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Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 6 were a pure monopoly, it would not have to fear a loss of business to other producers because of a change in price.) Inefficiency in this market is slightly greater than in a monopolistically competitive market—see the shaded triangular area of Figure 13.3. The Oligopolist as Price Leader Alternatively, oligopolists may look to others for leadership in determining prices. One producer may assume price leadership because it has the lowest costs of production; the others will have to follow its lead or be underpriced and run out of the market. The producer that dominates industry sales may assume leadership. Figure 13.4 depicts a situation in which all the firms are relatively small and of equal size, except for one large producer. The small firms’ collective marginal cost curve (minus the large producer’s) is shown in part (a), along with the market demand curve, D m . The dominant producer’s, marginal cost curve, MC d , is shown in part (b) of Figure 13.4. FIGURE 13.4 The Oligopolist as Price Leader The dominant producer who acts as a price leader will attempt to undercut the market price established by small producers (part (a)). At price P 1 the small producers will supply the demand of the entire market, Q 2 . At a lower price—P d or P c —the market will demand more than the small producers can supply. In part (b), the dominant firm determines its demand curve by plotting the quantity it can sell at each price in part (a). Then it determines its profit-maximizing output level, Q d , by equating marginal cost with marginal revenue. It charges the highest price the market will bear for that quantity, P d , forcing the market price down to P d in part (a). The dominant producer sells Q 3 -Q 1 units, and the smaller producers supply the rest. The dominant producer can see from part (a) that at a price of P 1 , the smaller producers will supply the entire market for the product, say, steel. At P 1 the quantity demanded, Q 2 , is exactly what the smaller producers are willing to offer. At P 1 or above, therefore, the dominant producer will sell nothing. At prices below P 1 , however, the total quantity demanded exceeds the total quantity supplied by the smaller producers. For Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 7 example, at a price of P d the total quantity demanded in part (a) is Q 3 , whereas the total quantity supplied is Q 1 . Therefore the dominant producer will conclude that at price Pd, it can sell the difference, Q 3 -Q 1 . For that matter, at every price below P 1 , it can sell the difference between the quantity supplied by the smaller producers and the quantity demanded by the market. As the price falls below P 1 , the gap between supply and demand expands, so that the dominant producer can sell larger and larger quantities. If these are plotted on another graph, they will form the dominant producer’s demand curve, D d (part (b)). Once it has devised its demand curve, the dominant producer can develop its accompanying marginal revenue curve, MR d , also shown in Figure 13.4(b). Using its marginal cost curve, MC d , and its marginal revenue curve, it establishes its profit-maximizing output level and price, Q d and P d . The dominant producer knows that it can charge price P d for quantity Q d , because that price-quantity combination (and all others on curve D d ) represents a shortage not supplied by small producers at a particular price in part (a). Q d , as noted earlier, is the difference between the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied at price P d . So the dominant producer picks its price, P d . And the smaller producers must follow. 3 If they try to charge a higher price, they will not sell all they want to sell. Price Stability and the “Kinked” Demand Curve Several decades ago, economists believed they had noticed something quite significant about oligopolies. For relatively long periods of time, prices in these industries seemed to remain more or less fixed. This observed “stickiness” of oligopolistic prices gave rise to the theory of the “kinked” demand curve—a theory that tries to explain not how prices are determined, but why they do not move very much. Figure 13.5 shows the hypothetical kink in the oligopolist’s demand curve that was thought to produce price stickiness. The notion was that the interdependent nature of oligopolistic pricing decisions gave rise to the kink. Suppose the price of steel is P 1 . An oligopolistic firm can reason that if it lowers its price, other firms will follow suit to protect their shares of the market. Therefore, the demand curve below that point is relatively inelastic. If the firm raises its prices, however, it will lose customers to the other firms, who have no reason to follow a price increase. The demand curve above P 1 is therefore relatively elastic. Because of the kink at P 1 the marginal revenue curve is discontinuous. At an output of Q 1 , a gap develops between the upper and lower portions of the curve (see Figure 13.5). The existence of this gap is easier to understand if one thinks of the kinked demand curve as two separate curves intersecting at the kink. The curve’s bottom half 3 Consider market equilibrium with and without the dominant producer. In the absence of the dominant producer, the market price will be P 1 , the equilibrium price for a market composed of only the smaller producers. The dominant producer adds quantity Q d , which causes the price to fall, forcing the smaller producers to cut back production to Q 1 in part (a). Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 8 _______________________________________________ FIGURE 13.5 The Kinked Demand Curve The theory of the kinked demand curve is based on the questionable premise that an oligopolist’s prices are relatively rigid, or unresponsive to cost increases. According to the theory, the individual oligopolist reasons that other oligopolists will match a price reduction in order to protect their market shares, but will not match a price increase. The individual oligopolist’s demand curve is therefore kinked at the established price: the bottom part is less elastic than the top, where even a small increase in price will cause customers to go elsewhere. Given the kinked demand curve, the firm’s marginal revenue curve will be discontinuous. Even if the oligopolist’s marginal cost curve shifts upward from MC 1 to MC 2 , the firm will not change its price-quantity combination, P 1 Q 2 . belongs to demand curve D 1 in Figure 13.6, and its top half to demand curve D 2 . Seen that way, the two-part marginal revenue curve in Figure 13.5 is simply the composite of the relevant portions of the marginal revenue curves MR 1 and MR 2 in Figure 13.5. At that output level, marginal cost can shift all the way up to MC 2 and the oligopolist will still maximize profits. As long as output remains at Q 2 , the price will remain P 1 . A price increase would not benefit the firm unless its marginal cost curve rose higher than MC 2 – say to MC 3 . In that case the firm’s profit-maximizing price would be only slightly higher, P 2 . ___________________________________________ FIGURE 13.6 The Kinked Demand Curve as Two Separate Curves The oligopolist’s kinked demand curve can be viewed as the composite of two different demand curves. The portion above the kink comes from the top of a demand curve (D 2 ) that is relatively elastic. The portion below the kink comes from the bottom of a demand curve (D 1 ) that is less elastic. Economists at one time thought they had explained the rigidity of oligopolistic prices. The only problem is that further observation has cast doubt on the evidence that motivates the development of the theory. Research conducted over the last three decades Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 9 suggests that prices in industries dominated by a few firms are no stickier than prices in other industries. Because there is some disagreement on the interpretation of the data, the theory remains with us. At best, it is a theory in search of reasonable confirmation. The Oligopolist in the Long Run In an oligopolistic market, significant barriers to entry face new competitors. Firms in oligopolistic industries can therefore retain their short-run positions much longer than can monopolistically competitive firms. Oligopoly is normally associated with the automobile, cigarette, and steel markets, which include some extremely large corporations. There the financial resources required to establish production on a competitive scale may be a formidable barrier to entry. One cannot conclude that all new competition is blocked in an oligopoly, however. Many of the best examples of oligopolies are found in local markets—for instance, drugstore, stereo shops, and lumber stores—in which one, two, or at most a few competitors exist, even though the financial barriers to entry could easily be overcome. Even in the national market, where the financial requirements for entry may be substantial, some large firms have the financial capacity to overcome barriers to entry. If firms in the electric light bulb market exploit their short-run profit opportunities by restricting production and raising prices, outside firms like General Motors Corporation can move into the light bulb market and make a profit. In recent years, General Motors has in fact moved into the market for electronics and robotics. Oligopoly power remains a cause for concern. The basis for competition, however, is the relative ability of firms to enter a market where profits can be made—not the absolute size of the firms in the industry. The small regional markets of a century ago, isolated by lack of transportation and communication, were perhaps less competitive than today’s markets, even if today’s firms are larger in an absolute sense. In the nineteenth century the cost of moving into a faraway market effectively protected many local businesses from the threat of new competition. Cartels: Monopoly through Collusion In either a monopolistically competitive market or an oligopolistic market (or even sometimes in a competitive market), firms may attempt to improve their profits by restricting output and raising their market price. In other words, they may agree to behave as it they were a unified monopoly, an arrangement called a cartel. A cartel is an organization of independent producers intent on thwarting competition among themselves through the joint regulation of market shares, production levels, and prices. The principal purpose of their anticompetitive efforts is to raise their prices and profits above competitive levels. In fact, however, a cartel is not a single unified monopoly, and cartel members would find it very costly to behave as if they were. Incentives to Collude and to Cheat Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 10 The size of monopoly profits provides a real incentive for competitors to collude—to conspire secretly to fix prices, production levels, and market shares. Once they have reduced market supply and raised the price, however, each has an incentive to chisel on the agreement. The individual competitor will be tempted to cut prices in order to expand sales and profits. After all, if competitors are willing to collude for the purpose of improving their own welfare, they will probably also be willing to chisel on cartel rules to enhance their welfare further. The incentive to chisel can eventually cause the demise of the cartel. If a cartel works for long, it is usually because some form of external cost, such as the threat of violence, is imposed on chiselers. 4 Although a small cartel is usually a more workable proposition than a large one, even small groups may not be able to maintain an effective cartel. Consider an oligopoly of only two producers, called a duopoly. A duopoly is an oligopolistic market shared by only two firms. To keep the analysis simple, we will assume that each duopolist has the same cost structure and demand curve. We will also assume a constant marginal cost, which means that marginal cost and average costs are equal and can be represented by one horizontal curve. Figure 13.7 shows the duopolists’ combined marginal cost curve, MC, along with the market demand curve for the good, D. The two producers can maximize monopoly profits if they restrict the total quantity they produce to Q m and sell it for price P m . Dividing the total quantity sold between them, each will sell Q 1 at the monopoly price (2 x Q 1 = Q m ). Each will receive an economic profit equal to the shaded area bounded by ATC 1 P m ab, which is equal to total revenues (P m x Q 1 ) minus total cost (ATC 1 x Q 1 ). ____________________________________ FIGURE 13.7 A Duopoly (Two-Member Cartel) In an industry composed of two firms of equal size, firms may collude to restrict total output to Q m and sell at a price of P m . Having established that price- quantity combination, however, each has an incentive to chisel on the collusive agreement by lowering the price slightly For example, if one firm charges P 1 , it can take the entire market, increasing its sales from Q 1 to Q 2 . If the other firm follows suit to protect its market share, each will get a lower price, and the cartel may collapse. ____________________________________ Once in that position, each firm may reason that by reducing the price slightly say to P 1 and perhaps disguising the price cut through customer rebates or more attractive credit terms, it can capture the entire market and even raise production to Q 2 . 4 A cartel may provide members with some private benefit that can be denied nonmembers. For example, local medical associations can deny nonmembers the right to practice in local hospitals. In that case, the cost of chiseling is exclusion from membership in the group. Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 11 Each firm may imagine that its own profits can grow from the area bounded by ATC 1 P m ab to the much larger area bounded by ATC 1 P m cd. This tempting scenario presumes, of course, that the other firm does not follow suit and lower its price. Each firm must also worry that the other will chisel, cut the price, and steal its market. Thus each duopolist has two incentives to chisel on the cartel. The first is offensive, to garner a larger share of the market and more profits. The second is defensive, to avoid a loss of its market share and profits. Generally, firms that seek higher profits by forming a cartel will also have difficulty holding the cartel together, for much the same reason. As each firm responds to the incentive to chisel, the two undercut each other and the price falls back toward (but not necessarily to) the competitive equilibrium price, at the intersection of the marginal cost and demand curves. Just how far price will decline depends on the firms’ ability to impose penalties on each other for chiseling. The strength and viability of a cartel depend on the number of firms in an industry and the freedom with which other firms can enter. The larger the number of actual or potential competitors, the greater the cost of operating the cartel, of detecting chiselers, and of enforcing the rules. If firms differ in their production capabilities, the task of establishing each firm’s share of the market is more difficult. If a cartel member believes it is receiving a smaller market share than it could achieve on its own, it has a greater incentive to chisel. Because of the built-in incentives first to collude and then to chisel, the history of cartels tends to be cyclical. Periods in which output and prices are successfully controlled are followed by periods of chiseling, which lead eventually to the destruction of the cartel. Government Regulation of Cartels Government can either encourage or discourage a cartel. Through regulatory agencies that fix prices, determine market shares, and impose penalties for violation of rules, government can keep competitors or cartel members from doing what comes naturally— chiseling. In doing so, government may be providing an important service to industry. Perhaps that is why, in most states, insurance companies oppose deregulation of their rate structures. In seeking or welcoming regulation, an industry may calculate that it is easier to control one regulatory agency than a whole group of firms plus potential competitors. Thus in 1975, the airline industry opposed President Ford’s proposal that Congress curtail the power of the Civil Aeronautics Board to set rates and determine airline routes. As the Wall Street Journal reported, The administration bill quickly drew a sharp blast form the Air Transport Association, which was speaking for the airline industry. The proposed legislation “would tear apart a national transportation system recognized as the finest in the world,” the trade group said, urging Congress to reject it because it would cause “a major reduction or elimination of scheduled air service to many communities and would lead inevitably to increased costs to consumers.” 5 5 “Less Regulation of Airline Sector Is Urged by Ford,” Wall Street Journal, October 9, 1975, p. 3. Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 12 The real reason the airlines opposed deregulation became clear in the early 1980s, when several airlines filed for bankruptcy. Partial deregulation, begun in 1979, had increased competition, depressing fares and profits. Fares began to rise again in 1980, mainly because of rapidly escalating fuel costs. Real fares have nonetheless fallen since deregulation. Government can suppress competition in many other ways that have nothing to do with price. Prohibiting the sale of hard liquor on Sunday, for example, can benefit liquor dealers, who might otherwise be forced to stay open on Sundays. In Florida, a state representative who managed to get a law through the legislature permitting Sunday liquor sales was denounced by liquor dealers. As one dealer commented, the legislator had “pulled the boner of the year.” 6 Cartels with Lagged Demands Our analysis of cartels has been based on the presumption of a “standard good,” one not subject to the forces of lagged demand introduced in an earlier chapter. Under market conditions of lagged demand, the pricing strategies of a cartel are potentially different. When the market is split among two or more producers, then each firm can understand that if it lowers its price, then more goods will be sold currently, but even more goods will be sold in the future, when the benefits of the lagged demand/rational addition kick in. However, each can reason that the additional future sales generated by its current price reduction could be picked up by one of the other producers. The benefits are, in other words, external. So each producer can reason that it should not incur the current costs of a lower price for the benefit of others. Each producer individually has an impaired incentive to lower the price. On the other hand, each producer can also see that they all have a collective incentive to lower the price currently. Why? To stimulate future demand and to raise their future price and profits. A cartel under such circumstances would be organized to do what they all have an interest in doing, lower the price (not raise the price as is true in conventional markets). The problem is that the incentive to not go along with or chisel on the cartel remains strong for each firm, as is true in the conventional case, which suggest that consumers may not get the lower current price because of cartel cheating. However, not all is lost. If firms are inclined to chisel on such a cartel, there is a potential solution that might be seen as perfectly legal by the antitrust authorities. One firm can buy the other firms simply because their profits and stock prices will be suppressed by the inability of the firm to develop a workable cartel. Once one firm controls the market, then that one firm can lower the current price for the purpose of stimulating future demand. This one firm might end up as the sole producer but might escape prosecution as a monopolist in violation of the antitrust laws (in spite of the fact that it does what a cartel of firms can’t do) simply because the net effect of the buyouts is a lower price and expanded market. 6 St. Petersburg Times, June 7, 1975, p. 1-B. Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 13 Antitrust Legislation As we have seen, monopoly power often leads to market inefficiencies, or a misallocation of resources. Reductions in monopoly power should therefore improve consumer welfare. The U.S. government’s antitrust policy is designed, ostensibly, to improve market efficiency by reducing barriers to entry, breaking up monopolies, and reducing the monetary benefits of conspiring to reconstruct production or raise prices. It is based on three major laws, which have been amended and modified by court decisions: the Sherman, Clayton, and Federal Trade Commission Acts. PERSPECTIVE: A Real-World Case of Price Fixing During the 1950s, General Electric Company, Westinghouse Electric Corporation, Allis-Chalmers, Southern States Equipment, and other firms and their executives were accused of conspiring to set prices and divide the market for electrical equipment. 1 Their conspiracy, which covered everything from two-dollar insulators to turbine generators, illustrates the incentives for competitors first to collude and then to chisel on their collusive agreement. As a result of a court case brought against them, which ended in 1961, fines of nearly $2 million were levied again st the conspirators and the companies they represented. Six corporate executives were sent to prison, and twenty-four others were fined or given suspended sentences. It was the largest case brought to trial in the history of antitrust law, a classic example of the benefits and pitfalls of industrial conspiracy. The seeds of the conspiracy were planted during the Second World War, when the prices of various types of electrical equipment were regulated by the Office of Price Administration (OPA). Under the auspices of the National Electrical Manufacturers Association, firms met on a regular basis to determine how they could supply the heavy wartime demand for electrical equipment. After their meetings, executives would regroup to talk about how they could get the OPA to raise prices. When the war was over and prices were no longer controlled, these manufacturers faced competition from a growing number of smaller companies. Increasingly, buyers were asking for sealed bids as a means of getting the lowest possible prices. The major manufacturers continued their meetings, this time to talk about price fixing and methods of dividing the market. They decided to agree on their bids ahead of time and to rotate the privilege of making the lowest bid. After learning what the lowest bid would be, the others would make higher bids. The business was divided on the basis of past sales volume. In the circuit-breaker market, for example, General Electric received 45 percent of the business, Westinghouse 35 percent, Allis-Chalmers 10 percent, and Federal Pacific 10 percent. For a more detailed account of this case, see Richard Austin Smith, “The Incredible electrical Conspiracy,” parts I and II, Fortune, April and May 1961, pp. 132 ff. (April) and pp. 161 ff. (May). Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 14 The Sherman Act The Sherman Act was passed in 1890, after a series of major corporate mergers. It contains two critical provisions. The first, Section 1, declares illegal “every contract, combination in the form of trust or otherwise, or conspiracy, in restraint of trade or commerce among several states or with foreign nations.” The second, Section 2, declares that “every person who shall monopolize, or conspire with any other person or persons to monopolize any part of trade or commerce among the several states, or with foreign nations, shall be guilty of a misdemeanor. . . .” In short, the first section outlaws any form of cooperative behavior that restrains competition; the second outlaws monopolization or any attempt to acquire monopoly power. The language seems clear enough, yet the courts were initially reluctant to rule against violations of the law, citing prosecutors’ loose interpretation of the words “restraint of trade” and “conspire. . . .to monopolize.” In 1911, however, the Supreme Court ruled that Standard Oil Company, which then controlled 90 percent of the nation’s refinery capacity, should be broken up. By dividing the firm along geographical lines (which explains the names Standard Oil of Ohio and Standard Oil of California), the court effectively nullified the economic benefits of the breakup. In place of one large monopoly, the justices created smaller monopolies. Later, the court broke up the United States Steel Corporation and American Can Company on the grounds that they and followed “unfair and unethical” business practices. The Clayton Act Because the Sherman Act did not specify what constituted unfair and unethical business practice, and because the courts generally took a very narrow view of what constituted restraint of trade and commerce, Congress passed a new law in 1914. The Clayton Act listed four illegal practices in restraint of competition. It outlawed price discrimination, or the use of price differences not justified by cost differentials to lessen competition or create a monopoly. This provision was intended to prevent firms from cutting prices below cost in a particular geographical region in order to drive competitors out of the market. Railroads and department stores were allegedly involved in such “predatory competition.” The Clayton Act also forbade tying contracts and exclusive dealerships. A tying contract is an agreement between seller and buyer that requires the buyer of one good or service to purchase some other product or service. If IBM tried to force buyers of home computers to purchase only IBM software, for example, its purchase and sale agreement with customers might be considered a typing contract. An exclusive dealership is an agreement between a manufacturer and its dealers that forbids the dealers from handling other manufacturers’ products. The Clayton Act is applicable only to exclusive dealerships that reduce competition “substantially,” however. As long as other manufacturers’ products are sold in the same area, manufacturers may organize exclusive dealerships covering designated territories, as is common in the automobile industry. Since 1985, the antitrust enforcement agencies and the courts have been more lenient toward such nonprice vertical restraints as tying contracts and exclusive dealerships. Chapter 13 Imperfect Competition and Firm Strategy 15 Section 7 of the Clayton Act forbids mergers, or the acquisition by a firm of its competitors’ stock, if the effect of the merger is to reduce competition substantially. The act applies only to horizontal mergers, however. A horizontal merger is the joining of two or more firms in the same market—for example, two car companies into a single firm. Vertical mergers were excluded from the act. A vertical merger is the joining of two or more firms that perform different stages of the production process into a single firm. For example, the Clayton Act would permit the merging of an oil-drilling firm with a refining firm. So would conglomerate mergers. A conglomerate is a firm that results from the merging of several firms from different industries or markets. The combining of firms in tow entirely different markets—washing machines and light bulbs, for instance, would be considered a conglomerate merger. These loopholes in the Clayton Act—vertical and conglomerate mergers—were closed in part by the Celler-Kefauver Antimerger Amendment, passed in 1950. Although the act has since been applied to vertical mergers, it has never been applied to conglomerates. Finally, the Clayton Act declared interlocking directorates illegal. An interlocking directorate is the practice of having the same people serve as directors of two or more competing firms. If the same people direct competing firms and advise policies that effectively reduce industry output, they constitute a defacto monopoly. Section 8 of the Clayton Act prohibits such arrangements if they “substantially reduce” competition. The Federal Trade Commission Act The original purpose of the Federal Trade Commission Act, passed in 1914, was to thwart “unfair methods of competition” among firms. The act empowered the Federal Trade Commission to investigate cases of industrial espionage, bribery for the purpose of obtaining trade secrets or gaining business, and boycotts. 7 Later the Wheeler-Lea Amendment expanded the commission’s mandate to cover “unfair or deceptive acts or practices” that harmed customers, including the sale of shoddy merchandise and misleading or deceptive advertising. The Purposes and Consequences of Antitrust Laws The ostensible purpose of all these laws is to fight monopoly power by outlawing business practices that prevent or retard competition. By forcing firms to restrict production or fix prices surreptitiously, antitrust legislation makes collusion among competitors more costly. Violations of the law carry fines and penalties on conspiring firms and their employees. 7 Not all boycotts are prohibited, of course—only efforts designed to prevent goods from reaching their intended designation. That is, a union cannot prevent goods from crossing its picket lines, and firms cannot organize restrictions on the purchase of other firms’ products. . has in fact moved into the market for electronics and robotics. Oligopoly power remains a cause for concern. The basis for competition, however, is the. quantity supplied is Q 1 . Therefore the dominant producer will conclude that at price Pd, it can sell the difference, Q 3 -Q 1 . For that matter, at every

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