Economic growth and economic development 372

Introduction to Modern Economic Growth trajectory starting at i0 (0), k˙ (t) /k (t) > 0, and thus we have d(q(t)k(t))/dt q(t) ˙ ≥ q(t)k(t) q(t) 00 ˙ (i(t)) i(t)φ = + φ (i(t)) = r + δ − f (k(t))/(1 + φ0 (i(t))), where the second line uses (7.60) and (7.61), while the third line substitutes from (7.62) As k (t) → ∞, we have that f (k (t)) → 0, implying that lim exp (−rt) q (t) k (t) ≥ lim exp (−rt) exp ((r + δ) t) = lim exp (δt) > 0, t→∞ t→∞ t→∞ violating the transversality condition In contrast, if we start with i00 (0) < i (0) as the initial level, i (t) would tend to in finite time (as shown by the fact that the trajectories hit the horizontal axis) and k (t) would also tend towards zero (though not reaching it in finite time) After the time where i (t) = 0, we also have q (t) = and thus q˙ (t) = (from (7.60)) Moreover, by the Inada conditions, as k (t) → 0, f (k (t)) → ∞ Consequently, after i (t) reaches 0, the necessary condition q˙ (t) = (r + δ) q (t)−f (k (t)) is necessarily violated This proves that the unique optimal path involves investment starting at i (0) We next turn to the “q-theory” aspects James Tobin argued that the value of an extra unit of capital to the firm divided by its replacement cost is a measure of the “value of investment to the firm” In particular, when this ratio is high, the firm would like to invest more In steady state, the firm will settle where this ratio is or close to In our formulation, the costate variable q (t) measures Tobin’s q To see this, let us denote the current (maximized) value of the firm when it starts with a capital stock of k (t) by V (k (t)) The same arguments as above imply that (7.65) V (k (t)) = q (t) , so that q (t) measures exactly by how much one dollar increase in capital will raise the value of the firm In steady state, we have q˙ (t) = 0, so that q∗ = f (k∗ ) / (r + δ), which is approximately equal to when φ0 (δk∗ ) is small Nevertheless, out of steady state, q (t) can be significantly greater than this amount, signaling that there is need for 358