asrisk-averse and theyprefercurrent cash dividend to be more stable rather
than a promise of high-risk income and capital gains in the future. Thus, as cash payout in
term of dividend will reduce uncertainty of future cash flow, costs of capital resulting in
increasing share value.Basedon the Gordon‟s growth model (1959), increase of firm value
required lower rate of return and risk of future cash flow cooperated by the higher current
dividend.This model presented that dividend yield is a more critical measure of the total
return to the equity investor than the future growth rate of the dividends.
In contrast, M &M (1961) have criticized the “bird in hand” theorythat the firm‟s risk
is determined by the riskiness of its operating cash flows, not by profit distributions as
dividends. That is, the riskiness of a firm‟s cash flow influences its dividend payments, but
increases in dividends will not reduce the risk of the firm. In empirical evidence, however,
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Rozeff (1982) found a negative relationship between dividends and firm risk. That is, as the
risk of a firm‟s operations increases, the dividend payments decrease.
2.2.3 Signaling theory:
According to this theory, inside managers have confidential information about current
performance and future growth of the firms while outside investors don‟t. Therefore,
dividend is a tool that contains the confidential information and can be used to signal that
firm‟s future cash flows are sufficient to cover debt payments and dividend payment without
increasing the probability of bankruptcy (Weston 1993). A declaration of increasing dividend
will be a good news and the stock price will react favorably, and vice versa. (Bhattacharya,
1979).
Allen, Bernardo, and Welch (2000) developed the dividend signaling model basedon
institutional tax clienteles. They relied on two assumptions. First, there were just two
clienteles, untaxed-institutions and taxed individuals. Second, institutions are moreeffective
at monitoring management and detecting firm quality than retail investors.
Under these assumptions, they showed that firms may be able to signal their quality by
initiating dividends and attracting institutional investors who have the relative tax advantages.
In particular, only high quality firms are able to bear the tax-based costs of dividends to
attract better informed investors, while low quality firms cannot mimic this action, because
they do not want their true type to be revealed. As a result, there is separating to equilibrium
in which firms signal higher quality by paying dividends to attract better informed
institutional investors.
In the view of investors, due to the fact that stocks are riskier than bonds, dividends
are considered as a return of their investment. Dividends is a signal to tell the growth
potential and future earnings of the firms. Any positive announcement about dividend is a
good news and the stock price will move favorably. (Brealey and Myer, 1996)
9
In the side of managers, they have responsibility to pay satisfactory dividend to
shareholders but protecting and developing the firms are important as well. In some cases,
they have to retain earnings for the future growth demand of the companies. With the mission
of maximizing the value of shareholders, managers have to consider carefully on their
investment and financing decision or dividend payout policy to reduce the agency problem.
2.2.4 Pecking order theory:
Firms raise capital for growth demand by different ways. Pecking order appears if
the cost of issuing new securities exceeds other costs and benefits of dividend and debt. The
financing cost includes transaction costs and agency cost which arise due to information
asymmetry. It is assumed that managers know much better about company‟s performance and
future prospect, as well as risky securities. In order to minimize the cost, firms try not to fund
by external capital. Instead, they take advantage of the available amount of internal fund such
as retain earnings.
As a result, firms diminish the amount of dividends paid to shareholders. Result
from some studies points out if firms are reducing their dividend payment, then the firms
should cut the amount of debt financing they use to fund their operation, according to Fama
and French (2010). However, firms are abandoning the pecking order theory. Companies no
longer retain significant amount of earnings, they start to increase the dividend paid to
shareholder instead. Moreover, the payout ratio is negatively related to the growth of
companies since they need money to invest in future plan. The payout ratio is also negatively
associated with leverage, but positively with the profitability, said Myers. The reason behind
is the firm finds it is expensive to finance investment with new risky debt, dividend become
less attractive for firm with low profitability, large expected investment and high leverage.
2.2.5 Transaction cost theory:
Beside tax preference hypothesis, transaction cost theory also explained for why
10
low dividend payout was implemented. Whenever people deal with shorting securities, this
cost is incurred. In fact, the firm with low transaction cost on issuing new securities is more
likely to pay high dividend than the firm with high transaction cost. This is considered as a
negative relationship between dividend payout and transaction cost. Studies by Higgins
(1972) and Fama (1974) supposed that the dividend payment‟s ratio is influenced by the
firm‟s requirements for financing debt and other investment‟s purposes. In their theoretical
framework, they work in pioneer to examine the effect of transaction costs on dividend
policy. Higher dividend payment will strengthen the dependency on external financing and
raising actual transaction costs. To argue Higgins‟s and Fama‟s, Jensen and Meckling‟s
(1976) suggested on agency cost that this cost might decrease the stock value as increasing
dividend payout ratio. As a result, the firm would adopt optimal dividend policy within
attempting to minimize the sum of those two costs.
In general, the transaction cost theory is partly based on information asymmetry
and other market imperfections. Likely in emerging economies‟ capital markets, the
transaction cost theory rationalizes effectively on the dividend policies which relying on
imperfect capital market. Capital markets in emerging economies are often differentiated
from developed economies due to high risk of high transaction costs, lack of liquidity, and
asymmetric information. Those issues are characteristically resulted by lack of tolerable
disclosure and poor financial intermediates. According to Glen, Karmokolias, Miller and
Shah (1995), dividend levels in developing countries are considerably lower than developed
nations. They also criticized that lower dividend level probably was an evidence of inefficient
markets that mostly depending on internal finance. Moreover, in their research‟s results, there
was a positive relationship between total investment financed by retained earnings in the
developing markets and dividend payout ratios.
Rozeff (1982) showed that firms, depending on external finance, for example high
leverage, risky and high potential growth, could take up lower dividend payout policy. The
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transaction cost also results in the investors‟ preference in the form of receiving income from
dividend or capital gains. For those risk-averse investors, they would prefer cash payments
for dividends as a stable source of income. This is explained that the need of funds for shortterm goals or help investors to avoid having to sell securities and bear brokerage fees too
costly.
2.2.6 Agency cost theory:
Another explanation on the relationship between foreign ownership and payouts is
based on the incomplete contracts, causing the conflict of interest between management and
shareholders. According to M&M theory of perfect capital market assumptions, there are no
conflicts of interests between managers and shareholders. However, in reality when managers
and owners of a company are separated, it may cause problems. Managers may invest in
unprofitable projects of which costs are borne by shareholders if doing so enhances their own
status and bring them private benefits (Jensen and Meckling (1976)).
Payout policy is one aspect of corporate decisions that can solve this problem.
Easterbrook (1984) suggests that the solution to agency conflicts is to increase the level of
payout because managers prefer to retain earnings to increase private consumption or reduce
the risk on their human capital. Jensen (1986) argues that dividend payments can discipline
managers to return cash to shareholders rather than over-investing and wasting firm
resources, called the free cash flow problem. Thus, agency hypothesis agree that paying high
dividends provides a cost effective substitute to shareholder monitoring and, so, would
increase firm value by reducing the overinvestment problem.
Consistent with this notion, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny
(2000) examined the relation between investor protection and dividend policy across 33
countries. They find that shareholders are able to force managers to pay out free cash flow in
common law countries where legal systems protect investors, while they cannot do this in
civil law countries. Thus, La Porta et al. support for the agency models that an effective legal
12
system allows investors to reduce agency costs by forcing management to pay out cash. Prior
literature suggests that large shareholders play a vital role in corporate governance. Shleifer
and Vishny (1986)), for example, suggests that large shareholders are motivated to monitor
firm activities, thereby, reducing agency problems between shareholders and managers. Thus,
the importance of the institutional investors as good monitors has been emphasized in various
areas including submitting shareholder proposals (Del Guercio and Hawkins(1999), Gillan
and Starks (2000)), executive compensation (Hartzell and Starks (2002)), M&A(Agrawal and
Mandelker(1990), Qiu(2006), Chen, Harford, and Li(2006)) and R&D(Bushee 1998), CEO
turnover (Parrino, Sias, and Stark (2003)) and payout policies (Short, Zhang, and Keasey
(2002), Grinstein and Michaely (2005)). Short et al. find the significant and positive
relationship between foreign ownership and the level of dividends using a UK data set.
Grinstein and Michaely (2005)hypothesized that assuming foreign investors to be better
monitors of management with their significant stakes and superior information, they may
increase dividends, thereby, reducing free cash flow problems.
However, they find no evidence supporting for their hypothesis using U.S
industrial firm data. In emerging market, literature reports find that foreign institutional
investors who maintain global standards and practice complement the monitoring role of
domestic investors who may be unable to conduct a full monitoring role. Khanna and Palepu
(1999), for example, find that domestic institutions are poor monitors, while foreign
institutions serve a valuable monitoring function in India as emerging markets integrate with
the global economy.
To summarize, the agency model predicts that firms are likely to pay out more cash
through either dividends or repurchases, with enhanced monitoring by foreign investors. The
impact of domestic investors, however, would be relatively insignificant due to a lack of their
monitoring incentives.
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2.2.7 Adverse Selection Hypothesis:
In contrast of dividend clientele hypothesis, the adverse selection suggests that
institutional investors, who are better informed than retail investors, prefer share repurchases
to dividend payment. The stock price information is asymmetric among managers, informed
and uninformed shareholders. The adverse selection occurs when managers and informed
shareholders long for stock only if the tender price is lower than the true value. Consequently,
the uninformed shareholder will get the most of their orders when the stock is overvalued.
Internally, managers have opportunities to use inside information to benefit
themselves at the expense of shareholders, according to Barclay and Smith (1988). Brennan
and Thakor (1990) offered a theoretical model which is based on an information asymmetry
not between managers and shareholders but between informed and uninformed shareholders.
As there is a fixed cost of obtaining information, more shareholders have an incentive to be
informed when the larger cash distribution is intended. When the small amount is payout,
most of shareholders do not want to get informed. For the given level of distribution, large
shareholders are willing to get informed. Consequently, better informed shareholders prefer
stock repurchases while less-informed shareholders have a preference for cash dividends.
There is a large and growing literature examining whether foreign investors have
information disadvantages over domestic traders, however empirical evidence is mixed. On
one hand, foreign investors usually have a significant amount of global investment
experience and use well developed technology, suggesting that they are in a better position to
evaluate a firm‟s prospect. One the other hand, foreign investors may possess inferior
information due to geological, cultural, and political distances. Recent researches by Hau
(2001) using German data, Dvorak (2005) using Indonesian data, and Choe, Kho and Stulz
(2005) using Korean data find that foreign investors are at a disadvantage, while Seaholes
(2000) who uses Taiwanese data documents contrary findings. For example, Choe et al. argue
14
that institutional investors and even retail investors have advantages in trading Korean stocks
over foreign investors by showing that prices move against foreign investors than against
domestic investors before trades.
In conclusion, adverse selection hypothesis, assuming foreign investors have
information disadvantages over domestic investors in trading local securities (e.g.Choe et
al.(2005)), foreign ownership has a positive effect on cash but have insignificant effect on
repurchases activities of domestic corporations.
2.2.8 Empirical Issue in Viet Nam:
The research uses Vietnamese market data to investigate the relationship between
foreign ownership and dividend payout policy. Since the foreign ownership in Vietnamese
market has experienced an increase, we can analyze the joint relationship between the change
in foreign ownership and the change in financial policies. The foreign ownership holds 17%
of total market capitalization and up to 40% in certain industries. For example, the 35
companies in Food and Beverage accounts for roughly 40% of the total market capitalization
on HOSE, while the next two big industries Real Estate and Manufacturing have 25% and
7,8% respectively. It is interesting to examine if the foreign ownership really has impact on
dividend payout as it is increasing in Vietnamese market.
It is also important to find out the behavior of foreign investors on financial
policies of firms. Are they really want to prefer cash dividend to reduce agency problem or
they will only get return from firms‟ profit in the long term?
This research will aim to figure out the relationship between foreign ownership and dividend
payout policy in listed companies on HOSE.
2.3 Determinants of Dividend Payout policy
2.3.1 Dividend and return on assets:
15
Return on assets is an indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total
assets. Generally, ROA gives an idea as to how efficient management is at using its assets to
generate earnings. Lintner (1956) found that the anticipated level of future earnings is the
determinant of dividend payment. It means that if the companies make earnings well based
on the assets that they have, they are willing to increase the dividend payout ratio. The result
from the study of Amidu (2007) also supports this argument since it found out the return on
assets is one of the key performance indicator associated with positive changes in earnings.
2.3.2 Dividend and leverage:
The assets of a company can be financed either by increasing equity, debt or both.
The creditor's claim increases when company borrows. In the capital structure of the firms,
debt and equity both play an important role in determining cost of the capital. Due to cash
crunching, most of the firm‟s depend on debt because all time, retained earning can‟t fulfill
the firm‟s financial need.
The pecking order theory showed a correlation between debt level and dividend
payment. There are opposite opinions about this relationship. Due to debt in capital structure,
company is liable to pay interest to debt provider but it is also provide benefit to the firm‟s as
interest tax shield. High leverage increases profitability of the firm in favorable economic
condition but more risk associate with high leverage. Due to positive impact of leverage in
favourable condition, companies earning potential shoot up and may decide to give more
dividend as compare to firm‟s have less leverage. (Panday, p.209).
On the other hand, Jensen et al (1992) believed that financing from equity is still
more attractive to investors and companies with high leverage ratio are unlikely to reimburse
dividend payment to its shareholders. In this study, the financial leverage with the proxy as of
level of debt to equity ratio will be examined to figure out how the leverage affects the
dividend payout ratio.
16
2.3.3 Dividend and firm size
Previous studies have shown that firm size is one of the factors that have
significant impact on the dividend payout ratio. According to Smith (1977) and Jensen and
Meckling (1967), larger firms tend to have easier access to the capital markets with fewer
constraints, lower issuing costs and higher agency costs. It is also supported by the
transaction cost theory. Jensen et al (1992), Alli et al. (1993), Redding (1997), and Fama and
French (2000) point out that large firms are willing to distribute a higher amount of their net
profits as cash dividends, than do small firms. Moreover, according to the agency theory,
large firms will offer high dividends to diminish agency costs. Therefore, a positive
relationship is expected between dividend payout ratio and firm size.
Basically, there are two approaches to calculate the firm size. One of them is the
natural logarithm of total assets. This measurement was used by Al-Kuwari (2009). The other
one that was used by some other researchers such as: Lloyd (1985), Holder (1998) is natural
logarithm of sales. According to Lloyd (1985), it has no significant difference in measuring
profitability in terms of sales or market value of equity.
2.3.4 Dividend and growth of sales:
It has been studied that the growth of sales has the relationship with dividend
payout ratio. Sales growth is the amount by which the average sales volume of a company's
products and services has grown, typically from year to year. Therefore, the companies
always have plan to meet the growth of the company for the next year. Indeed, Rozeff (1982)
has showed that if the past or anticipated future growth of a company soars rapidly, then the
managers are more likely to maintain the capital for reinvestment by establishing a lower
payout ratio. Companies with high growth rate tend to seek more capital by external
financing. In this study, the sales growth rate is a proxy for transaction cost theory of external
17
financing, according to Alli et al (1993) and Collins et al. (1996). Thus, the growth of sale is
allegedly negative to the dividend payout ratio.
2.3.5 Dividend and profitability:
Profitability is certainly one of the most important indicators that have effects on
dividend payout ratio. The ratio "Earnings before interest and taxes to total assets" is the
proxy of profitability in this study. It was also used by other researchers such as Gill (2006),
and Amidu & Abor (2006) to examine the relationship between the profitability and the
dividend payout ratio. As revealed by the Pecking order theory, the dividend payout ratio has
the positive relationship with profitability. Since it is expensive and difficult to finance
investment with new securities, companies with low profit are not likely to pay dividend
while high profit companies pay more dividend. Therefore, there is a positive relationship
between profitability and dividends.
However, as discussed earlier, the companies with high growth rate, may keep their
profit for the expansion or growth plan in next year. They are not going to pay more
dividend. Thus, depending on the situation of the market and the company, companies will
choose to maintain dividend for later use or distribute dividends to shareholders.
2.3.6 Dividend and free cash flow:
Some previous studies have showed that the free cash flow has relationship with
dividend payout ratio. Free cash flow is a measurement of financial performance
calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Free cash flow represents
the cash that a company is able to generate after laying out the money required to
maintain or expand its assets.
According to agency theory, free cash flow hypothesis suggests that firms with less
growth opportunities and more free cash flow should pay higher dividend payout ratio.
18
Amidu and Abor (2006) pointed out that in order to improve the transparency and reduce
the agency costs, the investors want the companies to pay more dividends to prevent
managers from investing excess cash at below cost of capital or spending it on wasteful
activities.
The following table is a summary of the relationship between the dividend payout ratio
and independent variables:
Table 1
Summary of expected relationship of DPR with independent variables
No Independent
Proxy
Variables
Expected
Supporting theory
sign
1
Return on assets
EBIT/Total Assets
(+)
Pecking-order theory
2
Firm size
Log of sales or total (+)
Transaction cost theory
assets
Agency cost theory
3
Growth of sales
Sales growth
(-)
Transaction cost
4
Profitability
EBIT/total assets
(+)
Pecking order theory
5
Financial
Debt/Equity
(-)
Pecking order theory
Transaction cost theory
Leverage
Agency cost theory
6
Free cash flow
Operating cash flow - (+)
Agency theory
capital expenditures
7
Foreign
ownership
Number of common (+)
stock/Total
outstanding shares
Agency theory
19
2.4 Agency theory and empirical studies on the relationship between foreign ownership
and dividend policy:
2.4.1 Agency theory and Expectation of Investors:
The agency theory defines firm as a group of individuals with conflict, contradictory
interests and self-seeking motives. The separation of ownership from management of a firm
creates differences in management/principal and shareholders/agent priorities. This matter
causes individuals to maximize their own benefit rather than maximizing the firm‟s wealth.
Therefore, this conflict brings to firm huge costs in the agency.
Agency problems are the consequences of information asymmetries. Insiders like
managers know much about the current performance while outsiders don‟t. There are two
types of agency costs: the agency cost of equity and the agency cost of debt. According to
Jensen - Meckling (1976), the agency cost of equitycomes from conflicts of interests
between insiders and outside equity holders; while the other arises between equity holders
and debt holders. Jensen- Meckling also pointed out the better informed shareholders have
more benefits than the uninformed shareholders. Hence, increasing managerial ownership
reduce agency problem by decreasing the information asymmetry between the insiders and
the outsiders.
They argue that agency cost is negatively related to the proportions of inside
ownership. Besides, as manager increase their ownership in firms, they are more responsible
for maximizing the benefits of shareholders (Crutchley-Hansen, 1989). According to Bathala
(1990), there are two ways that dividend payout ratio is distributed. The first method is
reaching the firm‟s optimal payout ratio through a trade-off between a lessening in the
agency costs of external equity and an increase in the transaction costs related with outside
financing resulting from the increase of dividend payout ratio. The second opinion holds that
inside ownership and external debt are substitute devices in reducing agency costs in a firm.
20
In supporting the agency theory point of view of Jensen and Meckling (1976), Rozeff
(1982) study the firm‟s first method and builds a model in which dividends are effective tool
to lower agency costs by increasing more expensive external capital and increasing the
dividend payout ratio. To be more clearly, in the absence of active monitoring of a firm‟s
management by its shareholders, dividends provide indirect control benefits. Distributing cash
dividends causes the firms‟ internal funds insufficient. As a result, managers have to seek
external finance which is more effective than internal finance with respect to monitoring and
disciplining management (Easterbrook, 1984).
Rozeff also argues that managers and shareholders have opposite view regarding to
dividend payments. Managers are reluctant to pay out dividends. They prefer maintain
capital under their control to preserve their own interest (Jensen 1986). On the other hand,
the external shareholders who have the conflicting view of dividends can force the firm to
pay out dividends and prevent the managers from excessively retaining cash flow with their
voting power (Easterbrook, 1984). Bhattacharya, 1979 and Miller and Rock 1985 also
support the role of dividend in reducing agency costs and information asymmetry between
insiders and outsiders.
Furthermore, once firms pay dividend, firms have to go through audit process, which
forces managers to disclose information and hence, reduce the agency cost. There are some
models that have built as a tool to protect shareholders‟ benefits. La Porta (2000)‟s model
recognizes the relationship between dividend payment and cost of equity. In this model,
dividend is a factor that have impact on corporate management to reduce cash available in
firms and it is considered as an effective legal protection of shareholders.
21
2.4.2 Empirical studies on the relationship between dividend payout policy and foreign
ownership:
Foreign investors always try to secure their investment by investing in firms that they
are better informed to reduce the asymmetric information costs. Kang and Stulz (1997) have
studied the preferences of institutional investors in Japan. Similarly, Dahlquist and
Robertson (2001) found out evidence that foreign investors of Swedish companies prefer
large size firm with high business transparency, firms pay lower dividends and cash position
on balance sheet.
Another important factor for foreign investors to invest in companies is ownership
structure. It is considered as the heart of the companies. According to Jensen and Meckling
(1976), ownership structure includes internal investors (managers), and external investors
(debt holder and equity shareholders). Abel Ebel and Okafor (2010) classified ownership
structure as the managerial ownership, institutional ownership, state ownership, foreign
ownership, family ownership and so on.
Many existing empirical evidence regarding the relationship between institutional
ownership and payout policy is mixed. Hotchkiss and Lawrence (2003) report that firms that
pay more dividends tends to attract institutions that hold portfolios of higher dividend yield
stocks. They also find that stock returns to announcements of dividend increases depend on
the dividend preference of institutional investors who hold the stocks. Short, Zhang, and
Keasey (2002) study dividend policy in UK industrial firms. Using various dividend models
proposed byLintener (1956), Waud (1996), and Fama and Babiak (1968), they find a
significantassociation between foreign ownership and dividend changes.
Grinsten and Michaely (2005) report that foreign investors prefer dividend-paying
firms, but among dividend-paying firms, they actually prefer firms that pay lower dividends.
They also find that, consistent with a notion that foreign investors are better informed, they
22
prefer firms that repurchase stocks. Their evidence, however, does not support the agency
theory that firms are more likely to increase dividends with enhanced monitoring by foreign
investors. Finally, using surveys and field interviews, Brav, Graham, Harvey, and Michaely
(2005) report that corporate managers believe that foreign investors are indifferent between
dividends and repurchases. They also find no evidence that firms pay dividends to attract
foreign investors or that firms pay dividends so that investors will monitor them.
23
CHAPTER 3
FOREIGN OWNERSHIP OF LISTED COMPANIES ON HOSE (2008-2012)
This chapter will give a summary of top holdings of foreign ownership in listed
companies and industries from the period 2008-2012
3.1 Foreign ownership of listed companies in Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange from
2008-2012
Based on the data provided by Vietstock.vn, there are 277 non-financial listed companies
on HOSE from the period 2008-2012. Overall, the foreign ownership is diversified in
companies in different industries. The portion of foreign ownership ranges from 0% to
49%. Most of the companies have the foreign ownership portion from 0%-5%.
Here are the top holdings of foreign investors in 2012:
24
Table 2
Summary of foreign ownership in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, by Company
Code
Company
Industry
Foreign
MCAP
Ownership
KDC
Kinh Do Corp
DHG
DHG Pharmaceutical Joint Chemical
FPT
Food and Beverage
Foreign
MCAP
49%
6237
3120
- 49%
4750
2330
9524
4723
37.89%
8820
3356
36.48%
7856
2754
49%
48938
23980
33,25%
11607
3859
27,18%
13604
3698
21,52%
70103
15086
12,09%
56037
6775
Stock company
Pharmaceutical products
FPT Corp
Technology
and 49%
Communication
HPG
Hoa Phat Group Joint Stock Manufacturing
Company
PVD
Petro Vietnam Drilling and Services
Well Services Joint Stock
Company
VNM
Vietnam
Dairy
Products Food and Beverage
Joint Stock Company
HAG
HAGL
Company
Joint
Stock Real estate
DPM
PetroVietnam Fertilizer and Chemical and fertilizer
Chemical Corporation
MSN
Masan Group Corp
VIC
Vingroup
Company
Joint
Food and beverage
Stock Real estate
The table provides a summary of top ten holdings of foreign ownership in 2012. The first
three columns present the company and industry it is doing business in. The next three
25
columns shows the firm's foreign ownership, total market capitalization (MCAP) and
foreign ownership's market capitalization. Kinh Do Corp, DHG JSC, FPT Corp, and
Vinamilk are the largest companies in the portfolio held by foreign investors. They
control 49% of the company with a high corresponding investment. As seen in the table,
all top ten holdings are very large companies. It indicates that foreign investors seem to
hold more shares in large firms.
3.2 Foreign Ownership on HOSE, by Industry:
Foreign ownership also diversified in Vietnam industry. The data of 277 companies on
HOSE is presented in 14 industries by market capitalization at the end of the year 2012.
This following table give a glance of top industries that have foreign ownership:
Table 3
Summary of foreign ownership in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, by Industry
Industry
Firms in Industry
Firms with foreign ownership in
Industry
N0
Food
Beverage
and 35
MCAP (%)
N0
MCAP (%)
144430.432
(39.283%)
34
43921.955
(48.256%)
Manufacturing
42
28345.879
(7.710%)
41
7258.789
(7.958%)
Real estate
38
90154.440
(24.236%)
38
14456.922
(15.420%)
Commerce
31
6868.541
(1.855%)
30
725.486
(0.799%)
15679.283
(4.256%)
16
5211.771
(5.67%)
Technology
and 16
telecommunication
26
They are the top 5 holding industries with high proportion of foreign ownership. The
biggest industries on HOSE is “Food and Beverage” with the market capitalization up to
144430.432 billion VND, which accounts for 39.283% the total market. Moreover, the
industry also has the highest foreign ownership by market capitalization, which is
43921.955 billion VND, as of 48.256% of total market capitalization of foreign ownership
companies on HOSE.
Furthermore, the foreign investors have preference of investing in Manufacturing, Real
Estate, Commerce and Technology and Telecommunication. These industries also have
high portion of foreign ownership.
27
CHAPTER 4
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
In this chapter, the study applies quantitative method with Stata and Eview
softwares. This chapter also reviews models and tests that have been used by previous
researchers.
4.1 Data Collection:
The study covers mostly the secondary data of listed companies on HOSE from
Vietstock.vn of Tai Viet joint stock company. Data includes shareholder, ownership
structure, cash dividend payment, percentage of foreign ownership. However, the study
exclude financial companies such as banks, insurance companies.. to avoid the lack of
information from those companies. Therefore, this study only collected data from 277 non
financial listed companies on HOSE. The period that the thesis working on is from 2008 to
2012, in which we had an increase of FDI (roughly 64$ billion) into Viet Nam market even
though the market was going under the economic recession period.
Moreover, the study only focuses on companies that have foreign ownership from 5%
to 49% and completed data from 2008 to 2012. Hence, the study only examines the
relationship between foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio of 95 non financial
companies in the period 2008-2012.
4.2 Model:
4.2.1 Control variables:
28
Firm size:
There are some approaches that were used by other authors to measure the firm size
such as Azhagaiah and Veeramuthu (2010) and Kowalewski (2006). They applied a natural
logarithm of total assets as a proxy for firm size by computing the average of total asset value
and take the logarithm of this value. The total assets are takenfrom the 2008-2012 financial
reports of HOSE listed companies.
Leverage:
The financial leverage is the degree to which a company uses fixed-income securities
such as debt and preferred equity. It measures the long term financial distress of companies.
The more debt financing a company uses, the higher its financial leverage. A high degree of
financial leverage means high interest payment, which negatively affects the company‟s
earnings per share. Debt level can be determined by the total debt to total equity ratio. This
information is gathered from the balance sheets of firms on HOSE.
Growth of Sales:
Growth of sales is the amount by which the average sales volume of a company‟s
products or services has grown. The ratio measures the valuation of the firm. Valued firms
have low ration while growth firms have lower ratio
Profitability:
Profitability is measured as the Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to the total
equity. Anil and Kapoor (2006) indicated that profitability has always been considered as a
primary indicator of dividend payout ratio. In other words, once companies ' profitability
increases, it is more likely that they will disperse dividend to shareholders.
29
Return on assets (ROAs)
It is calculated by dividing net profit after tax and depreciation before interest by total
assets. It is marked as the primary indication of firms to pay dividends. Lintner (1956) found
that the anticipated level of future earnings is the determinant of dividend payment.
Free Cash Flow:
The level of the free cash flow of a firm is an important determinant of dividend
payments. A poor liquidity position means fewer dividends due to shortage of cash. Amidu
and Abor (2006) found a positive relationship between cash flow and dividend payouts.
4.2.2 Independent Variable
Foreign ownership:
This is the percentage of shares that are owned by foreign investors. This research only
focuses on the firms which have more than 5% foreign ownership. According to the Law on
securities, chapter 1, and an article 6: "Majority shareholders mean a shareholder directly or
indirectly owning at least five percent or more of voting stocks of an issuing organization”.
Therefore, foreign investors that hold more than 5% ownership will have more significant
impact on the dividend payout policy of the firms.
4.2.3 Dependent Variable:
Dividend payout ratio is measured by:
DIV per share / earnings per share: ratio of cash dividends per share divided by earnings per
share
30
4.2.4 Model:
𝑫PR = 𝜷𝟎+ 𝜷𝟏. SIZ𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟐. 𝑳𝑬𝑽𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟑. 𝑮𝑶𝑺𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟒. 𝑹𝑶𝑨S𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷5. FCF𝒊𝒕 + + 𝜷6. Prof𝒊𝒕 +𝜷7.
𝑭𝑶𝒊𝒕 + e𝒊𝒕 (1)
𝜷𝟎: the intercept
𝜷1, 𝜷2, 𝜷3, 𝜷4, 𝜷5, 𝜷6, 𝜷7: the regression coefficient
e𝒊𝒕: the error term
4.3 Descriptive Method:
4.3.1 Descriptive Statistic:
First of all, the descriptive statistics is conducted as the discipline of quantitatively
describing the main features of a collection of information. It provides simple summaries
about the samples and about the observations that have been made. That includes: mean,
median, minimum and maximum value, skewness, kurtosis and standard deviation.
4.3.2 Pearson correlation test
Correlation is a technique for investigating the relationship between two quantitative,
continuous variables. The most common method to measure correlation is the Pearson
Correlation. Pearson „s correlation coefficient is a statistical measure of the strength of a
linear relationship between paired data. It is usually denoted by r and is by design constrained
as follows:
-1 ≤ r ≤ 1
Furthermore:
Positive values denote positive linear correlation
31
Negative values denote negative linear correlation
A value of 0 denotes no linear correlation
The closer the value is to 1 or -1, the stronger the linear correlation.
Table
Rule of Interpreting the size of a correlation coefficient
Size of Correlation
Interpretation
0.90 to 1.00 (-0.90 to -1.00)
Very High Correlation
0.70 to 0.9 (-0.70 to -1.00)
High Correlation
0.50 to 0.70 (-0.50 to -0.70)
Moderate Correlation
0.30 to 0.50 (-0.30 to -0.50)
Low Correlation
0.00 to 0.30 (0.00 to -0.30)
Negligible Correlation
Source:
Hinkle
(1998)
4.3.3 Regression methods:
Pooled Ordinary Least Square Regression:
Pooled regression is usually carried out on Times Series Cross-sectional data that has
observation overtime for several different units or cross-sections. However, the model does
not distinguish the difference among the various companies that we have. It assumes that the
intercept value are the same for all cross-sectional units and the slope coefficient of the
independent variables are identical for all individuals.
Fixed effects model:
The fixed effect models measure differences in intercepts for each groups. It is
appropriate to apply when the sample reflects the entire population (Brooks, 2008). In this
32
model, the intercept may vary across companies, but not over time. According to Brooks, we
can define the formula of the fixed effects model based on the original one:
𝑫PR = 𝜷𝟏. SIZ𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟐. 𝑳𝑬𝑽𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟑. 𝑮𝑶𝑺𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟒. 𝑹𝑶𝑨S𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷5. FCF𝒊𝒕 +𝜷6. Prof𝒊𝒕 +𝜷7. 𝑭𝑶𝒊𝒕 +
u𝒊𝒕 (2)
u𝒊𝒕 = v𝒊𝒕 + 𝝁𝒊
𝝁𝒊is the individual specific of all individuals affecting the dependent variable that cannot be
entirely explained by the independent variables. It is measured by dummy variables with
cross-sectional variation in least squares dummy variable approach with the following
equation:
𝜇𝑖=𝜇1𝐷1𝑖+𝜇2𝐷2𝑖+𝜇3𝐷3𝑖+⋯+𝜇𝑁𝐷𝑁𝑖(3)
D1i: Dummy variable that takes value of 1 for the first firm and 0 for the rest.
DNi: Dummy variable that takes value of 1 for the Nth firm and 0 for the rest.
Moreover, Brooks suggests that the thesis should eliminate the 𝜷o and replaced by u𝒊𝒕 to
avoid the multicollinearity between 𝜷o and other dummy variables
The random effects model:
By contrast, when the researcher is accumulating data from a series of studies that had
been performed by researchers operating independently, it would be unlikely that all the
studies were functionally equivalent. Typically, the subjects or inter-ventions in these studies
would have differed in ways that would have impacted on the results, and therefore we
should not assume a common effect size. Therefore, in these cases the random-effects model
is more easily justified than the fixed-effect model.
33
Additionally, the goal of this analysis is usually to generalize to a range of scenarios.
Therefore, if one did make the argument that all the studies used an identical, narrowly
defined population, then it would not be possible to extrapolate from this population to
others, and the utility of the analysis would be severely limited. (Borenstein, Hedges,
Higgins, Rothstein, 2009)
Furthermore, Brooks (2008) said that the random effects model is more appropriate
when the sample is randomly collected from the population. It also has different intercepts
that doesn‟t vary over time and expressed in the following equation:
𝑫PR = 𝜷𝟎+ 𝜷𝟏. SIZ𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟐. 𝑳𝑬𝑽𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟑. 𝑮𝑶𝑺𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷𝟒. 𝑹𝑶𝑨S𝒊𝒕 + 𝜷5. FCF𝒊𝒕 + + 𝜷6. Prof𝒊𝒕 +𝜷7.
𝑭𝑶𝒊𝒕 + u𝒊𝒕 (4)
in which 𝝎𝒊𝒕 = 𝒗𝒊𝒕+ 𝜺𝒊
𝜺𝒊measures the random deviation of each firm‟s intercept term from the common intercept
�0. The difference of 𝜺𝒊in this model and the u𝒊𝒕in the fixed-effect model is that 𝜺𝒊is not
modeled by dummy variables and hence the common intercept is kept (Wooldrigde, 2002).
F test for fixed effect:
The F test is used to test if all the dummy variables in fixed effect model have different
parameters. According to Park (2011), the null hypothesis of F-test is that all dummy
parameters in equation (3) above except one are equal to zero. Alternative hypothesis is
stating that at least one parameter is equal to zero.
𝐻0:𝜇1=𝜇2=𝜇3=⋯=𝜇𝑁−1=0
𝐻1:𝜇1≠0 𝑜𝑟𝜇1≠0 𝑜𝑟𝜇1≠0 𝑜𝑟… 𝜇𝑁−1≠0
If the null hypothesis is rejected, then we need to use the fixed effect model. It is better
than the pooled OLS, otherwise the Pooled OLS is more appropriated.
34
Breusch-Pagan Lagrange multiplier (LM)
The LM test help to decide between a random effects regression and a simple OLS
regression. The LM test, developed by Breusch-Pagan (1980), is based on foundation of the
Lagrange multiplier principle. The null hypothesis in the LM test is that variances across
entities are zero. This is, no significant difference across units (no panel effect) :
𝐻0:𝜎2u=0
𝐻1:𝜎2u≠0
The null hypothesis is in favor of the pooled OLS mode while the alternative prefers the
random effect model. If the LM test is below 0.05 at 5% level of significant, the null
hypothesis is rejected and the random effects are more appropriated in this study. Otherwise,
we need to use the Pooled OLS, which is more appropriate for data set.
Hausman Test:
The Hausman test (also called Wu-Hausmant test) is applied to decide between fixed
and random effects where the null hypothesis that the preferred model is random effect vs.
the alternative the fixed effect (Green 2008, chapter 9). It basically tests whether the unique
errors (ui) are correlated with the regressors, the null hypothesis is they are not.
In the thesis, firstly, we test the LM test to figure out the Pooled OLS and random
effects. Then, if the random effects are chosen, we continue to test the Hausman to choose
between Random effects and Fixed effects
Heteroskedasticity
The OLS makes the assumption that the variance of the error term need to be constant.
Heteroskedasticity is the situation when the error terms do not have constant variance. It
35
doesn‟t result the biased parameter estimates but the OLS is no longer provide the estimate
with smallest variance. In other words, the OLS estimates are not BLUE. One method to
detect the heteroskedasticity is using the Breusch-Pagan test for heteroskedasticity. The ideal
of this test is that the variance of error terms should be constant under the null hypothesis. If
the p value is smaller than 5 percent significance level, then the null hypothesis of
homoscedasticity is rejected. Then, if the heteroskedasticy exist, we can deal with this
problem by using the heteroskedasticity robust standard errors. The heteroskedasticity robust
F statistic is a method for computing F statistics that are asymptotically robust to
heteroskedasticity of unknown form.
36
CHAPTER 5
DATA ANALYSIS
This chapter explains the whole process of analyzing collected data. Firstly, the
variables are calculated in Excels and then inputted into Stata to run tests such as: descriptive
statistic, Pearson Correlation, Pooled OLS, Random effect, Fixed Effect and Robust
regression model.
5.1 Descriptive Statistic:
The following is the table providing the descriptive statistic of total 475 observations
for the period of 5 years from 2008-2012. Furthermore, the table show the features such as:
the mean, the standard deviation, the maximum, the minimum for the dependent variables
and independent variable. The result indicates that the Dividend payout ratio ranges from 1.06888 to 10.37344 with mean value is 0.426458 and the standard deviation is 0.660856.
The gap between minimum value and the maximum value of the DPR represents the
fluctuation in the dividend payment of foreign ownership listed companies on HOSE:
37
Table 4
Descriptive Statistic
DPR
FCF
FO
Mean
0.426458
309535.3
7.64E+11 0.493813 2.098511 0.277708 0.121808 27.84327
Median
0.366838
84089
9.91E+10 0.146791 0.852929 0.200774 0.101529 27.76685
Maximum
10.37344
8310458
9.71E+13 59.25915 52.64417 3.352693 0.609005 31.07415
Minimum
-1.06888
-2068246
0
Std. Dev.
0.660856
861056.4
4.84E+12 3.409237 4.436475 0.360093 0.096426 1.100948
Skewness
8.929472
4.523531
17.24684
14.32298 6.532777 2.736676 0.419098 0.371459
Kurtosis
119.5281
30.99457
335.5763
225.8013 59.75775 28.07719 8.64251
Jarque-Bera
275059.5
17130.59
2212645
998707.8 67136.32 13039.2
644.0305 11.53481
Probability
0
0
0
0
0
Sum
202.5677
1.47E+08 3.63E+14 234.5611 996.7927 131.9113 57.85886 13225.55
207.0101
3.51E+14 1.11E+28 5509.252 9329.417 61.46226 4.407281 574.5288
Sum
Dev.
GOS
-0.91075
LEV
PROF
0.000406 -2.09364
0
0
ROAS
-0.51011
SIZ
25.60315
2.824262
0.003128
Sq.
Observations 475
475
475
475
475
475
475
475
Even though the market had been suffering the economic crisis, some companies still
tried to maintain cash dividend payment to their shareholders. They even kept the amount of
38
the cash dividend payout at the same level of the year they had high earnings per share. Based
on the collected data and the calculated variables, it is shown that there are 2 companies that
maintain paying cash dividend: Nam Viet Corporation (ANV) and Kinh Do Corporation
(KDC) as the following table:
Table 5:
Companies that pay cash dividend even though they have negative EPS
Code
Year
Cash dividend
EPS
DPR
ANV
2008
1800
1487
1.21
ANV
2009
500
-1947
-0.25
KDC
2007
1800
6687
0.26
KDC
2008
1800
-1684
-1.07
For the case of ANV, in 2009 they had significant negative EPS at -1947 and DPR at 0.25. Consequently, they dropped the amount of cash dividend from 1800 to 500 VND.
Comparing with other listed companies on HOSE, the ANV still paid the dividend to its
shareholders.
In other hand, the case of KDC is more interesting. They had negative EPS at -1684 and DPR
at -1.07 but they kept the same cash dividend amount (1800VND) that they dispersed to
shareholders.
Both cases can be explained by the signaling theory. It relates to the psychology of
investors. They consider dividends is a factor to predict the future earnings of company and
how well it performed in the year. Therefore, stop paying the dividend or reducing dividend
is taken as bad news and the stock prices will move unfavorably.
Hence, managers are unlikely to reduce or stop paying dividend to shareholders since it will
affect value of company. They tried to keep the same cash dividend over years even though
the EPS is negative.
39
Minh Phu seafood corporation (MPC) is the company that paid highest dividend payout
ratio at 10.37. It means the MPC company paid cash dividend more than ten times earnings
per share. A sharp decline in EPS is the reason for this high dividend payout ratio.
Table 6
Company that maintain cash dividend as EPS declines
Code
Year
Cash dividend
EPS
DPR
MPC
2011
2500
3934
0.64
MPC
2012
2500
241
10.37
This is one more example to explain the company remains the cash dividend as the
previous year even though the EPS declined or got negative. The MPC's EPS in 2012
dropped down from 3934 in 2011 to 241 in 2012. However, they still retained the cash
dividend at 2500 paid to shareholders. Therefore, in 2012 MPC is the company that had the
highest DPR among HOSE listed companies.
5.2 Pearson Correlation:
Table 4 shows the result of Pearson correlations for pair of variables to check the strength of
linear relationship (multicollinearity)
40
Table 7
Correlation between variables
The result of the Pearson's correlation tests represents the correlation coefficient
between dividend payout ratio (dpr), return on asset (roas), size (siz), leverage (lev), growth
of sale (gos), profit (prof), free cash flow (fcf) and foreign ownership (fo)
In general, the variables have negative correlation with DPR, except two variables: lev
and prof have positive correlation with DPR. The variable that has strongest correlation with
DPR is leverage (lev): 0.32 and the weakest correlation is gos (-0.02).
However, correlation coefficients only show basic the relationship between variables
but not enough to give conclusion about the relationship between variables. Therefore, in
order to evaluate the relationship between variables, more tests need to be conducted.
Moreover, there is no high correlation coefficients since all of absolute value of the
correlation coefficients are less than 0.7. Hence, there is no multicollinearity in this model.
The next part of the thesis is the analysis of the regression model.
41
5.3 Analysis of the result: Regression model
First of all, the thesis conducts the tests: Pooled OLS and fixed effect and Random to find out
if there is any different between coefficients among companies (F test)
Ho: There is NO difference in coefficients among companies
H1: There is difference in coefficients among companies
In case, the H0 is accepted (p-value is more than 0.05), the Pooled OLS is taken as the
appropriate approach for this thesis to analyze the data. On the other hand, if the H0 is
rejected and H1 accepted (p-value is less than 0.05), the Pooled OLS is no longer suitable for
the model. Then, the thesis needs to conduct Fixed effect or Random effect. After that, the
Hausman test has to be run to figure out which one is more appropriate:
H0: Random effects model is appropriate
H1: Fixed effects model is appropriate
If the hypothesis H0 is accepted (p-value is greater than 0.05 - alpha at 5%), then the Random
effects model is appropriate. In contrast, the fixed effect model is appropriate if the
hypothesis H0 is rejected and H1 is accepted (p-value is less than 0.05).
5.3.1 Pooled OLS:
T he result shows the negative relationship between dividend payout ratio and return on
assets, size, growth of sales, profit, and foreign ownership. The leverage, and the free cash
flow have positive correlation with dpr. However, there is no significant relationship between
foreign ownership and dpr.
42
Moreover, at the Confidence interval 5%, only 3 variables that have correlation with the
DPR: size, leverage, profit (since p-values are less than 0.05). Meanwhile, the other variables
are not correlated with DPR (p-values are greater than 0.05)
The coefficent of the firm size variable is -0.0797. It means that as long as the firm size
increases 1 unit, the dividend payout ratio reduces by 0.0797 units. The coefficient of
leverage is 0.162. Similarly, when the leverage increases 1 unit, the dpr increases by 0.162
units. It also happens to profit when it increases 1 unit, the dpr will reduce by 1.146 units.
Furthermore, the R-squared of 22.32% can predict 22.32% the variation in of the
dependent variables.
Table 8
Pooled OLS
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
20.221128
70.3630073
7
357
2.88873257
.197095259
Total
90.5841353
364
.248857514
dpr
Coef.
roas
siz
lev
gos
prof
fcf
fo
_cons
-.1196564
-.079732
.1624887
-.0057423
-1.145584
1.93e-08
-8.66e-15
2.84667
Std. Err.
.3451795
.0270893
.0202739
.0061116
.1926337
3.50e-08
5.33e-14
.7558149
t
-0.35
-2.94
8.01
-0.94
-5.95
0.55
-0.16
3.77
Number of obs
F( 7,
357)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
P>|t|
0.729
0.003
0.000
0.348
0.000
0.582
0.871
0.000
=
=
=
=
=
=
365
14.66
0.0000
0.2232
0.2080
.44395
[95% Conf. Interval]
-.7984972
-.1330067
.1226175
-.0177615
-1.524423
-4.95e-08
-1.14e-13
1.360261
.5591843
-.0264574
.2023599
.006277
-.7667443
8.80e-08
9.62e-14
4.333079
43
5.3.2 Fixed Effect model:
The result of fixed effect model shows that only 2 variables: leverage and profitability
have impact on the DPR since the p-value is less than 0.05 at the significance level 5%. The
remaining variables do not have any impact on the dependent variable DPR.
Table 9
Fixed effect model
5.3.3 Random Effects Model:
In the random effect model, at the significance level 5%, only 3 variables: size, leverage
and profit have impact on the DPR since the p-values are less than 0.05. The other variables
do not have impact on DPR (p-value > 0.05)
The coefficient of the firm size variable is -0.0786. It means that as long as the firm
size increases 1 unit, the dividend payout ratio reduces by 0.0786 units. The coefficient of
44
leverage is 0.162. Similarly, when the leverage increases 1 unit, the dpr increases by 0.162
units. It also happens to profit when it increases 1 unit, the dpr will reduce by 1.185 units.
Table 10
Random Effect model
Random-effects GLS regression
Group variable: firm1
Number of obs
Number of groups
=
=
365
88
R-sq:
Obs per group: min =
avg =
max =
2
4.1
5
within = 0.1820
between = 0.2461
overall = 0.2228
corr(u_i, X)
Wald chi2(6)
Prob > chi2
= 0 (assumed)
dpr
Coef.
roas
siz
lev
gos
prof
fcf
fo
_cons
-.0585074
-.0786307
.1621589
-.0043018
-1.184564
1.50e-08
-4.31e-15
2.816387
Std. Err.
.3583939
.0306433
.0202926
.0059157
.1864393
3.71e-08
5.14e-14
.8525868
z
-0.16
-2.57
7.99
-0.73
-6.35
0.40
-0.08
3.30
P>|z|
0.870
0.010
0.000
0.467
0.000
0.686
0.933
0.001
=
=
.
.
[95% Conf. Interval]
-.7609466
-.1386903
.1223861
-.0158963
-1.549978
-5.77e-08
-1.05e-13
1.145347
.6439318
-.018571
.2019317
.0072928
-.8191498
8.77e-08
9.63e-14
4.487426
5.4 Specification tests:
5.4.1 F-test
After the thesis conducted the Pooled OLS, the fixed effect and random effects, the Ftest will be carried out to find out if there is difference between coefficients of companies. In
this case the F-test result shows that the p-value = 0.0003 (Fixed Effect model), which is less
than 0.05, the hypothesis H0 is rejected. Therefore, the Pooled OLS is not appropriate to be
used.
45
Table 11
F-test
Estimated results:
Var
dpr
e
u
Test:
sd = sqrt(Var)
.2488575
.1657942
.0267437
.4988562
.4071783
.1635349
Var(u) = 0
chibar2(01) =
Prob > chibar2 =
21.59
0.0000
After we find out the model Pooled OLS is not suitable, we continue to conduct the Hausman
test to decide which one is the most appropriate between fixed and random effects model.
5.4.2 Hausman test:
The result of the Hausman test has the p-value equal 0.4963 at 5% level of significance,
which is greater than 0.05. It means that the Hypothesis H0 is accepted and the random effects
model is more preferable than the fixed effect model in this research.
46
Table 12
Hausman Test
Coefficients
(b)
(B)
fe
re
roas
siz
lev
gos
prof
fcf
fo
.1868831
-.0150546
.1622933
-.0021157
-1.355964
1.74e-08
6.50e-15
-.0585074
-.0786307
.1621589
-.0043018
-1.184564
1.50e-08
-4.31e-15
(b-B)
Difference
sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))
S.E.
.2453905
.0635761
.0001344
.0021861
-.1713997
2.43e-09
1.08e-14
.3184207
.0785698
.0153534
.0023952
.0951321
3.83e-08
2.36e-14
b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg
B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg
Test:
Ho:
difference in coefficients not systematic
chi2(5) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)
=
4.38
Prob>chi2 =
0.4963
Therefore, the final model the thesis finds it most appropriate is the random effects model
5.4.3 Random effects model after eliminating unnecessary independent
variables:
The final model eliminates the independent variables that have p-value greater than
0.05 and is conducted with the following result:
47
Table 13
Random Effects after eliminating unnecessary independent variables
Random-effects GLS regression
Group variable: firm1
Number of obs
Number of groups
=
=
368
88
R-sq:
Obs per group: min =
avg =
max =
2
4.2
5
within = 0.1805
between = 0.2253
overall = 0.2056
corr(u_i, X)
Wald chi2(3)
Prob > chi2
= 0 (assumed)
dpr
Coef.
Std. Err.
z
siz
lev
prof
_cons
-.069994
.1547358
-1.160359
2.574505
.0254332
.016807
.1639765
.7084729
sigma_u
sigma_e
rho
.16904419
.40289793
.14968852
(fraction of variance due to u_i)
-2.75
9.21
-7.08
3.63
P>|z|
0.006
0.000
0.000
0.000
=
=
88.08
0.0000
[95% Conf. Interval]
-.1198422
.1217948
-1.481747
1.185924
-.0201459
.1876769
-.8389713
3.963087
The result shows that there are only 3 variables that have impact on DPR: siz, lev and prof
5.4.4 Heteroskedasticity:
The Breusch - Pagan test for Heteroskedasticity is conducted to check for the
heteroskedasticity in the chosen model. The p-value is less than 0.05 at 5% level of
significance, the null hypothesis is rejected.
48
Table 14
Breusch - Pagan test for heteroskedasticity
Since the heteroskedasticity exists in the model, the thesis can deal with this problem by
using the heteroskedasticity robust F statistic.
49
Table 15
Heteroskedasticity robust F statistic
. xtreg dpr
siz lev prof,re robust
Random-effects GLS regression
Group variable: firm1
Number of obs
Number of groups
=
=
368
88
R-sq:
Obs per group: min =
avg =
max =
2
4.2
5
within = 0.1805
between = 0.2253
overall = 0.2056
corr(u_i, X)
Wald chi2(3)
Prob > chi2
= 0 (assumed)
=
=
43.53
0.0000
(Std. Err. adjusted for 88 clusters in firm1)
Robust
Std. Err.
dpr
Coef.
z
siz
lev
prof
_cons
-.069994
.1547358
-1.160359
2.574505
.016906
.0359563
.3639339
.4858553
sigma_u
sigma_e
rho
.16904419
.40289793
.14968852
(fraction of variance due to u_i)
-4.14
4.30
-3.19
5.30
P>|z|
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.000
[95% Conf. Interval]
-.1031292
.0842627
-1.873657
1.622246
-.0368589
.2252089
-.447062
3.526764
After we use the Heteroskedasticity robust F statistic to eliminate the heteroskedasticity
problem, the final regression is:
DPR= 2.57 – 0.069*SIZ + 0.15*LEV – 1.16*PROF
Therefore, there are only 3 variables that have significant relationship with the DPR. The
other independent variables do not have significant relationship with the DPR.
The R-squared is 20.56%, means the model can explain 20.56% the change of DPR
through the 3 independent variables: Size, Leverage and Profit.
50
5.5 Discussion of the result
The random effect model is chosen to explain the relationship between the dependent
variable (DPR) and the independent variables ( foreign ownership, growth of sales, return on
assets, profitability, leverage, size and free cash flow). The value of R-squared in model of
20.56% indicates that the independent variables can explain 20.56% the dividend payout
ratio. Thus, beside the independent and control variables, there may have other factors that
have impact on dividend payout ratio. Based on the result from the model, the foreign
ownership has no significant relationship with the dividend payout ratio.
The result is different from what we expect with the relationship between the foreign
ownership and the dividend payout ratio. As discussed in the literature review, when the
foreign investors want to invest in Vietnamese companies, they consider a lot of factors. One
of them is the information symmetry. To be certain about their investment, they want to
minimize the asymmetric information and agency cost. As as result, in order to attract the
capital from foreign investors, Vietnamese companies are willing to increase the dividend
payout ratio. This argument has been stated by the agency theory and models of Jensen and
Meckling (1976), Rozeff (1982), La Porta (2000).
However, the result of investigating 95 companies with 5%-49% foreign ownership,
shows that the foreign ownership does not have significant relationship with the dividend
payout ratio. This may be explained by the downturn of the world economy in general and of
Vietnam economy in specific. During the period from 2008 to 2012, companies were
struggling with high inflation, slow growth and decreased export. They found it more
expensive to reduce the asymmetric information as well as agency cost to protect the
shareholders by paying cash dividend. However, Vietnamese financial system generally, and
Vietnamese listed companies particularly do not have a strong protection for
shareholders‟benefits . Since the protection is weak, firms hesitate to use dividend as an
51
effective tool to solve the agency problem and the information asymmetry. In addition, in the
study period, the economy was on a downward trend, making it costly to use dividend as a
tool to solve those problem and attract foreign investors. To support this argument, Nicolas
Audier, a member of the Executive Board of the European Chamber of Commerce said that
Vietnam lacked of shareholders' protection policy, "in the global economic recession, the
corruption and lack of transparency are the major problems when investing in Vietnam".
Furthermore, the variable firm size is significant with the coefficient -0.0699, which
means the dividend payout ratio will decline by 0.0699 units when the firm size increases by
1 unit. The coefficient of leverage and profitability is 0.155 and -1.16 has This regression
result is not supported by the transaction cost and the agency cost theory. In the period 20082012, the downturn of economy affected the stock market negatively. Investors, to be safe,
preferred investing in big and reputated companies. However, in the point of view of the big
companies, they want to retain the earning in those years since they do not know for sure how
the market will be in the recession period. Therefore, they do not pay or reduce the dividend
payout ratio to maintain the earnings for a later use when the market gets worse. However,
some othercompanies with high leverage attracts foreign investors by increasing the cash
dividend.
52
CHAPTER 6
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
This chapter gives a summary of results and findings for the research.
Moreover, it suggests some other research directions which may be conducted in the
future with larger samples and in different time frame in the Vietnamese stock market
6.1 Conclusion:
The study is conducted to investigate the relationship between the foreign
ownership and the dividend payout ratio of listed companies on HOSE. The data includes 95
firms that have the portion of foreign ownership from 5% to 49% during the period 20082012. The data is provided by Vietstock.vn of Tai Viet Joint Stock company. The main
purpose of this thesis is to determine the impact of foreign ownership on the dividend
payment ratio of companies. The result shows that the foreign ownership has no significant
relationship on the dividend payout ratio, which is different from the result of previous
studies conducted in other countries. The result may be due to the characteristics of Viet Nam
market during the period 2008-2012. In the recession period, companies were struggling and
found it expensive to reduce asymmetric information by paying cash dividend to its
shareholders. Therefore, companies are unwilling to pay cash dividend even though it is a
powerful tool to improve the transparency of Viet Nam companies and eliminate agency cost
for foreign investors.
However, the result points out the negative relationship between firm's size,
profitability and the dividend payout ratio. As explained earlier, it may be due to the
economic crisis. When the stock market plunged, it was harder for companies to maintain or
increase the earning. Especially, large firms tend to suffer more than small
firms.Consequently, large firms had to retain more earnings by not distributing dividends to
53
shareholders. That is a backup source for them to manage when the business gets worse. In
contrast, small firms using their leverage to pay dividends to shareholders in order to attract
foreign investors.
6.2 Recommendation:
The study covered only 95 listed companies on HOSE from the period 2008-2012.
This was also the time that Vietnamese companies went through the economic crisis with
high inflation, decreased export and slow growth. Therefore, the study does not really reflect
the accurate impact of the foreign ownership on the dividend payment ratio. The future study
should cover another time frame and larger samples to find out a more comprehensive insight
of the foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio. Hopefully, it will give us the general
picture of impact of the foreign ownership on the dividend payout ratio in Viet Nam since the
models that have been applied in some stable economy countries are not suitable in Viet Nam
market, which has lots of different unique features.
54
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58
APPENDIX
Sample of the research
YEAR
COMP
ROAS
SIZ
LEV
GOS
PROF
FCF
FO
2008
ABT
0,074494
26,67953
0,221882
0,497547
0,146152
76825
62040808341
2009
ABT
0,19395
27,00927
0,247661
0,194357
0,247274
68972
80955602520
2010
ABT
0,180213
27,1234
0,269432
-0,19863
0,185393
98271
91271130490
2011
ABT
0,237962
26,8931
0,184371
0,685612
0,244478
132027
42800581800
2012
ABT
0,174552
26,96963
0,227611
-0,35839
0,155786
72672
41580222790
2008
ACL
0,2327
26,69518
1,266375
-0,02708
0,497157
25647
32552280000
2009
ACL
0,112772
27,14317
1,776112
0,337869
0,277722
35040
15825841000
2010
ACL
0,136758
27,31093
1,682235
-0,15607
0,33558
-53602
13128329800
2011
ACL
0,207472
27,39957
1,565001
1,417634
0,520118
141436
13731052400
2012
ACL
0,053838
27,4468
2,400527
-0,17235
0,193154
-12332
13353748128
2008
AGF
0,042423
27,92907
3,690177
0,115925
0,296305
-101871
45791924568
2009
AGF
0,047248
27,82159
1,373762
-0,1569
0,133905
-16999
32678597984
2010
AGF
0,073824
27,93455
2,418927
-0,04497
0,330927
-74188
15828850820
2011
AGF
0,088767
28,17156
3,85748
0,039383
0,553827
-210100
11287237400
2012
AGF
0,06541
28,0789
3,277734
-0,43982
0,370251
105525
8073061006
2008
ALP
0,048032
27,58296
0,624416
0,094256
0,116217
124531
49237493688
2009
ALP
0,054128
27,80969
0,961846
0,730434
0,131553
10075
31525754414
2010
ALP
0,083804
28,07009
1,036929
-0,12991
0,193902
218711
38535223518
2011
ALP
0,061646
28,0676
1,222627
0,380295
0,196933
-161048
22485682500
2012
ALP
-0,02478
28,87907
0,76537
0,948804
-0,04982
1232097
25985395755
2008
ANV
0,073461
28,60929
0,865879
0,011455
0,157474
-706182
2,4543E+11
2009
ANV
-0,0699
28,41952
0,646058
0,579221
-0,13391
218175
79328809800
2010
ANV
0,052149
28,29012
0,447255
0,165388
0,108324
457504
41374151700
2011
ANV
0,044004
28,39813
1,332725
0,130532
0,194027
-18256
8696161800
2012
ANV
0,036644
28,5223
1,577805
0,096046
0,138135
-455327
10801560000
2008
ASP
0,076097
27,06279
2,674343
0,299499
0,371903
-35930
16425864000
59
2009
ASP
0,077491
27,61658
2,198456
0,174293
0,238971
-1727
41451760560
2010
ASP
0,062367
27,71304
4,179165
0,005146
0,344803
-129701
26498466544
2011
ASP
0,063462
27,56657
8,623299
0,199227
0,744647
47608
10649138500
2012
ASP
0,087436
27,43999
5,383572
0,151602
0,703091
60122
13458282642
2008
BBC
0,048074
27,13042
0,522822
0,806793
0,133079
238601
1,04933E+11
2009
BBC
0,089718
27,32559
0,489724
-0,72799
0,150412
156527
2,15351E+11
2010
BBC
0,066255
27,35506
0,640309
-0,08015
0,150246
55098
1,63969E+11
2011
BBC
0,078933
27,39047
1,237892
0,273387
0,362545
-6655
83873598000
2012
BBC
0,042755
27,36755
0,726467
-0,06974
0,126058
-30465
1,27699E+11
2008
BCI
0,074985
28,53535
0,362247
0,685251
0,056026
-261634
6,83392E+11
2009
BCI
0,084401
28,7378
0,499118
0,279421
0,077212
53227
9,66606E+11
2010
BCI
0,09732
28,97947
0,852929
0,187015
0,165707
48476
6,82003E+11
2011
BCI
0,024323
29,08827
2,202139
0,038885
0,096998
-186965
3,16421E+11
2012
BCI
0,094179
28,90373
1,515637
-0,18574
0,30215
-18670
3,64701E+11
2008
BHS
-0,11832
27,11773
0,864247
0,239431
-0,22883
-32297
13245660711
2009
BHS
0,164934
27,50856
0,854595
0,289064
0,271528
79074
22119570200
2010
BHS
0,205086
27,6461
0,866259
0,035218
0,347832
217993
32464917340
2011
BHS
0,181166
27,87924
1,404784
0,27821
0,444877
216508
27742890600
2012
BHS
0,10289
28,37668
3,198406
0,477868
0,451861
-428536
30381549024
2008
BMC
0,389239
25,60315
0,015071
0,50205
0,089867
72648
78840069714
2009
BMC
0,169294
25,74673
0,056917
0,484226
0,046124
13103
72688711500
2010
BMC
0,17617
25,85669
0,233789
0,153425
0,143508
30344
29065196160
2011
BMC
0,448133
26,2745
0,287353
0,223565
0,543586
183653
28570535800
2012
BMC
0,41294
26,32554
0,111962
-0,06631
0,185833
60358
74140891796
2008
BMP
0,219729
27,06188
0,168547
0,412204
0,244368
161433
2,3106E+11
2009
BMP
0,348672
27,43774
0,138929
0,206201
0,262084
432751
5,29114E+11
2010
BMP
0,320582
27,61301
0,07999
-0,00637
0,19424
264052
7,94282E+11
2011
BMP
0,330163
27,78502
0,095683
0,114587
0,31454
368528
5,99968E+11
2012
BMP
0,337563
27,98356
0,095434
0,143014
0,308485
645146
7,62816E+11
60
2008
BT6
0,090292
27,20069
0,512754
0,307223
0,090489
-26309
3,06268E+11
2009
BT6
0,131566
27,44585
0,601249
0,142614
0,160333
345414
65256953000
2010
BT6
0,125777
27,84674
0,955854
0,045135
0,204172
75254
71791380250
2011
BT6
0,080046
28,2139
6,379425
-0,22261
0,700904
-186541
19167988200
2012
BT6
0,088754
28,15738
5,862012
-0,29656
0,73445
-15054
19433200950
2008
CII
0,090139
28,32981
1,064187
3,650171
0,167868
211785
5,15592E+11
2009
CII
0,156495
28,54903
0,434646
1,211251
0,132707
467441
9,3654E+11
2010
CII
0,160958
28,89472
0,768197
-0,44562
0,210715
292809
1,04859E+12
2011
CII
0,05954
29,2404
2,309866
0,00407
0,183556
124687
4,8239E+11
2012
CII
0,11742
29,52379
1,895513
0,146024
0,296546
228162
1,04027E+12
2008
CNT
0,076851
27,77041
11,71412
0,081458
1,07216
-112674
0
2009
CNT
0,06543
28,04518
5,559674
0,083042
0,420927
87874
40728702000
2010
CNT
0,061668
28,26198
8,507941
0,041034
0,606806
-187996
51659292500
2011
CNT
0,095179
28,28775
20,05018
0,355979
2,181831
84154
22634278800
2012
CNT
0,070835
28,1825
25,49613
0,076316
2,080898
35300
15894916010
2008
CSM
0,101975
27,77183
0,539929
0,399311
0,071889
33640
0
2009
CSM
0,326236
27,78147
0,330588
-0,1699
0,206369
539924
1,85705E+11
2010
CSM
0,188649
27,79763
0,374121
-0,18387
0,16483
265914
2,22839E+11
2011
CSM
0,083496
28,05163
2,403987
0,648822
0,338157
-264804
38002305800
2012
CSM
0,224573
28,24461
0,648413
-0,03455
0,305535
516968
55390558600
2008
CYC
0,061338
26,52421
11,02144
0,51635
1,072394
9799
4472223278
2009
CYC
0,024655
26,5764
12,92318
0,826823
0,484767
-14917
3280546230
2010
CYC
0,031914
26,50555
16,80986
0,489432
0,788278
51318
2573806620
2011
CYC
0,030565
26,65291
43,9556
0,331273
1,862529
-29623
1248463000
2012
CYC
0,043507
26,54472
52,64417
0,207914
3,352693
52387
885905281,8
2008
D2D
0,127336
27,06532
0,514434
-0,02797
0,116536
162272
0
2009
D2D
0,081829
27,36469
0,809944
0,129863
0,102797
186597
7798512000
2010
D2D
0,165536
27,43608
1,193015
-0,02886
0,322293
44363
43915152000
2011
D2D
0,081601
27,30264
2,300635
0,251285
0,345383
16676
17643371400
61
2012
D2D
0,067846
27,44979
2,775935
0,591404
0,314864
73225
18766944000
2008
DCL
0,122381
27,03575
0,920281
0,226892
0,220415
220055
21829079803
2009
DCL
0,125715
27,18586
0,612296
-0,07123
0,140465
177962
1,26443E+11
2010
DCL
0,067632
27,39802
1,476433
-0,01584
0,154404
-110171
83996187800
2011
DCL
0,052988
27,45877
3,958878
0,184365
0,288412
-118749
28796040000
2012
DCL
0,123592
27,2244
4,198407
0,116102
0,830165
176388
14731746312
2008
DHA
0,163161
26,42219
0,103382
0,165234
0,256544
98798
60133031193
2009
DHA
0,236723
26,57629
0,063101
0,224305
0,18553
97054
1,54435E+11
2010
DHA
0,186946
26,6557
0,180565
0,176723
0,217859
22358
1,22316E+11
2011
DHA
0,144457
26,66775
0,499727
-0,07123
0,42897
51631
32605345500
2012
DHA
0,062432
26,62642
0,368486
-0,01584
0,155881
21259
35873886279
2008
DHG
0,138883
27,70963
0,158596
0,53109
0,063126
263683
9,82226E+11
2009
DHG
0,271345
28,05103
0,165752
-0,08253
0,135867
667728
1,23496E+12
2010
DHG
0,23968
28,22971
0,164325
0,160892
0,135051
529106
1,51617E+12
2011
DHG
0,247021
28,32202
0,165005
0,901932
0,135068
367865
1,78253E+12
2012
DHG
0,246986
28,49739
0,141393
1,494993
0,12308
780396
2,33851E+12
2008
DIG
0,136833
28,61782
0,381492
-0,0229
0,070591
1021118
4,0768E+11
2009
DIG
0,195711
28,91335
0,247024
0,084928
0,133499
1153887
8,67283E+11
2010
DIG
0,145275
29,07252
0,424132
0,113488
0,149776
-158380
1,02189E+12
2011
DIG
0,038747
29,20292
1,701693
2,99935
0,138016
-489541
3,11797E+11
2012
DIG
0,012084
29,25848
1,523772
0,023889
0,036971
-174122
4,76395E+11
2008
DMC
0,129549
27,14151
0,203969
0,586311
0,114187
23569
3,00406E+11
2009
DMC
0,165277
27,28849
0,199069
0,78643
0,109813
31658
4,2406E+11
2010
DMC
0,166171
27,3655
0,393976
-0,25052
0,227858
61826
2,10722E+11
2011
DMC
0,154714
27,44949
0,694701
-0,66073
0,346657
124523
1,67488E+11
2012
DMC
0,151555
27,46726
0,537932
0,224765
0,249118
99809
2,53071E+11
2008
DPM
0,295022
29,27821
0,034397
0,252496
0,116847
1012936
2,32834E+12
2009
DPM
0,241733
29,47967
0,065157
0,051121
0,118831
3954764
2,60657E+12
2010
DPM
0,260157
29,63501
0,082296
0,028476
0,133656
3662045
3,47284E+12
62
2011
DPM
0,380643
29,86052
0,097657
0,103213
0,391214
4306402
2,17472E+12
2012
DPM
0,334917
29,99003
0,104015
0,406444
0,260482
4033076
3,69757E+12
2008
DPR
0,229015
27,67133
0,325132
0,190132
0,196082
85729
1,74253E+11
2009
DPR
0,189393
27,85121
0,172515
0,220614
0,101742
363181
5,15282E+11
2010
DPR
0,263896
28,14746
0,144123
0,056221
0,151265
869182
9,30088E+11
2011
DPR
0,359559
28,51894
0,24665
-0,53071
0,438875
1509242
7,00054E+11
2012
DPR
0,209764
28,66817
0,239862
4,902485
0,254857
707701
8,51942E+11
2008
DQC
0,032766
28,08512
3,779885
2,132168
0,214304
167243
33731933040
2009
DQC
0,042799
28,10307
1,435312
0,645426
0,109654
62474
88155132000
2010
DQC
0,064265
28,181
2,052736
1,28833
0,240655
169153
21366050000
2011
DQC
0,059773
28,23645
3,816768
0,051949
0,403915
325171
11742523500
2012
DQC
0,060969
28,17104
2,078316
0,038612
0,232803
242129
24987423604
2008
DRC
0,15725
27,1441
1,539233
-0,21387
0,373877
99994
62289265651
2009
DRC
0,520003
27,38901
0,121445
0,34146
0,217498
669837
2,60526E+11
2010
DRC
0,253653
27,69324
0,27019
0,188849
0,219323
221487
2,62786E+11
2011
DRC
0,172311
28,11443
0,942487
0,203819
0,354037
187626
1,40074E+11
2012
DRC
0,171869
28,53851
0,735511
-0,17583
0,239384
845962
3,99783E+11
2008
EVE
0,285972
26,1626
0,121348
0,462451
0,115083
171000
5,7225E+11
2009
EVE
0,262742
26,75581
0,11794
1,547472
0,160035
210815
3,22829E+11
2010
EVE
0,194265
27,22976
0,13741
0,102949
0,188553
219534
3,11226E+11
2011
EVE
0,228254
27,46813
0,378903
0,321653
0,46822
108377
2,02965E+11
2012
EVE
0,109795
27,52489
0,271846
0,109615
0,15142
216291
3,19979E+11
2008
FMC
0,096535
26,53776
1,923719
0,69508
0,341255
84089
11707800000
2009
FMC
0,056384
27,15847
3,698487
0,338167
0,274609
3274
10402608000
2010
FMC
0,092222
26,94181
3,25376
0,063478
0,448576
-52893
6564874500
2011
FMC
0,0831
27,38006
7,655283
0,208411
0,816364
-133647
5350900500
2012
FMC
0,078255
26,85223
3,707034
0,077758
0,440147
216921
4944960000
2008
FPT
0,21561
29,44337
0,45288
0,004298
0,18894
2105282
1,92278E+12
2009
FPT
0,173848
29,97239
0,592539
0,255221
0,160367
1281714
4,39741E+12
63
2010
FPT
0,183781
30,14099
0,582906
0,052798
0,181676
1816624
5,46678E+12
2011
FPT
0,184101
30,33527
0,812106
0,018236
0,256289
3023365
5,09149E+12
2012
FPT
0,185459
30,28491
0,738102
0,230173
0,273378
3278789
4,72334E+12
2008
GIL
0,111666
26,64972
0,427691
0,210127
0,286397
-29556
46853573206
2009
GIL
0,163921
26,80969
0,28323
0,109305
0,200424
116140
1,05007E+11
2010
GIL
0,096599
27,03123
0,601763
0,083309
0,173678
43137
68135963168
2011
GIL
0,130283
27,35929
1,090602
0,745709
0,250707
85877
46200664000
2012
GIL
0,082364
27,51326
1,243906
0,369081
0,164309
-132774
45182503142
2008
GMC
0,133473
25,94877
1,144345
0,845956
0,37432
8965
5642713565
2009
GMC
0,206232
26,07478
0,345406
0,82251
0,17332
25648
19730329557
2010
GMC
0,144646
26,46016
1,059925
-0,00251
0,270468
-10975
14905616473
2011
GMC
0,148231
26,70578
1,795799
0,19893
0,450755
53245
12223329300
2012
GMC
0,147973
26,86711
1,713792
0,787255
0,409085
35838
22747884615
2008
GMD
-0,02403
28,89632
1,046355
0,375468
-0,05976
103950
6,59205E+11
2009
GMD
0,093226
29,1376
0,496524
0,146714
0,112866
909347
9,91049E+11
2010
GMD
0,05641
29,50942
0,725607
0,179857
0,111663
1679367
9,53681E+11
2011
GMD
0,02795
29,55803
1,332271
0,109169
0,10773
253355
4,90116E+11
2012
GMD
0,042739
29,55123
1,110427
-0,06154
0,147786
259091
4,00327E+11
2008
HAG
0,12339
29,81387
0,414088
0,264438
0,09663
19994
1,92808E+12
2009
HAG
0,159963
30,13215
0,335848
-0,00449
0,092478
2013743
4,67455E+12
2010
HAG
0,156146
30,57773
0,433095
0,004927
0,125495
3964656
7,5151E+12
2011
HAG
0,084716
30,8727
1,700322
-0,20616
0,237791
308171
3,01688E+12
2012
HAG
0,0326
31,07415
1,762805
0,395739
0,087867
1680795
3,8594E+12
2008
HAP
-0,07744
27,23645
1,229018
-0,03438
-0,26754
11575
59443627563
2009
HAP
0,084859
27,26267
0,561429
-0,29382
0,162258
9857
88927897068
2010
HAP
0,095922
27,18962
0,430787
1,214922
0,236252
50851
56656925080
2011
HAP
0,028229
27,25658
1,907105
0,186543
0,240726
-38389
8505192300
2012
HAP
0,025867
27,35388
1,602234
1,316861
0,142518
35460
14926212511
2008
HAS
0,06413
26,30668
1,730672
0,002672
0,266044
17360
14098535385
64
2009
HAS
0,034359
26,20824
0,842225
0,727946
0,077838
-16170
23543566900
2010
HAS
0,028883
26,19057
1,121333
0,330441
0,089063
-1619
13283097600
2011
HAS
0,020802
26,09289
1,937766
0,19929
0,126932
-10242
6623540000
2012
HAS
0,031599
26,05155
1,367021
0,017744
0,1628
8669
8288000000
2008
HAX
0,120524
25,88488
1,247135
0,460113
0,359578
77677
16483073142
2009
HAX
0,11955
26,17727
0,857828
-0,09828
0,205209
-3092
27023227426
2010
HAX
0,086293
26,45988
1,681875
-0,28327
0,238908
24453
8076435706
2011
HAX
-0,00177
26,43089
3,594432
-0,14473
-0,00999
-31992
4985721600
2012
HAX
-0,04093
26,17083
3,87999
1,179776
-0,25146
-42280
1235895669
2008
HBC
0,023425
27,78228
2,35049
0,200024
0,111253
-29507
45411235999
2009
HBC
0,062055
27,93551
1,413507
0,189005
0,164163
155243
46988606940
2010
HBC
0,122198
28,27967
1,73604
-0,14006
0,332657
108704
54959119740
2011
HBC
0,100785
28,82051
5,372789
0,728315
0,695554
-78557
31877097700
2012
HBC
0,068868
29,15281
7,077606
40,09874
0,587445
-319609
86561134410
2008
HDC
0,081304
27,05992
2,517329
0,163336
0,261607
44664
11007912960
2009
HDC
0,128212
27,3863
1,190345
-0,08731
0,204131
59818
32146070000
2010
HDC
0,123962
27,74163
0,768889
-0,26069
0,16682
64203
2,15918E+11
2011
HDC
0,082806
27,85792
1,628582
0,785566
0,249838
-62903
1,09298E+11
2012
HDC
0,056089
27,89273
1,82479
0,386815
0,185907
-1736
1,04418E+11
2008
HPG
0,193828
29,36079
0,215748
1,03213
0,176715
1724501
1,47029E+12
2009
HPG
0,154849
29,95764
0,450784
0,671708
0,138079
678040
3,53804E+12
2010
HPG
0,132668
30,33263
0,663833
-0,28171
0,160741
2071251
4,40564E+12
2011
HPG
0,12866
30,49463
1,718881
0,019524
0,405353
1529835
1,97954E+12
2012
HPG
0,091775
30,57629
1,186146
0,377789
0,198313
2883304
3,33436E+12
2008
HRC
0,227144
26,68338
0,172376
-0,05504
0,209069
24298
99690421668
2009
HRC
0,162425
26,80262
0,117588
0,16459
0,109887
76122
1,24668E+11
2010
HRC
0,212456
26,94209
0,088519
0,075045
0,103004
52132
1,06346E+11
2011
HRC
0,230182
27,15371
0,207427
0,156804
0,18105
53990
69695699000
2012
HRC
0,169814
27,2107
0,270074
0,110398
0,174648
26951
34231967603
65
2008
HSG
0,135237
28,40116
1,249817
0,509205
0,270977
72541
34820293095
2009
HSG
0,115111
28,52252
0,527877
0,242157
0,09883
554851
1,71176E+11
2010
HSG
0,09189
29,14595
1,436399
0,102877
0,211602
314931
3,8109E+11
2011
HSG
0,077176
29,40864
4,94048
0,003784
0,545749
320722
1,62479E+11
2012
HSG
0,141265
29,30305
1,707545
0,096827
0,388566
688098
5,71073E+11
2008
HSI
0,101712
27,49099
6,35978
0,263241
0,755735
-216869
2632500000
2009
HSI
0,083178
27,35603
5,560247
-0,10048
0,559115
64710
2949978000
2010
HSI
0,113018
27,13256
4,186901
-0,05607
0,624127
132764
5955950000
2011
HSI
0,092342
27,44374
7,571317
2,66133
0,850789
-131215
7908390000
2012
HSI
0,078443
27,44037
9,8945
0,039486
0,9261
-33471
6230000000
2008
HTL
0,381137
25,72597
0,811979
0,077168
0,630211
1685
23031000000
2009
HTL
0,197183
25,74809
0,802292
0,577867
0,380952
2157
20152125000
2010
HTL
0,095872
25,64222
0,617941
-0,52116
0,182236
37542
18424800000
2011
HTL
0,061199
25,65177
0,739319
-0,35351
0,125833
3812
17268829200
2012
HTL
0,035207
25,6816
1,608701
0,918941
0,149167
-12560
8631840000
2008
HTV
0,029797
25,9785
0,094901
0,052111
0,062919
-8724
12537504000
2009
HTV
0,130752
26,10983
0,08401
0,385118
0,12939
52402
14023227000
2010
HTV
0,08905
26,23405
0,165793
-0,50674
0,143758
27721
3149896000
2011
HTV
0,120253
26,26852
0,40537
0,954032
0,484804
-59449
1120644000
2012
HTV
0,179127
26,41607
0,314386
0,034312
0,411947
-1076
7831756800
2008
IJC
0,123216
27,63737
0,000406
1,089185
0,000118
-164394
9,71179E+13
2009
IJC
0,136663
27,66602
0,347822
-0,85212
0,134407
168312
92769300000
2010
IJC
78665826060
2011
0,103811
29,01605
3,102522
-0,90245
0,402259
2068246
IJC
0,097949
29,10943
0,53988
-0,26959
0,186522
2252632
2,17776E+11
2012
IJC
0,056652
29,15927
0,632548
0,222971
0,103533
41762
2,39646E+11
2008
IMP
0,119559
27,1142
0,095871
0,211629
0,08154
79739
3,77603E+11
2009
IMP
0,112548
27,31832
0,196638
-0,79869
0,083557
10289
4,11202E+11
2010
IMP
0,133907
27,34467
0,225555
-0,16276
0,140241
102380
3,35893E+11
2011
IMP
0,134362
27,4419
0,201548
0,013819
0,188875
117778
2,85808E+11
66
2012
IMP
0,120896
27,48207
0,249999
0,416653
0,176636
121496
2,89137E+11
2008
ITA
0,063118
29,43415
0,418229
-0,14868
0,107675
-42065
1,17785E+12
2009
ITA
0,075611
29,60906
0,305694
0,148952
0,076608
-590225
1,97992E+12
2010
ITA
0,092562
29,82852
0,566169
-0,111
0,147089
-137192
9,67878E+11
2011
ITA
0,022655
29,83538
1,434758
-0,83695
0,092227
468787
3,31662E+11
2012
ITA
0,01427
29,93425
1,961312
0,297208
0,068248
-180007
3,87062E+11
2008
KDC
-0,00313
28,72409
0,486242
-0,2752
-0,00542
66580
6,32134E+11
2009
KDC
0,145039
29,07738
0,368273
-0,20204
0,128013
1241417
1,36227E+12
2010
KDC
0,142157
29,2484
0,227283
-0,23472
0,137363
558627
1,60304E+12
2011
KDC
0,080282
29,3905
0,63057
0,110305
0,150088
928646
1,20416E+12
2012
KDC
0,105953
29,33844
0,229695
0,217677
0,091341
845775
3,13446E+12
2008
KDH
0,028416
27,70844
0,017878
0,177128
0,01345
319345
3,4242E+11
2009
KDH
0,05571
27,78547
0,07752
0,284302
0,032911
-46059
2,96325E+11
2010
KDH
0,1252
28,60462
0,546109
0,225063
0,17641
413394
4,83827E+11
2011
KDH
0,027804
28,51352
1,145797
0,294244
0,079314
-319989
2,18572E+11
2012
KDH
-0,01432
28,37484
2,342331
0,116116
-0,07626
-410481
1,29158E+11
2008
KMR
0,08372
26,31795
2,042565
0,445156
0,555688
26465
48631632
2009
KMR
0,07867
26,97711
1,653719
0,112182
0,431517
181429
10419877550
2010
KMR
0,099943
27,1422
0,883469
0,028134
0,298771
35701
79508321496
2011
KMR
0,038272
27,15876
2,379329
5,051363
0,314067
-4090
29476029000
2012
KMR
-0,00712
27,12571
2,097105
0,636829
-0,05161
53915
26094030610
2008
LAF
0,077138
26,10371
2,26037
0,983497
0,297746
49738
5124314847
2009
LAF
0,155197
26,09557
0,750823
0,492409
0,229997
218670
8298514464
2010
LAF
0,351524
26,5936
0,345109
-0,54312
0,411661
277008
21021025236
2011
LAF
0,068603
27,30756
2,316407
-0,00475
0,234078
-521129
48770568000
2012
LAF
-0,51011
26,18602
2,685209
0,002542
-2,09364
129508
8661842534
2008
LCG
0,167756
27,74659
1,094365
0,429448
0,329671
7767
1,55823E+11
2009
LCG
0,164879
28,16861
0,36272
-0,17594
0,147583
686526
2,8925E+11
2010
LCG
0,145582
28,34892
0,669247
-0,19782
0,23204
94057
1,79051E+11
67
2011
LCG
0,125942
28,43469
2,146144
0,627246
0,59538
201954
50664390000
2012
LCG
0,022752
28,33325
1,943054
0,112289
0,103336
93325
43993090588
2008
LHG
0,29928
27,08241
0,23588
0,119675
0,183817
272182
1,60947E+11
2009
LHG
0,225371
27,6096
0,631864
0,068798
0,255318
82006
1,57853E+11
2010
LHG
0,151333
28,08741
1,138732
0,758827
0,263061
16688
1,61731E+11
2011
LHG
0,091291
28,23139
4,117298
0,188965
0,566003
219165
52552794000
2012
LHG
0,073451
28,14013
2,821505
-0,02844
0,334673
117197
65290031906
2008
LSS
0,126861
27,48866
0,633274
0,345111
0,232124
-35090
8295000000
2009
LSS
0,22827
27,62895
0,251968
0,406686
0,180791
289444
85025640000
2010
LSS
0,260754
28,0692
0,33742
-0,11081
0,379471
654205
1,66719E+11
2011
LSS
0,245463
28,41569
0,774574
0,513688
0,530025
301308
1,42044E+11
2012
LSS
0,052422
28,61537
1,761812
0,146791
0,17646
-32643
1,44213E+11
2008
MPC
0,063948
28,44944
1,615703
1,125032
0,180078
224060
1,02235E+11
2009
MPC
0,153452
28,4296
0,474916
0,051425
0,147185
516173
3,16924E+11
2010
MPC
0,132699
28,99066
1,189454
-0,15854
0,246935
3990
3,28733E+11
2011
MPC
0,107244
29,4756
4,606509
-0,16741
0,663765
-514785
1,84147E+11
2012
MPC
0,071331
29,46679
2,343791
-0,19095
0,214402
-245432
2,49903E+11
2008
NBB
0,081293
27,56544
0,441788
0,209256
0,065915
-160242
1,27281E+11
2009
NBB
0,072466
28,15448
0,990485
0,148275
0,113462
-23538
1,96052E+11
2010
NBB
0,074258
28,48766
1,161939
0,174909
0,129054
-433651
3,19359E+11
2011
NBB
0,04472
28,56433
2,024374
0,252362
0,151008
-113757
2,6215E+11
2012
NBB
0,088936
28,69804
4,121811
1,917937
0,64812
16001
1,41595E+11
2008
NSC
0,140178
26,0378
0,456992
0,698789
0,219634
110823
15152916600
2009
NSC
0,163856
26,23242
0,257814
-0,70309
0,134638
34621
55112958375
2010
NSC
0,1905
26,43695
0,348667
0,239345
0,206365
32361
56788473461
2011
NSC
0,176945
26,61642
0,41483
1,904181
0,184562
49258
1,00721E+11
2012
NSC
0,203747
26,69747
0,323272
59,25915
0,213238
133835
1,13824E+11
2008
NTL
0,082466
27,59637
1,294895
0,1648
0,145423
-148483
72742528000
2009
NTL
0,609005
27,78925
0,264331
-0,25062
0,306342
768664
4,62403E+11
68
2010
NTL
0,365957
28,38949
0,557656
0,174449
0,372199
990194
4,86915E+11
2011
NTL
0,060407
28,34855
1,473525
-0,58735
0,153266
-511987
1,63515E+11
2012
NTL
0,062574
28,15538
0,760501
0,212235
0,1026
-158369
1,71651E+11
2008
PAC
0,191159
26,94967
0,35704
0,156991
0,172904
264165
1,29545E+11
2009
PAC
0,272308
27,23038
0,174416
0,298905
0,120042
197357
4,48605E+11
2010
PAC
0,150545
27,72945
0,511386
0,409837
0,136418
-7777
4,39901E+11
2011
PAC
0,117472
27,80253
1,553914
1,145823
0,339946
135983
1,49988E+11
2012
PAC
0,093412
27,76685
1,520018
12,63962
0,264324
240193
1,43346E+11
2008
PET
0,104307
28,09961
1,483971
0,723361
0,243221
-113749
46730619540
2009
PET
0,077505
28,7604
1,763347
0,57397
0,187936
68996
1,26905E+11
2010
PET
0,083094
29,10829
2,716071
0,641901
0,303037
-224056
1,15059E+11
2011
PET
0,137156
29,04453
3,370277
-0,00525
0,672664
588811
60870816000
2012
PET
0,095874
29,08185
3,363293
-0,02174
0,468557
431775
91056507500
2008
PGC
0,012374
27,34153
0,946865
0,901119
0,037056
-90405
34925000000
2009
PGC
0,081478
27,63509
0,793885
0,272443
0,146312
114375
64607804797
2010
PGC
0,055279
27,83098
1,64936
-0,14302
0,169853
61008
29838394050
2011
PGC
0,059897
27,76393
3,307236
0,090977
0,405305
65679
12872177500
2012
PGC
0,07738
28,04218
2,412661
-0,27993
0,316708
134833
14522039364
2008
PNC
0,034802
26,39369
2,843808
0,485906
0,170719
-17838
27794585000
2009
PNC
0,029042
26,46384
1,751811
0,07074
0,093605
9193
13112207424
2010
PNC
0,050102
26,59941
2,429296
-0,02063
0,199477
-59608
11656142566
2011
PNC
0,040377
26,7068
7,267453
0,01966
0,442477
-27867
3104596800
2012
PNC
0,001128
26,68467
7,099233
0,138858
0,011459
-17375
3283428097
2008
PPC
-0,02752
30,01032
1,207312
0,207799
-0,0487
979660
1,09201E+12
2009
PPC
0,090681
30,09175
1,207884
0,084056
0,172269
2707371
1,08544E+12
2010
PPC
0,018128
30,07696
2,047098
-0,02568
0,054814
411456
6,26252E+11
2011
PPC
0,020546
30,09871
3,859793
-0,19392
0,106122
423930
3,17684E+11
2012
PPC
0,081717
30,12195
2,030111
-0,07069
0,254115
1922824
4,4257E+11
2008
PVD
0,116703
29,7866
0,536581
0,578719
0,089679
2021820
3,27141E+12
69
2009
PVD
0,080662
30,14616
0,7628
-0,029
0,093614
2902845
2,88896E+12
2010
PVD
0,090939
30,31476
0,842239
-0,48773
0,119327
2237124
3,56033E+12
2011
PVD
0,080752
30,5507
1,761907
0,216432
0,214166
3320711
2,36369E+12
2012
PVD
0,104758
30,57985
1,528552
0,295155
0,253249
3485945
2,87975E+12
2008
RAL
0,101446
27,52027
2,173385
0,539631
0,402884
-41259
79746520000
2009
RAL
0,076584
27,67916
1,933111
0,001431
0,244333
115539
30664862800
2010
RAL
0,083834
27,78803
2,978442
0,323226
0,396712
-113060
24708724500
2011
RAL
0,131751
27,96746
3,866295
-0,06918
0,756542
78923
12739461600
2012
RAL
0,124481
28,0571
3,587567
0,207952
0,65513
124407
13791030000
2008
REE
-0,04754
28,5897
0,306025
0,884527
-0,07436
-75738
7,7234E+11
2009
REE
0,145565
28,84947
0,248181
-0,08911
0,136505
810744
1,37642E+12
2010
REE
0,101529
29,23282
0,644132
0,226356
0,159637
503330
1,19807E+12
2011
REE
0,132729
29,29822
0,534999
0,21496
0,262936
1051970
1,17396E+12
2012
REE
0,126934
29,51421
0,580754
-0,19791
0,205492
855102
1,92373E+12
2008
RIC
0,020558
27,57321
0,840606
-0,0276
0,094907
167160
97927648258
2009
RIC
0,051085
27,70496
0,399794
0,177787
0,096519
151675
2,78503E+11
2010
RIC
0,049792
27,77016
0,891129
0,186233
0,223498
152402
1,25461E+11
2011
RIC
0,037698
27,87795
2,444268
0,950842
0,484325
180094
48822444600
2012
RIC
0,021218
27,88799
2,287702
0,06613
0,253017
61714
52459065262
2008
SAM
-0,02552
28,45482
0,077953
4,234058
-0,06397
793414
1,50629E+11
2009
SAM
0,097953
28,61221
0,103917
0,431248
0,139701
192004
2,13427E+11
2010
SAM
0,053455
28,59275
0,138656
-0,16689
0,114354
-45176
1,5916E+11
2011
SAM
-0,06356
28,60097
0,640179
0,389088
-0,2981
-258429
31012894300
2012
SAM
0,056092
28,64488
0,381189
0,131665
0,159729
108581
45588485489
2008
SAV
0,053342
27,07899
2,002393
0,227063
0,215564
-32361
56264299592
2009
SAV
0,043616
27,09581
0,705379
0,323056
0,062672
-10667
1,2286E+11
2010
SAV
0,035593
27,00841
0,685086
0,151205
0,05384
-39346
1,20434E+11
2011
SAV
0,025687
27,17157
1,721942
-0,16531
0,081018
-42353
67461127500
2012
SAV
0,017599
27,24866
5,675614
0,369243
0,172158
6052
20832577605
70
2008
SBT
0,048868
28,19979
0,842949
0,176558
0,226519
69648
41834399728
2009
SBT
0,126547
28,24405
0,393762
0,122456
0,465324
147853
33649171136
2010
SBT
0,199463
28,30237
0,276437
-0,20362
0,645032
534793
0
2011
SBT
0,266751
28,47386
0,307969
0,19783
0,36088
439604
99143711827
2012
SBT
0,188892
28,59967
0,413406
0,045003
0,219167
-210666
2,67464E+11
2008
SCD
0,17853
25,86491
0,329367
0,318009
0,224471
13643
1890400000
2009
SCD
0,213584
25,9996
0,231411
0,228366
0,18276
60939
13390282000
2010
SCD
0,153651
26,03835
0,212753
0,167764
0,131303
13254
19570320000
2011
SCD
0,129484
26,16933
0,616367
0,23249
0,294314
45611
8652960000
2012
SCD
0,142057
26,17278
0,656587
0,02566
0,388812
9493
7658500000
2008
SGT
0,062412
27,8289
0,333641
0,736332
0,046774
149402
3,129E+11
2009
SGT
0,044001
28,33315
0,722033
12,27882
0,050961
480784
2,58004E+11
2010
SGT
0,029929
28,47941
1,647532
0,94699
0,077436
-198920
1,22096E+11
2011
SGT
2,48E-05
28,53241
3,180173
-0,00536
0,000107
206825
76060199600
2012
SGT
-0,03954
28,33995
4,880773
0,170225
-0,24126
-256194
42858208493
2008
SJD
0,115671
27,7622
1,799083
-0,00743
0,308454
165125
1,39087E+11
2009
SJD
0,14648
27,69403
1,045513
-0,02317
0,267572
226812
1,93949E+11
2010
SJD
0,116013
27,66482
1,100351
0,102344
0,257276
174547
1,47303E+11
2011
SJD
0,169379
27,63738
1,303843
0,405272
0,489786
133174
1,11481E+11
2012
SJD
0,184162
27,6454
0,711854
0,249146
0,371941
271769
1,36929E+11
2008
SJS
0,110639
28,09548
0,206236
0,302873
0,081502
-203095
6,28344E+11
2009
SJS
0,290751
28,72913
0,19281
0,303574
0,136221
890229
1,47981E+12
2010
SJS
0,137273
29,12783
0,370908
0,002674
0,099716
1172287
1,89818E+12
2011
SJS
-0,01646
29,24718
1,383936
0,081092
-0,03634
-356333
7,21959E+11
2012
SJS
-0,05468
29,33817
1,813564
0,199345
-0,13828
-524353
3,9785E+11
2008
SMC
0,14458
27,34502
2,147061
0,054085
0,474864
312934
35064763013
2009
SMC
0,068975
28,07771
2,798734
0,052269
0,241138
-324775
57843917035
2010
SMC
0,072076
28,53307
3,512616
-0,10229
0,325277
69439
42934299390
2011
SMC
0,077621
28,49613
9,627737
-0,0188
0,986148
275109
10827340000
71
2012
SMC
0,066497
28,39196
4,203995
0,015798
0,385718
118705
42174358279
2008
SSC
0,203538
25,85656
0,173653
0,382589
0,19175
45445
63540000000
2009
SSC
0,243554
26,17385
0,110478
-0,04323
0,104077
65088
2,07083E+11
2010
SSC
0,242689
26,28437
0,134721
-0,01991
0,162569
45870
1,42515E+11
2011
SSC
0,231769
26,47768
0,202925
0,206216
0,174236
65319
1,07105E+11
2012
SSC
0,191693
26,77304
0,313798
-0,03823
0,164288
23606
1,36204E+11
2008
ST8
0,29126
26,2995
0,518578
0,122418
0,437374
24692
86169541185
2009
ST8
0,282489
26,508
0,231661
-0,16358
0,283847
151463
1,58631E+11
2010
ST8
0,191092
26,58909
0,324397
0,092753
0,245106
53625
1,34766E+11
2011
ST8
0,153535
26,50954
0,382665
0,213745
0,370185
79532
66210903600
2012
ST8
0,208236
26,46007
0,276115
0,454002
0,438993
19866
72070275354
2008
SVC
0,091829
27,94089
3,528156
0,293336
0,548956
124235
35301156710
2009
SVC
0,088532
28,21455
1,08972
0,016249
0,176343
327320
76981167720
2010
SVC
0,073507
28,48855
2,363934
-0,67192
0,277299
-82115
53627144250
2011
SVC
0,087353
28,63336
4,17926
-0,07187
0,54411
463741
36790285000
2012
SVC
0,077998
28,62966
5,330701
-0,65951
0,622854
58583
17064977599
2008
TCM
0,057773
27,89941
5,202097
0,292915
0,418159
240018
16479349700
2009
TCM
0,065138
28,1649
1,701638
0,19329
0,164858
145224
2,14876E+11
2010
TCM
0,156572
28,28014
1,205412
0,161624
0,293549
286377
4,81325E+11
2011
TCM
0,090336
28,35049
3,526324
0,551758
0,493596
-111816
1,82842E+11
2012
TCM
0,01904
28,30692
5,150462
0,041905
0,144244
2129
1,20372E+11
2008
TCR
0,058672
27,7756
8,728903
0,157687
1,069781
132935
31054483824
2009
TCR
0,026117
27,78802
7,863608
-0,04356
0,415648
64489
28941253221
2010
TCR
0,082906
27,73605
6,06425
-0,62486
1,177384
222589
31712359761
2011
TCR
0,072743
28,08811
18,08082
0,226087
2,371968
287565
21874023600
2012
TCR
0,022994
28,12919
22,17686
0,168094
0,871031
-20190
21288072344
2008
TDH
0,196922
27,99078
0,587501
0,084501
0,389395
454374
2,61898E+11
2009
TDH
0,195173
28,23722
0,326641
0,039748
0,211519
201956
6,7868E+11
2010
TDH
0,144884
28,48027
0,649674
0,121372
0,259223
103980
4,35383E+11
72
2011
TDH
0,0546
28,44889
1,969606
0,108122
0,286503
-52935
1,2588E+11
2012
TDH
0,037055
28,42691
1,74791
-0,21942
0,179208
4844
1,25204E+11
2008
TDW
0,046627
26,21789
1,463334
-0,00922
0,111255
32589
30600000000
2009
TDW
0,058349
26,29622
2,005176
0,198256
0,190192
34199
30466975000
2010
TDW
0,090995
26,42314
2,453877
0,289665
0,359445
74636
22785780000
2011
TDW
0,085159
26,5324
3,32456
-0,47833
0,439412
87307
20115376000
2012
TDW
0,090074
26,50377
1,358337
0,008091
0,199569
89206
46403880000
2008
TIX
0,030444
27,79174
1,000368
0,281158
0,045836
84128
1,34316E+11
2009
TIX
0,066467
27,70526
0,86728
-0,01319
0,094694
21807
1,33367E+11
2010
TIX
0,097122
27,76303
1,212915
-0,04762
0,200774
255510
1,14414E+11
2011
TIX
0,151831
27,69549
1,35243
1,175084
0,390031
251512
91054536400
2012
TIX
0,140696
27,63212
1,054317
0,288739
0,308882
174276
1,02919E+11
2008
TMS
0,163251
26,145
0,140548
0,531708
0,146206
37597
1,23799E+11
2009
TMS
0,098176
26,85281
0,364458
0,241165
0,135233
153627
1,37484E+11
2010
TMS
0,105427
27,12242
0,388187
0,130126
0,128816
70362
1,87124E+11
2011
TMS
0,114692
27,19762
0,360043
0,096913
0,150684
106354
1,93815E+11
2012
TMS
0,116296
27,35088
0,321898
-0,05598
0,157386
169916
2,18888E+11
2008
TRA
0,174068
26,60748
0,318121
0,310399
0,186149
2971
35044800000
2009
TRA
0,182087
26,73299
0,192701
0,707682
0,117316
-3575
81319231000
2010
TRA
0,174945
27,08434
0,354193
-0,08503
0,156136
90669
1,54686E+11
2011
TRA
0,174112
27,45481
0,905579
0,88362
0,327707
188702
1,61471E+11
2012
TRA
0,215307
27,599
0,425103
-0,03919
0,194232
185827
4,79991E+11
2008
TRC
0,306575
27,21652
0,249426
-0,01178
0,277841
56296
1,59651E+11
2009
TRC
0,208495
27,39637
0,106063
0,046772
0,094763
250679
4,51678E+11
2010
TRC
0,291642
27,68451
0,134999
-0,08909
0,144445
510922
6,98556E+11
2011
TRC
0,387549
28,01714
0,338445
0,144606
0,560654
625042
3,21713E+11
2012
TRC
0,263616
28,0263
0,138867
1,754638
0,309175
79549
3,83345E+11
2008
TS4
0,055041
26,22311
1,113457
0,139926
0,172802
25308
22458624804
2009
TS4
0,084527
26,62794
0,579707
0,383442
0,092654
7488
60878802250
73
2010
TS4
0,094886
27,03187
1,207665
-0,12622
0,205072
23456
31938654800
2011
TS4
0,099131
27,28462
4,866216
0,219349
0,7345
-55152
12034120200
2012
TS4
0,067971
27,54294
6,533103
0,003149
0,608109
-163645
12537875000
2008
TTF
0,066028
28,18918
5,244171
0,008763
0,569783
-146984
64921500000
2009
TTF
0,051448
28,40865
2,714846
0,019327
0,205068
-481187
87390876300
2010
TTF
0,086847
28,60581
3,421339
-0,03924
0,427776
-117066
55842711925
2011
TTF
0,077834
28,8361
14,02279
-0,13929
1,433023
-328184
14614115000
2012
TTF
0,071141
28,82426
12,2315
-0,36475
1,145848
51050
6326551012
2008
TTP
0,162662
26,90613
0,276278
0,456922
0,307174
199666
58610242185
2009
TTP
0,1814
27,00989
0,133718
0,201807
0,154719
94988
2,22977E+11
2010
TTP
0,151273
27,20852
0,30891
-0,30675
0,196716
41005
1,78848E+11
2011
TTP
0,118896
27,19498
0,297817
-0,16121
0,183041
161915
65516668000
2012
TTP
0,083441
27,22889
0,245921
-0,21045
0,097918
29419
73985990135
2008
TYA
-0,1276
27,21642
7,813876
0,063669
-1,42552
157177
12311287772
2009
TYA
0,045306
27,13869
8,394312
0,288244
0,551543
125178
10299866130
2010
TYA
0,03655
27,38904
17,0981
0,23007
0,857281
97201
7487079420
2011
TYA
0,055981
27,23259
28,41729
0,393413
2,495298
11952
2549774700
2012
TYA
0,069877
27,17503
17,7316
0,182676
2,205345
144048
3229278028
2008
VHC
0,108675
27,8259
1,408744
0,961553
0,231681
-173296
58995000000
2009
VHC
0,190852
28,04727
0,518126
-0,40259
0,17863
563070
3,19891E+11
2010
VHC
0,174335
28,231
0,601721
2,416319
0,228369
418464
3,17671E+11
2011
VHC
0,22866
28,50966
0,822051
0,260053
0,411118
400236
3,39592E+11
2012
VHC
0,107259
28,75386
1,421139
0,163951
0,28079
278061
3,05023E+11
2008
VNM
0,234338
29,41726
0,085966
0,403472
0,096116
1725823
6,48545E+12
2009
VNM
0,322801
29,76897
0,075582
0,097544
0,10393
4871014
1,16185E+13
2010
VNM
0,395189
30,00807
0,092497
-0,18863
0,14021
3492370
1,39675E+13
2011
VNM
0,320415
30,37718
0,064557
0,0021
0,103795
6923939
2,35709E+13
2012
VNM
0,351956
30,61153
0,08592
1,872639
0,141664
8310458
2,39797E+13
2008
VNS
0,121503
27,57288
1,357682
-0,91075
0,37885
134060
25267100000
74
2009
VNS
0,137692
27,90075
0,682601
0,071532
0,203066
330059
41173896000
2010
VNS
0,181907
28,19733
1,027281
0,279162
0,352558
374311
1,78332E+11
2011
VNS
0,169319
28,21207
1,453184
0,156994
0,475989
266439
1,28881E+11
2012
VNS
0,177815
28,20883
1,113536
-0,10317
0,419167
498597
2,31412E+11
2008
VSC
0,272478
26,80599
0,347754
0,025791
0,271473
141962
83218768524
2009
VSC
0,27186
27,19615
0,288039
0,023932
0,225743
263443
2,06277E+11
2010
VSC
0,265205
27,42224
0,357609
-0,37067
0,283978
349482
3,71383E+11
2011
VSC
0,280788
27,47663
0,340542
0,516382
0,38289
185482
3,07928E+11
2012
VSC
0,276171
27,68414
0,36792
-0,39915
0,360581
233780
3,9577E+11
2008
VSH
0,153358
28,54059
0,088708
0,505601
0,09892
553359
1,07949E+12
2009
VSH
0,152525
28,57918
0,092461
-0,03888
0,114295
534881
8,35429E+11
2010
VSH
0,108321
28,7392
0,234155
-0,18508
0,128289
437818
4,89935E+11
2011
VSH
0,109936
28,83871
0,58475
-0,57797
0,214872
200093
3,65224E+11
2012
VSH
0,079753
28,84961
0,438718
0,402055
0,126987
362369
5,29797E+11
75
[...]... 3.1 Foreign ownership of listed companies in Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange from 2008-2012 Based on the data provided by Vietstock.vn, there are 277 non-financial listed companies on HOSE from the period 2008-2012 Overall, the foreign ownership is diversified in companies in different industries The portion of foreign ownership ranges from 0% to 49% Most of the companies have the foreign ownership portion... influence the company to pay more dividends 1.4 Research Questions: This research is conducted to mainly answer the only one question: " Is there any relationship between foreign ownership and dividend payout policy of listed companies on HOSE in the 2008-2012 period? Is it a positive or negative relationship" 1.5 Research Objectives: 3 This paper will examine the impact of foreign ownership ondividend... between foreign ownership and cash dividend payout policy of listed companies on HOSE that have more than 5 percent foreign ownership on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) The data is collected from Vietstock.vn consisting of 95 companies with 5% to 49% foreign ownership on HOSE during the period of 2008-2012 After conducting some tests and models to find out which ones are the most suitable, the study... year Dividend payout policy is a managerial policy for a company to determine how much companies will contribute to shareholders in dividend and how much they are to retain for growth and reinvestment To fully understand the relationship between the foreign ownership and dividend payout policy, the thesis will review the literature on dividend payout policy, the foreign ownership and its effects to the. .. limitation Chapter 2: Literature Review This chapter will review previous empirical studies and theories related to the topic that have been done in the past It also presents definitions and arguments around the relationship between foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio Chapter 3: Overview of foreign ownership of listed companies on HOSE: 4 This chapter will give the situation of foreign ownership of. .. the impact of foreign ownership on dividend payout policy will help to understand the relationship of foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio Moreover, the study helps investors to have the best glance about how foreign ownership reacts in an emerging market as Viet Nam The study also aims to find out if the companies with higher dividend payout policy attracts foreign investors or foreign investors... that there is a connection between ownership structures, especially foreign ownership and payout policy In Viet Nam, foreign ownership is gaining momentum because the Vietnamese government is loosening the room of foreign investors Currently, the room for foreign investor in a listed company is 49% of total ownership of a company It is projected to increase to 60% for the foreign ownership limit in non-banking... order theory Transaction cost theory Leverage Agency cost theory 6 Free cash flow Operating cash flow - (+) Agency theory capital expenditures 7 Foreign ownership Number of common (+) stock/Total outstanding shares Agency theory 19 2.4 Agency theory and empirical studies on the relationship between foreign ownership and dividend policy: 2.4.1 Agency theory and Expectation of Investors: The agency theory... ondividend payout policy Data will be collected from listed companies on HOSE from 2008-2012 period The study will also clarify the relationship between foreign ownership and dividend payout policy is positive or negative 1.6 Scope and Limitation of the Research Data is collected from listed companies on HOSE, which is the largest stock exchange in Viet Nam The data is synthesized and analyzed on public figures... Companies that have higher foreign ownership are more likely to pay dividends Finally, foreign investors prefer cash dividends to reduce the information asymmetry and agency cost Therefore, there is a relationship between foreign ownership and dividend payout ratio, in which dividend is a tool to reduce the asymmetric information Hence, the study is conduct to investigate the relationship between foreign ... participate in the final thesis defense Approved by The Effect of Foreign Ownership on Dividend Policy The case of listed companies on HOSE In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements of the Degree of MASTER... Overview of foreign ownership of listed companies on HOSE: This chapter will give the situation of foreign ownership of listed companies on HOSE from 2008-2012 period It has a summary of companies. .. Title of Thesis: The effect of Foreign Ownership on Dividend payout policy: The case of listed companies on HOSE Advisor: Ph.D NGUYEN KIM THU I assure that the content of this thesis has been
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