Reversal Short Financial Success Strategies_12 pdf

Questions and answers 283 Chapter 11 questions 1 Coca-Cola’s earnings prospects are good, but the stock market as a whole has been bearish and volatile lately. The market could rally, or it could retrace to recent lows, dragging Coca-Cola along with it. The stock price is 52.67, and the following August options are listed with 90 days until expiration: Coca-Cola at 52.67 August options with 90 days until expiration: Coca- Cola strike 45.00 47.50 50.00 52.50 55.00 57.50 60.00 Calls 4.04 2.52 1.45 0.79 0.34 Puts 0.82 1.30 2.05 2.90 4.25 (a) i) What is the cost of the August 52.50 straddle? ii) At expiration, what is the upside break-even level? iii) What is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum profit? v) What is the maximum loss? vi) What is the profit/loss if the stock closes at 57.50 at expiration? (b) i) What is the cost of the long August 50–55 strangle? ii) At expiration, what is the upside break-even level? iii) What is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum profit? v) What is the maximum loss? vi) What is the profit/loss if the stock closes at 47.50 at expiration? (c) Why is the 50 put priced higher than the 55 call? 2 In the UK, the outlook for Sainsbury during the next several months is for continued good, but not spectacular, trading, and you expect the shares to be stable. The implied volatility for the options is 38 per cent, down from over 50 per cent. It is November, and the January options are entering their accel- erated time decay period. Sainsbury is trading at 537.5, and the following options prices are listed: Sainsbury at 537.5 January options with 70 days until expiry: 284 Questions and answers Strike 420 460 500 550 600 650 700 Calls 34 17.5 8 3 Puts 3 8 17.5 39.5 i) What is the income from selling the January 500–600 strangle? ii) At expiry, what is the upside break-even level? iii) What is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum profit? v) What is the maximum loss? Chapter 11 answers 1 (a) i) 2.52 + 2.90 = 5.42 ii) 52.50 + 5.42 = 57.92 iii) 52.50 – 5.42 = 47.08 iv) upside unlimited; downside, value of the stock v) 5.42 vi) [57.50 – 55] – 5.42 = –2.92 loss (b) i) 2.05 + 1.45 = 3.50 ii) 55 + 3.50 = 58.35 iii) 50 – 3.5 = 46.5 iv) upside unlimited; downside 50 – 3.5 = 46.5 v) 3.50 vi) 5 – 3.5 = 1.5 (c) Because of the put volatility skew. This explained in Part 4. 2 i) 17.5 + 17.5 = 35 ii) 600 + 35 = 635 iii) 500 – 35 = 465 iv) 35 v) unlimited upside, 465 on the downside. Questions and answers 285 Chapter 12 questions 1 Refer to the previous set of Sainsbury January options: Sainsbury at 537.5 January options with 70 days until expiry Strike 420.0 460.0 500.0 550.0 600.0 650.0 700.0 Calls 34.0 17.5 8.0 3.0 Puts 3.0 8.0 17.5 39.5 (a) i) What is the income from the short January 460–500–600–650 iron condor? This is an asymmetric spread. ii) At expiry, what is the upside break-even level? iii) What is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum upside loss? v) What is the maximum downside loss? vi) What is the maximum profit from this spread? vii) What is the profit range? (b) i) What is the income from the short January 460–550–650 iron butterfly? This is also an asymmetric spread. ii) At expiry, what is the upside break-even level? iii) What is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum upside loss? v) What is the maximum downside loss? vi) What is the maximum profit? vii) What is the profit range? 2 Given the previous set of Coca-Cola options. Coca-Cola at 90 August options with 90 days until expiration Strike 45.00 47.50 50.00 52.50 55.00 57.50 60.00 Calls 4.04 2.52 1.45 0.79 0.34 Puts 0.82 1.30 2.05 2.90 4.25 286 Questions and answers (a) i) What is the cost of the long August 45–50–55–60 iron condor? ii) At expiration, what is the upside break-even level? iii) What is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum upside profit? v) What is the maximum downside profit? vi) What is the maximum loss? (b) i) What is the cost of the long August 45–52.50–60 iron butterfly? ii) At expiration, what is the upside break-even level? iii) At expiration, what is the downside break-even level? iv) What is the maximum upside profit? v) What is the maximum downside profit? vi) What is the maximum loss? Chapter 12 answers (a) i) 17.5 + 17.5 – 8 – 8 = 19 credit ii) 600 + 19 = 619 iii) 500 – 19 = 481 iv) [650 – 600] – 19 = 31 v) [500 – 460] – 19 = 21 vi) 19 vii) 619 – 481 = 138 (b) i) 34 + 39.5 – 8 – 8.5 = 57.5 credit ii) 550 + 57.5 = 607.5 iii) 550 – 57.5 = 492.5 iv) [650 – 550] – 57.5 = 42.5 v) [550 – 460] – 57.5 = 32.5 vi) 57.5 vii) 607.5 – 492.5 = 115 2 (a) i) 2.05 + 1.45 – 0.82 – 0.34 = 2.34 debit ii) 55 + 2.34 = 57.34 iii) 50 – 2.34 = 47.66 iv) [60 – 55] – 2.34 = 2.66 v) [50 – 45] – 2.34 = 2.66 vi) 2.34 Questions and answers 287 (b) i) 2.52 + 2.90 – 0.82 – 0.34 = 4.26 debit ii) 52.50 + 4.26 = 56.76 iii) 52.50 – 4.26 = 48.24 iv) [60 – 52.50] – 4.26 = 3.24 v) [52.50 – 45] – 4.26 = 3.24 vi) 4.26 288 Questions and answers Chaper 13 Questions 1 In the UK, the FTSE-100 index has been bullish since the end of October, and you expect this trend to continue through the end of the year. The December futures contract is currently at 5470. Using technical analysis, you determine that there is resistance at a former support area between 5700 and 5800. You note the following European-style December call options: December FTSE contract at 5470 December options with 40 days until expiry Strike 5625.0 5675.0 5725.0 5775.0 5825.0 5875.0 5925.0 5975.0 6025.0 Calls 159.5 137.5 117.0 97.5 81.0 68.0 57.0 46.5 35.5 (a) i) What is the cost of the long 5675–5775–5875 call butterfly? ii) At expiry, what is the maximum profit of the spread? iii) What is the lower break-even level? iv) What is the upper break-even level? v) What is the profit range? vi) What is the maximum loss? (b) i) What is the cost of the long 5625–5725–5825–5925 call condor? ii) At expiry, what is the maximum profit of the spread? iii) What is the lower break-even level? iv) What is the upper break-even level? v) What is the profit range? vi) What is the maximum loss? (c) How do you account for the greater profit range of the condor? 2 Because of budget deficit problems in Western economies the stock markets have been extremely volatile. However, bail-out packages with the IMF and the more solvent nations have finally been agreed upon. The global stock markets have sold off, and you expect them to range for the next two months. DJ Eurostoxx 50 at 2831 June puts with 57 days until expiration Strike 2700 2750 2800 2850 Puts 54.50 68.40 85.80 107.00 Questions and answers 289 (a) i) What is the price of the long June 2850–2800–2750 put butterfly? ii) At expiration, what is the maximum profit? iii) What is the upper break-even level for this butterfly? iv) What is the lower break-even level? v) What is the profit range? vi) What is the maximum loss? (b) i) Suppose you prefer to leave yourself a margin of error in your outlook. You are range bearish. What is the cost of the 2850– 2800–2700–2650 put condor? ii) At expiration, what is the maximum profit? iii) What is the upper break-even level? iv) What is the lower break-even level? v) What is the profit range? vi) What is the maximum loss? (c) Compare the advantages and disadvantages of the put butterfly to the put condor. Chapter 13 answers 1 (a) i) 137.5 + 68 – [2 × 97.5] = 10.5 ii) [5775 – 5675] – 105 = 89.5 iii) 5675 + 10.5 = 5685.5 iv) 5875 – 10.5 = 5864.5 v) 5864.5 – 5685.5 = 179 points vi) 10.5 = £105 (b) i) 159.5 + 57 – 117 – 81 = 18.5 ii) [5725 – 5625] – 18.5 = 81.5 iii) 5625 + 18.5 = 5643.5 iv) 5925 – 18.5 = 5906.5 v) 5906.5 – 5643.5 = 263 points vi) 18.5 = £185 (c) The condor has a gross profit range that is 100 points greater. The 8p extra cost reduces eight points of profit from both the lower and upper break-even levels. The net profit range of the condor is therefore 84p greater. 2 (a) i) 107 + 68.40 – (2 × 85.80) = 3.8 ii) (2850 – 2800) – 3.8 = 46.2 290 Questions and answers iii) 2850 – 3.8 = 2846.2 iv) 2750 + 3.8 = 2753.8 v) 2846.2 – 2753.8 = 92.4 points vi) 3.8 (b) i) 107 + 54.5 – 85.8 – 68.4 = 7.3 ii) (2850 – 2800) = 42.7 iii) 2850 – 7.3 = 2842.7 iv) 2650 + 7.3 = 2657.3 v) 2842.7 – 2657.3 = 185.4 points vi) 7.3 (c) The condor has a gross profit range that is 185.4 – 92.4 = 93 points greater at an additional cost of 3.5. Questions and answers 291 Chapter 14 questions 1 Your shares in Intel have performed well in the past, but now, with the pos- sibility of a global recession, Intel’s orders are down, and the stock is in a trading range. You are looking to supplement your dividend by writing one call on each 100 shares that you own. You realise that if the stock rallies above the call strike price, it will be called away from you. Intel is currently trading at 21.42, and the July 24 calls, with 46 days until expiration, are trading at 0.21. They are 12 per cent out-of-the-money. (a) What is the maximum profit from writing one July 24 call? (b) What happens if at expiration the stock closes above 24? (c) What is the break-even level? (d) What is your percentage return over the next 46 days with your stock valued at 21.42? 2 Sainsbury’s range this past year is no less than 370 to 588.5. You have held onto your shares, riding the market turbulence. Because supermarkets are cur- rently cutting prices, you forsee reduced profit margins for the near term. Sainsbury is currently trading at 537.5. With 70 days until expiration, the January 550 calls are trading at 34, and the January 600 calls are trading at 17.5. You would like to sell one of these as a covered write on 1,000 shares that you own. (a) i) What is the maximum profit from writing one January 550 call? ii) What happens if at expiry the shares closes above 550? iii) What is the break-even level? iv) What is your percentage return over the next 70 days with your shares valued at 537.5? (b) i) What is the maximum profit from writing one January 600 call? ii) What happens if at expiry the shares closes above 600? iii) What is the break-even level? iv) What is your percentage return over the next 70 days with your shares valued at 537.5? 292 Questions and answers 3 It is late November, and IBM is currently trading at 159.75. You expect IBM to remain at approximately 160 for the next month. You note the following prices for 160 calls. November 160 calls, with one day until expiration: 0.69 December 160 calls, with 29 days until expiration: 5.13 January 160 calls, with 64 days until expiration: 7.5 (a) What is the cost of the December–January 160 call calendar? (b) Barring a special dividend or takeover within the next 29 days, what is the maximum loss of your calendar spread? (c) i) Although there are 28 days between November and December expirations, and 35 days between December and January expirations, you would like to estimate the profit potential of the December–January spread. What is your estimate for the value of this spread with IBM at 160 and one day until December expiration? ii) Would you expect the December–January spread to be worth more or less than the November–December spread? Chapter 14 answers 1 (a) [24 – 21.42] + 0.21 = 2.79 (b) Your stock will be called away, or sold, but you will still have your maximum profit. (c) 21.42 – 0.21 = 21.21 (d) 0.21/21.42 = 1% 2 (a) i) [550 – 537.5] + 34 = 46.5 ii) Your shares will be called away, or sold, but you will still have your maximum profit. iii) 537.5 – 34 = 503.5 iv) 34/537.5 = 6.33% (b) i) [600 – 537.5] + 17.5 = 80 ii) Your shares will be called away, or sold, but you will still have your maximum profit. iii) 537.5 – 17.5 = 520 iv) 17.5/537.5 = 3.26% 3 (a) 7.5 – 5.13 = 2.37 [...]... iron butterfly is a long straddle plus a short strangle with all strikes equidistant A short iron butterfly has the opposite long/ short position Iron condor A long iron condor is a long strangle plus a short strangle that is further out of the money A short iron condor has the opposite long/ short position Ladder A long call ladder is a long call spread plus a short call at a third, higher strike Usually... call plus a short call at a higher strike A short call spread is the opposite Christmas tree See Ladder Combo A long out-of-the-money call plus a short out-of-the-money put, or vice versa This is also known as the cylinder The short call, long put version is also known as the fence Occasionally this term applies to the synthetic underlying Condor A long call condor is a long call spread plus a short call... At-the-money (ATM) Calls and puts closest to the underlying Bear call spread Short call spread Bear put spread Long put spread Box A long box is a long synthetic plus a short synthetic at a higher strike A short box has the opposite long /short position Broken spread An asymmetric spread Bull call spread Long call spread Bull put spread Short put spread Butterfly A long call butterfly is a long one by two... spread plus a short call spread at higher strikes All strikes are equidistant A long put condor is a long put spread plus a short put spread at lower strikes Again, all strikes are equidistant Conversion A long underlying plus a short synthetic Covered write A long underlying plus a short out-of-the-money call This is also know as the buy-write Cylinder See Combo Delta The rate of change of an option with... equidistant A long put butterfly is a long one by two put spread plus a long put at a third, lower strike Again, all strikes are equidistant For shorts of these spreads, reverse the long /short positions Calendar spread A long calendar spread is a long option plus a short option that is closer to expiration Both options have the same strike 304 Glossary Call A call option is the right to buy the underlying... combination of long calls, short puts and long underlying Margin Cash or liquid security deposited by holders of futures or options contracts Multiplier Part of a contract specification: the cash amount by which a futures or options value is multiplied Naked A short option not spread with a long option or underlying One by two A long one by two call spread is a long call plus two short calls at a higher... cause an increase in an out-of-the-money option’s gamma? 7 Suppose the S&P 500 index is at 1030, and you are long a number of 975 puts The chairman of the US Federal Reserve bank, who is liked by the financial markets, announces that he is to retire when his term expires What may happen to the implied volatility of your put options? 295 296 Questions and answers Chapter 15 answers 1 (a) decrease (b)... position whose delta sum is practically zero Delta/price ratio The percent that an option’s value changes with respect to a change in the underlying Diagonal spread A long diagonal is a long option plus a short option that is closer to expiration and further out-of-the-money European style A European-style option can only be exercised at expiration Extrinsic value See Time premium Fence See Combo Future... of the fourth leg? FTSE December futures at 5470 4975.0 5975 December calls 572.5 35.5 December puts 81.0 ? Strike 2 The purpose of the following questions is to help you understand how conversions and reversals form the basis of bid–ask spreads, or markets, for options M&S at 350.60 May options, 75 days until expiry Bank of England rate at 0.50 per cent Strike 350.00 January calls theoretical value... opposite long/ short position Ladder A long call ladder is a long call spread plus a short call at a third, higher strike Usually all strikes are equidistant A long put ladder is a long put spread plus a short put at a third, lower strike Again, all strikes are usually equidistant Also known as the Christmas tree Leverage The right or obligation to trade the full value of the underlying by trading only . 35 = 465 iv) 35 v) unlimited upside, 465 on the downside. Questions and answers 285 Chapter 12 questions 1 Refer to the previous set of Sainsbury January options: Sainsbury at 537.5 January. 600.0 650.0 700.0 Calls 34.0 17.5 8.0 3.0 Puts 3.0 8.0 17.5 39.5 (a) i) What is the income from the short January 460–500–600–650 iron condor? This is an asymmetric spread. ii) At expiry, what is. maximum profit from this spread? vii) What is the profit range? (b) i) What is the income from the short January 460–550–650 iron butterfly? This is also an asymmetric spread. ii) At expiry, what