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Director of The Earth Institute, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development, Professor of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University. Special Advisor to United Nations Secreta[r]

(1)

Suggested hashtag for Twitter users: #LSESachs

The Age of Sustainable Development

International Growth Centre public lecture

Professor Jeffrey D Sachs

Director of The Earth Institute, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development, Professor of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University

Special Advisor to United Nations Secretary-General on Millennium Development Goals

Dr Jonathan Leape

(2)

THE AGE OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 

JEFFREY D. SACHS

International Growth Centre London School of Economics

(3)

The Anthropocene:

(4)

James Watt’s Engine: 

(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)

0 500,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,500,000,000 2,000,000,000 2,500,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,500,000,000 4,000,000,000 4,500,000,000 5,000,000,000

1971 1972 1974 1976 1978 1979 1982 1985 1989 1993 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2008 2010 2011 2012

INTEL 4004 2.3K

XEON PHI 5.0B

THE INFORMATION AGE

(11)

0 19 47 19 49 19 51 19 53 19 55 19 57 19 59 19 61 19 63 19 65 19 67 19 69 19 71 19 73 19 75 19 77 19 79 19 81 19 83 19 85 19 87 19 89 19 91 19 93 19 95 19 97 19 99 20 01 20 03 20 05 20 07 20 09 20 11 20 13

(12)(13)(14)

A WORLD IN FLUX   

1 GLOBAL‐SCALE PRODUCTION SYSTEMS

2 RAPID ICT‐ENABLED TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE

3 RAPID POPULATION GROWTH IN AFRICA AND SOUTH 

ASIA AND AGING IN THE HIGH‐INCOME COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE DECLINE OF MIDDLE‐SKILLED JOBS 

5 EXTREME ENVIRONMENTAL CRISES

(15)(16)

YET ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY 

REDUCTION ARE HAMPERED BY THREE 

LARGE HURDLES:

GROWING INCOME INEQUALITY AND 

SOCIAL EXCLUSION

(17)

GINI COEFFICIENT IN US, 1968‐2010

(18)(19)

Tunis, January 2011 Cairo, January 2011 Athens July 2011

Tel Aviv, August 2011 Chile, August 2011 New York City, November 2011

(20)(21)

Source: Rockström et al 2009a)

(22)(23)(24)(25)(26)(27)

CURRENT DROUGHT RISK MAP,  OCTOBER 2014

INSET FOR THE MIDDLE EAST AND WEST ASIA

(28)(29)

Sustainable Development as a Framework

for Action

Sustainable Development is the Holistic Integration of Economic, Social, and

Environmental Objectives in an Approach to Scientific Analysis, Governance,

Problem Solving, and Human Action

The UN Member States are now negotiating

(30)

2015 is the Decisive Year for Setting Sustainable Development Goals

Financing for Sustainable Development (Addis 

Ababa, July 2015)

Sustainable Development Goals (UN HQ, September 2015)

(31)

1 END POVERTY AND HUNGER 

2 HEALTH FOR ALL

3 EDUCATION FOR ALL

4 REDUCE ECONOMIC INEQUALITIES; END GENDER INEQUALITIES SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DECENT JOBS

6 SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE SUSTAINABLE CITIES

8 STOP HUMAN‐INDUCED CLIMATE CHANGE

9.   CONSERVE MARINE AND TERRESTIAL ECOSYSTEMS 

10. GOOD GOVERNANCE AND GLOBAL PARTNERSHIPS

SDG PRIORITIES

(CONSOLIDATING THE 17 STATED PRIORITIES 

(32)

Challenges to Meet the Sustainable 

Development:

Rapid Technological Transformation Equity in Social Service Provision

Community Protection of Natural Resources Strengthening of Local Governance

Sharing Work, Learning, and Leisure Restraining Arbitrary Corporate Power

Responsible investing and Financial Markets Re‐Democratizing Our Democracies

(33)

CRITICAL “SUSTAINBLE SYSTEMS” PRIORITIES: SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SYSTEMS

SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE AND NUTRITION SUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION (“SMART CITIES”)

(34)

NEED NEW GLOBAL PUBLIC‐PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS 

(PPPs) FOR SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGIES: LOW‐CARBON ENERGY SYSTEMS

RESILIENT AND SUSTAINBLE AGRICULTURE SMART ICT‐ENABLED URBAN SYSTEMS

(35)

EXAMPLES OF DIRECTED SCIENCE AND 

TECHNOLOGY:

VACCINES, MEDICINES, AND DIAGNOSTICS 

RADAR

CRYPTOGRAPHY NUCLEAR ENERGY COMPUTING

SEMICONDUCTORS 

SATELLITES AND SPACE SCIENCE INTERNET

HUMAN GENOME PROJECT HIGGS BOSON (CERN)

(36)(37)

2‐degree C

BAU: 

(38)

Main Decarbonization Strategies

0% 25% 50% 75% 2050

2014

Share of Electricity and Electric Fuels

in Total Final Energy (%)

Str at e gy Ke y   Me tric   of   Tr ans forma tion

0 200 400 600

2050 2014

Electricity Emissions Intensity (gCO2/kWh)

0.0 5.0 10.0

2050 2014

Energy Intensity of GDP (GJ/$2005)

Energy Efficiency

Energy Efficiency DecarbonizationElectricity  of  End Use Fuel Switching 

(39)

THE WORLD WILL NEED TO STRAND OIL, GAS, 

AND COAL RESERVES

(40)(41)

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 Production Cumulative

(42)

KEY ROLES OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT DISCIPLINES

(1) Understanding Mechanisms: climate, biodiversity, economic 

dynamics

(2) Monitoring and mapping Earth system states

(3) Developing integrated physical‐human systems for the “green 

economy” 

(4) Assisting directed technological change e.g. “deep 

decarbonization,” ICT‐based health and education, sustainable 

agriculture, smart cities

(5) Leading public and university education, and building a shared 

(43)

Some Recent Alliances for 

Sustainable Development

• Earth League 

• UN SDSN

• SDSN.Edu and MDP

• DDPP

(44)

Suggested hashtag for Twitter users: #LSESachs

The Age of Sustainable Development

International Growth Centre public lecture

Professor Jeffrey D Sachs

Director of The Earth Institute, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development, Professor of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University

Special Advisor to United Nations Secretary-General on Millennium Development Goals

Dr Jonathan Leape

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