According to a report by the International Energy Agency IEA, after a decade of rapid growth, there will be 10 million electric vehicles in the world by the end of 2020.. The number of e
Trang 1VIETNAM NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, HANOI INTERNATIONAL SCHOOL
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Along with socioeconomic development, the rapid increase in the number of modes of transportation has presented countries with significant environmental, pollution, and energy supply challenges
Currently, in the form of transportation, ride-sharing or electronic-car services are no longer strange to us There are many reasons leading to that popular history, but we can't help but mention environmental factors It is a good factor that has a very strong impact on the popularity
of electric cars The "degradation" of the living environment due to increased carbon emissions
from vehicles Some countries, due to a lack of resources, almost have to depend on foreign
supplies of gasoline and oil If electric-car vehicles are widely used, this pressure will be reduced because the energy used for the vehicles is renewable and comes from the country itself Electronic-car vehicles are a "green" and smart consumer trend Thanks to the development of
modern technology, electric cars today are a combination of luxurious design, smart utilities, and
many outstanding advantages
This report will provide more detailed analysis on that issue
1 Determining the question:
The society is increasingly developing, the fear of life is being threatened by the excessive use of resources, as well as the excessive use of resources To overcome that, people are always moving toward developing new and better things Therefore, environmental factors are what we should explore and develop further What if environmental factors are contributing to the population of ride services or electric vehicles?
2 Contextualisation
It is forecasted that car manufacturers will have no choice but to meet the needs of increasingly comfortable customers with new technologies, and electric vehicles (EVs) are meeting increasingly stringent requirements for development carbon emissions set by the United
Nations
Trang 4According to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA), after a decade of rapid growth,
there will be 10 million electric vehicles in the world by the end of 2020 The number of electric
vehicles sold will increase by 41% in 2020 , despite a 16% decline in auto sales worldwide due
to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic The short-term outlook for electric vehicle sales is
quite bright as global EV sales in 2021 increase by about 140% year-on-year, driven by vehicle sales in China of around 500,000 vehicles and in Europe about 450,000 vehicles Particularly,
electric car sales in the United States doubled compared to 2020 Currently, governments around the world are trying to support and promote the sale of electronic vehicles
Global air pollution causes many countries to tighten emission standards for motor vehicles Many countries have plans to "kill" cars using internal combustion engines and encourage the production and use of zero-emission vehicles such as electric cars, towards the goal of 100% zero-emission vehicles by 2020 2050 Many countries in the world such as EU member states, China, Norway, Malaysia are having many policies to encourage and support manufacturers Exporters and consumers buy electric vehicles
The electric vehicle market in Vietnam is also considered an attractive market with a rapidly increasing number of manufacturers and assemblers of electric vehicle products Data from the Registry shows the development trend of electric vehicles compared to traditional fuel-powered vehicles Although the proportion of motorcycles and electric motorcycles produced in the country accounts for a small proportion, about 7% annually, but maintains a steady growth rate
Political Parties to the UNFCCC reached a historic agreement at COP 21 in Paris on
December 12, 2015 in order to combat climate change and to quicken and intensify the actions and investments required for a sustainable low-carbon future By keeping the rise in global temperature this century well below 2
degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to further
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limit the temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius, the Paris Agreement's main goal is to increase the effectiveness of international efforts to combat the threat posed by climate change Additionally, the US Congress passed the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, which will result in the largest public transit investment in US history and will enhance transportation options for millions
of Americans while lowering greenhouse gas emissions
Economic Gasoline inventories in the United States are currently 8% lower than the
average for the previous five years, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration According to GlobalPetrolPrices.com,
Venezuela, Libya, and Iran are the top 3 countries which have the cheapest
gasoline price at $0,016, $0,031 and $0,053éliter respectively On December
24", people in Vietnam bought RON 95 unleaded gasoline products at the price $0.88éliter
Also, Europe’s Russian oil ban could hurt Russia but also help drive up already oil prices, hurting the global economy and enriching energy companies
Social Vehicle emissions from burning gasoline and diesel fuels contain toxic
pollutants including carbon monoxide, smog-causing volatile organic compounds and nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxides, formaldehyde and benzene Additionally, prolonged skin contact with crude oil and petroleum products
can result in burning, erythema, and edema Therefore, the public health is
seriously declining
Technological
Internal combustion engines (ICEs) and electric vehicles (EVs) differ
primarily in that the motor in an EV cycles using electricity stored in the battery as opposed to burning fossil fuel as in an ICE Consequently, the engine and transmission—two of the most crucial components of internal combustion engines—are not needed for EVs The cost will vary depending
on whether you decide to repair or replace an EV battery According to
Bloomberg New Economic Finance (BNEF), a battery currently costs about
$135 (£118) per kilowatt-hour According to that calculation, it would cost an eye-watering $10,449 (£9,136) to replace the 77.4kWh battery in the Kia EV6 (Dow, 2022) Since supply has not kept up with demand, raw material
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prices have increased significantly Lithium carbonate prices increased from
$5,000 (£4,466) per ton in July 2020 to about $70,000 (£62,527) per ton in July 2022, according to Kwasi Ampofo, head of metals and mining at Bloomberg New Economic Finance (BNEF) (Dow, How much does it cost
to change an EV battery? 2022) So, from £87 per kWh in 2021 to £118 per kWh in 2022, battery prices have increased (allowing for inflation rate change) Bloomberg analysts have cautioned that higher battery prices could block car makers' efforts to keep new electric cars affordable due to the
conflict in Ukraine and other global economic problems
created by warmer temperatures Wet areas become wetter and dry areas
become drier as a result of changing weather patterns
Incentives and explicit policy frameworks for the electric vehicle industry are
sadly lacking from Vietnam Through its sustainable development plan, which has four key areas of focus—sustainable development, green growth, climate change, and environmental protection laws—the government has been implementing a number of strategies to promote EV
Environmenta | The increase in average global temperature | High Very high
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and use of environmentally friendly cars Low Moderate
5 Naming and framing
Public service
transportationéelectronic -car will become the most popular type in the
accidents are reduced, and new
laws about public
Public transportation will
become the most popular type
in the society
When it comes to the fact that public services such as busses
or trains decrease the price, citizens will appear to witness an economical saving in the amount of their incomes which they used to spend on travelling by individual transportations, motorbikes or cars, etc Therefore, people will find it more
appropriate to use communal facilities, which costs them less
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and of course, more secure and protected However, that still remains a tiny chance for public ones to overshadow the importance and utilities of personal proprietaries
It occurs to be undeniable that public transportation is
convenient and environmental-friendly However, to the
circumstance that the price of moving by public ones remarkably rise leads to one main issue: the convenience between civic and private means of transference will be put into comparative scale Another essential reason is the need of individual carriers when there is an emergency problem happen, in such those issues, buses and trains could not help anything For those reasons, the possibility of public service vanishing is likely to occur
Environmental issues are
reduced, new additional laws
about public service and
electronic transportation will
be drawn by the government
Naturally saying, erosion and pollution originated from every single item around us With the help of technology, electronic
service and transportation, take electric car as an example,
plays an essential role not only in economy, but a method in contributing to recover the natural atmosphere On the other hand, public transportation can contain a measurable number
of people comparing to that of individual ones which could
only cover 4-6 lives Consequently, the amount of oil or petrol needs to run decrease, indeed What is more, when it happens
to see the grow of public-transporting business, the government will certainly pay a better attention to that and put everything on scale New policies will be announced to inspire it and so does incoming restriction to protect human
rights when travelling by buses, trains and other similar means of transportation to be better, safer, more comfortable
as well as more economical
Individual transportation
develops rapidly and
innovates in every aspect such It seems true that if the world witness a development in car
and motorbike industry, there will be competitive components Consequently, all kinds of cars must be
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7 Distillation and dialogue
a, Public transportation will become the most popular type in society:
In the context of increasingly severe climate change, many governments have issued policies to encourage the development and use of environmentally friendly means of transport, including a roadmap to the "death" of the car use internal combustion engines and replace them with electric
vehicles in the next few decades
These moves, combined with the strong trend in technology development of manufacturers, will lead to strong sales of electric cars in 2021 Sales of electric vehicles (including battery electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids) globally have achieved an incredible milestone despite the difficulties of shipping, and parts supply
According to EV-Volumes data, more than 907,000 electric vehicles were registered in December
2021, marking a new record for battery electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles This December result has contributed to the global sales of electric vehicles for the whole year of 2021 reaching
6.5 million new vehicles
This total sales of nearly 6.5 million vehicles is double that of the same period in 2020 (only 3.1
million vehicles) In addition to volume, electric vehicles also have a larger market share
globally It increases from 4% in 2020 to 9% in 2021 The three best-selling electric vehicles globally in 2021 are Tesla Model 3, Wuling's Hong Guang MINI EV, and Tesla Model Y
According to data from EV- Volumes, Tesla Model 3 sold more than 500,000 vehicles (out of a
total of 911,242 Tesla vehicles sold in the past year) This means that the Model 3 is the best- selling electric vehicle globally for four consecutive years (2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021) Wuling Hong Guang MINI EV also set a very high record of more than 424,000 units sold
This model sells well thanks to its low price, compact size, and sufficient comfort
Trang 10The Tesla Model Y is estimated to sell more than 410,000 units by 2021 According to many
experts, it has the potential to become the world's best-selling electric car by 2022, surpassing the Model 3 This prediction is particularly believable when Tesla will put 2 new factories into
operation by the end of this year (1 in Germany and 1 in Texas)
Plug-In Electric Car Sales Worldwide
INSIDE
(The image shows a sharp increase in electric car sales in 2021) According to the report of the Ministry of Industry and Trade, implementing the strategy to develop Vietnam's automobile industry by 2025, with a vision to 2035 approved, now a number
of enterprises manufacture and import cars and motorbikes in Vietnam Vietnam has started testing, manufacturing, and launching eco-friendly vehicles such as hybrids, electric
motorcycles, and electric cars, moving towards self-driving cars
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Trang 11According to the latest updated data of the Vietnam Registry, the number of electric vehicles in
Vietnam is still very small, in 2019 there are only 140 electric vehicles, in 2020 it will increase to
900 vehicles and by 2021 there will be more than 1,000 vehicles All of the above vehicles are
imported and almost all are hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-powered vehicles account for a very small percentage
b, Public transportation is overweighted by individual ones and likely to vanish from the community:
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