Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global 1 potx
Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_1 potx
... (cloth) 1. Investment analysis. 2. Portfolio management. I. Title.II. Series.HG4529.M86 19 91 332.6-dc20 90-48567Printed in the United States of America20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 ContentsPreface v 1 ... Markets 12 29 Stock Market Groups 14 9 10 The Dow Utilities as a Leading Indicator of Stocks 17 3 11 Relative-Strength Analysis of Commodities 18 6 12 Commodities and Asset Allocation 206 13 Intermarket ... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FIGURE 1. 1A COMPARISON Of THE WORLD'S THREE LARGEST EQUITY MARKETS: THE UNITED STATES,JAPAN, AND BRITAIN. GLOBAL MARKETS COLLAPSED TOGETHER IN 19 87. THE SUBSEQUENTGLOBAL...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_3 pptx
... by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then from the commodity markets to the ... turns in the CRB Index at the 19 85 bottomand the 19 87 top. (Gold also led the downturn in the CRB Index in 19 80.) The 19 85bottom in gold was more than a year ahead of the 19 86 bottom in the CRB ... dollar. The entire decade saw the U.S. currency on the defensive. THE DOLLAR VERSUS THE CRB INDEX 61 FIGURE 5.5 THE U.S. DOLLAR VERSUS THE CRB INDEX DURING 19 88 AND 19 89. THE DOLLAR BOTTOMAT THE...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_4 ppt
... led at the 19 86 bottom, while the Foodstuffs led at the 19 88 peak. THE JOC INDEX AND RAW INDUSTRIALS 10 1FIGURE 7 .1 A COMPARISON OF THE CRB FUTURES INDEX AND THE CRB SPOT INDEX FROM 19 87 TO 19 89. ... stocks outperform gold by a wide margin (19 80 to 19 85 and 19 88 through the first half of 19 89). During periods of rising inflation (the 19 70s and the period from 19 86 through the end of 19 87), gold ... back to the beginning of the decade, the dollar bottomed in 19 80, two years before the 19 82bottom in stocks. In 19 88 and 19 89 the dollar and stocks rose pretty much in tan-dem. The peak in the...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_5 docx
... pushed the U.S. wholesale inflation rate for 19 89 up to 4.8 percent, the highest inflation number since 19 81. The major culprit behind the surge in the GLOBAL INTEREST RATES 13 9FIGURE 8 .17 THE ... out of the six with an average lead time of eightmonths. The two times when the CRB Index lagged turns in the CPI Index (19 77 and THE CRB INDEX VERSUS THE PPI AND THE CPI 11 9FIGURE 7 .17 THE CRB ... implications for global equities. GLOBAL INTEREST RATESFigure 8 .18 compares the bond prices for the United States, Japan, and Britain for the last three months of 19 89 and the first two weeks of 19 90....
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_6 pdf
... IN THE CRB INDEX. THE MID -19 88 PEAK IN THE CRB HELPED LAUNCH THE S&L RALLY. THE PEAK IN THE S&Ls IN THE AUTUMN OF 19 89 COINCIDED WITH THE BREAKING OF A DOWN TRENIHINE BY THE CRB ... shoulder") in the CRB Index in the spring of 19 87 coincideswith the middle peak (the head) in the S&Ls. The "right shoulder" in the S&Ls inAugust of 19 87 occurs well after the CRB ... CENTER BANKS VERSUS THE NYSE COMPOSITE INDEX 16 9FIGURE 9 .17 THE S&L INDEX SHOWS A STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION WITH THE CRB INDEX FROM 19 85 TO 19 90. THE 19 87 TOP IN THE S&Ls MIRRORED...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_7 pptx
... 10 5.40Gold 10 3.27 Lumber 10 4.40Cattle 10 3.04* Sugar 10 4.34Cocoa 10 2.03* Heating oil 10 3 .11 Corn 10 1. 61* Cattle 10 2.79Cotton 10 1.23* Porkbellies 99.59Gasoline 10 0.59 Corn 99 .13 Soy. oil 10 0.40* ... Commodity (last 10 0 days)Lumber 10 5.70* Orange juice 14 4.34Orange juice 10 5.62 Crude oil 11 2.24Platinum 10 5.59* Gasoline 11 1.39Crude oil 10 5.36 Hogs 10 9. 41 Sugar 10 4.52* Gold 10 9.20Coffee 10 4.40* ... 19 87 AND THEN RALLIED TOGETHER INTO THE SECOND HALF OF 19 89. AS 19 89 ENDED, BOTH WEAKENED.Bonds versus Utilities the utilities.) Both rallied together to the fourth quarter of 19 89. At the 19 89...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_8 docx
... $10 0 INVESTMENT IN EACH CLASSDURING EACH TIME PERIOD) 19 60 -19 88 19 65 -19 88 19 70 -19 88 19 75 -19 88 19 80 -19 88 19 85 -19 88Govt.Bonds442.52423. 21 423.58 314 .16 288.87 13 2.79Corp.Bonds580. 21 4 81. 04452.70338.23300.58 13 2.32U.S.Stocks 14 28. 41 766.78650.69555.69289.27 14 5.62CRBIndex 11 75.26974.70787.97336.47 15 3.68 12 8 .13 ... stocks were the best overall performer (14 28. 41) whereas the CRB Index came in second (11 75.26). In the two periods be-ginning in 19 65 and 19 70 to 19 88, the CRB Index was the best performer (974.70and ... sale. Figures 11 .13 through 11 .15 showrelative ratios of six selected commodities in the 10 0 days from September 19 89 tomid-February 19 90.SELECTED COMMODITIESFigure 11 .13 shows the lumber/CRB...
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Intermarket Technical Analysis Trading Strategies for the Global_9 docx
... understood and the least appreciated of the four244 THE MYTH OF PROGRAM TRADING -11 :07 A.M CBT Jun T-bonds break to 92 18 /32 11 :07 A.M— US stock index futures slide as T-bonds drop — 11 :10 A.M— ... weaken around 10 :15 . Both markets also bottomed together just after 11 :00 (alongwith the dollar). The plunge in the bond market around 11 :00 was partially causedby the collapse in the German bond ... 252 THE MYTH OF PROGRAM TRADING FIGURE 14 .8 THE FOUR SECTORS OF THE AMERICAN MARKETS DURING 19 87. THE INTERMARKET PICTUREGOING INTO THE SECOND HALF OF 19 87 WAS BEARISH FOR EQUITIES-A...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_3 doc
... by the trend of the U.S. dollar. Therefore,we begin our intermarket analysis with the dollar. The path to take is from the dollarto the commodity markets, then from the commodity markets to the ... turns in the CRB Index at the 19 85 bottomand the 19 87 top. (Gold also led the downturn in the CRB Index in 19 80.) The 19 85bottom in gold was more than a year ahead of the 19 86 bottom in the CRB ... PUSH THE CRB INDEX LOWER. THE 19 86 BOTTOM IN THE CRB INDEX OCCURRED A YEAR AFTER THE 19 85 PEAK IN THE DOLLAR. THE 19 88 PEAKIN THE CRB INDEX TOOK PLACE A HALF YEAR AFTER THE 19 88 BOTTOM IN THE...
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Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets_4 pdf
... led at the 19 86 bottom, while the Foodstuffs led at the 19 88 peak. THE JOC INDEX AND RAW INDUSTRIALS 10 1FIGURE 7 .1 A COMPARISON OF THE CRB FUTURES INDEX AND THE CRB SPOT INDEX FROM 19 87 TO 19 89. ... back to the beginning of the decade, the dollar bottomed in 19 80, two years before the 19 82bottom in stocks. In 19 88 and 19 89 the dollar and stocks rose pretty much in tan-dem. The peak in the ... stocks outperform gold by a wide margin (19 80 to 19 85 and 19 88 through the first half of 19 89). During periods of rising inflation (the 19 70s and the period from 19 86 through the end of 19 87), gold...
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