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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_1 ppt

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_1 ppt

... economic woes of recent years. As professional commodity and forex traders, you have a lot to be proud of. Table I.1 takes a look at the performance of the top 20 professional futures and forex trading operations ... Managed Account Research Inc. web site. Part II: Characteristics of a Successful Trading Plan Chapter 2: Building a Trading Plan Trader Personality and Temperament Adequate Capitalization ... because both offer a real look at the real lives of smart traders. I accepted this book challenge because John Wiley & Sons and I shared a vision for a book that would be a diary of my real-time...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_2 pdf

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_2 pdf

... profitability that trading requires a comprehensive approach addressing far, far more than simply having a belief that a certain market is going to advance or decline. Trading is a business that ... mode. Significant and clear chart patterns that produce profitable trends are most often comprised of many small patterns that failed to materialize. Charts are organic entities that evolve over ... “bearish” on the fundamentals of a market because of the same chart pattern. Charts represent a trading tool—period. Any other use of charts will only lead to disappointment and often net trading...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_3 pptx

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_3 pptx

... trades at least once each year, it means that I will experience a drawdown of at least 8 percent with certainty, at least on a closed trade basis. A 15 percent drawdown is about as much as I can emotionally ... technical approach used by the Factor Trading Plan falls into a category known as discretionary (as opposed to the mechanical approach used by many technical traders). A discretionary trading plan ... are dictated primarily by how risk is managed. Many novice commodity traders assume each trade will be a winner. Professional traders manage their trading to assume that each trade may be a loser. Obviously,...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_4 potx

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_4 potx

... a means A continuation pattern during the course of a major trend allows me to advance my initial protective stop in the direction of a profitable trade. A breakout of a continuation chart ... professional trading career was dedicated to advancing a more conservative approach to futures trading. Donchian passed away in the early 1990s. The Weekend Rule basically states that a market that decisively ... graph of the Australian dollar/Japanese yen (AUD/JPY). Again note the retest that occurred two weeks after the initial pattern completion. As is almost always the case with valid pattern breakouts,...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_6 doc

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_6 doc

... the determination of the risks and leverage taken on any trade or combination of trades, trade order management deals with the actual physical process of entering and exiting trades. My job as a trader ... bought a mini contract (a total of 33 ounces) of April gold at 884.2 per $100,000 of capital. My initial stop was just under the Last Day Rule at 853.8 with a risk on the trade of about 1 percent of ... concentrated focus in 2009. My opinion of sugar in 2009 highlights the fact that as a chartist I am not a detached market observer. My biases often dictate my chart analysis. Sugar was also my...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_8 ppt

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_8 ppt

... decision making. The DAX is a big contract; I had an open trade profit in the trade of nearly $2,800 per contract. Then the market did a slow and agonizing turn. I gave it all back, and more. Watching ... major pattern pyramid signals within an ongoing major trend. I become too eager to pyramid a profitable trade. These three types of trading events can synergistically lead to a temporary lack ... in a trader’s body screams to avoid—are often the best trades. In contrast, trades that are emotionally easy to execute are often trades consistent with the conventional wisdom of the marketplace....

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_9 doc

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_9 doc

... never look back. March Corn: A Classic Breakaway Gap Signal Type: Major Breakout Signal The vast majority of price gaps are pattern gaps—gaps that occur within a trading range that are covered ... through a series of trading signals. The gold market from January through early April was a great example of a concept I call market redefinition a process where one pattern fails and becomes part of ... filled in a matter of days or weeks. But, traders should always consider gaps through major boundary lines to be potential breakaway gaps. Legitimate breakaway gaps do not get filled, at least not...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_11 doc

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_11 doc

... in this chapter to provide a context for repeated attempts to exploit a chart development. The Australian dollar/Canadian dollar (AUD/CAD) is a textbook example of the comedy of errors that can occur when ... defined patterns, using sound money management, knowing that the vast majority of these patterns will fail and become components of a larger chart structure or become part of a chart that cannot ... Back Trades such as this remind me of catching a falling knife. This was not a breakout trade. The market had been in a free fall prior to my purchase. In fact, in hindsight I can see that a ...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_13 pptx

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_13 pptx

... Chart. Enter profit-taking orders in advance. Once a profit is taken in a market, avoid that market for several days. Never take a losing trade home over a weekend. If a trade is a ... once again as a wonderful example of how a major trend can occur through a series of small continuation patterns on the daily chart. In the case of copper, five individual patterns averaging ... the Daily Copper Graph. The Goal of the Markets Is to Separate You from Your Money! A trader much wiser and more profitable than I once said that the real purpose of capital and speculative...

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Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_15 doc

Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading_15 doc

... diagonal pattern continuation rectangle and pyramid triangle H&S bottom horn Last Day Rule major anticipatory signal trade major breakout signal trade Daily charts, use of DAX: ... as 2010 opportunity Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits (Schabacker) Technical Analysis of Stock Market Trends (Magee and Edwards) Technical trading Time framing GBP/USD as ... miscellaneous trade EUR/JPY: major anticipatory and major breakout signal trade major breakout signal trade EUR/USD: continuation triangle, reversal M top and flag major completion signal...

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