Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 3 potx
Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 3 potx
... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3. 4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 3. 1 Stochastic assumptions to be added to AKGolf.xls. Assumption Cell Di...
Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20
Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 10 potx
... forecast window for Portfolio Loss in Figure 10.1. 144 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 10.4 Crystal Ball model to find VaR and CVaR. normally distributed, but truncated at −100 ... horizon, then on average the trading operation should lose 140 146 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 10.2 VaR and CVaR for independent inv...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 11 potx
... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 11.8 Crystal Ball model on the ‘‘Vector Random Walk’’ worksheet of RandomWalkWithDrift.xls for forecasting a vector time series with a random ... ADRA, and ADRU. The Crystal Ball assumptions in cells J9:L 13 have means and standard deviations shown in cells I15:L17, and cross correlations shown in cells I19:L...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 1 pptx
... Results 27 CHAPTER 3 Building a Crystal Ball Model 28 Simulation Modeling Process 28 Defining Crystal Ball Assumptions 29 Running Crystal Ball 32 Sources of Error 33 Controlling Model Error 35 CHAPTER ... Crystal Ball Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36 Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINAN...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 2 ppsx
... window for Year 30 Wealth in Figure 2.2, the possible values range from $0 to $15 million, and are broken up into 15 equal 14 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2 .3 Cumulative ... a 30 percent chance that you will actually accumulate the mean wealth or more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart compar...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 4 pot
... distribution. 66 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL cells B2:B78 and C2:C78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls. Cell H2 is lognormal(1.18,0 .36 ), and cell I2 is lognormal(1. 13, 0.22). The ... fact that it represents a random variable whose natural logarithm follows the normal distribution. Like the 68 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 5 pot
... quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step 3 in using the ... lower and upper bounds. Using a discrete variable type limits the number of values that Crystal Ball checks and thus speeds up the analysis. 86 FINANCIAL MODELI...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 6 docx
... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the simulation, see the Crystal Ball User Manual ... here. FIGURE 6.8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 7 pptx
... standard deviation of 3. In Model 2, the cash flow for Year 5 is linked to all previous years’ cash flows: C 5 = C 4 +3Z 5 = C 3 +3Z 4 +3Z 5 = C 2 +3Z 3 +3Z 4 +3Z 5 = C 1 +3Z 2 +3Z 3 +3Z 4 +3Z 5 = ... C t = 30 +3Z t for t = 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, where each Z t is drawn from a 116 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.11 Spider chart. analysis of the relat...
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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 8 pptx
... up with a good model for defining sales assumptions. 128 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 8.4 Crystal Ball model for income statement in Sengupta2.xls. Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 ... Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 are Crystal Ball assumptions, and I3 is a forecast. FIGURE 8.5 Tornado chart for Crystal Ball model in Sengupta2.xls. The values of the Cr...
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