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strengthened role of local governments Municipalities; improvement in regional planning instruments and processes; improvements in urban information systems; internalization of externa

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Urban Transportation, Land Use, and the Environment in Latin America:

A Case Study Approach

A Case Study Approach

Lecture 11:

Lecture 11:

The Santiago Metropolitan Area

The Santiago Metropolitan Area

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Transport System: Brief History

Transport System: Brief History

z Horse trams and steam trains (to San Bernardo and

Puente Alto) by turn of Century

z By 1930s, city has one of most extensive electric

tram networks in South America

z By 1960s (first land regulatory plan)

Kennedy (East to Las Condes) and the PanAmerican

Highway

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3

Policy Context

Policy Context

z Urban Policy

z Specific policy interests fluctuating in time with politics

access to goods and services; economic growth and modernization;

more a balanced distribution of population and economic activity across the country (CED, et al., 1994)

strengthened role of local governments (Municipalities);

improvement in regional planning instruments and processes;

improvements in urban information systems; internalization of external costs, promoting the use of non-motorized transportation and shorter trips, densification and mixing of land uses, “sub-

centers”)

prevails

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Policy Context

Policy Context

z Urban Transport Policy

government levels

later SECTRA, is born

(engineering approach); little consideration to land use alternatives as management option

by different apparent “schools of thought” prevailing among institutions

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5

Today’s Transport Modes &

Infrastructure

Infrastructure

z Cars, Buses (Micros), Trucks Taxis, fixed route taxis

(colectivos), Metro, Suburban Rail, Walk, Bike

z Approx 4,700 kms of roadways

z Two Segregated Busways

z Differentiated and (in city center)

segregated bus stops

z 3 Metro Lines: 40 kms, 51 stations, 68

trains, built at $1.6 billion (US$1999)

z Suburban Rail: 9 stations, 85 kms south to

Rancagua

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NMT Facilities

NMT Facilities

well-signaled pedestrian facilities increasingly common (especially

in heavy commercial areas)

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to the East (Las Condes)

suburbs

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Major Recent Projects in RM

Major Recent Projects in RM

78 (Autopista del Sol)

to Port of San Antonio

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10

System Management

System Management

z UOCT (Operative Traffic Control Unit)

control (SCOOT); 4% sensor-activated

z One-way streets during peak periods

Circula, in place since late 1980s

z Includes private cars, trucks, school buses, taxis, buses & trucks (during off peak periods) w/out advanced pollution control techs

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System Management

System Management

z Using pollution as a force for

“immediate actions” March –

December:

Peak added during pollution

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12

Bus System History

Bus System History

z 1970s: Strong state intervention

under government control

z 1979-1982: Complete deregulation

z 1982-1988: Partial re-regulation

z 1988: Complete deregulation, again

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control of fares and entry (self-regulating “mafia”), old

vehicles, poor maintenance, devastating public image (in

face of motorization)

million per year in excess fuel, 10% excess of PM emissions

(77-87)

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14

Early 1990s: The Process of Bus

System Reform

System Reform

The Early 1990s – process of reform

z Purchase of oldest vehicles on street

z 18-year old age limit established

z Emissions standards

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1990 – – The Legal Foundation

where congestion, pollution, and/or safety

concerns exist

Regulated Area

Concessioned Services

Non-Concessioned Services

Source: Dourthe et

al., 2000

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16

Concession Basis

Concession Basis

z Routes and Frequencies – Bid must present a fleet

consistent with these requirements

z Vehicle Age – lower average age, greater points

buses meeting EPA standard

z Vehicle Capacity – higher avg capacity, more points

z Formalization of the operators – with clearly

defined legal representative

z Fares – in bid, operator chooses from four possible

fares, lower far, greater points

includes the variation in fuel, tire, labor, US & Brazilian

exchange rate & other costs (adjustment indices come from

independent agency – INE)

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Concession Stages

Concession Stages

z 1992 – 36 month term

technology and driver remuneration

z 1998 – 60 month term

technology, with automatic transmission, A/C, and minimum fleet % using CNG had right to:

– increase fare by 10% after 1 st year, – in the fourth year, extend by an additional five years the term of the concession

vacation periods) – allow predetermined frequency adjustments

on demand changes over time

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18

Results

Results

z “Regulated Area” now 270 km2

z Reduction and modernization of the fleet

z Improved Service Quality

comfort, cleanliness, safety, uniformity of service and

information

z Pollution > one-half buses comply with EPA-91/94

z Modernization of buses operators

z Fare Stabilization and De-politicization

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Evolution in Bus Fares

Evolution in Bus Fares

Note: Concessioned buses entered into service at the end of

1991 For the years, 1993, 94, 95, 96 the values are annual

average (f are varied during the year)

Source: Dourthe et al., 2000

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21

Bus Concessions: Some Comments

Bus Concessions: Some Comments

z Fare Reductions: Actually began before concession

contracts in place (10/92)

z Current & Future competition?

operators

z Despite reduced bus fleet size, still apparent excess

capacity

z Safety, Security

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Passenger Travel Demand

Passenger Travel Demand

Trips by Purpose

peak periods; others constant across day

Bus Auto Metro Walk Others

Modes by Trip Purpose

1991 (last O-D survey)

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23

Vehicle Fleet

Vehicle Fleet

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

Fleet Growth Rates: 1986-1996

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Wealth, Motorization, Mode Share

Wealth, Motorization, Mode Share

Motorization Rate & Income

z Kain & Liu (1994)

vehicle ownership

1998 data for entire RM

increases with Avg HH income

at elasticity of 0.82 (r 2 =70) Motorization Rate & Mode Share

z Kain & Liu (1994)

0.80 and long term of 1.22

Suggesting that today’s auto mode share roughly 22%-24% of all trips

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25

Motorization Rate, Mode

4.2%

1.7 0.95

Motorized

Trips/Capita

4.4%

2.13 1.14

Autos/ 1000

Population

Annual Growth

1991

1977

Source: SECTRA, 1991

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Income, Motorization, Mode Share – –

What Future the Bus?

What Future the Bus?

Source: Farah, et al, 1993

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27

Bus System – – Ongoing Challenges Ongoing Challenges

Specific to Private Sector Ownership-Operations

z Often long, torturous routes, with duplication on dense corridors

Challenges to the System in General

**For how much longer will the private operators be viable?**

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Bus System, Suburbanization, Equity

Bus System, Suburbanization, Equity

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A vg Daily P assengers (,000s)

mode share goes up to 76% (Metro 52%, bus 24%) (Metro, 2000)

transport mode share positively correlates with Metro presence

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Metro: Performance Indicators

Metro: Performance Indicators

– Incomes: fare, publicity, rent (locales in stations)

– Costs: personnel, energy, maintenance,

depreciation

– Peak demands on Line 1 approach 70% of system

theoretical capacity (50,000 pax/hour/direction)

– Lines 2 and 5 less than 30%

– Remember Mexico City?

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31

– Line 2 reaches this level only at terminal stations

– Line 5 only at southern terminal station

Line 1 Line 2 Line 5

U de Chile (CBD) Esc Militar

(Eastern Terminus)

La Florida (Southern Terminus)

Lo Ovalle (Southern Terminus) Cal y Canto

(CBD Terminus)

savings measures (initial

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Metro: Service Integration

Metro: Service Integration

colectivos provide important peak feeder

service

– 8-9 AM: 26% and 13%, respectively

– 6:30 – 10 PM: 23% and 16%, respectively

future expansion plans (so-called

mini-extensions)

– Hope, in part, to attract private capital

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34

Bellavista

Bellavista de La Florida de La Florida

Metro expropriated land for a Metrobus transfer station and then, via a concession, granted development rights to a supermarket chain

transfer station in return for the rights to use the surface above for 40

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Other Travel Modes

Other Travel Modes

z ~3% (& growing) of trips are school bus trips

today

suburbs

z Walking accounts for 20% of trips

z Despite favorable topography, climate bike use low

(1.6% all trips)

Primarily replacing bus trips

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36

Transport, Land Use, Urban Form - Roads Roads

z Anecdotally, road investments have played/

important role in development

z Highways “cause” expansion?

road infrastructure expansion

accelerated

currently constrained by lack of road infrastructure

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Transport, Land Use, Urban Form - Metro Metro

z Eastern portion of Line 1 coincided with urban

transformation and densification (Providencia, Las

Condes corridor)

southeast suburbs

z Line 2 criticized for not generating land effects

z Line 5 – too soon to judge?

z Kain & Liu (1994): Metro encourages suburbanization

transport investments

importance of CBD?

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38

Transport, Land Use, Urban Form

Transport, Land Use, Urban Form

– Air pollution, noise, accidents

through the intermediate comunas

– Does the increased accessibility implied by this

traffic more than offset than negative effects?

– Or, is it further fueling urban outgrowth?

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Land Use, Urban Form, Transportation

Land Use, Urban Form, Transportation

z Predominant urban form of Greater Santiago (remember last week’s slides on land uses)

school, and shopping trips from lower income neighborhoods

to upper income neighborhoods

z Jobs/Housing Balance (1991) (Kain & Liu, 1994)

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40

Land Use, Urban Form, Transportation

Land Use, Urban Form, Transportation

Recent Trends (as seen last week)

– Providencia, Las Condes, Vitacura (East)

– Huechuraba, Quilicura (North) and Pudahuel

(West, near airport)

– Potential to reduce suburb-center city travel

– Potential to increase suburb-suburb travel

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Land Use, Urban Form, Transportation

Land Use, Urban Form, Transportation

z The Local factors (3 D’s)

Gakenheimer, 2000)

walking

– Implies that the poorer comunas (walking-dependent) have lower

levels of overall accessibility

z More detailed, micro-level data required for more

conclusive analysis

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and – virtually – Ozone

– Especially since ozone is apparently NOx­

constrained

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Transport and Air Pollution in RM

Transport and Air Pollution in RM

1546

7192

86*

All Vehicle Types

0.4

0.3

0Motorcycles

52

132

3Buses

64

208

2Trucks

.55

411

.1Taxis

334

3472

1.5Cars and Light Trucks

VOCs NOx

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45

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Cd de México

Note: Various years b/w 1995-98

Source: Lents, et al, 1999

Number of Times Norm Exceeded in One Year

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47

RM Air Pollution in an

International Context

International Context

Note: Various years b/w 1995-98

Source: Lents, et al, 1999

Maximum Pollution Levels Reached

Cd de México

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RM Air Pollution in an International Context

International Context

Source: Lents, et al, 1999

US Cities & Santiago: Maximum CO Levels Reached

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49

RM Air Pollution in an International Context

International Context

Source: Lents, et al, 1999

US Cities & Santiago: Maximum Ozone Levels Reached

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

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RM Air Pollution in an International Context

International Context

Source: Lents, et al, 1999

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51

RM Air Pollution in an

International Context

International Context

Source: Lents, et al, 1999

Percentage Contribution of Mobile Sources

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Air Pollution Progress

Air Pollution Progress

z Ozone – more persistent, considerably varied

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PM 10 10 Concentrations – –

Average Annual

Average Annual

Source: www.conama.cl/rm

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T, L-U, Environment – – Other Concerns Other Concerns

wetlands, loss of fragile foothills

industrial sewage, nitrate deposition, groundwater

depletion (esp Chacabuco)

principal arterials at risk of hearing loss (as of 1989)

noise

landfills, but most industrial waste disposed illegally,

waste growing 2% year

to open space (40% less than international norms)

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58

The Public Intervention Space

The Public Intervention Space

– Transport System Impact Studies,

Environmental Impact Studies, Urban Impact

Studies

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Public Finance

Public Finance

Central Government

z 95% of all taxes collected

z Major investor, redistributive role, rule-setting role for Municipal government revenue-raising

taxes; 30% through income taxes; 12% through

customs duties

Regional, Municipal governments

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60

Public Finance

Regional Government

z Redistributional

z Assigned to Ministry and Region, GoRe determines where to spend from Ministry-approved projects in roads, housing

z To be funneled through regional governments to Municipalities

investments in RM

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Public Finance

Public Finance

Municipal Government

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62

Public Finance

Public Finance

Transport Finance

than cover expenditures

possibly increasing in future

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Plans

z PRDU (Regional Plan for Urban Development

z Inter-Comunal (PRMS), 1960, 1994, Modifications

infrastructure rights of way

zones, establishes greenspaces, preservation zones, “sub” centers

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z Do financial pressures/interests over-ride all

plans?

z What about coordination with other plans (i.e.,

various transport plans, environment plans)

z What about the PRI being developed for the South

of the RM?

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The Growth Boundary

The Growth Boundary

z In 1994 PRMS, modified in 1997 with Chacabuco

z Existence too short to gauge true impacts on land

markets

z Probably slowed growth that otherwise might have

occurred

z Future role: depends on future modifications…

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