Protect Your Wealth from the Ravages of Inflation_8 doc

Protect Your Wealth from the Ravages of Inflation 119 New Thinking in Technical Analysis: Trading Models from the Masters, by Rick Bensignor (editor) (Bloomberg Press, 2000). Practical Speculation, by Victor Niederhoffer and Laurel Kenner (Wiley, 2005). Psychology of Trading: Tools and Techniques for Minding the Markets, The, by Brett N. Steenbarger (Wiley, 2002). Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, by Edwin Lefèvre and Roger Lowenstein (Wiley, 2006). Rules of the Trade: Indispensable Insights for Online Profits, by David S. Nassar (McGraw-Hill, 2001). Running Money: Hedge Fund Honchos, Monster Markets and My Hunt for the Big Score, by Andy Kessler (HarperCollins, 2004). Schwager on Futures: Fundamental Analysis, by Steven C. Turner and Jack D. Schwager (Wiley, 1996). Schwager on Futures: Technical Analysis, by Jack D. Schwager (Wiley, 1997). Smarter Trading: Improving Performance in Changing Markets, by Perry Kauf- man (McGraw-Hill, 1995). Stock Market Wizards: Interviews with America’s Top Stock Traders, by Jack D. Schwager (Marketplace Books, 2008). Strategic Electronic Day Trader, The, by Robert Deel (Wiley, 2000). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom, by Van K. Tharp (McGraw-Hill, 2006). Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master, by Victor Sperandeo (Wiley, 1993). Trading in the Zone: Master the Market with Confidence, Discipline and a Win- ning Attitude, by Mark Douglas (Prentice Hall, 2001). Trading Systems That Work: Building and Evaluating Effective Trading Systems, by Thomas Stridsman (McGraw-Hill, 2000). Trend Following: Learn to Make Millions in Up or Down Markets, by Michael W. Covel (FT Press, 2009). Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legen- dary Traders, The, by Curtis Faith (McGraw-Hill, 2007). What Works in Online Trading, by Mark Etzkorn (Wiley, 2001). When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management, by Roger Lowenstein (Random House Trade Paperbacks, 2001). Recommended Reading 120 Money and Investing Contrarian Investing: Buy and Sell When Others Won't and Make Money Doing It, by Anthony Gallea and William Patalon III (Prentice Hall, 1999). Fiat Paper Money, by Ralph T. Foster (Ralph T. Foster, 2008). Guerrilla Investing: Winning Strategies for Beating the Wall Street Professionals, by Peter Siris (Taylor Trade Publishing, 2000). Investing for Dummies, Fifth Edition, by Eric Tyson (Wiley, 2008). Investment Gurus: A Road Map to Wealth from the World’s Best Money Manag- ers, by Peter J. Tanous (Prentice Hall, 1999). Money Game, The, by Adam Smith (Vintage, 1976). Money Masters, The, by John Train (HarperBusiness, 1994). New Rules of Money: 88 Simple Strategies for Financial Success Today, The, by Ric Edelman (Collins, 1999). Pied Pipers of Wall Street: How Analysts Sell You Down the River, The, by Ben- jamin Mark Cole (Bloomberg Press, 2001). Safe Strategies for Financial Freedom, by Van K. Tharp, D. R. Barton, Jr., and Steve Sjuggerud (McGraw-Hill, 2004). Miscellaneous Art of War, The, by Sun Tzu (translated by Samuel Griffith) (Oxford Univer- sity Press, 1963). Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, The, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Random House, 2007). Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking, by Malcolm Gladwell (Back Bay Books, 2007). Labyrinths of Reason: Paradox, Puzzles and the Frailty of Knowledge, by William Poundstone (Anchor, 1989). Probability Without Tears: A Primer for Non-Mathematicians, by Derek Rown- tree (Prentice Hall, 1984). Way of The Warrior-Trader: The Financial Risk-Taker’s Guide to Samurai Courage, Confidence and Discipline, The, by Richard D. McCall (McGraw-Hill, 1997). Why Café, The, by John Strelecky (Aspen Light Publishing, 2011). A P P E N D I X B Useful Resources While this list of resources may look a bit sparse, I’ve cut it down to only the really useful resources I use all the time, rather than including a huge list of everything to do with money and investing online. Trading and Investments pmkingtrading.com finance.yahoo.com Precious Metals www.goldmoney.com globalgold.ch www.perthmint.com.au bullionvault.com Useful Resources 122 Brokers interactivebrokers.com Economics and Statistics www.shadowstats.com www.tradingeconomics.com www.economist.com Currency Interest Rates and Consumer Price Indexes AUD: www.abs.gov.au CAD: www.statcan.gc.ca CHF: www.bfs.admin.ch EUR: epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu GBP: www.statistics.gov.uk HKD: www.censtatd.gov.hk JPY: www.e-stat.go.jp NZD: www.rbnz.govt.nz SEK: www.scb.se USD: www.bls.gov Products qmatix.com tradingblox.com office.microsoft.com I Index A Acceptable real rate of return, 51 Assets definition, 2 increase in, 5 Australian dollar, 53, 54, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 56 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 54 real rate of return, 53 B Balance sheet definition, 2 Miss Borderline, 3 Mr. and Mrs. Fit, 4 Mr. and Mrs. Unfit, 2 Bank, definition of, 48 Base currency, 57, 58 Basket of commodities, 19 Benchmark rate, 54 British pound, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 56 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations of, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 54 real rate of return, 53 Brokerage account, 45 Bullion Vault Company, 44 Buy-and-hold strategy, 110–112 C CAGR. See Compound annual growth rate Canadian dollar, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 56 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations of, 60 inflation rate, 53 Index 124 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 54 real rate of return, 53 Capital allocation, for currencies, 55 gains, 46 gains tax, 45 implementation of, 14 objectives and types, 14 Cash flow statement, 6 expenses, reduction of, 9 income, increase in, 8 Miss Borderline, 7 Mr. and Mrs. Fit, 7 Mr. and Mrs. Unfit, 6 Cash rebalancing method, 57 Certificate of deposit (CD), 52 Compound annual growth rate (CAGR), 16, 17, 71–73 Consumer Price Index (CPI), 24 Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), 15, 16 Counterfeiting, 22 CPI-U. See Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers Currency allocation of 100,000 US dollars, 56 devaluation, 23, 49 real rate of return on, 53 rebalancing, 67 trading, peculiarities of, 58 types of, 53 units, supply of, 22 weighting, 55 D DD. See Drawdown Defunct currency, 113 Devaluation of currency. See Currency, devaluation Discretionary expenses, 9 Dollar cost averaging, 32, 111 Drawdown (DD), 30 Dreyfus (WisdomTree), 59 E EFA annual rebalancing of, 34 ETF allocation, 33 Emergency fund, 14, 39 creation, 108 establishment, Mr. & Mrs. Fit, 46 objective, 109 purchasing power protection, 39 alternative solution, 47 increasing emergency fund, 40 precious metals, investment on, 41 ETFs. See Exchange-traded funds Euro, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 56 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations of, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 54 real rate of return, 53 Everbank, 57 Exchange-traded funds (ETFs), 15, 30, 59 allocation, 33 inverse fund, 88, 91, 92 liquid, 90, 91 noncorrelated, 90 ranked by volume, 88–90 rebalancing, 67 ultra-short fund, 92 Index 125 Expenses discretionary, 9 mandatory, 9 reduction of, 7, 9 F FARCE strategy, 111, 112 Fiat (by decree) counter-feiting, 22 currency, 22 paper currency, 43, 45, 47 Financial fitness, 1, 13 achievement, 107 balance sheet, 2 cash flow statement, 6 meaning of, 1 Financial meltdown, 114 Financial nightmare, 10 Fiscal policy, 21, 22 Foreign currency, 52 Foreign exchange (FX) trade, 57–59 after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 G Global Gold Company, 44 Gold (GLD) Australian dollars, price in, 43 control, 110 dollar allocation, 63, 64 ETF recommendation, 62 GoldMoney, 44, 109, 113 investment on, 41 and oil ratio, 37 prices in dollars, 36 savings account funding, 109 standard, 22 vs. US dollar, 47 GoldMoney holdings, 45 H "Hedonic quality adjustment”, 25 HELOC. See Home equity line of credit Holding. See GoldMoney holdings Home equity line of credit (HELOC), 48, 108 Hong Kong dollar, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 57 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 54 real rate of return, 53 I IB. See Interactive brokers Income characteristics, 8 increase, 7, 8 Individual retirement account (IRA), 69 Inertia, 81 Inflation Consumer Price Index, 24 definition, 15 financial fitness, 13 inevitability of, 22 MAR ratio, 35 negative real interest rates, 15 purchasing power, 15 rates, on currencies, 53 responsibility, 28 market performance, 30 Mr. and Mrs. Fit, seeking financial advice, 29 single-currency problem, 26 Index 126 Inflation-proof emergency fund, 42 Interactive brokers (IB), 57 Interest rates, on currencies, 53 International currency, 109 Inverse bond funds, 61, 64 Inverse Treasury Bonds (TBT), 62, 64, 110 Investment account, 14 Investment account management, 69, 111 construction of investment, 70 FARCE avoidance, 77 IRA, 69 Mr. and Mrs. Fit portfolio managers. See Portfolio management visit a casino, 75–77 risk adjustment, 70 risk and return measurement, 70 CAGR calculation, 71, 72 drawdown (DD) percentage, 73 MAR ratio, 73 performance achievement, 74 periodic value, 73 return value, 71 uncontrolled risk, 74 risk minimization, 75 ROI, 75 trading vs. investment, 78 annual rebalancing, 83, 84 buy and hold investor, 79 entry signal, 81, 82 exit strategy, 78, 82, 83 instrument filter, 80 market selection, 79 position-sizing method, 82 rebalancing portfolio, 78 setup conditions, 81 six components, 78 trend capturing 2% annual fee, 84, 85 average true range (ATR), 94, 96, 97 capital efficiency, 99 exit strategy, 101–103 financial spending, 86 instrument filter (see Exchange-traded funds) market selection, 88 NLV, 97, 98 no annual fee, 85–87 risk per trade, 100, 101 risk per share calculation, 98 setup condition, 93 true range, 94 volatility, 98 XLQ, 97 Investment portfolio ETFs, 113 iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund, 62 J Japanese yen, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 57 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 54 real rate of return, 53 L Liabilities decrease in, 5 definition, 2 Liquidity, migration of, 113 Low/negative real interest rate environment, 61 M Managed Account Reports (MARs) ratio, 31, 35 Index 127 Mandatory expenses, 9 Market performance, 30 Momentum, 81 Monetary policy, 21 Money supply, factors affecting, 22 N Negative net worth, 2 Negative real interest rate environment, 52, 54, 61 reduction in, 15 Negative real rate of return, 26 Net capital gain, 45 Net cash flow calculation, 6 Net liquidation value (NLV), 97, 98 Net worth, 2 New Zealand dollar, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 57 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 55 real rate of return, 53 P Palladium (PALL) control, 110 dollar allocation, 63, 64 ETF recommendation, 62 investment on, 41 savings account funding, 109 Passive income, 8 Periodic rebalancing, 35 Perth Mint, 44 Platinum (PPLT) control, 110 dollar allocation, 64 ETF recommendation, 62 investment on, 41 savings account funding, 109 Portfolio management brokerage account, 104, 105 ETF and poor performance, 104 skills acquisition, 104 statistics, 105 Positive net worth, 2 Positive real interest rate environment, 52, 54 Precious metal(s) ETFs, 109 holdings of, 45 investment companies, 44 investment on, 41 emergency fund establishment, of Mr. & Mrs. Fit, 46 Gold vs. US dollar, 47 GoldMoney, working of, 45 inflation-proof emergency fund, 42 practical problems, 43 owing, 112 Price inflation, 15, 21, 39 Procrastination, 107 brokers going out of business, 114 defunct currency, 113 emergency fund creation, 108 financial fitness achievement, 107 financial meltdown, 114 GoldMoney, 113 investment account management, 111 investment portfolio ETFs, existence of, 113 owing precious metals, 112 precious metals ETFs, existence of, 113 savings account, funding of, 109 Index 128 Purchasing power emergency fund maintenance, 40 protection, 39 reduction in, 15 Q Quote currency, 58 R Rake, 75 Random walk strategy, 117 Real rate of return on currencies, 53 definition, 52 Rebalancing model curriencies vs. ETFs, 67 Recommended reading, 117, 121 money and investment, 120 probability, 120 trading, 117–119 Recurring income, 9 Repeatable income, 9 Return on investment (ROI), 75 in TIP, 17 in TLT, 18 Risk-adjusted return, 66 Rydex (CurrencyShares), 59 S S&P 500 index, 112 investment return, 30, 31 Savings account funding of, 109 objective, 14 Savings and working capital, 51 acceptable real rate of return, 51 historical results, 65 low/negative real interest rate environment, 61 positive real interest rate environment, 54 currency trading, peculiarities of, 58 Scalable income, 8 Silver (SLV) control, 110 dollar allocation, 63, 64 ETF recommendation, 62 investment on, 41 savings account funding, 109 Single-currency problem, 26 Single-currency risk, 26 Smart money, 42 Sound investment, 31 SPY, 33 annual rebalancing of, 34 S&P 500 dollar cost averaging, 32 S&P 500 investment return, 31 Swedish krona, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 57 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 55 real rate of return, 53 Swiss franc, 53, 110 capital allocation, 55 currency holdings after purchase, 57 FX account after rebalancing, 61 ideal and actual allocations, 60 inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 55 real rate of return, 53 [...]... inflation rate, 53 interest rate, 53 positive real interest rate environment, 55 real rate of return, 53 T TBT, 62, 63 Time-for-money income, 8 TIP security See Treasury Inflation Protected (TIP) security TLT, 33, 62, 63 annual rebalancing of, 34 return on investment in, 18 Trading Blox, 66 Treasury Inflation Protected (TIP) security ETF, 15, 16, 110 return on investment in, 17 savings and working capital, . Protect Your Wealth from the Ravages of Inflation 119 New Thinking in Technical Analysis: Trading Models from the Masters, by Rick Bensignor (editor). investment, 78 annual rebalancing, 83 , 84 buy and hold investor, 79 entry signal, 81 , 82 exit strategy, 78, 82 , 83 instrument filter, 80 market selection, 79 position-sizing method, 82 rebalancing. 1994). New Rules of Money: 88 Simple Strategies for Financial Success Today, The, by Ric Edelman (Collins, 1999). Pied Pipers of Wall Street: How Analysts Sell You Down the River, The, by Ben- jamin