macro CH M c tiêu c a ch NG 13 ng T ng Cung ! " # % kinh t v bmô n th n m & ' ( ! " ' ) $ " * + N Gregory Mankiw Bài gi ng c a Ph m Th Anh pham.theanh@yahoo.com (d ch s a theo gi ng c a Ron Cronovich) © 2002 Worth Publishers, all rights reserved Mơ hình ti n l Ba mơ hình t ng cung ,- / ! 0- > % 2- ! % G I + α6 = − Aggregate Supply CHAPTER 13 ?@ / < : %& = = ' = # % A / : C DE F - B × # ng c ng nh c / : CH H % < & B % J / # = HωH % < 1; < DE F 1; < : / slide × = CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply Mơ hình ti n l = K= # = > < CHAPTER 13 (a) C u lao ng c ng nh c Aggregate Supply CHAPTER 13 slide ng (b) Hàm s n xu t W/P Y W/P1 × Y1 L Ld(W/P ) s n l ' % G / # = H: MF : % # G / # = H: MF : / % : # Aggregate Supply L & # / ' N 8 8 Y5 F(L) Y2 W/P2 = G & slide làm gi m L1 ti n l ng th c t ti n l ng danh ngh a không L2 I… ng, L L1 L2 (c) T ng cung P Y5 Y a (P Pe) P2 / ng t ng cung t ng k t l I nh ng thay I P1 ' D 8I E M c giá t ng … slide CHAPTER 13 L .làm t ng vi c làm, Aggregate Supply Y1 Y2 thu nh p Y slide CuuDuongThanCong.com https://fb.com/tailieudientucntt Mơ hình ti n l O% 4@ % PG PG ng c ng nh c / # 1;H = % F ( 1; : * 1; H1 / # = D * 1; F H1 / # = D N - Q# Hành vi chu k c a ti n l %F1 R * N % thay i c a ti n l ng th c t * 1972 1998 H 1960 1996 1970 2000 1984 1993 1992 1982 1991 -1 1965 1997 1999 H ng th c t 1990 = -2 # 1975 -3 1979 1974 -4 -5 CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply slide Mơ hình thơng tin khơng hồn h o B5 < / % < B * S % & % : S % & C J % ) CHAPTER 13 % slide CHAPTER 13 " % thay i c a GDP th c t slide % : )F = B E &H % 1; < T / C T H - N / E & C@ H: MF E & % F M / T H J - MF H Aggregate Supply slide Mơ hình giá c c ng nh c !5 ' % $ : % = J + a6 − : ' a X Y- % * E F8 = M Aggregate Supply ) ?: % & CHAPTER 13 > Z F Z ' - N & UN /V D N K $ F A % P W :% " % P I # / P : ' 1 % ) ' Aggregate Supply S % % J > ? K % H Aggregate Supply G" * ( & : MF Mơ hình giá c c ng nh c > B5 P3 : I: )F -1 Mơ hình thơng tin khơng hồn h o H : E & -2 CHAPTER 13 "H A @ E & % = % 1980 -3 J I I < slide 10 ? : : ": ' ' E F CHAPTER 13 = ' "H = M < !H BJ = + a6 − Aggregate Supply % = M D slide 11 CuuDuongThanCong.com https://fb.com/tailieudientucntt Mơ hình giá c c ng nh c = + a6 > ?@ : 1; < @ G H ' = DL ! - # * ( % \ !- G ]: R ' ( CHAPTER 13 Mô hình giá c c ng nh c 6, − a + = = L QK " =5 + 6, − 7_6 a = slide 12 = ^ = - − 7` = M L QK ! G ^ 6,− Aggregate Supply CHAPTER 13 + 6, − 7_ + a = M = [( EAF:# R D V4 ' − Mơ hình giá c c ng nh c − 7` 6, − a + − Aggregate Supply slide 13 Mơ hình giá c c ng nh c − = + 6, − a − T K= : ' 1; < ' : = M ' H D D $ : = M @ - = V M 3% %∆ H R = M H] % " D = M : ' % CHAPTER 13 -3 - : ' "H = % 1;5 > ? 3] : CHAPTER 13 slide 14 c# :B % CHAPTER 13 F ( / d J ' E & H% : / bc @ 7H α = 6, − 7a - / e − : Mô hình giá c c ng nh c ! % +α6 aH Aggregate Supply G * !H # = M : MF % # Aggregate Supply Aggregate Supply slide 15 Tóm t t & ý ngh a M hgbc -G H ' > = +α cgbc = ! ! ] J ] =- CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply S ) < slide 16 − % ' 1= L / f * cgbc slide 17 CuuDuongThanCong.com https://fb.com/tailieudientucntt L m phát, Th t nghi p ng Phillips Tóm t t & ý ngh a cgbc > ? R ] % N 8 # 8 % % < * U1; < - hgbc * H = H cgbc :B 8 H % L" # - , N = = = , = +α6 607 = + 6, α − 627 = + 6, α − +ν − − 6j7 π = π + 6, α 6k7 6, α β XY % @ CHAPTER 13 π = π − β6 − + − +ν I: / h" 1; < N slide 20 * +-3- % * / ] m" / = M 1; < :# " - = +α6 − π = π − β6 − = J [ * + & ' = $ J \ ' " CHAPTER 13 ) 1; < $ +ν = = Aggregate Supply Aggregate Supply π = π −, − β − G T :" I PV E F ' ' +ν slide 22 %FH * + R 1;H" " J - P h" 1; < %F " % < L % π = π −, − β − CHAPTER 13 slide 19 slide 21 Tính ì c a l m phát π = π −, K8 9- [ * cgbc5 ) 1; < K v ng thích nghi < +ν +ν Aggregate Supply B @ < " ) J \ Aggregate Supply cgbc5 − ' \ ' # ng Phillips SRAS − +ν − = − β6 # slide 18 −, + 6, α = # π = π − β6 − 6i7 % HπT Hν ng Phillips t SRAS = J ' bQ0 , 6,7 CHAPTER 13 & bQ, Xây d ng 6l7 ' 1; < R Aggregate Supply −, = = π " cgbc0 2 − G T CHAPTER 13 − cgbc, T +α = CHAPTER 13 ) " ' L = * = M Aggregate Supply +ν % 4" F & D B L L = "H % 1; < / f slide 23 CuuDuongThanCong.com https://fb.com/tailieudientucntt V Hai nguyên nhân l m phát t ng & gi m π = π −, − β − I N +ν !"5 " * % : - ^ R R & E & %1 = HneF o" G E & # % - π = π − β6 − π ! "H " B I q $ π % N ' ng Phillips β , +ν [ * + ! " π +ν # $5 " : R ]3 R : / ]1 = & ' E : # Hn 1p o \ ' " CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply D ch chuy n G T * < * r 1; < J Q+ J = M 1; < J < ) " ( )5 = M 1; < J < :# x H W $ I ' " % / < & u N u i N ' " % ] >Q+ & ( ?: ) F M w1 ( I %F & ' Aggregate Supply F i " K= \ ' it ] F N [ %F ( # HI : P >Q+0Yt P >Q+,Yt S N P >Q+jt S N " ánh slide 25 %& ' * >Q+ # = J N ( " ,t- π, + ν sI : H # N J π :B F ( * +3 ! " 8 CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply CHAPTER 13 * - slide 28 CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply slide 29 CuuDuongThanCong.com https://fb.com/tailieudientucntt T l ánh i vi c gi m l m phát c a Volcker Gi m phát khơng có chi phí? K $ \ ' * E & 1; < % & a5 ,z{,5 π m zH lt ,z{j5 π m 2H Yt @ > ? m % π m π m ktH % ? @ KOGy @ < D % & 1; ] = ( " ^ kE u 0t % % 9K= Q π D H MFHπ CHAPTER 13 % D % %1 % N Aggregate Supply slide 30 & & ' N - ' 1; % kH Yt 2H jt zH j kH Y 2H j ,z{i lH i kH Y ,H i ,z{j lH , kH Y ( Aggregate Supply CHAPTER 13 slide 32 CHAPTER 13 % / 05 % L 1p :% J ) $ = \ ' & ' # K $ R & ( % N H: MF = (1 W % % V~ N J $ A & ' 1; ( B & ' H% < ( ' F 1= R K $ A & ' 1; ( & L J < ' = M / • $ * A ' ( q / /