... month. ECB • Working Paper No 192 • November 200218EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK WORKING PAPER SERIESECB EZB EKT BCE EKP WORKING PAPER NO. 192IS THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK (AND THE UNITEDSTATES FEDERAL ... Central Bank. WORKING PAPER NO. 192IS THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK (AND THE UNITEDSTATES FEDERAL RESERVE)PREDICTABLE?BY GABRIEL PEREZ-QUIROS1 AND JORGE SICILIA2November 2002EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK WORKING ... surprises and the yield curve, Working Paper, Bank of England. Hämäläinen, S., 2001, The ECB´s monetary policy, accountability, transparency and communication, Old Age, New Economy and Central Banking...