delphi method of sales forecasting

... biases of the model option prices, while the MARE statistic measures the dispersion of relative biases of the model prices. The difference between MARE and MRE suggests the direction of the bias of ... to the use of implied volatility or volatility risk. The Black-Scholes model exhibits similar pattern of mispricing, namely underpricing of short-maturity options and over-pricing of long-maturity ... ba- sis of the BIC inclusion of these parameters was not justified. Therefore we included no cross terms between ln σ 2 st and ln σ 2 rt in (5) and (6); (iv) As far as the choice of a 19 of the...

Ngày tải lên: 21/12/2013, 01:20

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Ngày tải lên: 13/02/2014, 12:20

... than that of straight line (2). The value of the slice of regression straight line (1) is also higher than that of regression straight line (2). So, we can decide that the words of the regression ... than that of straight line (2). The value of the slice of regression straight line (1) is also higher than that of regression straight line (2). So, we can decide that the words of the regression ... versus degree of scattering because of the arrangement of frequencies of words in rectangular coordinates as shown in Fig. 2. In such case, there will be some problems in the point of reliability...

Ngày tải lên: 20/02/2014, 16:20

... cash distribution method Table 9. An example of forecasting within cash distribution method Table 10. Profit and loss account as a starting position in the percentage of sales method Table 11. ... Figure 7. Example of zero cash balancing Figure 8. Analysis of the level of forecasting accuracy Figure 9. The day of the month effect in Mercator d.d. Figure 10. The day of the week effect ... Cash flow forecasting techniques 56 4 CASH FLOW FORECASTING IN MERCATOR D.D. 72 4.1 Company profile 72 4.2 Cash flow forecasting: the case of Mercator d.d. 73 4.2.1 The distribution method 75...

Ngày tải lên: 20/02/2014, 16:20

... the behav- ior of households will be blue or shades of blue and all diagrams relating to the behavior of firms will be red or shades of red. Figure 3.1 shows the circular flow of economic activity ... Statistical Abstract of the United States, a large volume of data published by the Department of Commerce every year that describes many features of the U.S. economy. Massive volumes of data can now ... the price of a product rises, people tend to buy less of it; when the price of a product falls, people tend to buy more. Theories do not always arise out of formal numerical data. All of us have...

Ngày tải lên: 21/02/2014, 03:20

... AN AUTOMATIC METHOD OF FINDING TOPIC BOUNDARIES Jeffrey C. Reynar* Department of Computer and Information Science University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA ... let n be the length of the concatena- tion of articles; let m be the number of unique tokens (after lemmatization and removal of words on the stop list); let B be a list of boundaries, initialized ... implic- itly in several of the techniques described above, but the method presented here depends exclusively on it. Methodology Church (1993) describes a graphical method, called doL- plotting,...

Ngày tải lên: 08/03/2014, 07:20

... rin trong cdng nghiep ma crom, niken. Ha Noi (2008). J. E. Silva, D.Scares et al. Journal of Hazardous material B121 (2005) Dinh Pham Thai, Nguyin Kim Thiet. Ly thuyet cac qua trinh ... nghe Viet Nam ABSTRACT The article describes the nickel recovery process by using dissolving method in order to dissolve alternately the hydroxide typed indissoluble ones fiom Nickel contained ... temperature the last one with boiling temperature at 100"C pernuts to recovery almost whole of nickel quantity. In this case the nickel recovery rate can reach up to 98.61%. Thus for...

Ngày tải lên: 11/03/2014, 16:20

... of form A Another method of logic synthesis of 61 Obviously now the value of set E shows the complete parameters of periodical as well as frequency existence of forms of circuit functions ... Another method of logic synthesis of 59 Table 3. Circuit function with input state R 3, ε of RS - FF - Counter with k = 6, ε = 0 to 64, in which: P is the periodical existence of circuit ... use computer in logical synthesis of counting circuit. This is the aim of this article. 1. Synthesizing counting circuits using similar forms For the method of synthesizing digital counting...

Ngày tải lên: 14/03/2014, 13:20

... percentage of communication is non-verbal. If you are afraid of asking for billing information, your guest will sense it and will not be willing to use EFT as their method of payment. Many of these ... this stage of the buying process, you really have little to worry about. Don’t be Afraid to Ask for Add-On Sales Are you aware of the fact that McDonald’s increases their sales 25 percent ... circumstances. You will often find that you will need to utilize several closes on the same guest. Practice makes perfect! You want to develop a high level of comfort with a variety of closing methods so...

Ngày tải lên: 16/03/2014, 15:20

... two forms of circuit functions. (Figure 5) with ∆ε = 2 ℓ = 2 3 = 8 Another method of logic synthesis of 61 Obviously now the value of set E shows the complete parameters of periodical ... Another method of logic synthesis of 59 Table 3. Circuit function with input state R 3, ε of RS - FF - Counter with k = 6, ε = 0 to 64, in which: P is the periodical existence of circuit ... Figure 3 describes the appearance of form 1 and form 2 on ε axis. Figure 3: Description of form 1 and form 2 on ε axis Another method of logic synthesis of 57 From figure 3 we can see...

Ngày tải lên: 22/03/2014, 11:20

... MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES TO THE DISCIPLINE OF SALES LEAD MANAGEMENT DISCIPLINE OF SALES LEAD MANAGEMENTDISCIPLINE OF SALES LEAD MANAGEMENT DISCIPLINE OF SALES LEAD MANAGEMENT ... TQM Page 33 The typical method of allocating sales leads If a sales manager is using a Pull method and has implemented a Kanban style of notification, then sales team members will only ... It is the role of the sales manager to address and improve. Sales TQM Page 5 The State of Most Sales Teams The typical sales organization has been the pointy end of the economic spear...

Ngày tải lên: 23/03/2014, 12:20

... samples of fermented dough. Cooking reduced the number of contaminated samples to 10 of unfermented and 6 of fermented dough, but after 6 h of storage, 45 of unfermented compared to 22 of fermented ... 1988). The length of fermentation of cassava roots, the type of gari flour and the source of the flour affected the levels of HCN detected (Ukhun & Nkwocha, 1989). During the fermentation of melon ... 9 I NTRODUCTION 9 D EFINITION OF FERMENTED FOOD 9 C LASSIFICATION OF FERMENTED FOODS 9 B ENEFITS OF FERMENTING FOOD 11 M ICROFLORA IN FERMENTED FOODS 12 N UTRITIONAL VALUE OF FERMENTED FOODS 13 Proteins...

Ngày tải lên: 24/03/2014, 04:20

... 711 they are widespread. This method also has none of the advantages of a manual method; an automated method is essential to handle such large quantities of data. However, the method should be sufficient ... appended without introducing inhomogeneities. The method developed offers a number of improvements: 1. It is an iterative method, in which a subsection of a candidate may be checked if the full record ... characteristics of the candidate, thus forming the reference series. 2.5. Correction of inhomogeneities The detection of inhomogeneities employed the residual sum of squares (RSS) statistics from the GHCN method...

Ngày tải lên: 30/03/2014, 13:20

... eliminates a con- siderable amount of nondeterminism. An alternative method of training probabilistic LR parsers Mark-Jan Nederhof Faculty of Arts University of Groningen P.O. Box 716 NL-9700 ... total number of all occurrences of transitions P a,b → P Q or P a,b → Q. The probability of, say, a transition P a,b → P Q is now estimated by dividing the number of occur- rences thereof in the ... above total num- ber of occurrences of transitions with P in the left- hand side. Similarly, for each pair (Q, P) we sum the total number of occurrences of all transitions of the form Q P a,b →...

Ngày tải lên: 31/03/2014, 03:20

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