the signal and the noise why most predi nate silver

the signal and the noise why most predi   nate silver

the signal and the noise why most predi nate silver

... than the others. For each panelist, I calculated a percentage score, essentially reflecting the number of predictions they got right. Clift and the three other most frequent panelists—Buchanan, the ... help pitch the Congress and the country on the stimulus, Romer and her colleagues prepared a memo 90 outlining the depth of the crisis and what the stimulus might...

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Cambridge.University.Press.The.Works.of.Archimedes.Volume.1.The.Two.Books.On.the.Sphere.and.the.Cylinder.Translation.and.Commentary.May.2004.pdf

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... triangle having the same base as the segment and an equal height. 3 Later, theorems worthy of mention suggested themselves to us, and we took the trouble of preparing their proofs. They are these: first, ... equal to the line drawn from the vertex of the segment to the circumference of the circle which is the base of the segment. 5 Next to these, that, in every sphere,...

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Evaluation of the Effects and the Programming of ‘Water Conservation Plan’ (WCP) for Total Water Resources Management in Tokyo

Evaluation of the Effects and the Programming of ‘Water Conservation Plan’ (WCP) for Total Water Resources Management in Tokyo

... utilize the remaining nutrients. Likewise, making the most of rainwater by RWH should be the priority. However, since the installation and running cost of RWH are rather high than the ordinary ... proposed the necessity of city-wide recycling system and other measures. The fluctuation of water consumption in this period reflects the people’s consideration on the...

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Collecting Data — The Class and the Array

Collecting Data — The Class and the Array

... at the definition of the Vehicle class). The con- stant 5 is also of type int , so the type of the variable on the right side of the assignment operator matches the type of the variable on the ... pass through the students array, the program compares each student to its neighbor. If the two are found to be out of order, the function swaps them and then flags...

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Testing - The Horse and the Cart

Testing - The Horse and the Cart

... inputs and outputs. They specify the exceptional cases and expected behaviors, and they outline how each method interacts with the rest of the system. As long as the tests are kept up to date, they ... through the Eclipse menus. The test module is selected from the Package Explorer pane, or the appropriate editor is selected. With the focus on the module, the Run m...

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THE ART OF SEEING THE FOREST AND THE TREES

THE ART OF SEEING THE FOREST AND THE TREES

... Airlines) and they try expanding more rapidly. They try redefining the "scope" of People's services to include more or fewer services for the basic fare. As they come to understand the ... advantage in cost and market position. They try marketing promotions and price cuts. They try hiring more service personnel and less service personnel. They try not expandi...

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THE MOUSE, THE BIRD, AND THE SAUSAGE - GRIMM’S FAIRY TALES

THE MOUSE, THE BIRD, AND THE SAUSAGE - GRIMM’S FAIRY TALES

... and to remain with one another. So now the bird set the table, and the mouse looked after the food and, wishing to prepare it in the same way as the sausage, by rolling in and out among the ... industrious, the other ugly and lazy. The mother, however, loved the ugly and lazy one best, because she was her own daughter, and so the other, who was only he...

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The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly - Winning and Losing Essays

The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly - Winning and Losing Essays

... learn about rubrics the rules and essential princi- the good, the bad, and the ugly 67 five The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly: Winning and Losing Essays The more you understand the characteristics ... style the good, the bad, and the ugly 81 *Writing Framework and Specifications for the 1998 National Assessment of Educational Progress, p. 27. the good, t...

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