Risk Analysis for Engineering 1 potx

... Civil and Environmental Engineering CHAPTER 1 CHAPMAN HALL/CRC Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics Risk Analysis for Engineering Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University ... of risk analysis in this case are greatly affected by assumption made about the occupants. Information Uncertainty in Engineering Systems (cont’d) CHAPTER 1. INTROD...

Ngày tải lên: 13/08/2014, 05:21

... P 42 (10 ) P 43 (10 ) P 44 (10 ) P 45 (10 ) C(4 ,10 ) 4 s 40 11 P 41 (11 ) P 42 (11 ) P 43 (11 ) P 44 (11 ) P 45 (11 ) C(4 ,11 ) R 4 12 P 51 (12 ) P 52 (12 ) P 53 (12 ) P 54 (12 ) P 55 (12 ) C(5 ,12 ) 13 P 51 (13 ) ... Number 1 2 3 4 5 Expected Unit Maintenance Cost Expected Failure Cost 1 P 11 (1) P 12 (1) P 13 (1) P 14 (1) P 15 (1) 0 1 s...

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... Cans 2 318 13Hunting 13 1 412 Large Construction 18 1 011 Fire Fighting 511 10Surgery 849Pesticides 17 88Police Work ExpertsCollege Students League of Women Voters Activity or Technology CHAPTER 2. RISK ANALYSIS ... 27 Risk Terminology (cont’d) ̈ Safety (cont’d) Table 2. (cont’d) Risk Perception 292521Skiing 11 920Contraceptives 10 2 919 Swimming 919 18Electric (Non-nuclear)...

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... J. Clark School of Engineering •Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering CHAPTER 3a CHAPMAN HALL/CRC Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics Risk Analysis for Engineering Department ... Welds A1: Visual Inspection A2: Dye Penetrant Test A4: Ultrasonic Test A3: Magnetic Particle Test C(A1): $0.5/foot C(A2): $1. 0/foot C(A3): $4.0/foot C(A4): $15 .0/foot O1: Detect...

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... P(X 3 |X 1 )P(X 1 ,X 2 ) or P(X 1 ,X 2 ,X 3 ) = P(X 3 |X 1 )P(X 1 |X 2 )P(X 2 ) Case 1 X 1 X 2 X 3 P(X 1 ,X 2 ,X 3 ) = P(X 3 |X 1 ,X 2 )P(X 2 )P(X 1 ) X 1 X 2 X 3 P(X 1 ,X 2 ,X 3 ) = P(X 3 ,X 2 |X 1 )P(X 1 ) or P(X 1 ,X 2 ,X 3 ) ... Table 1 CHAPTER 3b. SYSTEM DEFINITION AND STRUCTURE Slide No. 4 System Definition Models X 1 X 2 X 3 P(X 1 ,X 2 ,X 3 ) = P(X...

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... 7 19 90 7 1 12 19 91 8 0 20 19 92 9 1 36 19 93 10 1 47 19 94 11 5 61 19 95 12 3 33 19 96 13 1 74 19 97 14 2 65 19 98 15 2 58 19 99 16 2 44 Partial Data Set From 20,000Simulation Cycles for ... (b): Iteration 3 -3.667E- 01- 2 .19 8E- 013 .803E+009.758E- 014 .927E+00X 3 1. 850E- 011 .10 9E- 014 .991E+002.420E- 014 .843E+00X 2 9 .11 8E- 015 .465E- 018 .020E- 011...

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... 28 16 /19 = 0.84 210 5 4 29 15 /19 = 0.789474 5 30 14 /19 = 14 0.736842 6 31 13 /19 = 0.684 211 7 32 12 /19 = 0.6 315 79 8 33 11 /19 = 0.578947 9 34 10 /19 = 0.526 316 10 35 9 /19 = 0.473684 11 36 8 /19 ... 0 .18 5507 0 .19 9432 0 .19 110 8 0 .16 0205 0 .12 4675 0.092763 0.067037 0.047492 0.03 317 4 0.25 0.3 0.379747 0.434783 0 .17 2995 0.207 218 0. 217 138 0. 211 225 0 .19 64...

Ngày tải lên: 13/08/2014, 05:21

... System 0.000 213 -0. 015 4690.2 819 40Component 4 0.00 018 9-0. 014 0970.264099Component 3 0.00 019 9-0. 014 3 710 .2 610 22Component 2 0.00 018 5-0. 013 915 0.262649Component 1 Parameter a 2 (1/ Year 2 ) Parameter a 1 (1/ Year) Parameter ... differentiation of Eq. 10 3a, instead of directly using Eq. 10 3b. )) (1) )( (1) )( (1( 1 )( )) (1) )( (1( )( )) (1) )( (1( )( )) (1) )( (1(...

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... 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 85.0 90.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 .0 90.0 85.0 90.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 85.0 90.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 11 .0 90.0 85.0 90.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 85.0 90.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 12 .0 ... 95.0 10 0.0 95.0 90.0 75.0 73.0 80.0 90.0 95.0 10 0.0 10 .0 80.0 85.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0.0 80.0 80.0 82.5 10 0.0 10 0.0 10 0....

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... x 10 -4 16 276,9 711 046Japan 1. 9 x 10 -4 678339 4.2 x 10 -4 40750 012 5World 2.2 x 10 -4 (dam-year = 4500 )1 6.5 x 10 -4 23497474 2.8 x 10 -4 14 310 012 4.5 x 10 -4 411 76433U.S. Rate (dam-year) -1 Period, ... in U.S. for the period 19 63 to 19 83 are given in Table 12 . CHAPTER 5b. FAILURE CONSEQUENCES AND SEVERITY Slide No. 19 Loss of Human Life 0.7 x 10 -4...

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