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Limited Electronic Distribution Rights This PDF document was made available from www.rand.org as a public service of the RAND Corporation. 6 Jump down to document THE ARTS CHILD POLICY CIVIL JUSTICE EDUCATION ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS NATIONAL SECURITY POPULATION AND AGING PUBLIC SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SUBSTANCE ABUSE TERRORISM AND HOMELAND SECURITY TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE WORKFORCE AND WORKPLACE The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit research organization providing objective analysis and effective solutions that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors around the world. Visit RAND at www.rand.org Explore RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment View document details For More Information INFRASTRUCTURE, SAFETY, AND ENVIRONMENT Purchase this document Browse Books & Publications Make a charitable contribution Support RAND This product is part of the RAND Corporation conference proceedings series. RAND conference proceedings present a collection of papers delivered at a conference or a summary of the conference. The material herein has been vetted by the conference attendees and both the introduction and the post-conference material have been re- viewed and approved for publication by the sponsoring research unit at RAND. INFRASTRUCTURE, SAFETY, AND ENVIRONMENT Sponsored by the McCormick Foundation CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS Integrating U.S. Climate, Energy, and Transportation Policies Proceedings of Three Workshops Liisa Ecola t Scott Hassell t Michael Toman t Martin Wachs The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit research organization providing objective analysis and effective solutions that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors around the world. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. 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Workshops from June 2008 sponsored by Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program and the Transportation, Space, and Technology Program, both within Rand Infrastructure, safety, and Environment. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 978-0-8330-4670-3 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. Greenhouse gas mitigation—Government policy—United States—Congresses. 2. Climatic changes— Research—Government policy—United States—Congresses. 3. Environmental policy—United States— Congresses. 4. Energy policy—United States—Congresses. 5. Transportation—Environmental aspects— Research—Government policy—United States—Congresses. 6. Transportation policy—United States— Congresses. I. Ecola, Liisa. II. Rand Environment, Energy, and Economic Development (Program) III. Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program) IV. Title: Integrating US climate, energy, and transportation policies. TD885.5.G73I5678 2009 363.738'74—dc22 2009004356 iii Preface About This Document In June 2008, the RAND Corporation convened three workshops on policies for mitigating climate change. ese workshops brought together representatives of government, industry, advocacy groups, and the research community, who hold different perspectives on what the goals of climate change mitigation policy should be and which strategies should be imple- mented to achieve them. e workshop series was made possible by a generous grant from the McCormick Foundation. Addressing the interconnection of climate change mitigation policy with the key sectors of energy and transportation will be a major challenge for the United States in the coming years. e competing interests of these groups sometimes hamper progress on this front. Bring- ing them together enabled them to share different perspectives and to identify some common points of view on such issues as technological innovation; federal, state, and local roles; poten- tial legislative and regulatory solutions; international cooperation; and public engagement. ese RAND conference proceedings summarize key issues and discussion topics of the three workshops. is document is not intended to be a transcript of the discussions, and, in deference to our observation of the Chatham House rule, 1 it does not quote any participants by name or affiliation. Rather, it organizes the key themes of the workshops by topic—in par- ticular, pointing out areas of agreement as well as disagreement. ese proceedings should be of interest to stakeholders in the climate, transportation, and energy policymaking processes and especially to those responsible for crafting U.S. cli- mate policy. Readers interested in these topics may also wish to see two upcoming RAND occasional papers: U.S. Programs for International Energy Assistance and National Energy Objectivest , by Michael Toman, Scott Hassell, Liisa Ecola, Tewodaj Mengistu, Endy Min, Aimee Curtright, Noreen Clancy, and Eileen Hlavka Evaluating Options for U.S. Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Using Multiple Criteriat , by Nicho- las Burger, Liisa Ecola, omas Light, and Michael Toman. 1 e Chatham House rule holds that, When a meeting, or part thereof, is held under the Chatham House Rule, participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant, may be revealed. (Chatham House, undated) iv Integrating U.S. Climate, Energy, and Transportation Policies: Proceedings of Three Workshops The RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program and the Transportation, Space, and Technology Program is research was conducted under the auspices of two programs: the Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program (EEED) and the Transportation, Space, and Technol- ogy (TST) Program, both within RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment (ISE). e mission of RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment is to improve the development, operation, use, and protection of society’s essential physical assets and natural resources and to enhance the related social assets of safety and security of individuals in transit and in their workplaces and communities. e EEED research portfolio addresses environmental quality and regulation, energy resources and systems, water resources and systems, climate, natural hazards and disasters, and economic development—both domestically and internationally. EEED research is conducted for governments, foundations, and the private sector. e TST research portfolio encompasses policy areas including transportation systems, space exploration, information and telecommunication technologies, nano- and biotechnolo- gies, and other aspects of science and technology policy. Questions or comments about these conference proceedings should be sent to the project leader, Liisa Ecola (Liisa_Ecola@rand.org). Information about the Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program is available online (http://www.rand.org/ise/environ). Inquiries about EEED projects should be sent to the following address: Keith Crane, Director Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program, ISE RAND Corporation 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington, VA 22202-5050 703-413-1100, x5520 Keith_Crane@rand.org Information about the Transportation, Space, and Technology Program is available online (http://www.rand.org/ise/tech). Inquiries about TST research should be sent to the following address: Martin Wachs, Director Transportation, Space, and Technology Program, ISE RAND Corporation 1776 Main Street P.O. Box 2138 Santa Monica, CA 90401-2138 310-393-0411, x7720 Martin_Wachs@rand.org v Contents Preface iii Tables vii Summary ix Acknowledgments xiii Abbreviations xv CHAPTER ONE Context and Approaches for Climate Policy 1 Introduction 1 Context for Making Climate Policy 2 Climate Change Is a Significant Problem Requiring Action on Many Fronts 2 Climate-Change Mitigation Is Intrinsically Linked to Other Important Public-Policy Issues 2 Policymakers and the Public Differ in eir Recognition of the Problem 3 Executive Leadership Is Needed to Make Progress on Climate Change 3 Policies to Confront Climate Change 3 Market-Based Approaches 4 Regulations 5 Technology Policies 6 Behavioral Change 7 Summary 8 CHAPTER TWO Climate-Change Workshop 9 Overview 9 Climate-Change Science and Solutions 9 Role of Technologies and Policies 10 Importance of Market-Based Solutions 11 Cap and Trade Is Considered the Most Pragmatic Solution, but Many Details Remain Unresolved 11 Economy-Wide Emissions Cap Would Have Benefits 12 Distributing Allowances and Allocating Potential Government Revenues from Allowance Sales Are Contentious 12 Emissions Targets Must Be Credible to Induce Action 13 Additional Policies Must Complement a GHG Price 13 Role of States in Finding Solutions 13 Executive-Branch Leadership for Domestic and International Action 14 vi Integrating U.S. Climate, Energy, and Transportation Policies: Proceedings of Three Workshops CHAPTER THREE Energy Workshop 15 Overview 15 Complexity of Energy Policy 15 Attraction of Technological Solutions 16 Energy Efficiency 16 Renewable Energy 17 Improving the Development and Deployment of Technologies 18 More Federal Research and Development Is Needed Despite Concerns at It May Be Wasted 18 Financial Incentives Are Needed to Demonstrate and Deploy Innovative Technologies 18 Constraints Exist on Technology Deployment 19 CHAPTER FOUR Transportation Workshop 21 Overview 21 Transportation’s Contribution to Climate Change 21 Market-Based Approaches in Transportation 22 Motor-Fuel Prices 23 Congestion Pricing 23 Land-Use Changes to Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled 24 Fuel and Vehicle Technologies 26 Increasing Fuel Efficiency for Vehicles at Have Internal Combustion Engines 26 Emerging Fuels and Vehicle Technologies 28 Behavior and Technology in Other Countries 29 Reducing Emissions in the Freight Sector 29 APPENDIX Workshop Participants 31 References 35 vii Tables A.1. Participants, Climate-Change Workshop, June 4, 2008 31 A.2. Participants, Energy Workshop, June 19, 2008 32 A.3. Participants, Transportation Workshop, June 5, 2008 33 [...]... See, e.g., Wintour and Elliott (2008) 2 The scenario assumed that state renewable portfolio standards would be attained and that the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (Pub L No 110-140) would be implemented Key provisions of this act that were included in the analysis were a renewable-fuel standard, higher CAFE standards, and more stringent appliance and lighting efficiency standards Climate-Change... lead to thousands of megawatts of new wind capacity, planning for new nuclear-power plants, the development of new natural-gas fields in the Gulf of Mexico, higher CAFE standards, a renewable-fuel standard of 36 billion gallons, and higher energy-efficiency standards for federal buildings 15 16 Integrating U.S Climate, Energy, and Transportation Policies: Proceedings of Three Workshops gas, and increased... fundamental issues of human influence and association with emissions and land use Industry, the U.S Congress, and most state governments accept this, and the general public is reaching a greater awareness as well As a result, the public and policymakers increasingly understand that the United States must deal with this problem However, they do not broadly understand the massive reductions in GHG emissions... a role in debating and ultimately approving necessary policy changes Policies to Confront Climate Change At the workshops, participants debated advantages and drawbacks of specific policies to mitigate climate change We organized mitigation policies into four broad categories: market-based approaches, regulations, technology policies, and behavioral change.3 Speakers, panelists, and other workshop participants... the production and use of energy is the result of government policies and decisions by individuals and firms throughout the nation These policies and the decisions by which they are implemented affect a broad range of issues, including energy security, climate change, and economic growth During the workshops, participants discussed many of these issues They also focused on the trade-offs and need for compromises... Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, which require manufacturers to produce vehicles that use fuel more efficiently appliance standards that set energy-efficiency levels for goods such as dishwashers and dehumidifiers for both residential and commercial use building codes that regulate types and efficiencies of heating and cooling systems, lighting, windows, and so forth renewable portfolio standards, which require... greater depth and are described in the balance of this section and in the next chapter on transportation One participant noted that if the United States sets demanding energy-efficiency and renewable-energy goals, it would prompt expanded entrepreneurship and greater technological innovation Energy Efficiency Energy efficiency is often described as the fifth fuel (behind coal, natural gas, nuclear, and renewables)... the workshops were alternative fuels, such as ethanol and other biofuels; alternative vehicles, such as plug-in hybrid gasoline-electric vehicles and exclusively electric vehicles; and carbon capture and storage (CCS),5 in which GHG that would otherwise be released into the atmosphere is instead collected and stored Potential technology-related policies range from tax credits designed to promote investment... miles traveled xv CHAPTER ONE Context and Approaches for Climate Policy Introduction In June 2008, the RAND Corporation convened three half-day workshops on policy approaches to climate-change mitigation and how they would affect two key sectors: transportation and energy The workshops, which were held at RAND’s offices in Arlington, Virginia, included speakers, panelists, and other workshop participants representing... power, advanced coal, CCS, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, and distributed energy resources will all be needed Participants agreed that confronting climate change will require more aggressive policies and more advanced technologies than are currently envisioned To demonstrate both the potential and limitations of today’s technologies and policies, another participant presented an unpublished analysis . environmental quality and regulation, energy resources and systems, water resources and systems, climate, natural hazards and disasters, and economic. AFFAIRS NATIONAL SECURITY POPULATION AND AGING PUBLIC SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SUBSTANCE ABUSE TERRORISM AND HOMELAND SECURITY TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE WORKFORCE