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Supply Chain anagement

K02 2/7 Planning, and Operation

_ SEVENTH EDITION

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Senet he Edition Global Edition

SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT

STRATEGY, PLANNING, AND OPERATION Sunil Chopra Kellogg School of Management THU VIEN TRUGNG DHSPET| CKN 12 Pearson + Boston « San Francisco « Toronto « Sydney +» Dubai « Singapore + Hong Kong > Volk

Harlow, England « London s New Yor k gland « Sao Paulo « Mexico City « Madrid « Amsterdam « Munich ¢ Paris + Milan na : : see Mile

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CONTENTS

Preface 9

Part | Supply Chains Building a Strategic Framework to Analyze

CHAPTER 1 UNDERSTANDING THE SUPPLY CHAIN 15

What Is a Supply Chain? 15

The Objective of a Supply Chain 17 Decision Phases in a Supply Chain 20 Process Views of a Supply Chain 22 Examples of Supply Chains 27

Developing Skills for Your Career 37

Discussion Questions 32 « Bibliography 32

CHAPTER 2 ACHIEVING STRATEGIC FIT IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 33

Competitive and Supply Chain Strategies 33

How is Strategic Fit Achieved? 36

Supply Chain Levers to Deal with Uncertainty 45

Expanding Strategic Scope 47

Discussion Questions 50 s Bibliography 50 > CASE STUDY: The Demise of Blockbuster 51

CHAPTER 3 SUPPLY CHAIN DRIVERS AND METRICS 54 Financial Measures of Performance 54

A Framework for Supply Chain Decisions 59 Facilities 67 Inventory 64 Transportation 66 Information 68 Sourcing 70 Pricing 72

Discussion Questions 75 ¢ Bibliography 75

> CASE STUDY: Seven-Eleven Japan Co 75 j 82

d Macy's Inc > CASE STUDY: Financial Statements for Walmart Stores Inc an

Part Il Designing the Supply Chain Network

D

CHAPTER 4 DESIGNING DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS AT ING 83 APPLICATIONS TO OMNI-CHANNEL R

ign in the Supply Ch

Factors Affecting Distribution Network Design In the Sup,

Design Options for a Distribution Network 88

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CHAPTER 5

CHAPTER 6

Online Sales and Omni-Channel Retailing 102

Discussion Questions 111 © Bibliography 111 > CASE STUDY: Blue Nile and Diamond Retailing 112

NETWORK DESIGN IN THE SUPPLY CHAIN 117 The Role of Network Design in the Supply Chain 117 Factors Influencing Network Design Decisions 119 Framework for Network Design Decisions 124

Models for Designing a Regional Network Configuration 127 Models for Identifying Potential Sites ina Region 132

Models for Demand Allocation and Plant Location 135

Discussion Questions 143 * Exercises 143 ¢ Bibliography 148 > CASE STUDY: Designing the Production Network at CoolWipes 148 > CASE STUDY: Managing a Merger at Lightning Networks 149

DESIGNING GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN NETWORKS 152 The Impact of Globalization on Supply Chain Networks 152 The Importance of Total Cost in Global Networks 154 Risk Management in Global Supply Chains 157

Evaluating Network Design Decisions using Decision Trees 161

To Onshore or To Offshore: The Value of Flexibility in a Supply Chain Under Uncertainty 171

Discussion Questions 179 ¢ Exercises 179 ¢ Bibliography 181

> CASE STUDY: BioPharma, Inc 182

> CASE STUDY: Global Supply Design for the Future: Nokia 184

Part Ill Planning and Coordinating Demand and Supply in a Supply Chain

CHAPTER 7

CHAPTER 8

DEMAND FORECASTING IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 186 The Role of Forecasting in a Supply Chain 186

Components of a Forecast and Forecasting Methods 188 Time-Series Forecasting Methods 192

Measures of Forecast Error 202

Building Forecasting Models using Excel 205

Discussion Questions 213 * Exercises 214 ¢ Bibliography 216 > CASE STUDY: Specialty Packaging Corporation 216

AGGREGATE PLANNING IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 219 Aggregate Planning and its Role ina Supply Chain 219

The Basic Tradeoffs in Aggregate Planning 222

Aggregate Planning using Linear Programming 223

Aggregate Planning in Excel 231

Discussion Questions 236 * Exercises 236 + Bibliography 238 > CASE STUDY: Kloss Planters and Harvesters 238

> CASE STUDY: Smartphone Production at QuickTronics 240

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CHAPTER 9 SALES AND OPERATIO NS PL CHAIN 241

TNNING MA SUPpLy

Responding to Predictable Variability in the Supply Cha;

Sales and Operations Planning at Red Tomato 245 nH

Discussion Questions 252 « Exercises 252 s > CASE STupy: Mintendo Game Girl 255

> CASE STUDY: Promotion Challenges at Gulmarg Skis 256

CHAPTER 10 COORDINATION IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 258

Lack of Supply Chain Coordination and its Impact on Performance 258 Obstacles to Coordination in @ Supply Chain 262 Managerial Levers to Improve Coordination 266 Some Practical Approaches to Improve Supply Chain Coordination 272

Discussion Questions 277 s Bibliography 277

Bibliography 254

Part IV Planning and Managing Inventories in a Supply Chain

CHAPTER 11 MANAGING ECONOMIES OF SCALE IN A SUPPLY CHAIN CYCLE INVENTORY 278

The Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain 278 Economies of Scale to Exploit Fixed Costs 281

Aggregating Multiple Products in a Single Order 288

Economies of Scale to Exploit Quantity Discounts 296

Why do Suppliers offer Quantity Discounts? 302 Short-Term Discounting: Trade Promotions 308 Managing Multiechelon Cycle Inventory 312

Managerial Levers to Reduce Cycle Inventory 315 oy BI Discussion Questions 317 © Exercises 317 * Bibliograpny

> CASE STUDY: Delivery Strategy at MoonChem 321 > CASE STUDY: Pricing and Delivery at NAN 323

Appendix 11A: Economic Order Quantity 324 tr

MANAGING UNCERTAINTY IN A SUPPLY CHAIN SAFE INVENTORY 325

The Role of Safety Inventory in a Supply Chain 325

Factors Affecting the Level of Safety Inventory 327 sal Determining the Appropriate Level of Safety Invenio

Impact of Supply Uncertainty on Safety Inventory 3

Impact of Aggregation on Safety Inventory 342 558

Impact of Replenishment Policies on Safety Km” 358 Managing Safety Inventory in a Multiechelon Supply

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Contents

Discussion Questions 360 ¢ Exercises 360 * Bibliography 364

> CASE STUDY: Managing Inventories at ALKO Inc 364

> CASE STUDY: Should Packing Be Postponed to the DC? 367 Appendix 12A: The Normal Distribution 368

Appendix 12B: The Normal Distribution in Excel 369

Appendix 12C: Expected Shortage per Replenishment Cycle 369

Appendix 12D: Evaluating Safety Inventory For Slow-Moving Items 370

CHAPTER 13 LINKING PRODUCT AVAILABILITY TO PROFITS 372 Factors Affecting the Desired Level of Product Availability 372 Evaluating the Optimal Level of Product Availability 376

Basic Managerial Levers to Improve Supply Chain Profitability 384 The Value of Speed in a Seasonal Supply Chain 386

The Value of Postponement in a Seasonal Supply Chain 391 Setting Product Availability for Multiple Products under Capacity

Constraints 396

Discussion Questions 399 © Exercises 399 © Bibliography 402

> CASE STUDY: The Need for Speed at Winner Apparel 402

Appendix 13A: Optimal Level of Product Availability 404 Appendix 13B: An Intermediate Evaluation 404

Appendix 13C: Expected Profit from an Order 405

Appendix 13D: Expected Overstock from an Order 406

Appendix 13E: Expected Understock from an Order 406

Appendix 13F: Simulation using Spreadsheets 407

Part V_ Designing and Planning Transportation Networks

CHAPTER 14 TRANSPORTATION IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 410

Transportation Modes and their Role in a Supply Chain 410 Transportation Infrastructure and Policies 416

Design Options for a Transportation Network 419

Mumbai Dabbawalas: A Successful Same Day Delivery Network 425

Trade-Offs in Transportation Design 426 Tailored Transportation 434

Discussion Questions 437 ¢ Bibliography 437

> CASE STUDY: Designing a Sustainable Distribution Network for

Euro-Grain 438

> CASE STUDY: The Future of Same-Day Delivery: Same as the Past? 439

> CASE STUDY: Selecting Transportation Modes for China Imports 440

Part VI Managing Cross-Functional Drivers in a Supply Chain

CHAPTER 15 SOURCING DECISIONS IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 441

The Sourcing Decision in a Supply Chain 441 Total Cost of Ownership 451

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Contents

The Impact of Incentives on Third-Party Behavior 457

Sharing Risk and Reward in the Supply Chain 459 " hy aya

Discussion Questions 470 * Exercises 471 *° Bibliography | > CASE STUDY: Polaris Industries Inc 473

CHAPTER 16 PRICING AND REVENUE MANAGEMENT IN A SUPPLY CHAIN 478

The Role of Pricing and Revenue Management in a Supply Chain 478 Differential Pricing for Multiple Customer Segments 481

Dynamic Pricing and Overbooking for Perishable Assets 488 Discounting and Peak Pricing for Seasonal Demand 495

Constructing a Portfolio of Bulk Contracts and Spot Buying 496 Some Practical Challenges When using Revenue Management 498

Discussion Questions 499 ¢ Exercises 499 © Bibliography 500 > CASE STUDY:To Savor or to Groupon? 500

CHAPTER 17 SUSTAINABILITY AND THE SUPPLY CHAIN 503

The Role of Sustainability in a Supply Chain 503 The Tragedy of the Commons 505

Key Pillars of Corporate Social Responsibility 509 Sustainability and Supply Chain Drivers 513

The Role of Incentives and Regulation for Sustainability 516

Discussion Questions 527 Bibliography 521

Part VII Online Chapter

CHAPTER A INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INA SUPPLY CHAIN The Role of iT ina Supply Chain

The Supply Chain IT Framework The Future of IT in the Supply Chain Risk Management in IT

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PREFACE

This book is targeted toward an academic as well as a practitioner audience On the academic side,

it is appropriate for MBA students, engineering master’s students, and senior undergraduate stu- dents interested in supply chain management and logistics It can also serve as a suitable reference

for both concepts as well as providing a methodology for practitioners in consulting and industry

NEW TO THIS EDITION

The seventh edition has focused on changes that enhance students’ ability to sharpen their critical think- ing and data analytics skills as they study with the book All concepts discussed in the book are linked to strategic decision making in a supply chain, and all quantitative ideas are illustrated using spreadsheets

that can be implemented in practice Some specific changes in the seventh edition include:

¢ The link between supply chain decisions and the financial performance of a firm is developed in detail in Chapter 3

¢ The concepts underlying the design of distribution networks are illustrated in the context of omni-channel retailing in Chapter 4 The evolution of retailing is used throughout the

book to illustrate the link between supply chain concepts and strategic decision making in

a supply chain

* Each section of each chapter in the book is associated with a clearly identified learning objective that is summarized at the end of the section

¢ We have added new mini-cases in Chapters 5, 8, and 15 Information in other cases has been updated to be current

* New exercises have been added in several chapters

* For all numerical examples discussed in the book, we have developed spreadsheets that students can use to understand the concept at a deeper level These spreadsheets are

referred to in the book and allow the student to try different “what-if” analyses These spreadsheets are available at htt p://www.pearsonglobaleditions.com along with basic guid-

ance on how they may be created and used

* We have continued to add current examples throughout the book, with a particular focus on bringing in more global examples

SOLVING TEACHING AND LEARNING CHALLENGES

To be successful, supply chain practitioners must be able to formulate effective supply chain strategy and be able to solve any resulting supply chain problems using the available analytical tools In a supply chain class this creates the challenge of teaching students to think strategically while support- ing their decisions with robust quantitative analysis This book is designed to help faculty and stu-

dents overcome this challenge through its conceptual and pedagogical structure Conceptually, the

book aims to develop an understanding of the following key areas and their interrelationships: * The strategic role of a supply chain

* The key strategic drivers of supply chain performance * Analytic methodologies for supply chain analysis

To illustrate the strategic importance of good supply chain management, we provide many

current examples to show how companies have succeeded through effective supply chain

management or failed because of weak supply chain management Our strategic framework, the use

of Excel-based models to explain analytic methodologies, and several mini-cases to help students

internalize the link between the analytic methodologies and strategic decision making provide peda-

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Within the strategic framework, we identify

facilities, inventory, transportation, information, sourcing, and pricing as the key drivers of supply chain performance The book is structured to dig deeper into each driver to understand its role in the success of a supply chain, its interaction with other drivers, analytic methodologies to support decisions related to the driver, and managerial levers related to the driver that help improve sup- 10 Prefacc Competitive Strategy Responsiveness Efficiency Jogitical Dalya | Cross-Functional_ Drivers Te ] fi Sourcing “ing

Facies] Inventory [Transportation [Information [Sourcing [Pacing -

ply chain performance

A Consistent Strategic Framework Every analytic methodology is illustrated with its application in Excel Students have access to the associated Excel file along with instructions to construct and use the file The Excel files help students deepen their understanding of the link between the analytic models and the strate- gic decisions they support

Mini Cases

Most chapters have mini cases that can be used by faculty to ensure that students can apply the concepts and methodologies in the context of strategic decision making for a business

DEVELOPING CAREER SKILLS

Skills learned in this book will be of

bo 0k is developed with the premise that good Strategic decisions cannot be made without greal use no matter what path students choose to fol low The access to relevant analytics, and all analytics should be designed to support decision making Asa result, develop critical thinking, the ability to formulate and analyze problems, and sup- Port their recommendations with analytics that uses data literacy and computing skills 20 “Constraints 21 Spay Ragon [Excess Capea 22 ti wee 0 | 0 ọ >SUMPRODụ, CTB)4:FIS.B.pgy + SA PEODUCT(G13.G15.GụGg, +

SL IMPRODUCTY Excel Baseg Models Oat 18.14:]8) Function Objective

Every chapter in the book pushes students to think criti- cally in order to define and solve supply chain problems For example, Chapter 4 develops a framework for distri- bution networks and then pushes students to think about how retailing may evolve in the future as consumer pref- erences and technology change The first part of the and concepts related to the

literacy, Computin I

apply information technology to sy

Nike ở quantify financial

Metrics for different retail

mene $a result, students

learn how to use data and

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TABLE OF CONTENTS OVERVIEW Preface 11

Part 1 Building a Strategic Framework to Analyze Supply Chains

Ch 1: Understanding the Supply Introduces the supply chain, the managerial objective, and Chain key decisions

Ch, 2: Achieving Strategic Fit in a Discusses the need to align strategy with supply chain Supply Chain capabilities

Ch 3: Supply Chain Drivers and Defines key drivers of supply chain performance and Metrics associated performance metrics

Part2 Designing the Supply Chain Network

Ch 4: Designing Distribution Introduces framework for designing distribution networks Networks and Applications to Omni- with an application to omni-channel retailing

Channel Retailing

Ch 5: Network Design in the Supply Presents analytic models that support network design Chain

Ch 6: Designing Global Supply Discusses risks in global supply chains and analytic Chain Networks methodologies that incorporate uncertainty in network

design

Part 3 Planning and Coordinating Demand and Supply in a Supply Chain

Ch 7: Demand Forecasting in a Introduces techniques for demand forecasting and Supply Chain measuring forecast error

Ch 8: Aggregate Planning in a Introduces methodologies to plan supply to meet seasonal Supply Chain demand

Ch 9: Sales and Operations Planning Discusses how optimally managing both demand and supply in a Supply Chain can grow supply chain profits

Ch 10: Coordination in a Supply Discusses obstacles to coordination and managerial levers Chain that help improve coordination in a supply chain

Part4 Planning and Managing Inventories in a Supply Chain

Ch 11: Managing Economies of Introduces methodologies to obtain optimal batch sizes and Scale in a Supply Chain - Cycle discusses managerial levers that help reduce cycle inventory Inventory without hurting costs

Ch 12: Managing Uncertainty in a Introduces methodologies to obtain safety inventory and Supply Chain — Safety Inventory discusses managerial levers that help reduce safety inventory

‘ without hurting product availability

Ch 13: Linking Product Availability Discusses managerial levers that help increase profits in a to Profits supply chain

Part5 Designing and Planning Transportation Networks

Ch 14: Transportation in a Supply Discusses options and tradeoffs when designing a Chain transportation network

Part6 Managing Cross Functional Drivers in a Supply Chain

Ch, 15: Sourcing Decisions in a Introduces the concept of total cost in the context of Supply Chain sourcing and discusses the benefits of sharing risk and

reward in a supply chain

Ch 16: Pricing and Revenue Discusses how differential pricing can help increase profits in

Management in a Supply Chain a supply chain

Ch 17: Sustainability and the Supply Discusses the challenge to sustainability posed by the tragedy Chain of the commons and the role of incentives and regulation for improved sustainability Part 7 Online Chapter Ch A: Information Technology in a Supply Chain

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12 Preface

INSTRUCTOR TEACHING RESOURCES

ce Center, hutp:/hvww.pearsonglobaleditions com, instructors ee ly mis _— variety of instructor resources available with this text in down oada le mag amen vn cdl our dedicated technical support team is ready to help with the forma n — ‘a t accompany this text Visit Artps://support.pearson.com/getsupport for jects lane site questions and toll-free user support phone numbers

an

This program comes with the following teaching resources

Supplements available to instructors at Features of the Supplement

www pearsonglobaleditions.com

i hing Notes and Worksheets lution Manual © Case Teac Wor

deelyedh ite author ¢ Spreadsheets for all quantitative examples mm ® Discussion questions s Example figures ® Additional exercises ® Solutions to all questions and problems in the book

Test Bank 2000 multiple-choice, true/false, short- answer, and

authored by Geoff Willis of the University graphing questions with these annotations:

of Central Oklahoma © Correct answer

* Difficulty level (1 for straight recall, 2 for some analysis, 3 for complex analysis)

* Learning outcome reference © Topic covered

* AACSB learning standard (Analytical Thinking; Information Technology; Application of

Knowledge)

TestGen® Computerized Test Bank TestGen allows instructors to:

* Customize, save, and generate classroom tests * Edit, add, or delete questions from the Test Item

Files

* Analyze test results

* Organize a database of tests and student results PowerPoint Presentations

Slides include all th fons i

authored by Jeff Heyl of the Lincoin the textbook 1“

University

For Students

The following material is available to students at http://www, * Spreadsheets for numerica

the example discussed, but * Spreadsheets that allow stu * Online chapter: Chapter A: * Technical Note: Routing an

the Instructor’s Manual ava

Pearsonglobaleditions.com:

HH nề đheused in the book These provide the details of a ents to build every table shown in Chapters and allow the student to try different what-if 5 through 16 analyses

Information Technology ina Supply Chain

d sn |

ie eeiing in Transportation, This note is also bundled with on ww Pear songlobaleditions,

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

I would like to thank the many people who helped throughout this process I thank the reviewers whose suggestions significantly improved the book, including: Steven Brown, Arizona State University; Ming Chen, California State University, Long Beach; Sameer Kumar, University of

Saint Thomas; Frank Montabon, lowa State University; Brian Sauser, University of North Texas;

and Paul Venderspek, Colorado State University, and Michael Godfrey, University of Wisconsin Oshkosh

I would also like to thank my editor, Neeraj Bhalla, content producer, Sugandh Juneja,

editorial assistant, Linda Albelli, and the people at Pearson CSC, including Nicole Suddeth, Ronel Mirano, and Raja Natesan, for their efforts with the book Finally, I would like to thank you, the readers, for reading and using this book I hope it contributes to all your efforts to improve the performance of companies and supply chains throughout the world I would be pleased to hear your comments and suggestions for future editions of this text

Sunil Chopra

Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

GLOBAL EDITION ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Pearson would like to thank and acknowledge the following people for their contribution to the

Global Edition Contributors

Kate Dunne, Galway-Mayo Institute of Technology

Reviewers

Merwyn Strate, Hult International Business School

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| N ` ` an “suy j _ unfVersites throughout the world Pearson publshed thís exe eS cae Cue Can - ee a = oe _

_ Googles Google Express—the text illustrates some of the key drivers of supply

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