Kinh Doanh - Tiếp Thị - Công Nghệ Thông Tin, it, phầm mềm, website, web, mobile app, trí tuệ nhân tạo, blockchain, AI, machine learning - Kinh Doanh - Business 1 USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM II (V-LEEP II) Quarterly Report for Year 1 Quarter 1 (October – December 2020) January 15, 2021 This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents of this report are the sole responsibility of Deloitte Consulting LLP and its implementing partners and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. i USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM II (V-LEEP II) Quarterly Report for Year 1 Quarter 1 (October – December 2020) Prepared for: USAIDVietnam, Environment and Social Development Office Prepared by: Contract No. USAID 7200AA19D00025 72044020F00003 January 15, 2021 This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents of this report are the sole responsibility of Deloitte Consulting LLP and its implementing partners and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents ........................................................................................................................................ ii Acronyms and Abbreviations ................................................................................................................... iii 1. Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................ 1 2. Báo Cáo Tóm Tắt ................................................................................................................................. 2 3. Purpose and Approach ....................................................................................................................... 3 4. Progress Update ................................................................................................................................. 5 4.1 Towards Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 5 4.2 Towards Approved MEL Indicators ............................................................................................. 10 4.3 Summary of Completed Interventions and Progress Towards Results ...................................... 10 4.4 Communications and Outreach Plan .......................................................................................... 10 4.5 Gender and Social Inclusion Action Plan .................................................................................... 11 4.6 Private Sector Engagement Plan ................................................................................................ 11 4.7 List of ServicesDeliverables Completed in the Reporting Period .............................................. 11 4.8 Explanation of Quantifiable Outputs of the Tasks ....................................................................... 12 4.9 Reasons Why Established Targets were not Met (If Applicable) ................................................ 12 4.10 Short-Term Technical Advisor(s) Progress ................................................................................. 12 4.11 The Use of Small and Disadvantaged Business Relative to the Target Identified ................................................................................................................................................. 12 4.12 Issues and Mitigation Measures.................................................................................................. 12 5. Upcoming Plan .................................................................................................................................. 12 5.1 Major Interventions Planned for the Next Quarter ...................................................................... 12 5.2 Indicators with Targets for the Next Quarter ............................................................................... 13 5.3 Projected USAID Approvals, Waivers or Deviation Requests Anticipated During the Next Quarter .......................................................................................................................... 13 6. Status of Required Audit Processes (Including for Sub-Awardees) ........................................... 13 7. USAID Success Stories .................................................................................................................... 13 8. Status of Implementing Conditions Under IEE Asia 20-035 ......................................................... 13 iii ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ADB Asian Development Bank ASP Activity Start-Up Plan CDCS Country Development Cooperation Strategy CO Contracting Officer COGD Coal, Oil and Gas Department COP Chief of Party COR Contracting Officer’s Representative DOI Department of Interior DPPA Direct Power Purchase Agreement EESD Energy Efficiency and Sustainable Development EMMP Environmental Mitigation and Monitoring Plan ERAV Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam EREA Electricity and Renewable Energy Authority FY Fiscal Year GVN Government of Vietnam GW Gigawatts IEE Initial Environmental Examination ITAP International Technical Assistance Program KWh Kilowatt hour LNG Liquefied Natural Gas MEL Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade MW Megawatt MWh Megawatt hour O Objective O1 Objective 1 O2 Objective 2 O3 Objective 3 ODA Official Development Assistance PDP Power Development Plan PDP-7 Seventh Power Development Plan PDP-8 Eighth Power Development Plan PSE Private Sector Engagement PSSE Power System Simulator for Engineering Q Quarter Q1 Quarter 1 Q2 Quarter 2 Q3 Quarter 3 Q4 Quarter 4 RE Renewable Energy RFP Request for Proposal RFQ Request for Qualifications SOW Statements of Work T Task USAID United States Agency for International Development USG US Government V-LEEP Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program V-LEEP II Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program II vRE Variable Renewable Energy Y Year Y1 Year 1 1 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY USAID’s Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program II (V-LEEP II) aims to advance the transition of Vietnam to a clean, secure, and market-based energy sector by increasing the deployment of advanced energy systems, improving energy sector performance, and increasing competition in the energy sector. During the first quarter of operation (i.e., from the program start date of September 30, 2020 through December 31, 2020) the V-LEEP II team focused on the rapid start-up of activities, such as the timely establishment of an office and key technical, management, and logistical requirements that include planning and scheduling for team members. The team ensured that the Chief of Party was at post in Hanoi on the program’s first day and that the home office leadership and management team was appointed soon after; with all these team members formally approved by USAID. Drawing on the resources of the original USAID Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program (V-LEEP; 2015 – 2021), V-LEEP II was able to ensure immediate operational presence. To build out its team, the program coordinated with the Contracting Officer (CO) and Contracting Officer’s Representative (COR) to design and manage a robust process to engage local resources. The team immediately developed and launched its approach to secure approval as an Official Development Assistance (ODA) program, a prerequisite for successful operation in Vietnam. This included appointing a local coordinator, helping to ensure that a key champion for the program emerged within the Government of Vietnam (GVN) and was appointed as the official focal point, and utilizing both formal and informal channels to discuss GVN priorities and agree upon key activities for V-LEEP II. V-LEEP II is now poised for successful development and finalization of key program underpinnings in the next quarter – including the foundational Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning (MEL) Plan and the first annual Work Plan. 2 2. BÁO CÁO TÓM TẮT Chương trình Năng lượng Phát thải thấp Việt Nam II của USAID (V-LEEP II) nhằm mục tiêu thúc đẩy quá trình chuyển đổi sang lĩnh vực năng lượng sạch của Việt Nam, theo định hướng thị trường và đảm bảo an ninh năng lượng thông qua việc tăng cường triển khai các hệ th ống năng lượng tiên tiến, cải thiện hiệu quả hoạt động và nâng cao khả năng cạnh tranh trong lĩnh vực năng lượng. Trong quý đầu tiên sau khi dự án đi vào hoạt động (từ ngày 30 tháng 9 năm 2020 là ngày bắt đầu chương trình đến hết ngày 31 tháng 12 năm 2020), V-LEEP II tập trung vào các hoạt động khởi động dự án, ví dụ như nhanh chóng thành lập văn phòng dự án, triển khai các yêu cầu về kỹ thuật, quản lý và hậu cần chính, bao gồm nhiệm vụ lập kế hoạch và xây dựng lị ch trình cho nhân sự dự án. Nhóm triển khai dự án đã tiến hành các công việc nhằm đảm bảo Giám đốc Dự án có mặt tạ i Hà Nội ngay từ ngày đầu tiên của chương trình; đội ngũ lãnh đạo và quản lý tại trụ sở được bổ nhiệm ngay sau đó và được USAID chính thức phê duyệt. Được thiết kế dựa trên nguồn lực của Chương trình Năng lượng Phát thải thấp Việt Nam ban đầu (V-LEEP; 2015 – 2021) nên V-LEEP II có thể nhanh chóng sẵn sàng đi vào hoạt động. Trong hoạt động xây dựng đội ngũ cán bộ dự án, chương trình phối hợp với Cán bộ Hợp đồng (CO) và Đ ại diện Cán bộ Hợp đồ ng (COR) xây dựng, quản lý quá trình tuyển dụng nguồn lực địa phương một cách hiệu quả. Nhóm triển khai dự án đã xây dựng và triển khai phương pháp tiếp cậ n cho quá trình xin phê duyệt chương trình Hỗ trợ Phát triển Chính thức (ODA), là điều kiện tiên quyết để chương trình có thể hoạt động thành công tại Việt Nam. Quá trình này bao gồm việc chỉ định một cán bộ điề u phối trong nước hỗ trợ xác định cơ quan đầu mối chính thức của Chính phủ Việt Nam (GVN), huy động các kênh chính thức và phi chính thức để thảo luận về các ưu tiên của Chính phủ Việ t Nam, cùng thống nhất về các hoạt động chính của V-LEEP II. V-LEEP II hiện đã sẵn sàng cho việc xây dựng và hoàn thiện các kế hoạch chính của chương trình trong quý tới – bao gồm Kế hoạch Giám sát, Đánh giá và Học tập (MEL) và Kế hoạch Hoạt động năm đầu tiên. 3 3. PURPOSE AND APPROACH Problem Statement As a result of Vietnam’s fast-growing economy and intensive energy consumption patterns, the country’s energy demand is increasing at about 10 percent per year, among the highest rates in the region and in the world. Furthermore, the country has become a net-energy importer, increasing its dependence on external sources of energy while relying heavily on thermal (coal) power. The country will need US8-10 billion annually in energy sector investment over the next decade to account for the increasing energy demand and forecasted energy shortages. The GVN predicts shortages of over 3.7 billion kWh in 2021 and 10 billion kWh in 2022. Over the past three years, Vietnam has added almost 10 Gigawatts (GW) of solar capacity to its power grid. However, poorly planned grid infrastructure resulted in massive renewable energy curtailments. Robust long-term planning and appropriate policy incentives are needed to attract critical private sector investment and move the sector toward a functioning power sector with cleaner, more sustainable resources. Supporting the Government of Vietnam to build their capacity to develop their long-term energy plans, advance utility operation practices, and improve the enabling environment through private- public partnerships will ensure that adequate capital is available for a diversified and more secure energy system. Theory of Change Fueling sustainable economic growth and development in Vietnam will require meeting growing energy demand through the provision of clean, secure, and market-based energy solutions. If advanced energy systems are deployed, energy sector performance is improved, and competition for energy services is increased, then Vietnam will transition to a more clean, secure, and market- based energy sector. Activity Goal The primary goal of this activity is to advance the transition of Vietnam to a clean, secure and market-based energy sector by increasing the deployment of advanced energy systems, improving energy sector performance and increasing competition in the energy sector. Specific Objectives The specific objectives of this activity are to: Increase the deployment of advanced energy systems through improving enabling poli- cies, laws, and regulations and mobilizing private investment. Improve energy sector performance through improving planning and operation practices. Increase energy sector competition by promoting transparent procurement practices and increasing the availability of advanced energy skilled workforce, products, and services. 4 Approach Our approach to V-LEEP II stems from our deep understanding of the complexities of the Vietnamese power sector that the delivery team has gained over the past five years under the original V-LEEP. This knowledge, and the strong relationships we have developed across the Vietnamese public and private sectors, has not only enabled multiple energy reforms under V- LEEP; it will also help to accelerate V-LEEP II’s expanded objectives and outcomes. To accomplish V-LEEP II’s aggressive objectives of increasing advanced energy systems deployment (O1), improving sector performance (O2), and increasing sector competition (O3), we have designed a series of program Tasks (T1-T8) to address the five key risks inherent to Vietnam’s energy sector (Policy and Regulatory, Transactional, Planning and Operations, Institutional, and Workforce). These five risks must be reduced to levels that support viable rates of return for private investors, else third party capital is unlikely to be available to support new generation, transmission, or gas-supply projects. Our Risk Framework aligns V-LEEP II’s Objectives and Tasks with these five key risks, detailed below. Task activities will be prioritized to address specific challenges, garner support from publicprivate stakeholders, and realize V-LEEP II’s expected outcomes. Policy Regulatory Risk mitigation is the key to creating a functional Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) market, thereby compensating for Vietnam’s declining domestic gas and expanding variable renewable energy (vRE) balancing needs. Building on Department of Interior (DOI) International Technical Assistance Program (ITAP) activities, Task 1 (T1) will support the implementation of policy and regulations on LNG infrastructure development by helping the GVN to promote cost reflective tariffs and flexible policies – thus accelerating scalable LNG capacity at competitive costs (O1:T1). Transactional Risk mitigation includes assistance in Task 2 to advanced RE developers to navigate approvals and licensing procedures, plus promote the use of non-recourse project financing, rather than relying on public debt and guarantees (O1:T2). We will continue USAID’s active support for the soon-to-be launched Direct Power Purchase Agreement (DPPA) pilot mechanism and a scaled-up DPPA 2 successor program under Task 5 (O3:T5), by which private capital will finance more reliable renewable energy (RE) supplies for global manufacturers in Vietnam to meet their sustainability goals. Planning Operations Risk mitigation is addressed via Task 3, which will provide inclusive trainings and support to finalize and implement the eighth National Power Development Plan (PDP-8) (O2:T3), address vRE grid integration challenges through better transmission planning that reduces grid congestion and curtailment, and improve vRE predictions, scheduling, and dispatch. Support will build on our established relationships and include training on PSSE and PLEXOS under Task 4 (O2:T4). Institutional Risk : Provinces are slated to develop competitive procurement processes to implement projects from PDP-8, but few have training or experience in the practicalities of project development, tender management, or investor relations. Building upon our national-level work under V-LEEP, Task 6 will build the capacity of provincial governments to adopt competitive procurement processes. Deloitte will provide training, capacity development, and procurement assistance, as appropriate and approved by USAID to promote transparent processes (O3:T6). 5 Workforce Risk : Vietnam’s historical focus on hydropower, coal, and state-owned utilities has resulted in a patriarchalhierarchical sector at odds with today’s need for entrepreneurs familiar with clean technologies and flexible markets. Using grants, bootcamps, and scalable business models, Task 7 will create an entrepreneurial energy ecosystem that complements existing structures via the use of advanced technologies (O3:T7). Under Task 8, we will promote the role of women in energy by supporting internships, mentorship, and networking initiatives (O3:T8). Our technical approach also incorporates gender and social inclusion as an integral part of task design and implementation, resulting in reduced risks, more sustainable reform activities, greater achievement of results for the program as a whole, and a more equitable distribution of benefits. We will achieve these goals through the creation of gender and vulnerable populations’ action plans (developed as part of the annual Work Plan process) that will inform stakeholder outreach and engagement, policy design and implementation, institutional strengthening and workforce capacity development, as well as results monitoring, evaluation and learning. Our technical approach also considers Vietnam’s long-term energy sector sustainability by proactively encouraging counterparts to balance security of supply, affordability, and environmental factors with a commitment to institutional strengthening, leadership development, and the adoption of leading practices. We will support private sector engagement by working with diverse local partners, strategically using V-LEEP 2’s Activity Fund, and via engagement with higher-education and other skills-building institutions. 4. PROGRESS UPDATE 4.1 TOWARDS OBJECTIVES Overview During the first 90 calendar days of the Task Order – which corresponds precisely with the first quarter of program year one – the V-LEEP II Team focused on the rapid start-up of activities. As specified in the Task Order and presented in the team’s Activity Start-Up Plan (ASP), rapid start- up includes the timely establishment of an office as well as key technical, management, and logistical (vehicle, office space, staffing, etc.) requirements, such as planning and scheduling for the prompt mobilization of the Chief of Party (COP) and timeline for mobilization of other key personnel and hiring of staff. Context V-LEEP II follows the 5.5-year US15.9M USAID Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program (V- LEEP) which began on September 1, 2015 and ends on February 28, 2021. V-LEEP has worked with the GVN to create a robust enabling environment and attract private sector investment for clean energy development. Initially slated to end on September 1, 2020, V-LEEP was extended for an additional six months and will now conclude on February 28, 2021. This extension allows for five months of overlap between V-LEEP and V-LEEP II. Opportunities The overlap period has allowed for continuity, rapid start-up, and efficiency as V-LEEP II benefited from the availability of V-LEEP’s staff, office space, operations processes, and institutional 6 knowledge. The team has drawn on the support of V-LEEP staff, and anticipates transferring existing V-LEEP facilities (e.g., office space), systems, and equipment to V-LEEP II during the start-up phase to conserve resources. Authorization Cost Allocation Deloitte’s approach to leverage V-LEEP to start-up V-LEEP II is consistent with the V-LEEP Task Order, which requires in its Statement of Work that “the Contractor must coordinate activities with other USAIDUS Government (USG) climate change and energy programs and collaborate with other donors and implementing partners working in clean energy in Vietnam”. Over its five-year duration, V-LEEP helped several USAID and USG programs address issues related to startup, registration, and socialization. Most recently this included extensive support for the Vietnam Urban Energy Security Program, which is implemented by DAI. Deloitte’s suggestion that V-LEEP provide similar support to V-LEEP II was well-received by the COR and the CO in the V-LEEP II kick-off call on August 11, 2020. Following this kick-off discussion, on August 25, 2020 Deloitte submitted an initial budget and expenditure projection for V-LEEP II for the period September 30, 2020 to February 28, 2021 showing the anticipated cost distribution between V-LEEP and V-LEEP II over that period. The COR responded via email on August 25, 2020 confirming that this analysis was reasonable and in line with USAID’s expectations. On October 27, 2020, Deloitte submitted its official Cost Allocation Methodology via a letter to the CO. This methodology divides V-LEEP II’s projected costs into four categories (labor, allowances, travel, and other direct costs) and broadly outlines a specific approach for cost allocation to each. On October 9, 2020 Deloitte requested approval from the CO that Mr. John Bruce Wells assume his full-time role as COP for V-LEEP II effective November 1, 2020. I...
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USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM II (V-LEEP II)
Quarterly Report for Year 1 Quarter 1 (October – December 2020)
January 15, 2021
This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) The contents of this report are the sole responsibility of Deloitte Consulting LLP and its implementing partners and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government
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USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM II (V-LEEP II)
Quarterly Report for Year 1 Quarter 1 (October – December 2020)
Prepared for:
USAID/Vietnam, Environment and Social Development Office
Prepared by:
Contract No USAID 7200AA19D00025 / 72044020F00003
January 15, 2021
This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States
Agency for International Development (USAID) The contents of this report are the sole
responsibility of Deloitte Consulting LLP and its implementing partners and do not necessarily
reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Table of Contents ii
Acronyms and Abbreviations iii
1 Executive Summary 1
2 Báo Cáo Tóm Tắt 2
3 Purpose and Approach 3
4 Progress Update 5
4.1 Towards Objectives 5
4.2 Towards Approved MEL Indicators 10
4.3 Summary of Completed Interventions and Progress Towards Results 10
4.4 Communications and Outreach Plan 10
4.5 Gender and Social Inclusion Action Plan 11
4.6 Private Sector Engagement Plan 11
4.7 List of Services/Deliverables Completed in the Reporting Period 11
4.8 Explanation of Quantifiable Outputs of the Tasks 12
4.9 Reasons Why Established Targets were not Met (If Applicable) 12
4.10 Short-Term Technical Advisor(s) Progress 12
4.11 The Use of Small and Disadvantaged Business Relative to the Target Identified 12
4.12 Issues and Mitigation Measures 12
5 Upcoming Plan 12
5.1 Major Interventions Planned for the Next Quarter 12
5.2 Indicators with Targets for the Next Quarter 13
5.3 Projected USAID Approvals, Waivers or Deviation Requests Anticipated During the Next Quarter 13
6 Status of Required Audit Processes (Including for Sub-Awardees) 13
7 USAID Success Stories 13
8 Status of Implementing Conditions Under IEE Asia 20-035 13
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ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS
ADB Asian Development Bank
ASP Activity Start-Up Plan
CDCS Country Development Cooperation Strategy
CO Contracting Officer
COGD Coal, Oil and Gas Department
COP Chief of Party
COR Contracting Officer’s Representative
DOI Department of Interior
DPPA Direct Power Purchase Agreement
EESD Energy Efficiency and Sustainable Development
EMMP Environmental Mitigation and Monitoring Plan
ERAV Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam
EREA Electricity and Renewable Energy Authority
FY Fiscal Year
GVN Government of Vietnam
GW Gigawatts
IEE Initial Environmental Examination
ITAP International Technical Assistance Program
KWh Kilowatt hour
LNG Liquefied Natural Gas
MEL Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning
MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade
MW Megawatt
MWh Megawatt hour
O Objective
O1 Objective 1
O2 Objective 2
O3 Objective 3
ODA Official Development Assistance
PDP Power Development Plan
PDP-7 Seventh Power Development Plan
PDP-8 Eighth Power Development Plan
PSE Private Sector Engagement
PSS/E Power System Simulator for Engineering
Q Quarter
Q1 Quarter 1
Q2 Quarter 2
Q3 Quarter 3
Q4 Quarter 4
RE Renewable Energy
RFP Request for Proposal
RFQ Request for Qualifications
SOW Statements of Work
T Task
USAID United States Agency for International Development
USG US Government
V-LEEP Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program
V-LEEP II Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program II
vRE Variable Renewable Energy
Y Year
Y1 Year 1
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1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
USAID’s Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program II (V-LEEP II) aims to advance the transition of Vietnam to a clean, secure, and market-based energy sector by increasing the deployment of advanced energy systems, improving energy sector performance, and increasing competition in the energy sector
During the first quarter of operation (i.e., from the program start date of September 30, 2020 through December 31, 2020) the V-LEEP II team focused on the rapid start-up of activities, such
as the timely establishment of an office and key technical, management, and logistical requirements that include planning and scheduling for team members
The team ensured that the Chief of Party was at post in Hanoi on the program’s first day and that the home office leadership and management team was appointed soon after; with all these team members formally approved by USAID Drawing on the resources of the original USAID Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program (V-LEEP; 2015 – 2021), V-LEEP II was able to ensure immediate operational presence To build out its team, the program coordinated with the Contracting Officer (CO) and Contracting Officer’s Representative (COR) to design and manage a robust process to engage local resources
The team immediately developed and launched its approach to secure approval as an Official Development Assistance (ODA) program, a prerequisite for successful operation in Vietnam This included appointing a local coordinator, helping to ensure that a key champion for the program emerged within the Government of Vietnam (GVN) and was appointed as the official focal point, and utilizing both formal and informal channels to discuss GVN priorities and agree upon key activities for V-LEEP II
V-LEEP II is now poised for successful development and finalization of key program underpinnings in the next quarter – including the foundational Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning (MEL) Plan and the first annual Work Plan
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2 BÁO CÁO TÓM TẮT
Chương trình Năng lượng Phát thải thấp Việt Nam II của USAID (V-LEEP II) nhằm mục tiêu thúc đẩy quá trình chuyển đổi sang lĩnh vực năng lượng sạch của Việt Nam, theo định hướng thị trường và đảm bảo an ninh năng lượng thông qua việc tăng cường triển khai các hệ thống năng lượng tiên tiến, cải thiện hiệu quả hoạt động và nâng cao khả năng cạnh tranh trong lĩnh vực năng lượng
Trong quý đầu tiên sau khi dự án đi vào hoạt động (từ ngày 30 tháng 9 năm 2020 là ngày bắt đầu chương trình đến hết ngày 31 tháng 12 năm 2020), V-LEEP II tập trung vào các hoạt động khởi động dự án, ví dụ như nhanh chóng thành lập văn phòng dự án, triển khai các yêu cầu về kỹ thuật, quản lý và hậu cần chính, bao gồm nhiệm vụ lập kế hoạch và xây dựng lịch trình cho nhân
sự dự án
Nhóm triển khai dự án đã tiến hành các công việc nhằm đảm bảo Giám đốc Dự án có mặt tại Hà Nội ngay từ ngày đầu tiên của chương trình; đội ngũ lãnh đạo và quản lý tại trụ sở được bổ nhiệm ngay sau đó và được USAID chính thức phê duyệt Được thiết kế dựa trên nguồn lực của Chương trình Năng lượng Phát thải thấp Việt Nam ban đầu (V-LEEP; 2015 – 2021) nên V-LEEP II có thể nhanh chóng sẵn sàng đi vào hoạt động Trong hoạt động xây dựng đội ngũ cán bộ dự án, chương trình phối hợp với Cán bộ Hợp đồng (CO) và Đại diện Cán bộ Hợp đồng (COR) xây dựng, quản lý quá trình tuyển dụng nguồn lực địa phương một cách hiệu quả
Nhóm triển khai dự án đã xây dựng và triển khai phương pháp tiếp cận cho quá trình xin phê duyệt chương trình Hỗ trợ Phát triển Chính thức (ODA), là điều kiện tiên quyết để chương trình
có thể hoạt động thành công tại Việt Nam Quá trình này bao gồm việc chỉ định một cán bộ điều phối trong nước hỗ trợ xác định cơ quan đầu mối chính thức của Chính phủ Việt Nam (GVN), huy động các kênh chính thức và phi chính thức để thảo luận về các ưu tiên của Chính phủ Việt Nam, cùng thống nhất về các hoạt động chính của V-LEEP II
V-LEEP II hiện đã sẵn sàng cho việc xây dựng và hoàn thiện các kế hoạch chính của chương trình trong quý tới – bao gồm Kế hoạch Giám sát, Đánh giá và Học tập (MEL) và Kế hoạch Hoạt động năm đầu tiên
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3 PURPOSE AND APPROACH
Problem Statement
As a result of Vietnam’s fast-growing economy and intensive energy consumption patterns, the country’s energy demand is increasing at about 10 percent per year, among the highest rates in the region and in the world Furthermore, the country has become a net-energy importer, increasing its dependence on external sources of energy while relying heavily on thermal (coal) power
The country will need US$8-10 billion annually in energy sector investment over the next decade
to account for the increasing energy demand and forecasted energy shortages The GVN predicts shortages of over 3.7 billion kWh in 2021 and 10 billion kWh in 2022
Over the past three years, Vietnam has added almost 10 Gigawatts (GW) of solar capacity to its power grid However, poorly planned grid infrastructure resulted in massive renewable energy curtailments Robust long-term planning and appropriate policy incentives are needed to attract critical private sector investment and move the sector toward a functioning power sector with cleaner, more sustainable resources
Supporting the Government of Vietnam to build their capacity to develop their long-term energy plans, advance utility operation practices, and improve the enabling environment through private-public partnerships will ensure that adequate capital is available for a diversified and more secure energy system
Theory of Change
Fueling sustainable economic growth and development in Vietnam will require meeting growing energy demand through the provision of clean, secure, and market-based energy solutions If advanced energy systems are deployed, energy sector performance is improved, and competition for energy services is increased, then Vietnam will transition to a more clean, secure, and market-based energy sector
Activity Goal
The primary goal of this activity is to advance the transition of Vietnam to a clean, secure and market-based energy sector by increasing the deployment of advanced energy systems, improving energy sector performance and increasing competition in the energy sector
Specific Objectives
The specific objectives of this activity are to:
• Increase the deployment of advanced energy systems through improving enabling poli-cies, laws, and regulations and mobilizing private investment
• Improve energy sector performance through improving planning and operation practices
• Increase energy sector competition by promoting transparent procurement practices and increasing the availability of advanced energy skilled workforce, products, and services
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Approach
Our approach to V-LEEP II stems from our deep understanding of the complexities of the Vietnamese power sector that the delivery team has gained over the past five years under the original V-LEEP This knowledge, and the strong relationships we have developed across the Vietnamese public and private sectors, has not only enabled multiple energy reforms under V-LEEP; it will also help to accelerate V-LEEP II’s expanded objectives and outcomes
To accomplish V-LEEP II’s aggressive objectives of increasing advanced energy systems deployment (O1), improving sector performance (O2), and increasing sector competition (O3), we have designed a series of program Tasks (T1-T8) to address the five key risks inherent to Vietnam’s energy sector (Policy and Regulatory, Transactional, Planning and Operations, Institutional, and Workforce) These five risks must be reduced to levels that support viable rates
of return for private investors, else third party capital is unlikely to be available to support new generation, transmission, or gas-supply projects Our Risk Framework aligns V-LEEP II’s Objectives and Tasks with these five key risks, detailed below Task activities will be prioritized to address specific challenges, garner support from public/private stakeholders, and realize V-LEEP II’s expected outcomes
Policy & Regulatory Risk mitigation is the key to creating a functional Liquefied Natural Gas
(LNG) market, thereby compensating for Vietnam’s declining domestic gas and expanding variable renewable energy (vRE) balancing needs Building on Department of Interior (DOI) International Technical Assistance Program (ITAP) activities, Task 1 (T1) will support the implementation of policy and regulations on LNG infrastructure development by helping the GVN
to promote cost reflective tariffs and flexible policies – thus accelerating scalable LNG capacity at competitive costs (O1:T1)
Transactional Risk mitigation includes assistance in Task 2 to advanced RE developers to
navigate approvals and licensing procedures, plus promote the use of non-recourse project financing, rather than relying on public debt and guarantees (O1:T2) We will continue USAID’s active support for the soon-to-be launched Direct Power Purchase Agreement (DPPA) pilot mechanism and a scaled-up DPPA 2 successor program under Task 5 (O3:T5), by which private capital will finance more reliable renewable energy (RE) supplies for global manufacturers in Vietnam to meet their sustainability goals
Planning & Operations Risk mitigation is addressed via Task 3, which will provide inclusive
trainings and support to finalize and implement the eighth National Power Development Plan (PDP-8) (O2:T3), address vRE grid integration challenges through better transmission planning that reduces grid congestion and curtailment, and improve vRE predictions, scheduling, and dispatch Support will build on our established relationships and include training on PSS/E and PLEXOS under Task 4 (O2:T4)
Institutional Risk: Provinces are slated to develop competitive procurement processes to
implement projects from PDP-8, but few have training or experience in the practicalities of project development, tender management, or investor relations Building upon our national-level work under V-LEEP, Task 6 will build the capacity of provincial governments to adopt competitive procurement processes Deloitte will provide training, capacity development, and procurement assistance, as appropriate and approved by USAID to promote transparent processes (O3:T6)
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Workforce Risk: Vietnam’s historical focus on hydropower, coal, and state-owned utilities has
resulted in a patriarchal/hierarchical sector at odds with today’s need for entrepreneurs familiar with clean technologies and flexible markets Using grants, bootcamps, and scalable business models, Task 7 will create an entrepreneurial energy ecosystem that complements existing structures via the use of advanced technologies (O3:T7) Under Task 8, we will promote the role
of women in energy by supporting internships, mentorship, and networking initiatives (O3:T8)
Our technical approach also incorporates gender and social inclusion as an integral part of task
design and implementation, resulting in reduced risks, more sustainable reform activities, greater achievement of results for the program as a whole, and a more equitable distribution of benefits
We will achieve these goals through the creation of gender and vulnerable populations’ action plans (developed as part of the annual Work Plan process) that will inform stakeholder outreach and engagement, policy design and implementation, institutional strengthening and workforce capacity development, as well as results monitoring, evaluation and learning
Our technical approach also considers Vietnam’s long-term energy sector sustainability by proactively encouraging counterparts to balance security of supply, affordability, and environmental factors with a commitment to institutional strengthening, leadership development,
and the adoption of leading practices We will support private sector engagement by working
with diverse local partners, strategically using V-LEEP 2’s Activity Fund, and via engagement with higher-education and other skills-building institutions
4 PROGRESS UPDATE
4.1 TOWARDS OBJECTIVES
Overview
During the first 90 calendar days of the Task Order – which corresponds precisely with the first quarter of program year one – the V-LEEP II Team focused on the rapid start-up of activities As specified in the Task Order and presented in the team’s Activity Start-Up Plan (ASP), rapid
start-up includes the timely establishment of an office as well as key technical, management, and logistical (vehicle, office space, staffing, etc.) requirements, such as planning and scheduling for the prompt mobilization of the Chief of Party (COP) and timeline for mobilization of other key personnel and hiring of staff
Context
V-LEEP II follows the 5.5-year US$15.9M USAID Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program (V-LEEP) which began on September 1, 2015 and ends on February 28, 2021 V-LEEP has worked with the GVN to create a robust enabling environment and attract private sector investment for clean energy development Initially slated to end on September 1, 2020, V-LEEP was extended for an additional six months and will now conclude on February 28, 2021 This extension allows for five months of overlap between V-LEEP and V-LEEP II
Opportunities
The overlap period has allowed for continuity, rapid start-up, and efficiency as V-LEEP II benefited from the availability of V-LEEP’s staff, office space, operations processes, and institutional
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knowledge The team has drawn on the support of V-LEEP staff, and anticipates transferring existing V-LEEP facilities (e.g., office space), systems, and equipment to V-LEEP II during the start-up phase to conserve resources
Authorization & Cost Allocation
Deloitte’s approach to leverage V-LEEP to start-up V-LEEP II is consistent with the V-LEEP Task Order, which requires in its Statement of Work that “the Contractor must coordinate activities with other USAID/US Government (USG) climate change and energy programs and collaborate with other donors and implementing partners working in clean energy in Vietnam”
Over its five-year duration, V-LEEP helped several USAID and USG programs address issues related to startup, registration, and socialization Most recently this included extensive support for the Vietnam Urban Energy Security Program, which is implemented by DAI Deloitte’s suggestion that V-LEEP provide similar support to V-LEEP II was well-received by the COR and the CO in the V-LEEP II kick-off call on August 11, 2020
Following this kick-off discussion, on August 25, 2020 Deloitte submitted an initial budget and expenditure projection for V-LEEP II for the period September 30, 2020 to February 28, 2021 showing the anticipated cost distribution between V-LEEP and V-LEEP II over that period The COR responded via email on August 25, 2020 confirming that this analysis was reasonable and
in line with USAID’s expectations On October 27, 2020, Deloitte submitted its official Cost Allocation Methodology via a letter to the CO This methodology divides V-LEEP II’s projected costs into four categories (labor, allowances, travel, and other direct costs) and broadly outlines
a specific approach for cost allocation to each
On October 9, 2020 Deloitte requested approval from the CO that Mr John Bruce Wells assume his full-time role as COP for V-LEEP II effective November 1, 2020 In a concurrent letter to the
CO, Deloitte requested approval that Mr Wells will cease his COP responsibilities on V-LEEP as
of November 1, 2020, while remaining available to provide any necessary leadership and transition support for the original V-LEEP project CO granted approval on October 15, 2020
Official Development Assistance (ODA) Approval
Securing the official overseas development assistance (ODA) approval is a Vietnamese legal requirement for development programs in Vietnam, prescribed by the Government of Vietnam (GVN) through Decree No 56/2020/ND-CP on the Management and Use of Official Development Assistance (ODA) and Concessional Loans from Foreign Donors (Decree 56)
Prior to receiving ODA approval, USAID programs are limited in scope because their government counterparts are reluctant to engage in joint activities, except for socialization and planning activities Effective operations are also hindered because ODA approval is generally required for receiving the necessary approvals for implementing partners to operate in Vietnam (e.g., obtaining corporate seals, tax codes, visas, work permit exemptions, and bank accounts)
Despite this restriction, as V-LEEP II proceeds through the ODA approval process, a limited suite
of technical activities related to V-LEEP is expected to continue into the first half of 2021 The continuing activities include ongoing support for the two highest-priority activities: