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Symposium on Health Care Challenges for an Ageing Population:
Managing Health Care and End ofLife Decisions in Singapore,
29 May 2009, Singapore
Ng Tze Pin, Gerontological Research Programme, Department of Psychological
Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University ofSingapore
Aims:
Assess salient health and social needs ofelderly Singaporeans
Identify vital areas that are likely to present the best avenues
and opportunities for success in achieving longer and healthier
life expectancy.
Methodology:
Data from the baseline survey of participants intheSingapore
Longitudinal Ageing Studies (SLAS)
Thesis:
The present trend offunctional disability is increasing
It should be reversed by measures taken to improve qualityof
geriatric care, assisted living and long-term care, designs for
housing, built environment and transportation, and promotion of
‘active ageing’.
Population ageing inSingapore is
rapid and unprecedented
Persons aged 65 +
8% in 2009
19% in 2030
Enormous health care and social
challenges of population ageing
have to be faced much sooner
rather than later
Percent Increase inElderly Population: 2000 to 2030
Demographic transition is accompanied by epidemiological
transition
Acute and communicable diseases are replaced by cancer and
chronic degenerative and metabolic diseases
372
277
240
240
216
197
174
170
126
108
102
92
55
54
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Japan
United Kingdom
New Zealand
United States
Australia
Canada
China
India
Thailand
South Korea
Indonesia
Philippines
Malaysia
Singapore
Changing affluent lifestyles
and habits
Increased chronic
diseases incidences
Improved healthcare
Increased chronic diseases
and functional disability
Reduce mortality and prolong
survival
Little impact on functional
wellbeing or qualityof life
Escalate use and costs of
medical and social services
Increase burden of care for
family and caregivers
QUALITY OF CARE is now a critical factor that
determines whether the current cohort of
Singaporean seniors faces the prospect of
better functional wellbeing andqualityoflifein
their later years
Presently available data do not indicate a
benevolent trend of physical functional
wellbeing inthe near to medium term
Regular monitoring of physical functional
status are needed
What can we do now to ensure that our current
policies and programmes are effective in achieving
longer and healthier life expectancy?
What are the vital areas of health and social
interventions that are likely to present the best
avenues and opportunities for success?
What are the present deficiencies and barriers that
can be identified and corrected?
Essential for optimal policy and programme planning and
provisions
Data are available from official routine health statistics and reports
(national health surveys, special surveys ofthe elderly)
Not comprehensive or relevant enough
Lack detailed information on relevant biological, psychosocial and
behavioural status for elderly subjective wellbeing e.g mental
health andqualityoflife (healthy ageing)
Multi-disciplinary collaboration of research aimed at understanding
the ageing and health transition of Singaporean older adults
Goal to help formulate strategies of disease prevention and health
promotion for healthy and long life expectancy
Wide range of research topics and issues relevant to public health,
primary care, and hospital and nursing home care
Population-based observational prospective cohort study of older
adults aged 55+ in South East Singapore
2,808 participants (78.5% response)
Baseline data on a wide range of demographic, biological, clinical,
psychosocial and behavioral characteristics
Extensive battery of structured health interviews, assessments and
blood tests.
Follow up assessment after 2 years and 4 years.
Cross-sectional data from the baseline interviews and examination are
used to describe the health and psychosocial statusand service usage
of theelderlyin this presentation
[...]... and mental dimensions, social role limitations accounted mostly for reported poor qualityoflifeInthe face of impaired physical and mental functioning, perceived social handicap stands inthe way of realizing quality oflife Success in improving physical and social functioning and qualityoflife will be determined by measures taken to improve Access and qualityof medical care Assisted living and. .. burden of care and high costs of health spending in old age, better quality oflife The process of optimizing opportunities for physical, social and mental well-being throughout thelife course in order to extend healthy life expectancy.'' (Ministry of Health, Canada) Officially promoted by the World Health Organization (2002) and Committee on Ageing Issues Report, 2006 Active ageing policies and programmes... effectiveness in producing desirable care outcomes intheelderly Avoidable Hospitalization Rates inSingapore Ng et al, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 2003; 57,1: 17-22 Addresses the problem at its source Effective programme of mass education to modify harmful lifestyles and behaviour and early risk detection Need to be sustained over long term and overcome challenges and difficulties in changing... hospitalized at least once inthe year 2 in 3 seniors visited a doctor at least once inthe year 1 in 3 reported that they did not make a single visit to a doctor (?) Theelderly make greatest demands on the healthcare system Healthcare expenditure will inevitably increase from the present 3% or 4% Relative Risk of Hospitalization for chronic Illnesses Depression and health services use by Singaporean seniors... wellbeing dimension scores poorest Need to strengthen measures aimed at improving functional independence Especially through facilitating social role adaptations High level of morbidity and rising trend in physical disability Social and environmental impediments to quality oflifeQualityof medical care should be improved for theelderly to reduce physical functional impairment Social services, housing... long-term care Designs for housing, built environment and transportation, Promotion of ‘active ageing’ Greater attention should be given to improving the level of social support andthe physical environment to lessen the extent of social handicap from the loss of function Primary care, hospital and community levels Direct and immediate impact on reducing physical impairment from chronic diseases Current... to be coordinated by Council for the Third Age Successful Ageing Prevalence: 28.6% Prevalence of Successful Aging in Chinese elderly aged 65+ Prevalence Determinants: Age single year (OR=0.90) Total sample size 1,281 Female gender (OR=1.37) 1 Physical health and well functioning, % Good or excellent self-reported health status Independent in instrumental ADL 47.9 64.6 67.1 2 Cognitive and emotional... Smoking rates are dramatically brought down Modest improvements in levels of hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolaemia, and physical activity Levels of obesity increased Levels remain high and longer-term sustenance is not beyond doubt ‘Active Ageing’ embodies the practical wisdom of this approach Promotes the highest possible level of wellbeing in old age Best long-term prospect for alleviating... emotional well functioning, % MMSE and GDS . poor quality of life
In the face of impaired physical and mental functioning, perceived
social handicap stands in the way of realizing quality of life
. from the baseline survey of participants in the Singapore
Longitudinal Ageing Studies (SLAS)
Thesis:
The present trend of functional disability is increasing