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METRO CONNECTS Supplemental Network Performance Report Table of Contents Overview of the 2040 Service Network 1 Service Categories 5 Proximity to Transit 10 Transit Connections 35 Transit Use and Efficiency 54 Integration with Light Rail 62 Customer Experience 63 August 2016 i Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Overview of the 2040 Service Network The 2040 service network included in METRO CONNECTS has been designed to serve the future jobs and housing needs of King County The region is expected to grow by approximately million people and 850,000 jobs in the next 25 years The 2040 Regional Transportation Plan, prepared by Puget Sound Regional Council (PSRC) and known as Transportation 2040 (T2040), identifies expansion of transit service as a significant and essential component in meeting the future transportation demands resulting from this growth All of the transit agencies in the central Puget Sound region, including King County Metro (Metro), are expected to increase their services to accommodate a doubling of transit ridership The METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network envisions achieving this ridership increase by adding 70 percent more service hours than are currently provided Significant elements of the service network include a strong emphasis on frequent and express services, as well as extensive integration with the Central Puget Sound Regional Transit Authority (Sound Transit) Link light rail service Because the future service network will be developed and implemented over time, a 2025 service network was also developed to illustrate the proposed first step towards implementation of the 2040 vision The 2015, METRO CONNECTS 2025, and METRO CONNECTS 2040 service networks are shown in Figures 1, 2, and 3, respectively The service network was designed with several factors in mind They include: Providing high levels of mobility for residents throughout the county Maintaining consistency with local comprehensive plans Leveraging the regional investment in light rail to expand options for transit travel Connecting markets with high transit ridership demand Allowing riders to access high numbers of jobs, education centers, and people Integrating service with Sound Transit, Community Transit, Pierce Transit, King County Water Taxi, and Washington State Ferries Connecting to nonmotorized trails Providing a high-quality customer experience Minimizing transfers with significant wait times Ensuring financial resources are used efficiently Minimizing duplication of service with other providers August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 2015 Service Network August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure METRO CONNECTS 2025 Service Network August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Service Categories The METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network comprises three categories of fixed-route bus service: frequent service, including RapidRide bus rapid transit service (BRT); express service; and local service Different levels of bus service are proposed throughout King County in varying concentrations based upon a combination of future land uses and densities, identified community needs, and future available infrastructure The distribution of fixed-route transit service by total hours in the 2015, METRO CONNECTS 2025, and METRO CONNECTS 2040 service networks is shown in Figure Figure Distribution of Transit Service Hours The following maps show the service categories included in the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network The frequent transit service included in the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network is shown on Figure Figure shows the location of existing and envisioned RapidRide lines Figure shows the express transit service included in the envisioned service network Local service, which includes alternative transportation services, is shown Figure August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure Frequent Transit Service in the METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure Existing and METRO CONNECTS Envisioned RapidRide Lines August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure Express Transit Service in the METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Table 13 Transit Trip Volumes Across Screenlines Screenline Name Lake Washington NE_Kirkland Ship Canal West Seattle SW Seattle/Renton Line Newcastle/405 line Split of I-405/East-West in South King County N/S split in South King County SE King 10 Lake Sammamish All Routes Peak 32,000 4,000 86,000 16,000 51,000 3,000 13,000 41,000 1,000 All Routes Daily 102,000 13,000 270,000 56,000 163,000 12,000 43,000 117,000 2,000 11,000 32,000 Transit mode share was calculated for the 2015, METRO CONNECTS 2025, and METRO CONNECTS 2040 service networks during the peak period and all-day and was compared to 2015 mode share Table 14 and 15 show the peak period and all-day transit mode share in each quadrant and countywide Similar analyses were performed for trips originating in the regional growth centers and manufacturing and industrial centers in the 2015 and 2040 service networks, the results of which are shown in Table 16 Table 14 Peak Transit Mode Share: 2015, METRO CONNECTS 2025, and METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Networks Percent Change (from 2015 Network) Forecasted Peak Mode Share NE Area NW Area SW Area SE Area County Average August 2016 2015 service network 14% 25% 12% 10% METRO CONNECTS 2025 service network 20% 33% 19% 16% METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 21% 35% 26% 23% METRO CONNECTS 2025 service network 49% 31% 58% 63% METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 56% 43% 118% 132% 14% 20% 23% 39% 59% 57 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Table 15 Daily Transit Mode Share: 2015, METRO CONNECTS 2025, and METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Networks Percent Change (from 2015 Network) Forecasted Peak Mode Share NE Area NW Area SW Area SE Area 2015 service network 5% 10% 5% 4% METRO CONNECTS 2025 service network 7% 14% 9% 6% METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 8% 16% 11% 7% METRO CONNECTS 2025 service network 43% 37% 73% 57% METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 63% 55% 123% 84% 7% 11% 12% 51% 76% County Average Table 16 Changes in Transit Mode Share for Trips Originating in Regional Growth Centers and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers (MIC): 2015 and METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Networks 2015 peak transit trips 2015 daily transit trips METRO CONNECTS 2040 peak transit trips Auburn 14% 5% 37% 11% Bellevue 25% 12% 33% 16% Burien 17% 8% 29% 13% Federal Way 11% 6% 33% 14% Kent 18% 8% 40% 17% Kirkland Totem Lake 11% 6% 15% 10% Redmond Downtown 17% 7% 18% 10% Redmond-Overlake 16% 7% 21% 10% Renton 13% 6% 18% 9% SeaTac 14% 7% 34% 14% Seattle Downtown 30% 11% 40% 13% Seattle First Hill/Capitol Hill 24% 11% 38% 16% Seattle Northgate 27% 11% 44% 21% Seattle South Lake Union 35% 14% 42% 18% RGC 58 METRO CONNECTS 2040 daily transit trips Seattle University Community 29% 13% 42% 22% Seattle Uptown 34% 14% 42% 20% Tukwila 10% 7% 10% 8% Issaquah 10% 9% 19% 12% Ballard-Interbay MIC 17% 12% 24% 18% Duwamish MIC 11% 6% 19% 9% North Tukwila MIC 9% 4% 21% 11% Kent MIC 9% 5% 18% 7% August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Several economic efficiency metrics were evaluated to determine the costs associated with operation of the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network Tables 17, 18, and 19 compare the 2040 efficiency measures to the 2015 network Table 17 Economic Efficiency Performance Operating Cost / Boarding Boardings / Hour 2015 service network $4.27 34.8 METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network $3.95 36.7 $153 $158 2015 service network 3,261 METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 2610 0.49 0.39 Operating Cost / Hour Table 18 Environmental Efficiency Performance BTU / passenger-mile GHG emissions / passenger mile (pounds of CO2e / mile) The variation of transit service throughout the day was evaluated to provide an understanding of the availability of service at peak and non-peak times For this metric, the amount of service provided at pm was compared to the amount provided at pm Table 22 shows the results of this analysis Figure 46 displays this ratio by TAZ countywide and by quadrant Figure 47 shows the countywide distribution of service hours throughout the day for the existing and METRO CONNECTS 2040 service networks Table 19 Amount of Transit Service Provided at pm Compared to pm: METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network NE Area NW Area SW Area 2015 service network 37% 50% 30% METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 51% 56% 49% SE Area 39% 53% County Average 41% 53% August 2016 59 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 46 Ratio of Trips in Night to Peak Comparison: METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network 60 August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 47 Variation in Transit Service Hours by Time of Day: 2015 and METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Networks Comparison of Fleet Needs by Time of Day 1600 1400 1200 Buses 1000 800 600 400 200 Final Network Existing Key findings of the Transit Use and Efficiency analysis: In the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network, the rate of transit ridership during the peak period and for the entire day would increase the most in the southwest quadrant compared to the 2015 service network Several cities in the southwest quadrant would see increases in ridership of more than 200 percent during the peak period as well as all day in the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network compared to the 2015 service network These cities include Auburn, Federal Way, and SeaTac Several other cities in the southwest quadrant would see increases in daily ridership of more than 200 percent, which include Renton, Tukwila, and the Tukwila MIC For the peak period, the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network would have the highest mode share shift in the southeast quadrant with a shift of approximately 132 percent For all-day service, the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network would have the highest mode share shift in the southwest quadrant with a shift of approximately 123 percent Mode share during the peak and all-day would be highest in the northwest quadrant in the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network August 2016 61 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Integration with Light Rail Metro evaluated integration with Link light rail by measuring the percentage of the population that would be able to access light rail within a 30 minute bus trip, a 15 minute bus trip, and a 10 minute (half-mile) walk using the 2015 service network as well as the METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network Bus travel time calculations included estimated travel time to reach the transit stop, initial wait time, and transfer wait time (if applicable) averaged over the peak and midday periods Table 20 displays the results of this evaluation Table 20 Proximity to light rail stations: 2015 and METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Networks Proximity to light rail stations 30 minutes via transit 2040 Within 15 minutes of LRT 2040 Half-mile Walkshed 2040 62 2015 service network 18% 3% METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network 64% 32% 7% 14% August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Customer Experience In addition to the performance metrics, Metro used two methods to demonstrate the customer experience associated with the 2015 and METRO CONNECTS 2040 service network The first method included an explanation of the different travel times and modes for several sample trips The sample trips were selected to illustrate local trips, trips between regional growth centers, and commuter trips for each quadrant They included trips that occurred within and between quadrants and were evaluated for each service network The travel times were calculated for the peak and midday periods for transit and automobiles The transit travel times estimated the time to reach the transit stop, initial wait time, and transfer wait time (if applicable) The transit modes employed to make the trip were identified as part of the analysis Figures 48 through 51 display the results of these sample trips Metro developed travel time matrices to describe the automobile and transit travel times between centers, including regional growth centers and manufacturing and industrial centers The travel times were calculated for the 2040 service network for the peak period and midday For transit trips, the travel times were averages that included walk time, average wait time, and transfer time Origin and destination points were based on TAZ centroids within each regional growth center Tables 21 through 24 display these travel times August 2016 63 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 48 Example Trips: Northeast Quadrant 64 August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 49 Example Trips: Northwest Quadrant August 2016 65 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 50 Example Trips: Southeast Quadrant 66 August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Figure 51 Example Trips: Southwest Quadrant August 2016 67 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Table 21 Peak Period Forecast 2040 Travel Time Averages* between Regional Growth Centers and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers (MIC): METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network *Travel times are averages for the peak period and include walk time, average wait time and transfer time. Origin and destination points are based on TAZ centroids within each RGC. While the minimum time between each point may be less, the average takes into account the frequency of service. 68 August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Table 22 Peak Period Forecast 2040 Travel Time Averages* between Regional Growth Centers and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers (MIC): Auto Travel Times *Travel times are averages for the peak period and are based on 2040 forecast auto travel times. Origin and destination points are based on TAZ centroids within each RGC. While the minimum time between each point may be less, the average takes into account the frequency of service. August 2016 69 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Table 23 Midday Forecast 2040 Travel Time Averages* between Regional Growth Centers and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers (MIC): METRO CONNECTS 2040 Service Network *Travel times are averages for the peak period and include walk time, average wait time and transfer time. Origin and destination points are based on TAZ centroids within each RGC. While the minimum time between each point may be less, the average takes into account the frequency of service. 70 August 2016 Network Performance Report: METRO CONNECTS Service Network Table 24 Midday Forecast 2040 Travel Time Averages between Regional Growth Centers and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers (MIC): Auto Travel Times *Travel times are averages for the midday period and are based on 2040 forecast auto travel times. Origin and destination points are based on TAZ centroids within each RGC. While the minimum time between each point may be less, the average takes into account the frequency of service. August 2016 71