Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets 3 doc
Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 doc
... by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then from the commodity markets to the ... bottom in the CRB Index. The relationship between the dollar and the gold market is very important in fore-casting the trend of the general commodity price level, and using a foreign currency market, ... impact of the dollar on the bond and the stock markets is not a direct onebut an indirect one. The impact of the dollar on bonds and stocks must be understoodfrom the standpoint of the dollar's...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pdf
... direction and sometimes in the same direction. The trick is in understanding the lead and lag times that usually occur and also the sequence of events that affect the two markets. Figure 6.11 shows the ... the dollar and Treasury billfutures. Figure 6.10 shows the sharp rally in T-bill prices that began in the spring of1989, which was the beginning of the end for the bull run in the dollar. THE ... detail. For most of that year, the CRB Index and the JOC Index trended inopposite directions. During the first half of 1989, the JOC Index strengthened while the CRB Index weakened. By the time the...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_5 pptx
... Bonds GLOBAL BONDS AND GLOBAL INFLATIONFigure 8.20 shows the interplay between U.S. and Japanese bond prices (two charts on the left) and the U.S. and Japanese stock markets (two charts on the ... other markets. 124 INTERNATIONAL MARKETS FIGURE 8.2 THE WORLD'S THREE LARGEST STOCK MARKETS RESUMED UPTRENDS TOGETHER IN EARLY1987 AND COLLAPSED TOGETHER IN THE FALL OF THE SAME YEAR. Global ... OF GOLD AND OILThere are times when the gold and oil futures markets, either in tandem or separately,become the dominant markets in the intermarket picture. This is partly because the financial...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_6 doc
... such as gold and oil. The study of gold and oil leads us to the next stop on the intermarket journey, and that is the study of industry groups. Two global themes that were seen as the 1980sended ... interest-sensitive sector before it hit the general market. The bond market therefore became a leading indicator for the interest-sensitive stockswhich, in turn, became a leading indicator for the stock market ... gold shares leading gold at the 1987 top and the 1989 bottom. Figure 9 .3 provides a closer view of the 1989 bottom and shows that, although the gold marketwas forming the second trough of a "double...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_7 doc
... in the CRB Index. The final top in the Dow Utilities and the final peak in the bonds in early1987 coincided with a trough in the CRB Index. The breakdown in the two financial markets in the ... (energy and precious metals) and the weakest group (the grains). Each Figure shows the actual commodity groupindex in the upper chart and the relative ratio line in the lower chart. The time ... for the utilities. Downtrending commodity markets will be bullish for bonds and eventually for utilities as well.BONDS, UTILITIES, AND THE DOW INDUSTRIALS The final comparison links bonds, the...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_1 pdf
... the commodity markets is largely determined by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then ... bottom in the CRB Index. The relationship between the dollar and the gold market is very important in fore-casting the trend of the general commodity price level, and using a foreign currency market, ... impact of the dollar on the bond and the stock markets is not a direct onebut an indirect one. The impact of the dollar on bonds and stocks must be understoodfrom the standpoint of the dollar's...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 pptx
... Bonds GLOBAL BONDS AND GLOBAL INFLATIONFigure 8.20 shows the interplay between U.S. and Japanese bond prices (two charts on the left) and the U.S. and Japanese stock markets (two charts on the ... turns in the CPI Index (1977 and THE CRB INDEX VERSUS THE PPI AND THE CPI 119FIGURE 7.17 THE CRB FUTURES PRICE INDEX VERSUS ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR THE CONSUMERPRICE INDEX (CPI-W) AND THE PRODUCER ... OF GOLD AND OILThere are times when the gold and oil futures markets, either in tandem or separately,become the dominant markets in the intermarket picture. This is partly because the financial...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pot
... such as gold and oil. The study of gold and oil leads us to the next stop on the intermarket journey, and that is the study of industry groups. Two global themes that were seen as the 1980sended ... are influ-enced by their own domestic bond markets) . And second, by U.S. bond prices whichare themselves influenced by global bond markets. Discussion of the bond market and global interest rates ... in the S&Ls in 1986 coincides with the middle trough (the head) in the CRB Index. The third trough (the "right shoulder") in the CRB Index in the spring of 1987 coincideswith the...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_5 ppt
... later the broader stock market followed bonds and the utilities lower. The key to understanding the relationship between the Dow Utilities and the DowIndustrials lies in the recognition of the ... in the CRB Index. The final top in the Dow Utilities and the final peak in the bonds in early1987 coincided with a trough in the CRB Index. The breakdown in the two financial markets in the ... (energy and precious metals) and the weakest group (the grains). Each Figure shows the actual commodity groupindex in the upper chart and the relative ratio line in the lower chart. The time...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_8 pot
... markets, 7-8, 53, 95, 216-217, 255Gaps, 274Globalization, 11, 53, 256-257Gold, 53 and the dollar, 60, 63- 65, 70-72, 73, 265vs. the Dow Jones Industrials, 232 , 266279foreign currencies and, ... 121vs. the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index, 117-120vs. savings and loans, 168-169vs. stocks, 5, 211-216, 217 and Treasury bills, 35 , 36 -38 and Treasury bonds, 10, 13, 21, 22 -30 , 31 , ... 22 -30 , 31 , 32 , 34 , 35 , 36 , 38 -39 , 107, 109, 150,207-211, 261INDEXCommodity Research Bureau {CRB} SpotIndex, 95, 98-99, 234 Computerization, 53, 256-257Confirmation, 31 , 43, 147, 161, 186, 204,2 73 Consumer...
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