Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets 6 doc
Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 doc
... by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then from the commodity markets to the ... month. 66 COMMODITIES AND THE US. DOLLARFOREIGN CURRENCIES AND GOLDNow another dimension will be added to this comparison. Gold trends in the oppositedirection of the dollar. So do the foreign currency ... impact of the dollar on the bond and the stock markets is not a direct onebut an indirect one. The impact of the dollar on bonds and stocks must be understoodfrom the standpoint of the dollar's...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pdf
... direction and sometimes in the same direction. The trick is in understanding the lead and lag times that usually occur and also the sequence of events that affect the two markets. Figure 6. 11 shows the ... agricultural markets (62 %) versus the non-food markets (38%) and, second, the heavy weighting of the grain sector(28 .6% ) relative to the other commodity groupings. The heavy weighting of the agri-cultural ... correlations are the Industrials (67 %) *and the Energy markets (60 %). Two groups that show weak correlations with the Index are the Meats (33%) and the Imported markets (-4%). The Metals group...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_5 pptx
... Bonds GLOBAL BONDS AND GLOBAL INFLATIONFigure 8.20 shows the interplay between U.S. and Japanese bond prices (two charts on the left) and the U.S. and Japanese stock markets (two charts on the ... compares the British and American markets during 19 86. The peak in the British market in the spring of 19 86, and its ensuing correction, coincided witha period of consolidation in the U.S. market. The ... other markets. 124 INTERNATIONAL MARKETS FIGURE 8.2 THE WORLD'S THREE LARGEST STOCK MARKETS RESUMED UPTRENDS TOGETHER IN EARLY1987 AND COLLAPSED TOGETHER IN THE FALL OF THE SAME YEAR.Global...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_6 doc
... During 19 86 and 1987, the S&L group was caught in between the upward pull of rising stock prices and the downward pull of a falling bond market. By the time the S&Ls were formingtheir "right ... such as gold and oil. The study of gold and oil leads us to the next stop on the intermarket journey, and that is the study of industry groups. Two global themes that were seen as the 1980sended ... in the S&Ls in 19 86 coincides with the middle trough (the head) in the CRB Index. The third trough (the "right shoulder") in the CRB Index in the spring of 1987 coincideswith the...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_7 doc
... in the CRB Index. The final top in the Dow Utilities and the final peak in the bonds in early1987 coincided with a trough in the CRB Index. The breakdown in the two financial markets in the ... (energy and precious metals) and the weakest group (the grains). Each Figure shows the actual commodity groupindex in the upper chart and the relative ratio line in the lower chart. The time ... for the utilities. Downtrending commodity markets will be bullish for bonds and eventually for utilities as well.BONDS, UTILITIES, AND THE DOW INDUSTRIALS The final comparison links bonds, the...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_1 pdf
... the commodity markets is largely determined by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then ... still the problem of lead and lag times. It can be seen that turns in the dollar lead turnsin the CRB Index. The 1985 top in the dollar preceded the 19 86 bottom in the CRBIndex by 17 months. The ... relationship between the dollar and the gold market is very important in fore-casting the trend of the general commodity price level, and using a foreign currency market, such as the deutsche mark,...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 pptx
... Bonds GLOBAL BONDS AND GLOBAL INFLATIONFigure 8.20 shows the interplay between U.S. and Japanese bond prices (two charts on the left) and the U.S. and Japanese stock markets (two charts on the ... turns in the CPI Index (1977 and THE CRB INDEX VERSUS THE PPI AND THE CPI 119FIGURE 7.17 THE CRB FUTURES PRICE INDEX VERSUS ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR THE CONSUMERPRICE INDEX (CPI-W) AND THE PRODUCER ... compares the British and American markets during 19 86. The peak in the British market in the spring of 19 86, and its ensuing correction, coincided witha period of consolidation in the U.S. market. The...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pot
... such as gold and oil. The study of gold and oil leads us to the next stop on the intermarket journey, and that is the study of industry groups. Two global themes that were seen as the 1980sended ... in the S&Ls in 19 86 coincides with the middle trough (the head) in the CRB Index. The third trough (the "right shoulder") in the CRB Index in the spring of 1987 coincideswith the ... During 19 86 and 1987, the S&L group was caught in between the upward pull of rising stock prices and the downward pull of a falling bond market. By the time the S&Ls were formingtheir "right...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_5 ppt
... later the broader stock market followed bonds and the utilities lower. The key to understanding the relationship between the Dow Utilities and the DowIndustrials lies in the recognition of the ... in the CRB Index. The final top in the Dow Utilities and the final peak in the bonds in early1987 coincided with a trough in the CRB Index. The breakdown in the two financial markets in the ... (energy and precious metals) and the weakest group (the grains). Each Figure shows the actual commodity groupindex in the upper chart and the relative ratio line in the lower chart. The time...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_8 pot
... 222Dollar, U.S.: . and commodity prices, 56- 57, 75vs. the CRB Index, 59 -62 , 70-72, 264 foreign currencies and, 66 gold market and, 60 , 63 -65 , 73, 2 56, 265 and inflation, 40, 54, 56, 72-73 and interest ... 47, 76, 87, 153Foreign currency markets, 60 , 66 68 Franc, Swiss, 66 France, 142Fundamental analysis, 7, 274Futures markets, 7-8, 53, 95, 2 16- 217, 255Gaps, 274Globalization, 11, 53, 2 56- 257Gold, ... 274Globalization, 11, 53, 2 56- 257Gold, 53 and the dollar, 60 , 63 -65 , 70-72, 73, 265 vs. the Dow Jones Industrials, 232, 266 279foreign currencies and, 66 -68 vs. gold mining shares, 150-157, 158as...
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