WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 2 pot
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 2 pot
... -2 0 2 4 6 8
98
100
1 02
104
106
108
110
1 12
114
Euro Area
1975:Q1
19 82: Q3
1993:Q1
20 09:Q2
20 00 02 04 Nov.
09
06 08
1
Recession
20 09:Q1 GDP
(percent of 20 08:Q3 GDP)
1
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: REBALANCING ... 15:
Q4
0
2
4
6
0
2
4
6
0
2
4
6
20 07 09 11 13 15:
Q4
20 07 09 11 13 15:
Q4
20 07 09 11 13 15:
Q4
2
4
6
8
10
12
2
4
6
8
10
12
2
3
4
5
6
7
20 07 09 1...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 4 pot
... Projections
20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11
Asia 5 .2 3.5 6.9 7.0 5.8 2. 0 4.1 2. 8 4.0 3.6 3.4 3.3
Advanced Asia 0 .2 –3.0 3.1 3 .2 2.8 –0.1 0.3 0.8 2. 4 3.1 2. 6 2. 4
Japan –1 .2 –5 .2 ... –6.3 –0 .2 3 .2 6.1 4 .2 4.3 2. 5 –7 .2 0.4 –0.4 –1.0
Bulgaria 6.0 –5.0 0 .2 2.0 12. 0 2. 5 2. 2 2. 9 24 .2 –9.5 –6.3 –5.8
Croatia...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 9 pot
... Projections
19 92 20 01 20 02 2003 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 15 20 09:Q4
2
2010:Q4
2
2011:Q4
2
Real GDP
Advanced Economies 2. 8 1.7 1.9 3 .2 2.7 3.0 2. 8 0.5 –3 .2 2.3 2. 4 2. 3 –0.5 2. 2 2. 5
United ... 1.5 2. 3 2. 9 1.6 2. 1 2. 4
Luxembourg 2. 1 2. 1 2. 0 2. 2 2. 5 2. 7 2. 3 3.4 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.9 2. 5 0.7 1 .2
Cyprus 3.5 2. 8 4....
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 1 pptx
... 0.0 –0.5 2. 2 2. 5
United States 0.4 2. 4 3.1 2. 6 0.4 0 .2 0.1 2. 8 2. 4
Euro Area 0.6 –4.1 1.0 1.5 0.0 –0.1 2. 2 1 .2 1.8
Germany 1 .2 –5.0 1 .2 1.7 –0.3 –0 .2 2. 4 1 .2 2.1
France 0.3 2. 2 1.5 1.8 0.1 ... January
20 10 WEO Projections
Estimates
Projections
20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 10 20 11 20 09 20 10 20 11
World Output
1
3.0 –0.6 4 .2 4.3 0.3 0.0 1.7 3.9 4.5
Adva...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 3 pps
... –10.5
Nigeria 2. 1 2. 1 . . . 2. 0 2. 2 6.0 –4.4 –4.7 –8 .2 –0.4 . . . –4.1 3.0
Venezuela 2. 6 2. 4 . . . 2. 3 2. 4 1.6 –5.8 –7.8 2. 0 –7.4 . . . –9.7 –4.9
Iraq 2. 4 2. 5 . . . 2. 4 2. 5 2. 5 4.9 9.9 14.0 2. 3 . ... Area
Investment
20 10 12 14 16
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2010 12 14 16
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2. 0
2. 5
Japan
20 10 12 14 16
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2010 12 14 1...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 5 ppsx
... years.
09:
Q3
20 07 20 08
09:
Q3
20 07 20 0809:
Q3
20 07 20 08
09:
Q3
20 07 20 08 09:
Q3
20 07 20 08
1
2
2
1
2
224 16_WEO_Ch 03.indd 722 2416_WEO_Ch 03.indd 72 4/16/10 3:03 PM4/16/10 3:03 PM
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: REBALANCING ... Contracts
1990 20 08 1990 20 08
Belgium 3.15 2. 18 1.68 1.73
Denmark
2. 40 1.50 1.68 1.63
Germany
3.17 2. 12 2.58 3.00
Greece
3.50 2. 7...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 6 docx
... Forecasts
–0.0 52
[0 .20 5]
Constant –0.335
[0 .22 0]
–0.393
[0 .22 8]*
–0.134
[0 .23 8]
–0.18
[0 .28 7]
–0.585
[0 .21 2]***
–0.178
[0 .22 3]
0 .26 4
[0 .27 9]
0.454
[0 .29 1]
Observations 322 23 8 137 28 8 308 125 21 8 21 5
R
2
0.07 ...
a share of total
21
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
21
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1
1
employment).
22 416_WEO_Ch 03.indd 922 2416_WEO_Ch 03.indd 92 4/16/10 3:04 P...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 7 doc
... Trade
0.157**
[2. 8 12]
0.136**
[2. 775]
0.147***
[2. 885]
0.098***
[3.443]
0.094***
[3.049]
0.073**
[2. 771]
0.086***
[4.330]
0.099***
[3.344]
0.078**
[2. 727 ]
(4) Change in World
Growth
0.440
[1.136]
0.109
[0 .29 5]
0. 428
[1.3 02]
0 .26 7
[1.148]
0.431*
[2. 0 92]
0. 420 *
[1.7 82]
0.676*
[1.889]
0.770**
[2. 823 ]
0.503*
[1.899]
(5) ... 0.037***
[3.467]
0.057**
[2. 886]
0...
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 8 ppt
... 3.4 4.9 4 .2
Russia 6.6 3.0 6.4 2. 2 2. 5 2. 1
Developing Asia 26 48.9 22 .5 42. 4 14.4 61.8 52. 5
China 27 .2 12. 5 24 .8 8.5 23 .3 19.8
India 11.0 5.1 4.6 1.6 21 .0 17.8
Excluding China and India 24 10.7 ... States 38.0 20 .5 15.0 9.9 30.4 4.6
Euro Area 16 28 .2 15 .2 43.7 28 .8 32. 3 4.8
Germany 7.5 4.0 13.0 8.6 8.1 1 .2
France 5.6 3.0 6.0 4.0 6 .2 0.9
Italy 4.7 2. 5 4....
WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rebalancing Growth phần 10 pdf
... 20 12 15
World
Savings 22 .6 21 .9 22 .2 22. 9 24 .2 24.3 23 .9 21 .4 22 .6 23 .5 24 .7
Investment 23 .4 22 .1 22 .1 22 .6 23 .3 23 .7 23 .8 21 .5 22 .3 23 .1 24 .3
Advanced Economies
Savings 22 .2 21.1 20 .1 20 .2 21.0 ... Countries
Savings 20 .0 19.0 21 .6 21 .7 22 .8 23 .1 22 .5 21 .4 21 .8 22 .3 23 .7
Investment 21 .7 21 .2 22. 7 23 .2 24.3 25...
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