BỨC TRANH VĨ MÔ

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- PBOC chuyển sang chính sách nói lỏng nhằm kích cầu kinh tế.

BỨC TRANH VĨ MÔ

5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19 1/20 2/20 3/20 4/20 5/20 6/20 7/20 8/20 9/20 10/20 11/20 12/20 1/21 2/21 3/21 4/21 5/21 6/21 7/21 8/21 9/21 10/21 11/21 12/21 1/22 2/22 3/22 4/22 5/22Bán lẻ hàng hóa + Dịch vụ Bán lẻ hàng hóa + Dịch vụ

tiêu dùng 11.60% 11.50% 11.60% 11.50% 11.60% 11.80% 11.80% 11.80% 10.20% 8.30% 4.70% -4.30% -3.90% -0.80% -0.40% -0.02% 0.70% 1.27% 2.03% 2.62% 6.42% 5.49% 5.10% 10.02% 7.58% 4.89% 0.69% -4.69% -7.11% -8.60% -8.72% -3.76% 1.26% 1.66% 4.44% 6.54% 9.69% Bán lẻ hàng hóa 12.70% 12.50% 12.50% 12.50% 12.60% 12.80% 12.70% 12.70% 10.70% 9.80% 7.70% 0.40% 1.20% 3.40% 3.60% 4.00% 4.80% 5.44% 6.22% 6.78% 8.65% 7.83% 6.84% 9.77% 7.83% 6.16% 3.19% -1.37% -3.38% -4.63% -4.35% 0.15% 4.35% 3.10% 5.76% 7.64% 9.83%

Lưu trú + Ăn uống 9.20% 9.80% 10.00% 9.80% 9.60% 9.60% 9.60% 9.80% 6.80% 1.70% -9.60% -23.60% -25.80% -18.10% -16.60% -16.40% -15.00% -14.70% -13.72% -12.97% -4.13% -4.30% -2.97% 10.14% 4.60% -2.68% -11.77% -19.77% -22.14% -23.76% -26.00% -19.32% -11.95% -1.76% 1.18% 5.15% 15.75%

Lữ hành 12.40% 13.30% 12.50% 12.10% 12.00% 11.90% 12.20% 12.10% 7.40% 1.10% -27.80% -45.20% -54.10% -53.20% -55.40% -54.40% -56.30% -57.66% -58.60% -59.50% -62.18% -62.06% -60.08% -49.17% -48.22% -51.76% -58.81% -61.81% -63.95% -63.77% -63.00% -59.90% -35.65% -10.95% 1.86% 10.53% 34.70%

Dịch vụ khác 6.10% 6.30% 6.70% 7.00% 7.30% 7.70% 8.10% 8.50% 10.70% 5.20% 1.50% -13.20% -11.80% -7.40% -5.90% -5.70% -5.60% -5.40% -4.76% -4.03% 7.31% 3.00% 3.90% 14.95% 10.90% 4.38% -4.23% -13.65% -19.37% -22.56% -23.78% -16.83% -8.13% -5.87% -2.53% -0.61% 2.54%

Chỉ số sản xuất công nghiệp 9.38% 9.53% 9.36% 9.50% 9.62% 9.50% 9.29% 9.11% -5.51% 6.16% 5.78% 1.80% 0.98% 2.80% 2.55% 2.16% 2.37% 2.74% 3.07% 3.35% 22.16% 7.35% 5.69% 9.96% 9.92% 9.27% 7.94% 5.56% 4.14% 3.31% 3.63% 4.76% 2.39% 5.38% 6.44% 7.51% 8.34%

Khai khoáng -0.14% 1.20% 1.12% 2.47% 1.30% 1.16% 0.85% 0.87% -12.87% -3.74% -5.22% -6.82% -8.07% -7.87% -7.81% -6.96% -7.40% -8.11% -7.13% -7.81% -6.22% -11.00% -8.23% -5.66% -6.99% -6.00% -6.30% -6.24% -6.37% -6.97% -6.01% -5.81% -4.64% -2.78% 1.00% 2.63% 4.13%

Công nghiệp chế biến chế

tạo 10.88% 10.79% 10.71% 10.60% 10.84% 10.81% 10.61% 10.45% -4.84% 7.35% 7.25% 3.01% 2.24% 4.60% 4.22% 3.68% 3.79% 4.21% 0.047 4.93% 27.15% 10.35% 8.04% 12.69% 12.59% 11.55% 9.92% 7.01% 5.47% 4.49% 4.78% 6.01% 2.82% 6.12% 7.04% 8.28% 9.24% Phân phối điện 10.33% 9.75% 10.02% 10.21% 10.23% 9.88% 9.50% 8.73% -3.48% 8.38% 7.08% 2.91% 2.59% 2.04% 2.10% 1.99% 2.79% 3.21% 3.23% 3.07% 16.27% 4.25% 2.53% 6.55% 8.33% 8.60% 8.22% 6.62% 4.34% 4.07% 3.77% 4.93% 5.09% 6.49% 7.10% 6.58% 5.52%

Cung cấp nước 7.86% 7.36% 7.64% 7.36% 7.17% 7.16% 6.73% 6.80% 1.62% 4.93% 6.33% 3.56% 2.88% 2.77% 3.30% 2.90% 3.30% 4.13% 3.98% 4.25% 8.40% 4.84% 7.34% 7.54% 7.54% 6.82% 5.55% 4.42% 3.60% 3.38% 2.99% 2.72% 1.17% 2.46% 5.25% 1.12% 2.45%

PMI 52.0 52.5 52.6 51.4 50.5 50.0 51.0 50.8 50.6 49.0 41.9 32.7 42.7 51.1 47.6 45.7 52.2 51.8 49.9 51.7 51.3 51.6 53.6 54.7 53.1 44.1 45.1 40.2 40.2 52.1 52.2 52.5 53.7 54.3 51.7 51.7 54.7

Xuất khẩu 7.20% 7.31% 8.16% 8.13% 8.46% 8.31% 8.01% 8.50% -17.00% 8.21% 7.43% 2.05% -0.90% 0.21% 1.46% 2.37% 4.07% 4.78% 5.30% 6.50% 50.53% 23.25% 22.01% 28.30% 30.72% 28.40% 25.50% 21.20% 18.75% 16.62% 17.53% 18.97% 1.61% 10.21% 12.89% 16.45% 16.33%

Nhập khẩu 10.80% 9.13% 9.21% 7.94% 8.29% 7.69% 6.66% 6.92% -12.51% 3.01% 3.56% -0.51% -4.81% -2.99% -3.18% -2.44% -0.78% 0.35% 1.50% 3.60% 41.00% 25.87% 26.29% 30.80% 36.36% 36.10% 35.28% 33.76% 30.54% 28.20% 27.54% 26.48% 11.46% 15.92% 15.93% 15.70% 14.85%

Giải ngân vốn ngân sách lũy

kế (YoY%) 3.58% 3.81% 3.00% 3.08% 4.42% 4.93% 5.16% 5.55% 3.65% 22.17% 17.04% 13.98% 16.83% 19.77% 28.26% 32.40% 35.27% 36.17% 35.84% 34.45% 24.53% 10.60% 13.03% 16.31% 14.22% 10.21% 5.57% -0.43% -6.88% -8.26% -8.74% -8.60% 8.62% 10.36% 10.58% 9.12% 9.51% FDI Thực hiện 8.15% 8.72% 7.11% 6.31% 7.32% 7.35% 6.79% 6.70% 3.23% -5.04% -6.55% -9.65% -8.22% -4.95% -4.08% -5.10% -3.23% -2.53% -2.38% -1.96% 4.14% 2.04% 6.49% 6.80% 6.72% 6.82% 3.75% 2.03% -3.49% -4.11% -4.20% -1.20% 6.80% 7.20% 7.80% 7.64% 7.83%

FDI Đăng ký 27.09% -36.26% -35.56% -31.20% -19.86% -15.15% -11.38% -11.83% 318.66%70.98% 28.85% 32.17% 19.90% 17.53% 21.20% 11.37% -1.82% -5.09% -3.22% -6.59% -62.55% -12.88% 41.37% 13.70% 16.45% 12.37% 3.49% 11.64% 22.28% 15.76% 10.99% 15.19% -7.66% -14.01% -21.97% -19.79% -23.31%

CPI cơ bản YoY 1.90% 1.96% 2.04% 1.95% 1.96% 1.99% 2.18% 2.78% 3.25% 2.94% 2.95% 2.71% 2.54% 2.45% 2.31% 2.16% 1.97% 1.88% 1.61% 0.19% -0.97% 0.79% 0.73% 0.95% 1.13% 1.14% 0.99% 0.98% 0.74% 0.50% 0.58% 0.67% 0.66% 0.68% 1.09% 2.64% 1.61%

CPI YoY 2.88% 2.16% 2.44% 2.26% 1.98% 2.24% 3.52% 5.23% 6.43% 5.40% 4.87% 2.93% 2.40% 3.17% 3.39% 3.18% 2.98% 2.47% 1.48% 0.99% 0.49% 0.70% 1.16% 2.70% 2.90% 2.41% 2.64% 2.82% 2.06% 1.77% 2.10% 1.81% 1.94% 1.42% 2.41% 1.47% 2.86%

Tăng trưởng tín dụng

ΔYTD% -0.44% -0.50% -0.62% -0.82% -0.93% -1.13% -1.30% -0.24% -1.80% -0.90% -1.82% -3.05% -3.78% -3.71% -3.43% -3.34% -3.32% -3.24% -2.59% -1.48% 0.66% 0.49% 1.62% 2.76% 2.95% 2.79% 2.87% 2.63% 1.80% 1.97% 2.39% 1.44% 1.73% 1.99% 3.02% 2.58% 2.80%Tổng phương tiện thanh Tổng phương tiện thanh

toán ΔYTD% -1.53% -1.28% -0.89% -0.49% 0.42% 0.24% 0.93% 2.34% -1.26% -0.85% -1.17% -1.68% -2.01% -1.96% -1.46% -0.98% -0.83% -0.77% -0.60% -0.25% -0.98% 0.03% 0.25% 0.98% 0.34% -0.72% -0.78% -1.68% -2.28% -2.71% -3.26% -3.87% 1.83% 0.84% 1.48%

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