THUY LOI UNIVERSITY & UNIVERSITY OF LIÈGE MASTER THESIS MODELING STORM SURGE FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST OF VIETNAM Student’s name: Tran Manh Linh Class: NICHE B Major: Coastal Engineering and Management Sustainable Hydraulic Structures Supervisor: A/Prof Dr Nghiem Tien Lam, Faculty of Marine and Coastal Enginering Thuy Loi University, Ha Noi, Viet Nam Co-supervisor: Prof Jean-Michel Hiver Université de Liège & Université Libre de Bruxelles Ha Noi- 2016 Declaration I hereby certify the work which is being presented in this thesis entitled, “Modeling storm surge for the North central coast of Vietnam” in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the award of the Master of Coastal Engineering Management and Sustainable Hydraulic Structures is an authentic record of my own work carried out under supervision of Ass Prof PhD Nghiem Tien Lam and Co-supervisor: Prof JeanMichel Hiver The matter embodied in this thesis has not been submitted by me for the award of any other degree or diploma Date: Aug 15, 2016 Tran Manh Linh Student: Tran Manh Linh i Class: Niche B Acknowledgements I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my advisor Ass Prof PhD Nghiem Tien Lam and Co-supervisor Prof Jean-Michel Hiver for their guidance, suggestion and inspiration I would like to express my sincere thanks to University Board of Management, professors and lectures at Department of Marine and Coastal Engineering of Thuy Loi University and professors and lecturers of the Niche programme and BelgianVietnamese Master Programme for supporting me throughout my study progress Finally, I would like to express my special appreciation to my friends and colleagues for their support, encourage and advices The deepest thanks are expressed to my family member for their unconditional loves Student: Tran Manh Linh ii Class: Niche B CONTENTS CONTENTS iii LIST OF FIGURES vi LIST OF TABLES ix ABSTRACT 1 Problem statement Literature review Study objectives Approach and methodology .7 Thesis structure CHAPTER PHYSICAL SETTINGS 10 1.1 Geographic conditions .10 1.2 Topographic conditions 11 1.3 Climatic conditions 11 1.4 Observation stations and hydrologic conditions 12 1.5 Historical disasters of typhoons and storm surges 16 1.6 Conclusions 19 CHAPTER 2.1 MODELLING OF NON-TYPHOON CONDITION 20 Introduction 20 2.1.1 Introduction model MIKE 21 20 2.1.2 Module Mike21 FM 21 2.2 Model setup and boundary conditions .24 2.2.1 Basic impute data 25 2.2.2 The digitalized area 26 2.3 Model calibration .28 Student: Tran Manh Linh iii Class: Niche B 2.3.1 Boundary condition and initial condition 29 2.3.2 The model parameters .31 2.3.3 Result of model calibration .31 2.4 Model verification 33 2.4.1 The parameter for verification 34 2.4.2 The result of verification model 35 2.5 Model results 36 2.6 Conclusions 37 CHAPTER 3.1 MODELING OF STORM SURGE 39 Introduction 39 3.1.1 Typhoon model 39 3.1.2 General description 45 3.2 Model setup and boundary conditions .47 3.3 Model calibration .48 3.3.1 The input data 48 3.3.2 Result of calibration 51 3.4 Model verification 53 3.4.1 3.5 The result of verification 56 Model results 58 3.5.1 The result calculation of storm surge 58 3.5.2 Sensitivity analysis model 58 3.6 Conclusions 66 Conclusion 67 Recommendation .68 REFERENCES 69 Student: Tran Manh Linh iv Class: Niche B APPENDIXES .71 Student: Tran Manh Linh v Class: Niche B LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1-1 Administrative map North Central Coast of Vietnam 10 Figure 2-1 Introduction Mike 21 20 Figure 2-2 Digital elevation model of North central coast of Vietnam in Mike21 .25 Figure 2-3 Simulated area .26 Figure 2-4 Location of simulated area 27 Figure 2-5 Hon Dau, Sam Son location on model 28 Figure 2-6 Diagram of calibration process 29 Figure 2-7 Water level in East condition 3/2007 30 Figure 2-8 Water level in North East condition 3/2007 30 Figure 2-9 Water level in South East condition 3/2007 30 Figure 2-10 Comparison of water level at Hon Dau observation station 32 Figure 2-11 Comparison of water level at Sam Son observation station 32 Figure 2-12 Water level in East condition 11/2007 33 Figure 2-13 Water level in North East condition 11/2007 33 Figure 2-14 Water level in South East condition 11/2007 34 Figure 2-15 The detail of Manning’s number .34 Figure 2-16 Comparison of water level in Hon Dau station 35 Figure 2-17 Comparison of water level in Sam Son station 36 Figure 2-18 The detail of Manning’s number .37 Figure 3-1 The track of the storm Damrey (2005) 45 Figure 3-2 Flood at coastal zone Nam Dinh in the Damrey typhoon (09/2005) 46 Figure 3-3 The track of the LEKIMA 2007 46 Figure 3-4 Water level in East boundary condition 9/2005 47 Student: Tran Manh Linh vi Class: Niche B Figure 3-5 Water level in North East condition 9/2005 47 Figure 3-6 Water level in South East condition 9/2005 48 Figure 3-7 Pressure in Sep 26 2005 05:00 PM 49 Figure 3-8 Wind speed in Sep 26 2005 05:00 PM 50 Figure 3-9 Wind direction in Sep 26 2005 05:00 PM 50 Figure 3-10 Comparison of water level in Hon Dau station in 9/2005 52 Figure 3-11 Comparison of water level in Sam Son station in 9/2005 52 Figure 3-12 Pressure in Oct 03 2007 07:00 AM 54 Figure 3-13 Wind speed in Oct 03 2007 07:00 AM 54 Figure 3-14 Wind direction in Oct 03 2007 07:00 AM 55 Figure 3-15 Water level in East boundary condition 10/2007 55 Figure 3-16 Water level in North East boundary condition 10/2007 56 Figure 3-17 Water level in South East boundary condition 10/2007 56 Figure 3-18 Comparison of water level in Hon Dau station in 10/2007 .57 Figure 3-19 Comparison of water level in Sam Son station 10/2007 57 Figure 3-20 The results of calculation storm surge in typhoon Damrey in 2005 58 Figure 3-21 The track of the typhoon Damrey (2005) .59 Figure 3-22 Storm surge at Hon Dau when change typhoon track .60 Figure 3-23 Storm surge at Sam Son when change typhoon track .60 Figure 3-24 Storm surge at Hon Dau station 62 Figure 3-25 Storm surge at Sam Son station 62 Figure 3-26 Water level at Hon Dau when change wind speed 63 Figure 3-27 Water level at Sam Son when change wind speed 63 Figure 3-28 Models in mike 21 tool box .64 Figure 3-29 Necessary parameters from the formulas which calculate wind field .64 Student: Tran Manh Linh vii Class: Niche B Figure 3-30 Water level at Hon Dau Station 65 Figure 3-31 Water level at Sam Son station 65 Student: Tran Manh Linh Niche B viii Class: LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1 The water level corresponding to the frequency 12 Table 1.2 The water level corresponding to the cumulative frequency at Hon Dau .13 Table 1.3 Height, length, speed and largest wave period (19561985) 14 Table 1.4 Statistics storm in North Central Coast province from 1946 to 2015 17 Table 2.1 Boundary condition of model 27 Table 2.2 The coordinate of observation stations 28 Table 2.3 The result of error in observation station 33 Table 2.4 The result of error in observation station 36 Table 3.1 The parameter of storm Damrey 2005 48 Table 3.2 The result of error in observation stations in Storm Damrey 51 Table 3.3 The parameter of storm LEKIMA (2007) 53 Table 3.4 The result of error in observation station in Storm .56 Student: Tran Manh Linh ix Class: Niche B Time 3/13/2007 14:00 3/13/2007 15:00 3/13/2007 16:00 3/13/2007 17:00 3/13/2007 18:00 3/13/2007 19:00 3/13/2007 20:00 3/13/2007 21:00 3/13/2007 22:00 3/13/2007 23:00 3/14/2007 0:00 3/14/2007 1:00 3/14/2007 2:00 3/14/2007 3:00 3/14/2007 4:00 3/14/2007 5:00 3/14/2007 6:00 3/14/2007 7:00 3/14/2007 8:00 3/14/2007 9:00 3/14/2007 10:00 3/14/2007 11:00 3/14/2007 12:00 3/14/2007 13:00 3/14/2007 14:00 3/14/2007 15:00 3/14/2007 16:00 3/14/2007 17:00 3/14/2007 18:00 3/14/2007 19:00 3/14/2007 20:00 3/14/2007 21:00 3/14/2007 22:00 3/14/2007 23:00 3/15/2007 0:00 3/15/2007 1:00 3/15/2007 2:00 3/15/2007 3:00 3/15/2007 4:00 3/15/2007 5:00 3/15/2007 6:00 3/15/2007 7:00 3/15/2007 8:00 3/15/2007 9:00 3/15/2007 10:00 3/15/2007 11:00 3/15/2007 12:00 3/15/2007 13:00 3/15/2007 14:00 3/15/2007 15:00 Measured (m) -0.85 -0.57 -0.19 0.15 0.45 0.70 0.94 1.14 1.28 1.37 1.41 1.35 1.19 0.95 0.63 0.29 -0.04 -0.35 -0.66 -0.90 -1.09 -1.23 -1.29 -1.26 -1.17 -0.97 -0.69 -0.37 -0.01 0.31 0.63 0.91 1.11 1.26 1.37 1.38 1.32 1.16 0.89 0.53 0.16 -0.15 -0.51 -0.80 -1.01 -1.20 -1.32 -1.36 -1.34 -1.23 Student: Tran Manh Linh Hon Dau Model Difference Measured (m) (m) (m) -0.99 0.14 -0.73 0.16 -0.43 0.24 -0.11 0.26 0.21 0.24 0.54 0.16 1.28 0.84 0.10 1.11 0.03 1.30 -0.02 1.40 -0.03 1.41 0.00 1.32 0.03 -0.24 1.16 0.03 0.93 0.02 0.64 -0.01 0.30 -0.01 -0.05 0.01 -0.42 0.07 -1.38 -0.76 0.10 -1.05 0.15 -1.27 0.18 -1.41 0.18 -1.47 0.18 -1.43 0.17 0.32 -1.30 0.13 -1.09 0.12 -0.81 0.12 -0.50 0.13 -0.16 0.15 0.20 0.11 1.42 0.57 0.06 0.92 -0.01 1.22 -0.11 1.43 -0.17 1.55 -0.18 1.55 -0.17 -0.01 1.44 -0.12 1.25 -0.09 0.98 -0.09 0.66 -0.13 0.30 -0.14 -0.08 -0.07 -1.47 -0.45 -0.06 -0.79 -0.01 -1.08 0.07 -1.30 0.10 -1.44 0.12 -1.50 0.14 -0.17 -1.48 0.14 -1.36 0.13 77 Sam Son Model Difference (m) (m) 0.90 1.03 1.11 1.11 1.04 0.91 -0.38 0.76 0.59 0.39 0.15 -0.12 -0.42 1.70 -0.72 -1.01 -1.24 -1.38 -1.39 -1.28 1.04 -1.06 -0.77 -0.45 -0.13 0.18 0.48 -1.86 0.76 1.00 1.18 1.27 1.27 1.16 -0.84 0.99 0.79 0.59 0.37 0.12 -0.15 1.57 -0.44 -0.73 -1.01 -1.24 -1.40 -1.44 1.43 -1.35 -1.15 -0.87 -0.55 -0.21 0.13 -1.60 0.47 0.79 Class: Niche B Time 3/15/2007 16:00 3/15/2007 17:00 3/15/2007 18:00 3/15/2007 19:00 3/15/2007 20:00 3/15/2007 21:00 3/15/2007 22:00 3/15/2007 23:00 3/16/2007 00:00 Measured (m) -1.03 -0.79 -0.47 -0.09 0.29 0.61 0.89 1.15 1.35 Hon Dau Model Difference Measured (m) (m) (m) -1.16 0.13 -0.89 0.10 -0.57 0.10 -0.22 0.13 1.43 0.16 0.13 0.55 0.06 0.93 -0.04 1.26 -0.11 1.49 -0.14 Sam Son Model Difference (m) (m) 1.06 1.25 1.35 1.32 -1.49 1.19 0.98 0.76 0.56 0.36 Appendixes 2: The result of verification tidal model Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/1/2007 0:00 11/1/2007 1:00 11/1/2007 2:00 11/1/2007 3:00 11/1/2007 4:00 11/1/2007 5:00 11/1/2007 6:00 11/1/2007 7:00 11/1/2007 8:00 11/1/2007 9:00 11/1/2007 10:00 11/1/2007 11:00 11/1/2007 12:00 11/1/2007 13:00 11/1/2007 14:00 11/1/2007 15:00 11/1/2007 16:00 11/1/2007 17:00 11/1/2007 18:00 11/1/2007 19:00 11/1/2007 20:00 11/1/2007 21:00 11/1/2007 22:00 11/1/2007 23:00 11/2/2007 0:00 11/2/2007 1:00 11/2/2007 2:00 11/2/2007 3:00 1.67 1.85 1.93 1.85 1.67 1.36 0.98 0.55 0.13 -0.34 -0.76 -1.07 -1.30 -1.47 -1.60 -1.63 -1.52 -1.29 -1.01 -0.65 -0.27 0.14 0.54 0.86 1.06 1.29 1.47 1.58 0.00 0.54 2.08 2.92 1.95 1.06 0.59 0.61 -0.25 -1.13 -1.13 -1.24 -1.60 -1.61 -1.44 -1.40 -1.53 -1.62 -1.37 -0.71 -0.11 0.28 0.68 1.19 1.65 1.81 1.74 1.60 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 1.67 1.31 -0.15 -1.07 -0.28 0.30 0.39 -0.06 0.38 0.79 0.37 0.17 0.30 0.14 -0.16 -0.23 0.01 0.33 0.36 0.06 -0.16 -0.14 -0.14 -0.33 -0.59 -0.52 -0.27 -0.02 78 1.58 0.73 -1.37 -0.80 1.38 Model (m) 0.00 0.54 2.08 2.92 1.95 1.06 0.59 0.61 -0.25 -1.13 -1.13 -1.24 -1.60 -1.61 -1.44 -1.40 -1.53 -1.62 -1.37 -0.71 -0.11 0.28 0.68 1.19 1.65 1.81 1.74 1.60 Difference (m) 1.04 0.12 0.24 -0.09 -0.43 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/2/2007 4:00 11/2/2007 5:00 11/2/2007 6:00 11/2/2007 7:00 11/2/2007 8:00 11/2/2007 9:00 11/2/2007 10:00 11/2/2007 11:00 11/2/2007 12:00 11/2/2007 13:00 11/2/2007 14:00 11/2/2007 15:00 11/2/2007 16:00 11/2/2007 17:00 11/2/2007 18:00 11/2/2007 19:00 11/2/2007 20:00 11/2/2007 21:00 11/2/2007 22:00 11/2/2007 23:00 11/3/2007 0:00 11/3/2007 1:00 11/3/2007 2:00 11/3/2007 3:00 11/3/2007 4:00 11/3/2007 5:00 11/3/2007 6:00 11/3/2007 7:00 11/3/2007 8:00 11/3/2007 9:00 11/3/2007 10:00 11/3/2007 11:00 11/3/2007 12:00 11/3/2007 13:00 11/3/2007 14:00 11/3/2007 15:00 11/3/2007 16:00 11/3/2007 17:00 11/3/2007 18:00 11/3/2007 19:00 11/3/2007 20:00 11/3/2007 21:00 1.57 1.40 1.13 0.83 0.51 0.16 -0.18 -0.50 -0.75 -0.93 -1.08 -1.16 -1.13 -1.00 -0.80 -0.54 -0.22 0.09 0.40 0.69 0.94 1.15 1.34 1.45 1.50 1.46 1.31 1.09 0.78 0.41 0.03 -0.28 -0.51 -0.70 -0.87 -0.96 -0.97 -0.90 -0.78 -0.62 -0.44 -0.17 1.47 1.28 1.05 0.76 0.38 -0.04 -0.44 -0.82 -1.17 -1.42 -1.57 -1.62 -1.56 -1.38 -1.12 -0.84 -0.54 -0.20 0.17 0.55 0.92 1.22 1.43 1.54 1.53 1.39 1.16 0.88 0.58 0.25 -0.09 -0.41 -0.69 -0.92 -1.09 -1.21 -1.26 -1.24 -1.13 -0.95 -0.72 -0.44 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.10 0.12 0.08 0.07 0.13 0.20 0.26 0.32 0.42 0.49 0.49 0.46 0.43 0.38 0.32 0.30 0.32 0.29 0.23 0.14 0.02 -0.07 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 0.07 0.15 0.21 0.20 0.16 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.25 0.29 0.34 0.35 0.33 0.28 0.27 79 1.02 -1.11 -1.20 0.70 1.12 -0.58 -1.07 Model (m) 1.47 1.28 1.05 0.76 0.38 -0.04 -0.44 -0.82 -1.17 -1.42 -1.57 -1.62 -1.56 -1.38 -1.12 -0.84 -0.54 -0.20 0.17 0.55 0.92 1.22 1.43 1.54 1.53 1.39 1.16 0.88 0.58 0.25 -0.09 -0.41 -0.69 -0.92 -1.09 -1.21 -1.26 -1.24 -1.13 -0.95 -0.72 -0.44 Difference (m) 0.26 0.31 -0.36 -0.52 0.24 0.34 -0.12 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/3/2007 22:00 11/3/2007 23:00 11/4/2007 0:00 11/4/2007 1:00 11/4/2007 2:00 11/4/2007 3:00 11/4/2007 4:00 11/4/2007 5:00 11/4/2007 6:00 11/4/2007 7:00 11/4/2007 8:00 11/4/2007 9:00 11/4/2007 10:00 11/4/2007 11:00 11/4/2007 12:00 11/4/2007 13:00 11/4/2007 14:00 11/4/2007 15:00 11/4/2007 16:00 11/4/2007 17:00 11/4/2007 18:00 11/4/2007 19:00 11/4/2007 20:00 11/4/2007 21:00 11/4/2007 22:00 11/4/2007 23:00 11/5/2007 0:00 11/5/2007 1:00 11/5/2007 2:00 11/5/2007 3:00 11/5/2007 4:00 11/5/2007 5:00 11/5/2007 6:00 11/5/2007 7:00 11/5/2007 8:00 11/5/2007 9:00 11/5/2007 10:00 11/5/2007 11:00 11/5/2007 12:00 11/5/2007 13:00 11/5/2007 14:00 11/5/2007 15:00 0.11 0.39 0.67 0.91 1.06 1.16 1.23 1.27 1.21 1.11 0.94 0.68 0.39 0.15 -0.10 -0.33 -0.52 -0.61 -0.64 -0.65 -0.59 -0.52 -0.45 -0.33 -0.15 0.05 0.23 0.43 0.61 0.76 0.85 0.90 0.90 0.85 0.76 0.62 0.47 0.29 0.14 0.00 -0.14 -0.23 -0.15 0.15 0.43 0.71 0.95 1.11 1.18 1.16 1.06 0.89 0.68 0.43 0.16 -0.09 -0.32 -0.52 -0.67 -0.77 -0.84 -0.87 -0.85 -0.78 -0.67 -0.52 -0.34 -0.13 0.08 0.29 0.48 0.65 0.76 0.80 0.77 0.68 0.55 0.40 0.23 0.06 -0.09 -0.21 -0.30 -0.36 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.20 0.11 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.15 0.22 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.24 0.22 0.19 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.22 0.26 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.17 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.16 0.13 80 0.33 0.81 -0.29 -0.74 0.05 0.60 0.02 Model (m) -0.15 0.15 0.43 0.71 0.95 1.11 1.18 1.16 1.06 0.89 0.68 0.43 0.16 -0.09 -0.32 -0.52 -0.67 -0.77 -0.84 -0.87 -0.85 -0.78 -0.67 -0.52 -0.34 -0.13 0.08 0.29 0.48 0.65 0.76 0.80 0.77 0.68 0.55 0.40 0.23 0.06 -0.09 -0.21 -0.30 -0.36 Difference (m) -0.38 -0.08 0.23 0.04 -0.24 -0.08 0.23 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/5/2007 16:00 11/5/2007 17:00 11/5/2007 18:00 11/5/2007 19:00 11/5/2007 20:00 11/5/2007 21:00 11/5/2007 22:00 11/5/2007 23:00 11/6/2007 0:00 11/6/2007 1:00 11/6/2007 2:00 11/6/2007 3:00 11/6/2007 4:00 11/6/2007 5:00 11/6/2007 6:00 11/6/2007 7:00 11/6/2007 8:00 11/6/2007 9:00 11/6/2007 10:00 11/6/2007 11:00 11/6/2007 12:00 11/6/2007 13:00 11/6/2007 14:00 11/6/2007 15:00 11/6/2007 16:00 11/6/2007 17:00 11/6/2007 18:00 11/6/2007 19:00 11/6/2007 20:00 11/6/2007 21:00 11/6/2007 22:00 11/6/2007 23:00 11/7/2007 0:00 11/7/2007 1:00 11/7/2007 2:00 11/7/2007 3:00 11/7/2007 4:00 11/7/2007 5:00 11/7/2007 6:00 11/7/2007 7:00 11/7/2007 8:00 11/7/2007 9:00 -0.27 -0.28 -0.27 -0.25 -0.27 -0.26 -0.19 -0.07 0.02 0.17 0.27 0.37 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.44 0.39 0.33 0.28 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.10 0.06 -0.40 -0.43 -0.45 -0.46 -0.43 -0.39 -0.31 -0.22 -0.10 0.02 0.14 0.25 0.33 0.38 0.39 0.35 0.29 0.21 0.12 0.05 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.10 -0.12 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.05 -0.01 0.02 0.03 0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.09 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.16 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.20 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 81 -0.08 0.04 0.34 0.14 0.01 0.02 0.15 Model (m) -0.40 -0.43 -0.45 -0.46 -0.43 -0.39 -0.31 -0.22 -0.10 0.02 0.14 0.25 0.33 0.38 0.39 0.35 0.29 0.21 0.12 0.05 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.10 -0.12 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.05 -0.01 0.02 0.03 0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.09 Difference (m) 0.38 0.02 -0.01 0.19 0.06 0.11 0.17 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/7/2007 10:00 11/7/2007 11:00 11/7/2007 12:00 11/7/2007 13:00 11/7/2007 14:00 11/7/2007 15:00 11/7/2007 16:00 11/7/2007 17:00 11/7/2007 18:00 11/7/2007 19:00 11/7/2007 20:00 11/7/2007 21:00 11/7/2007 22:00 11/7/2007 23:00 11/8/2007 0:00 11/8/2007 1:00 11/8/2007 2:00 11/8/2007 3:00 11/8/2007 4:00 11/8/2007 5:00 11/8/2007 6:00 11/8/2007 7:00 11/8/2007 8:00 11/8/2007 9:00 11/8/2007 10:00 11/8/2007 11:00 11/8/2007 12:00 11/8/2007 13:00 11/8/2007 14:00 11/8/2007 15:00 11/8/2007 16:00 11/8/2007 17:00 11/8/2007 18:00 11/8/2007 19:00 11/8/2007 20:00 11/8/2007 21:00 11/8/2007 22:00 11/8/2007 23:00 11/9/2007 0:00 11/9/2007 1:00 11/9/2007 2:00 11/9/2007 3:00 0.03 0.08 0.14 0.25 0.33 0.43 0.51 0.59 0.65 0.61 0.54 0.50 0.44 0.38 0.33 0.25 0.15 0.04 -0.07 -0.15 -0.16 -0.18 -0.21 -0.22 -0.22 -0.20 -0.08 0.11 0.33 0.56 0.77 0.95 1.05 1.08 1.03 0.95 0.84 0.73 0.61 0.47 0.28 0.05 -0.12 -0.12 -0.10 -0.05 0.02 0.11 0.20 0.26 0.30 0.32 0.31 0.27 0.20 0.12 0.04 -0.03 -0.10 -0.16 -0.21 -0.25 -0.29 -0.34 -0.38 -0.41 -0.42 -0.39 -0.31 -0.19 -0.05 0.12 0.29 0.45 0.57 0.64 0.67 0.63 0.54 0.42 0.29 0.15 0.00 -0.15 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.15 0.20 0.24 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.29 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.20 0.14 0.10 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.30 0.38 0.44 0.48 0.50 0.48 0.44 0.36 0.32 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.28 0.20 82 -0.19 0.18 0.12 -0.32 -0.46 0.34 0.17 Model (m) -0.12 -0.12 -0.10 -0.05 0.02 0.11 0.20 0.26 0.30 0.32 0.31 0.27 0.20 0.12 0.04 -0.03 -0.10 -0.16 -0.21 -0.25 -0.29 -0.34 -0.38 -0.41 -0.42 -0.39 -0.31 -0.19 -0.05 0.12 0.29 0.45 0.57 0.64 0.67 0.63 0.54 0.42 0.29 0.15 0.00 -0.15 Difference (m) -0.14 -0.14 0.15 0.02 -0.27 -0.30 0.02 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/9/2007 4:00 11/9/2007 5:00 11/9/2007 6:00 11/9/2007 7:00 11/9/2007 8:00 11/9/2007 9:00 11/9/2007 10:00 11/9/2007 11:00 11/9/2007 12:00 11/9/2007 13:00 11/9/2007 14:00 11/9/2007 15:00 11/9/2007 16:00 11/9/2007 17:00 11/9/2007 18:00 11/9/2007 19:00 11/9/2007 20:00 11/9/2007 21:00 11/9/2007 22:00 11/9/2007 23:00 11/10/2007 0:00 11/10/2007 1:00 11/10/2007 2:00 11/10/2007 3:00 11/10/2007 4:00 11/10/2007 5:00 11/10/2007 6:00 11/10/2007 7:00 11/10/2007 8:00 11/10/2007 9:00 11/10/2007 10:00 11/10/2007 11:00 11/10/2007 12:00 11/10/2007 13:00 11/10/2007 14:00 11/10/2007 15:00 11/10/2007 16:00 11/10/2007 17:00 11/10/2007 18:00 11/10/2007 19:00 11/10/2007 20:00 11/10/2007 21:00 -0.15 -0.31 -0.41 -0.47 -0.50 -0.54 -0.56 -0.50 -0.41 -0.21 0.11 0.45 0.79 1.02 1.18 1.27 1.30 1.26 1.15 1.05 0.93 0.71 0.47 0.20 -0.05 -0.28 -0.51 -0.63 -0.68 -0.73 -0.78 -0.79 -0.72 -0.53 -0.25 0.10 0.50 0.84 1.11 1.31 1.42 1.46 -0.29 -0.40 -0.51 -0.60 -0.67 -0.72 -0.73 -0.69 -0.58 -0.42 -0.21 0.02 0.26 0.50 0.70 0.86 0.95 0.96 0.89 0.75 0.59 0.41 0.20 -0.02 -0.24 -0.44 -0.62 -0.77 -0.89 -0.98 -1.02 -0.99 -0.88 -0.69 -0.45 -0.16 0.14 0.44 0.73 0.97 1.13 1.21 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.14 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.21 0.32 0.43 0.53 0.52 0.48 0.41 0.35 0.30 0.26 0.30 0.34 0.30 0.27 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.11 0.14 0.21 0.25 0.24 0.20 0.16 0.16 0.20 0.26 0.36 0.40 0.38 0.34 0.29 0.25 83 -0.38 -0.75 0.59 0.56 -0.58 -1.03 0.53 Model (m) -0.29 -0.40 -0.51 -0.60 -0.67 -0.72 -0.73 -0.69 -0.58 -0.42 -0.21 0.02 0.26 0.50 0.70 0.86 0.95 0.96 0.89 0.75 0.59 0.41 0.20 -0.02 -0.24 -0.44 -0.62 -0.77 -0.89 -0.98 -1.02 -0.99 -0.88 -0.69 -0.45 -0.16 0.14 0.44 0.73 0.97 1.13 1.21 Difference (m) 0.22 -0.33 -0.27 0.15 0.19 -0.34 -0.44 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/10/2007 22:00 11/10/2007 23:00 11/11/2007 0:00 11/11/2007 1:00 11/11/2007 2:00 11/11/2007 3:00 11/11/2007 4:00 11/11/2007 5:00 11/11/2007 6:00 11/11/2007 7:00 11/11/2007 8:00 11/11/2007 9:00 11/11/2007 10:00 11/11/2007 11:00 11/11/2007 12:00 11/11/2007 13:00 11/11/2007 14:00 11/11/2007 15:00 11/11/2007 16:00 11/11/2007 17:00 11/11/2007 18:00 11/11/2007 19:00 11/11/2007 20:00 11/11/2007 21:00 11/11/2007 22:00 11/11/2007 23:00 11/12/2007 0:00 11/12/2007 1:00 11/12/2007 2:00 11/12/2007 3:00 11/12/2007 4:00 11/12/2007 5:00 11/12/2007 6:00 11/12/2007 7:00 11/12/2007 8:00 11/12/2007 9:00 11/12/2007 10:00 11/12/2007 11:00 11/12/2007 12:00 11/12/2007 13:00 11/12/2007 14:00 11/12/2007 15:00 1.40 1.30 1.17 1.02 0.75 0.44 0.14 -0.16 -0.42 -0.60 -0.73 -0.80 -0.86 -0.89 -0.83 -0.68 -0.43 -0.07 0.35 0.76 1.06 1.34 1.50 1.59 1.60 1.55 1.44 1.29 1.04 0.71 0.37 0.04 -0.27 -0.58 -0.76 -0.87 -0.97 -1.03 -0.99 -0.91 -0.69 -0.35 1.18 1.07 0.89 0.69 0.46 0.19 -0.10 -0.37 -0.63 -0.85 -1.03 -1.16 -1.24 -1.25 -1.16 -0.98 -0.72 -0.41 -0.06 0.30 0.65 0.97 1.22 1.37 1.42 1.35 1.18 0.98 0.73 0.44 0.12 -0.22 -0.53 -0.83 -1.08 -1.27 -1.40 -1.46 -1.42 -1.26 -1.01 -0.69 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.22 0.23 0.28 0.33 0.29 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.30 0.36 0.38 0.36 0.33 0.30 0.29 0.34 0.41 0.46 0.41 0.37 0.28 0.22 0.18 0.20 0.26 0.31 0.31 0.27 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.32 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.35 0.32 0.34 84 0.74 -0.67 -1.23 0.51 1.24 -0.40 -1.49 Model (m) 1.18 1.07 0.89 0.69 0.46 0.19 -0.10 -0.37 -0.63 -0.85 -1.03 -1.16 -1.24 -1.25 -1.16 -0.98 -0.72 -0.41 -0.06 0.30 0.65 0.97 1.22 1.37 1.42 1.35 1.18 0.98 0.73 0.44 0.12 -0.22 -0.53 -0.83 -1.08 -1.27 -1.40 -1.46 -1.42 -1.26 -1.01 -0.69 Difference (m) 0.05 0.18 -0.25 -0.46 0.26 0.43 -0.23 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/12/2007 16:00 11/12/2007 17:00 11/12/2007 18:00 11/12/2007 19:00 11/12/2007 20:00 11/12/2007 21:00 11/12/2007 22:00 11/12/2007 23:00 11/13/2007 0:00 11/13/2007 1:00 11/13/2007 2:00 11/13/2007 3:00 11/13/2007 4:00 11/13/2007 5:00 11/13/2007 6:00 11/13/2007 7:00 11/13/2007 8:00 11/13/2007 9:00 11/13/2007 10:00 11/13/2007 11:00 11/13/2007 12:00 11/13/2007 13:00 11/13/2007 14:00 11/13/2007 15:00 11/13/2007 16:00 11/13/2007 17:00 11/13/2007 18:00 11/13/2007 19:00 11/13/2007 20:00 11/13/2007 21:00 11/13/2007 22:00 11/13/2007 23:00 11/14/2007 0:00 11/14/2007 1:00 11/14/2007 2:00 11/14/2007 3:00 11/14/2007 4:00 11/14/2007 5:00 11/14/2007 6:00 11/14/2007 7:00 11/14/2007 8:00 11/14/2007 9:00 0.05 0.51 0.91 1.20 1.43 1.58 1.63 1.61 1.59 1.46 1.24 0.95 0.58 0.25 -0.09 -0.42 -0.72 -0.91 -1.03 -1.11 -1.13 -1.08 -0.94 -0.69 -0.28 0.20 0.62 0.96 1.24 1.47 1.59 1.63 1.63 1.57 1.38 1.11 0.77 0.43 0.09 -0.29 -0.64 -0.90 -0.31 0.09 0.49 0.87 1.20 1.44 1.57 1.56 1.44 1.25 1.01 0.72 0.38 0.01 -0.36 -0.71 -1.03 -1.28 -1.47 -1.59 -1.61 -1.51 -1.29 -0.98 -0.61 -0.19 0.25 0.67 1.07 1.40 1.61 1.70 1.65 1.49 1.27 1.00 0.67 0.29 -0.10 -0.50 -0.87 -1.19 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.36 0.42 0.42 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.06 0.05 0.15 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.20 0.24 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.37 0.44 0.48 0.48 0.43 0.35 0.29 0.33 0.39 0.37 0.29 0.17 0.07 -0.02 -0.07 -0.02 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.29 85 0.43 1.39 -0.21 -1.59 0.05 1.56 -0.03 Model (m) -0.31 0.09 0.49 0.87 1.20 1.44 1.57 1.56 1.44 1.25 1.01 0.72 0.38 0.01 -0.36 -0.71 -1.03 -1.28 -1.47 -1.59 -1.61 -1.51 -1.29 -0.98 -0.61 -0.19 0.25 0.67 1.07 1.40 1.61 1.70 1.65 1.49 1.27 1.00 0.67 0.29 -0.10 -0.50 -0.87 -1.19 Difference (m) -0.44 0.14 0.50 -0.08 -0.62 0.07 0.47 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time Measured (m) Model (m) 11/14/2007 10:00 11/14/2007 11:00 11/14/2007 12:00 11/14/2007 13:00 11/14/2007 14:00 11/14/2007 15:00 11/14/2007 16:00 11/14/2007 17:00 11/14/2007 18:00 11/14/2007 19:00 11/14/2007 20:00 11/14/2007 21:00 11/14/2007 22:00 11/14/2007 23:00 11/15/2007 0:00 11/15/2007 1:00 11/15/2007 2:00 11/15/2007 3:00 11/15/2007 4:00 11/15/2007 5:00 11/15/2007 6:00 11/15/2007 7:00 11/15/2007 8:00 11/15/2007 9:00 11/15/2007 10:00 11/15/2007 11:00 11/15/2007 12:00 11/15/2007 13:00 11/15/2007 14:00 11/15/2007 15:00 11/15/2007 16:00 11/15/2007 17:00 11/15/2007 18:00 11/15/2007 19:00 11/15/2007 20:00 11/15/2007 21:00 11/15/2007 22:00 11/15/2007 23:00 11/16/2007 0:00 -1.05 -1.17 -1.24 -1.27 -1.19 -0.97 -0.63 -0.21 0.25 0.65 0.98 1.25 1.45 1.57 1.60 1.56 1.46 1.25 0.95 0.58 0.25 -0.13 -0.51 -0.80 -1.01 -1.16 -1.27 -1.34 -1.31 -1.18 -0.92 -0.58 -0.19 0.26 0.63 0.94 1.19 1.37 1.46 -1.44 -1.62 -1.71 -1.69 -1.53 -1.26 -0.91 -0.50 -0.06 0.39 0.83 1.22 1.52 1.70 1.75 1.67 1.49 1.25 0.95 0.60 0.20 -0.21 -0.61 -0.99 -1.30 -1.53 -1.69 -1.75 -1.68 -1.48 -1.18 -0.81 -0.40 0.05 0.49 0.92 1.29 1.56 1.71 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.39 0.45 0.47 0.42 0.34 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.26 0.15 0.03 -0.07 -0.13 -0.15 -0.11 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.19 0.29 0.37 0.42 0.41 0.37 0.30 0.26 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.14 0.02 -0.10 -0.19 -0.25 86 -1.74 -0.31 1.60 0.27 -1.56 -0.51 Model (m) -1.44 -1.62 -1.71 -1.69 -1.53 -1.26 -0.91 -0.50 -0.06 0.39 0.83 1.22 1.52 1.70 1.75 1.67 1.49 1.25 0.95 0.60 0.20 -0.21 -0.61 -0.99 -1.30 -1.53 -1.69 -1.75 -1.68 -1.48 -1.18 -0.81 -0.40 0.05 0.49 0.92 1.29 1.56 1.71 Difference (m) -0.05 -0.70 -0.07 0.48 0.19 -0.56 Class: Niche B Appendixes 3: The result of calibration storm surge model Hon Dau Time 9/24/2005 0:00 9/24/2005 1:00 9/24/2005 2:00 9/24/2005 3:00 9/24/2005 4:00 9/24/2005 5:00 9/24/2005 6:00 9/24/2005 7:00 9/24/2005 8:00 9/24/2005 9:00 9/24/2005 10:00 9/24/2005 11:00 9/24/2005 12:00 9/24/2005 13:00 9/24/2005 14:00 9/24/2005 15:00 9/24/2005 16:00 9/24/2005 17:00 9/24/2005 18:00 9/24/2005 19:00 9/24/2005 20:00 9/24/2005 21:00 9/24/2005 22:00 9/24/2005 23:00 9/25/2005 0:00 9/25/2005 1:00 9/25/2005 2:00 9/25/2005 3:00 9/25/2005 4:00 9/25/2005 5:00 9/25/2005 6:00 9/25/2005 7:00 9/25/2005 8:00 9/25/2005 9:00 9/25/2005 10:00 9/25/2005 11:00 9/25/2005 12:00 9/25/2005 13:00 9/25/2005 14:00 9/25/2005 15:00 Measured (m) 0.421 0.6562 1.345 1.645 1.536 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.15 -0.2 -1.05 -1.35 -1.505 -1.55 -1.45 -1.32 -1.15 -0.59 -0.09 0.19 0.56 0.85 1.2 1.36 1.57 1.56 1.47 1.3 1.1 0.95 0.75 0.5 0.25 -0.5 -0.75 -1.1 -1.35 -1.52 -1.55 -1.45 Student: Tran Manh Linh Model (m) Sam Son Difference (m) 0.00 0.26 1.01 1.48 1.03 0.41 0.14 0.25 -0.39 -1.05 -0.94 -0.89 -1.08 -1.02 -0.82 -0.72 -0.75 -0.83 -0.75 -0.24 0.27 0.50 0.72 1.04 1.34 1.40 1.18 0.93 0.82 0.74 0.55 0.31 0.05 -0.23 -0.53 -0.83 -1.11 -1.28 -1.31 -1.23 0.42 0.39 0.33 0.17 0.51 0.99 0.76 0.35 0.54 0.85 -0.11 -0.46 -0.42 -0.53 -0.63 -0.60 -0.40 0.24 0.66 0.43 0.29 0.35 0.48 0.32 0.23 0.16 0.29 0.37 0.28 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.20 -0.27 -0.22 -0.27 -0.24 -0.24 -0.24 -0.22 87 Measured (m) 0.95 0.48 -0.95 -0.55 0.98 0.87 -0.83 Model (m) Difference (m) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.96 2.56 1.83 1.03 -0.03 -0.42 -0.79 -1.41 -1.64 -1.47 -0.72 -0.34 -0.64 -0.92 -0.90 -0.80 -0.67 -0.41 0.16 0.77 1.23 1.51 1.57 1.47 1.24 0.96 0.76 0.71 0.69 0.51 0.15 -0.28 -0.70 -1.11 -1.47 -1.65 -1.56 0.95 0.51 -0.23 0.12 -0.59 0.18 0.64 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time 9/25/2005 16:00 9/25/2005 17:00 9/25/2005 18:00 9/25/2005 19:00 9/25/2005 20:00 9/25/2005 21:00 9/25/2005 22:00 9/25/2005 23:00 9/26/2005 0:00 9/26/2005 1:00 9/26/2005 2:00 9/26/2005 3:00 9/26/2005 4:00 9/26/2005 5:00 9/26/2005 6:00 9/26/2005 7:00 9/26/2005 8:00 9/26/2005 9:00 9/26/2005 10:00 9/26/2005 11:00 9/26/2005 12:00 9/26/2005 13:00 9/26/2005 14:00 9/26/2005 15:00 9/26/2005 16:00 9/26/2005 17:00 9/26/2005 18:00 9/26/2005 19:00 9/26/2005 20:00 9/26/2005 21:00 9/26/2005 22:00 9/26/2005 23:00 9/27/2005 0:00 9/27/2005 1:00 9/27/2005 2:00 9/27/2005 3:00 9/27/2005 4:00 9/27/2005 5:00 9/27/2005 6:00 9/27/2005 7:00 9/27/2005 8:00 9/27/2005 9:00 Measured (m) -1.34 -1.18 -0.95 -0.7 -0.466 0.25 0.562 0.85 1.15 1.3 1.49 1.55 1.46 1.24 1.05 0.75 0.5 0.22 -0.57 -0.94 -1.25 -1.36 -1.45 -1.49 -1.5 -1.35 -1.12 -0.88 -0.2 0.7 1.2 1.78 2.1 2.4 2.45 2.3 1.85 1.76 1.44 1.07 0.7 Student: Tran Manh Linh Model (m) Sam Son Difference (m) -1.10 -0.94 -0.71 -0.46 -0.22 0.05 0.36 0.67 0.93 1.14 1.29 1.33 1.25 1.06 0.82 0.58 0.33 0.03 -0.34 -0.70 -0.96 -1.11 -1.17 -1.21 -1.21 -1.11 -0.88 -0.53 -0.04 0.55 1.17 1.72 2.04 2.19 2.22 2.09 1.87 1.67 1.55 1.28 0.87 0.52 -0.24 -0.24 -0.24 -0.24 -0.25 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.22 0.16 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.18 0.23 0.17 0.17 0.19 -0.23 -0.24 -0.29 -0.25 -0.28 -0.28 -0.29 -0.24 -0.24 -0.35 -0.16 0.15 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.21 0.23 0.21 0.13 0.18 0.21 0.16 0.20 0.18 88 Measured (m) -0.82 0.80 1.01 -0.64 -1.05 0.81 4.36 Model (m) Difference (m) -1.24 -0.91 -0.67 -0.50 -0.33 -0.09 0.18 0.46 0.78 1.13 1.44 1.60 1.59 1.47 1.28 1.03 0.75 0.40 -0.02 -0.46 -0.86 -1.18 -1.34 -1.37 -1.39 -1.44 -1.49 -1.56 -1.63 -1.55 -1.21 -0.23 1.24 2.26 3.11 4.30 4.08 2.94 2.22 1.81 1.38 0.83 -0.32 -0.33 -0.02 0.54 0.51 -1.45 2.55 Class: Niche B Hon Dau Time 9/27/2005 10:00 9/27/2005 11:00 9/27/2005 12:00 9/27/2005 13:00 9/27/2005 14:00 9/27/2005 15:00 9/27/2005 16:00 9/27/2005 17:00 9/27/2005 18:00 Measured (m) 0.3 -0.3 -0.8 -1.02 -1.15 -1.3 -1.4 -1.33 -1.18 Model (m) Sam Son Difference (m) 0.17 -0.25 -0.59 -0.76 -0.90 -1.05 -1.15 -1.09 -0.94 0.13 -0.05 -0.21 -0.26 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.24 -0.24 Measured (m) 0.10 Model (m) Difference (m) 0.28 -0.12 -0.42 -0.68 -0.93 -1.17 -1.31 -1.30 0.78 Appendixes 4: The result of verification storm surge model Hon Dau Time 10/1/2007 0:00 10/1/2007 1:00 10/1/2007 2:00 10/1/2007 3:00 10/1/2007 4:00 10/1/2007 5:00 10/1/2007 6:00 10/1/2007 7:00 10/1/2007 8:00 10/1/2007 9:00 10/1/2007 10:00 10/1/2007 11:00 10/1/2007 12:00 10/1/2007 13:00 10/1/2007 14:00 10/1/2007 15:00 10/1/2007 16:00 10/1/2007 17:00 10/1/2007 18:00 10/1/2007 19:00 10/1/2007 20:00 10/1/2007 21:00 10/1/2007 22:00 10/1/2007 23:00 10/2/2007 0:00 Measured (m) Model (m) 1.53 1.44 1.32 1.12 0.81 0.49 0.23 -0.18 -0.59 -0.85 -0.96 -1.08 -1.14 -1.18 -1.18 -1.02 -0.76 -0.38 0.12 0.64 1.00 1.33 1.59 1.80 1.88 1.15 0.96 0.51 0.22 0.18 0.12 -0.10 -0.49 -0.81 -0.96 -1.08 -1.27 -1.39 -1.35 -1.15 -0.87 -0.60 -0.35 -0.04 0.31 0.68 1.02 1.29 1.45 1.52 Student: Tran Manh Linh Sam Son Difference Measured (m) (m) 0.38 0.48 0.81 0.90 0.63 0.37 0.33 0.31 0.22 0.11 0.12 0.19 0.25 0.17 -0.03 -0.15 -0.16 -0.03 0.16 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.36 89 0.83 -0.21 -1.40 -0.22 Model (m) Difference (m) 1.01 0.16 -0.37 -0.25 0.02 0.14 0.15 0.11 -0.05 -0.40 -0.88 -1.28 -1.48 -1.49 -1.31 -1.01 -0.64 -0.25 0.10 0.38 0.66 0.95 1.18 1.31 1.32 -0.18 -0.32 0.09 -0.60 Class: Niche B 10/2/2007 1:00 10/2/2007 2:00 10/2/2007 3:00 10/2/2007 4:00 10/2/2007 5:00 10/2/2007 6:00 10/2/2007 7:00 10/2/2007 8:00 10/2/2007 9:00 10/2/2007 10:00 10/2/2007 11:00 10/2/2007 12:00 10/2/2007 13:00 10/2/2007 14:00 10/2/2007 15:00 10/2/2007 16:00 10/2/2007 17:00 10/2/2007 18:00 10/2/2007 19:00 10/2/2007 20:00 10/2/2007 21:00 10/2/2007 22:00 10/2/2007 23:00 10/3/2007 0:00 10/3/2007 1:00 10/3/2007 2:00 10/3/2007 3:00 10/3/2007 4:00 10/3/2007 5:00 10/3/2007 6:00 10/3/2007 7:00 10/3/2007 8:00 10/3/2007 9:00 10/3/2007 10:00 10/3/2007 11:00 10/3/2007 12:00 10/3/2007 13:00 10/3/2007 14:00 10/3/2007 15:00 10/3/2007 16:00 10/3/2007 17:00 10/3/2007 18:00 10/3/2007 19:00 10/3/2007 20:00 10/3/2007 21:00 1.80 1.74 1.58 1.37 1.11 0.82 0.39 -0.18 -0.61 -0.93 -1.14 -1.29 -1.35 -1.43 -1.36 -1.24 -0.98 -0.62 -0.21 0.27 0.71 1.07 1.41 1.60 1.82 1.84 1.88 1.74 1.59 1.40 1.02 0.76 0.43 -0.01 -0.27 -0.55 -0.79 -0.93 -0.90 -0.81 -0.73 -0.45 -0.15 0.21 0.65 Student: Tran Manh Linh 1.49 1.32 1.07 0.80 0.49 0.16 -0.18 -0.51 -0.79 -1.05 -1.26 -1.42 -1.52 -1.54 -1.43 -1.21 -0.89 -0.50 -0.07 0.38 0.79 1.16 1.45 1.64 1.74 1.76 1.71 1.56 1.30 0.95 0.59 0.22 -0.14 -0.47 -0.71 -0.87 -0.98 -1.08 -1.16 -1.15 -1.07 -0.92 -0.76 -0.37 0.20 0.31 0.42 0.51 0.57 0.62 0.66 0.57 0.33 0.18 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.17 0.11 0.07 -0.03 -0.09 -0.12 -0.14 -0.11 -0.08 -0.09 -0.04 -0.04 0.08 0.08 0.17 0.18 0.29 0.45 0.43 0.54 0.57 0.46 0.44 0.32 0.19 0.15 0.26 0.34 0.34 0.47 0.61 0.58 0.45 90 1.04 -0.13 -1.07 -0.58 1.31 1.48 0.53 0.77 1.21 1.00 0.76 0.53 0.34 0.18 0.03 -0.14 -0.35 -0.58 -0.85 -1.13 -1.38 -1.54 -1.52 -1.29 -0.89 -0.39 0.14 0.64 1.05 1.35 1.54 1.63 1.67 1.70 1.71 1.67 1.60 1.49 1.33 1.16 1.00 0.90 0.85 0.76 0.60 0.46 0.41 0.22 -0.19 -0.56 -0.62 -0.31 0.15 -0.17 -0.16 0.31 -0.72 -0.36 0.15 -0.07 1.39 Class: Niche B 10/3/2007 22:00 10/3/2007 23:00 10/4/2007 0:00 10/4/2007 1:00 10/4/2007 2:00 10/4/2007 3:00 10/4/2007 4:00 10/4/2007 5:00 10/4/2007 6:00 0.98 1.21 1.43 1.67 1.79 1.83 1.82 1.72 1.51 Student: Tran Manh Linh 0.79 1.28 1.57 1.73 1.85 1.84 1.62 1.33 1.11 0.19 -0.07 -0.14 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 0.20 0.39 0.40 91 2.33 0.74 1.36 1.83 1.98 1.86 1.62 1.27 0.92 0.67 0.35 Class: Niche B ... OCT 1996 20- 25 SEP 1997 04 - 10 SEP 200 0 18-22 JUL 200 3 21-27 SEP 200 5 28 OCT -02 NOV 200 5 25 SEP- 30 SEP 200 6 29 SEP -04 OCT 200 7 27 SEP-14 OCT 200 9 24- 30 JUL 201 1 26- 30 SEP 201 3 09 -15 OCT 201 3 Class:... condition 9/ 200 5 48 Figure 3-7 Pressure in Sep 26 200 5 05 :00 PM 49 Figure 3-8 Wind speed in Sep 26 200 5 05 :00 PM 50 Figure 3-9 Wind direction in Sep 26 200 5 05 :00 PM 50 Figure... by these formulas cannot reflect the influences of the terrain and the effects of air pressure patterns outside the scope of the storm On the other hand the value of the largest wind speed and