Risk Analysis for Engineering 9 doc
Risk Analysis for Engineering 9 doc
... J. Clark School of Engineering •Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
CHAPTER
5b
CHAPMAN
HALL/CRC
Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics
Risk Analysis for Engineering
Department ... as:
)})((223.2)( 790 .3)(750.0exp{)(277.131
PAR
LOL
44.0
ForceWTForceWTPAR +−+
=
(1)
LOL = potential loss of life
PAR = population at risk
WT = warning time in hours, Force = fo...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 4 docx
... probabilities
A
0 .95
B
0.0001
0.05
A
0 .99 99
B
A
0.01
0 .99
A
98 990 6.0)( =AP
010 094 .0)( =AP
0 094 12.0
010 094 .0
000 095 .0
=
000005.0
98 990 6.0
000005.0
=
99 0588.0
010 094 .0
0 099 99. 0
=
99 999 5.0
98 990 6.0
98 990 1.0
=
Figure 14. Probability-Tree ... information
Conditional
probabilities
Joint
probabilities
0.000 095
0.000005
0.0 099 99
0 .98 990 1
Total Probability...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 5 docx
... 7
199 0 7 1 12
199 1 8 0 20
199 2 9 1 36
199 3 10 1 47
199 4 11 5 61
199 5 12 3 33
199 6 13 1 74
199 7 14 2 65
199 8 15 2 58
199 9 16 2 44
Partial Data Set From 20,000Simulation
Cycles for ... Performance Function
Analytical Performance-Based
Reliability Assessment
N
X
i
i
X
Z
σ
∂
∂
-1.557E-01-1 .98 0E-013 .92 2E+007 .92 2E-014.000E+00X
3
1 .96 5E-012. 498 E-014 .9...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 8 docx
... 90 .0 95 .0 100.0 75.0 85.0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0
8.0 90 .0 85.0 85.0 95 .0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0 85.0 87.5 90 .0 95 .0 100.0
9. 0 90 .0 85.0 90 .0 95 .0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0 85.0 90 .0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0
10.0 90 .0 85.0 90 .0 95 .0 ... 85.0 90 .0 95 .0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0 85.0 90 .0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0
11.0 90 .0 85.0 90 .0 95 .0 90 .0 95 .0 100.0 85.0 90 .0 90 .0 95 .0...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 15 docx
... X
4
X
4
X
8
X
8
X
12
X
12
16 X
4
X
4
(X
8
+X
9
)/2
98
XX
X
13
X
13
17 (X
4
+X
5
)/2
54
XX
X
9
X
9
(X
13
+X
14
)/2
1413
XX
18 (X
4
+X
5
)/2
54
XX
(X
9
+X
10
)/2
1 09
XX
(X
14
+X
15
)/2
1514
XX
19 X
5
X
5
X
10
X
10
X
15
X
15
20 ... under investigation before
their use.
– Eldukair and Ayyub ( 199 1) provide an
example of the availability of such information.
CHAPTER 8a. DATA FOR...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 16 doc
... Civil and Environmental Engineering
CHAPTER
8b
CHAPMAN
HALL/CRC
Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics
Risk Analysis for Engineering
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University ... perform equivalency analysis of
engineering designs is a common problem for
the regulation of engineering systems.
– Therefore, an improved process for evaluating...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 1 potx
... Civil and Environmental Engineering
CHAPTER
1
CHAPMAN
HALL/CRC
Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics
Risk Analysis for Engineering
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University ... of risk analysis in this case are
greatly affected by assumption made about
the occupants.
Information Uncertainty in Engineering
Systems (cont’d)
CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCT...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 2 pot
... Engineering
CHAPTER
2
CHAPMAN
HALL/CRC
Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics
Risk Analysis for Engineering
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Maryland, College Park
RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
CHAPTER ... 2. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
Slide No. 32
Risk Assessment
̈ Risk Assessment
Methodologies
CHAPTER 2. RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
Slide No...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 3 pot
... J. Clark School of Engineering •Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
CHAPTER
3a
CHAPMAN
HALL/CRC
Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics
Risk Analysis for Engineering
Department ... for
existing bridge ($/yr)
Failure likelihood for
existing bridge
Failure consequences
for existing bridge
Risk Analysis
Figure 6. Contributing Factors for Risk-
Bas...
Risk Analysis for Engineering 6 pot
...
0 0 19/ 19 = 1
1 26 18/ 19 = 0 .94 7368
2 27 17/ 19 = 0. 894 737
3 28 16/ 19 = 0.842105
4 29 15/ 19 = 0.7 894 74
5 30 14/ 19 = 140.736842
6 31 13/ 19 = 0.684211
7 32 12/ 19 = 0.6315 79
8 33 11/ 19 = 0.57 894 7 ... 0.57 894 7
9 34 10/ 19 = 0.526316
10 35 9/ 19 = 0.473684
11 36 8/ 19 = 0.421053
12 37 7/ 19 = 0.368421
13 38 6/ 19 = 0.3157 89
14 39 5/ 19 = 0.26...
Từ khóa: