... ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.com Table 1. 1 Emerging Asia: real GDP growth forecasts, 19 96-98 19 96 Country Indonesia Thailand South ... 1. 2 Rating agencies’ performance before the Asian crisis: Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s long-term debt ratings,a 19 96-97 15 January 19 96 Rating | http://www.iie.com Moody’s fore...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
... liberalization and its attendant credit booms 12 ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.com forerun banking crises in Japan, in several Scandinavian countries, ... weak and when an extensive For example, the studies of banking crises in emerging markets by Caprio and Klingebiel (1996a, 1996b), Goldstein and Turner (1996), Hono...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 3 pot
... 1-month change Semiannual change Annual growth rate Level Level Level Level Level Level Level Monthly Monthly Monthly Monthly Monthly Semiannual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual ... ‘‘predicting’’ financial crises Specifically, we examine the performance of the Institutional Investor and Moody’s ratings As noted, in most cases we focus on 12-month changes in the varia...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 4 pot
... an P(C) (1998) improvement) P(C͉S) 0.35 52 24. 0 14. 1 0 .46 0 .46 0. 54 0.68 0.68 0.73 76 63 90 79 96 100 23 .4 18.3 17.3 14. 3 16.8 15.6 11.2 9.0 7.2 4. 7 4. 2 3.7 0 1ם 1מ 0.73 0. 84 0.88 64 72 44 ... Bank deposits 0.22 0.32 0 .46 0.51 0.51 0.57 0.57 58 Difference in Ranking rank P(C͉S) in K & R ( םdenotes an P(C͉S) P(C) (1999) improvement) 66 80 75 71 57 62.1 46 .0 47...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 5 doc
... Uruguay, and Venezuela An unbalanced panel, in this case, refers to the fact that we not have the same number of observations for all the countries 46 ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY Institute for ... consistent with other 48 ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.com research on ratings performance Cantor and Packer (199...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 6 ppt
... signaling for the 20 emerging 62 ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.com Table 5 .6 Vulnerability to financial crises in emerging markets: alternative ... 44 56 11 44 44 44 33 22 33 11 33 56 44 33 11 22 Rank Average of ‘‘weighted’’ signals Rank 3 2 3 6. 69 6. 94 6. 82 5.74 11.23 16. 33 6. 42 14.21 7.93 8.34 10.10...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 7 pdf
... bilateral and third-party) but emphasize financial sector links In an early paper on the subject, Frankel and Schmukler (1996) find evidence of contagion in emerging market mutual funds Trade and Financial ... and the economy 73 Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.com Table 6.1 Crises that showed few signals, 1 970 - 97 Type of crisis and sample Banking, 1 970...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 8 docx
... the European exchange rate mechanism (ERM) crisis and the strong growth performance of the Australian economy in 19 98 coincident with a large depreciation of the Australian dollar For a comparison ... Thailand Turkey Uruguay Venezuela Thai crisis (July 1997) Brazilian crisis (January 1999) 16.65 18. 4 12.5 0 0 n.a 2.57 14. 08 0 0 0 12.5 0 0 0 16.65 28. 33 0 4.32 26. 58 0 n.a 0 29.15 n.a...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 9 ppsx
... periods: an 18-month period running from the beginning of 199 6 to the end of June 199 7 (just before the outbreak of the Asian financial crisis) and a 24-month period running from January 199 6 to ... order) for the 199 6 to mid- 199 7 period were as follows: South Africa, Czech Republic, Thailand, South Korea, and the Philippines (table 8.2) For the somewhat longer 199 6 to end of D...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
assessing financial vulnerability an early warning system for emerging markets phần 10 pptx
... (1998c), and Wyplosz (1997, 1998) 104 ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.com noncrisis countries (particularly Argentina and Mexico) and the Asian ... currency and banking crises coincide, the postcrisis performance would show up in both the averages for currency and banking crises See chapter for details SUMMARY OF RESULTS AN...
Ngày tải lên: 14/08/2014, 22:20
STRATEGIES FOR MARKET ENTRY: Fast Moving Consumer Goods Companies in Emerging Markets ppt
... comparatively faster growing buying power and faster growing markets, emerging economies represents advantageous markets to invest and operate in Emerging markets will generally be influenced by changes in ... to determine whether firms within the FMCG industry follow the theories on market entry in emerging markets That is, can the market entries of FMCG firms in em...
Ngày tải lên: 23/03/2014, 08:21
Stakeholder Engagement: A Good Practice Handbook for Companies Doing Business in Emerging Markets pptx
... have prepared this new and updated reference, Stakeholder Engagement: A Good Practice Handbook for Companies Doing Business in Emerging Markets In doing so, we have drawn on IFC’s own learning ... participate in an informed manner ✔ Apply good practice principles ■ Disclose early – with the aim of providing relevant information to targeted stakeholders in...
Ngày tải lên: 30/03/2014, 01:20